Welcome to college football DFS for Week 12 and another main slate take down. This is your one stop shop for Cash and GPP plays for the main slate of this crazy CFB weekend!
If you’ve been following along this season, we’ve had some crazy high hit rates on our player pools, but if you have any questions on Player X versus Player Y feel free to reach out to me on Twitter @FF_TravisM. I’d be glad to help.
So without further ado, let’s dive in.
Unlike last week there’s a bevy of appealing quarterback options on this slate. Let’s check them out.
|Quarterback||Team||Salary||Expected Points||Points/Game||Pass Comp + Rush Att Per Game||Implied Team Points||Opponent Pass Yds/Game Allowed|
|Anthony Gordon||Washington State||8500||32.51||34.03||39.67||36.5||254.9|
|Brock Purdy||Iowa State||8200||29.66||29.45||32.78||36.5||299.6|
|Spencer Sanders||Oklahoma State||6900||27.40||21.85||29.89||42||237.9|
Honorable Mention: Sean Clifford (Penn State) against IU and Carter Stanley (Kansas) against Oklahoma State
Studs to Start
Anthony Gordon is $8500?! Yes, yes he is. He’s averaging more pass and rush volume than any quarterback in college football. He’s scoring more points than any other QB on the slate. And he gets to face a stupendously terrible Stanford team. Check, check, and check.
*Insert QB Name Here* gets to play Texas this week. Infinity fantasy points incoming. The only quarterback that failed to rack up at least 250 total yards against Texas this year plays for Rice. Brock Purdy ($8200, Iowa State) is one the safest options on the slate with a big time ceiling that he’s demonstrated in soft defensive spots this season. Sam Ehlinger should be forced to score a ton of points to hold pace with Purdy, so he’s likely also startable but not a priority given Iowa State’s defense is a bit better. Ehlinger just simply sees a ton of opportunity when you add in his leg work.
Spencer Sanders draws a slightly improved Kansas squad, but their defense is still averaging nearly 500 total yards allowed per game. He’ll be in scoring position on virtually every drive.
Trevor Lawrence is in a sneaky spot thanks to his $7800 price tag. His opponent, Wake Forest, is suddenly missing two of their top three receivers on offense so they’ll struggle to stay on the field. However, they’re possibly the toughest opponent they have faced in weeks, which could mean Lawrence stays on the field long enough to rack up a ton of points. Pairing him with Justyn Ross or Tee Higgins will be popular this week in both Cash and GPP.
Best of the Rest
Brady White hasn’t put up elite level points this season but now faces a Houston defense giving up about 300 yards per game passing. He’s a fun GPP pairing with Damonte Coxie at WR.
Max Duggan is a surprisingly safe option most weeks thank to his rush attempts on top of his meager passing volume. This week he draws the softest passing defense on the slate in Texas Tech. At $6300 he’s a smash lineup decision in any contest.
Most weeks there is maybe one crazy value at QB, but this week we have two with Davis Mills ($4800, Stanford) and Peyton Ramsey ($4900, Indiana). Both starters ahead of them are out due to injury. Mills has the better match-up in Washington State, but Ramsey is the sneakiest. Penn State’s defense is good, but mainly against the run, not the pass.
Yes, no Tua this week for me. He apparently never fully practiced and is likely pulled even earlier than usual in a blowout if he does play.
Priority: (1) Gordon, (2) Purdy, (3) Duggan, (4) Lawrence, (5) Sanders, (6) White
This running back slate is pretty fairly priced across the board, but there are some fun potential steals and a couple injury situations to watch.
|Running Back||Team||Salary||Expected Points||Points/Game||Touches/Game||Implied Team Points||Opponent Rush Yards Allowed/Game|
|Chuba Hubbard||Oklahoma State||8800||25.88||34.16||27.22||42||235.3|
|Max Borghi||Washington State||7900||16.60||24.77||15.33||36.5||152.9|
|Pooka Williams Jr.||Kansas||7100||14.89||17.92||21.38||24.5||162.7|
|Breece Hall||Iowa State||6800||14.57||17.35||14.13||36.5||148|
|Ta'Zhawn Henry||Texas Tech||4900||9.64||10.71||11.63||27||127.1|
Studs to Start
Chuba Hubbard ($8800, Oklahoma State) is the absolute lock of the week again to the surprise of no one. Kansas is already surrendering 235 rushing yards per game to non-Chuba Hubbard running backs. That must mean Hubbard drops at least 500 yards, right?
Kenny Gainwell ($8400, Memphis) is only a sure play if his backfield mate Patrick Taylor misses the game entirely this weekend. Gainwell is averaging 175 yards from scrimmage in games without Taylor this season (most of the year). Gainwell should still retain real receiving value if Taylor is inserted back into the lineup, but he won’t be worth the price tag at that point.
Travis Etienne ($8100, Clemson) is aptly priced below Hubbard and Gainwell because he lacks the consistent volume of touches. However, his efficiency has been incredible this year on just 16 touches per game. He’s still managed to average over 27 fantasy points per game. He’s tough to fade, but he isn’t a must to trust.
Best of the Rest
Najee Harris ($6400, Alabama) has been trending the right direction the past few weeks already, but now may be leaned upon even heavier with or without Tagovailoa playing for Alabama this weekend. Mississippi State isn’t a slouch in the run game, but the volume and team points should lead to a positive outcome for Harris.
Max Borghi ($7900, Washington State) has snagged at least eight catches in four of the last five games and faces a struggling Stanford defense with a backup QB at the helm. He’s always a safe floor play. This week he has the ceiling to make him worth the premium price.
Despite the struggles for Stanford, the skeleton key play of the week is likely Cameron Scarlett. Washington State is allowing almost 200 rushing yards per game and Scarlett’s averaging 21 touches per contest already. He’s somehow only $5800 but should score like a stud.
Pooka Williams ($7100, Kansas) is essentially the entire Kansas offense and is receiving more touches per game than all but two backs on the slate coming into this week.
Breece Hall ($6800, Iowa State), Darius Anderson ($6000, TCU), and Keaontay Ingram ($6000, Texas) have all been receiving lead back carries in mediocre matchups where their team should score at least 30. Hall’s workload has been the most significant of the bunch since taking over as lead, so his price is worth it by comparison.
Kyle Porter ($5700, Houston) potentially benefits from the apparent redshirting of backfield mate Mulbah Car. That opens up a feature role for the former Texas back in a high-scoring affair.
Ta’Zhawn Henry is another “last man standing” at running back who could feature this week for Texas Tech, yet only costs $4900. His teammate SaRodorick Thompson has had a great season but is still questionable. Henry is a value regardless of Thompson’s status, but he could go off in a big way if he is indeed the feature.
Lastly, DJ Williams is only $4400 after seeing more than 20 touches last game. His teammate JaTarvious Whitlow should be back, but the price is right. The matchup is gross against Georgia, but even so Williams could be a multi-TD steal.
Priority: (1) Hubbard, (2) Scarlett, (3) Borghi, (4) Porter, (5) Henry, (6) Harris, (7) Etienne, (8) Gainwell
We have yet another stacked receiver slate this week, but there are some safer cash options to point out amid the viable ones.
|Wide Receiver||Team||Salary||Expected Points||Points/Game||Touches/Game||Implied Team Points||Opponent Receiving Yds Allowed/Game|
|Brandon Arconado||Washington State||6700||17.11943837||24.3||7.29||36.5||254.9|
|Deshaunte Jones||Iowa State||5600||16.29064946||17.18||7.5||36.5||299.6|
|Easop Winston Jr.||Washington State||7200||16.11294597||21.66||6.56||36.5||254.9|
|Charlie Kolar||Iowa State||5300||13.76438452||13.72||4||36.5||299.6|
|La'Michael Pettway||Iowa State||5100||13.5280463||12.3||4.25||36.5||299.6|
|KJ Hamler||Penn State||6200||13.24566711||20.02||5.78||34.5||176.3|
|Dillon Stoner||Oklahoma State||5000||12.43051486||8.08||3.22||42||237.9|
|Stephon Robinson Jr.||Kansas||5400||10.86036951||16.89||4.63||24.5||275.6|
Brandon Arconado ($6700, Washington State) is seeing more than seven catches per game facing a defense giving up almost 260 receiving yards per game. The only other safe Washington State receiver is Easop Winston ($7200), but when Arconado’s in the lineup, he’s the lead.
Deshaunte Jones ($5600, Iowa State) screwed us all one week this season (scoring a zero), but outside of that one bad week he’s seeing more than eight catches per contest. Now he faces Texas who gives up about 300 pass yards per week. Easy money.
Devin Duvernay ($6800, Texas) is still somehow nearly averaging 10 catches per week, and the season’s almost through. It doesn’t get any safer than 26 points and 10 catches per game.
The rest of the slate is a bit risky at receiver, but there are tons of “viable” options that still project well in theory.
Jerry Jeudy and Devonta Smith are the volume receivers for Alabama who could produce regardless of the quarterback at the helm. They’re both typically safe for about 20 points on the year.
Justyn Ross and Tee Higgins (Clemson) have certainly underwhelmed when compared to the Jeudy/Smith duo, but still offer incredible upside in a week where Clemson should score nearly 50. Plus they’re about $500 cheaper each.
Damonte Coxie and Antonio Gibson (Memphis) are both coming off games with at least a half dozen catches. Coxie has a much more proven track record, but Gibson could offer identical upside at just $5000 given his recent eruption.
Charlie Kolar (tight end, Iowa State) and La’Michael Pettway (receiver, Iowa State) both only cost about $5000, but again, like Deshaunte, are playing Texas. Kolar has had a couple huge games with Purdy at the helm this season. They clearly have great rapport. Pettway could be a bit safer but doesn’t quite move the chains like Kolar has demonstrated.
Andrew Parchment and Stephan Robinson (Kansas) are both seeing around five receptions per game and face a somewhat soft defense in Oklahoma State. They’ll be playing catch up and one of them will hit as a mid-priced option. Parchment is the more proven of the two.
Best of the Rest
K.J. Hamler ($6200, Penn State) and Dillon Stoner ($5000, Oklahoma State) should be in high market share roles even in if the matchups aren’t perfect on paper.
Collin Johnson has been on fire since returning from early-season injury, averaging about 17 points on six receptions every week. At 6-foot-6, he matches up well against Iowa State as the lead touchdown candidate this week for Texas.
Marquez Stevenson would be blowing up even more with D’Eriq King at quarterback for Houston, but he’s still gathering about five receptions and nearly 18 points per week. Memphis’ pass defense is no joke, but Houston will have to score a ton to stay in this one.
Taye Barber ($4400, TCU) can just permanently stay as a start until they bump his price above $5000. He’s been consistently seeing four or more catches per week since returning to TCU’s lineup. He’s the second receiver on an offense facing the worst pass defense on the slate in Texas Tech.
Whop Philyor ($4900, Indiana) is averaging 9.25 receptions and 107 receiving yards per game in neutral or negative script games. Penn State will certainly not offer a positive game script for the Hoosiers, and Philyor will be leaned upon heavily to move the chains as their clear WR1. Plus he’s a dirt cheap pairing for Peyton Ramsey in GPP.
Connor Wedington is the volume receiver for Stanford and offers a cheap pairing at $4700 to go with Davis Mills for GPP as well.
Priority: (1) Arconado, (2) Deshaunte, (3) Coxie, (4) Philyor, (5) Duvernay, (6) Johnson, (7) Stoner (8) Barber
And that’s all folks! Hope your teams kill it in the main slate of Week 12 College Football. Make sure to check out Devy Weekly to learn more about breakout studs every single week of the season. Please find me on Twitter @FF_TravisM to chat more about all things college football and NFL. And as always, keep living that DFS Life.