Earlier this week I took a look at the Best Ball Win Rate Explorer tool and utilized the positional heat map to determine where we should be drafting our quarterbacks in order to boost win rates.
You can check out that article, and the others to follow it here.
For this article, we shift our focus to the running back position.
Is the Running Back Dead Zone Dead?
The very question that headlines this portion of the article was asked by Jack Miller last December – Is the Running Back Dead Zone Dead?
In his article, Jack talks about the unexpected success from the “dead zone” running backs (drafted Rounds 3 through 6) in 2019, who were very successful despite the historical struggles RBs have had out of those rounds.
I highly suggest reading Jack’s articles on the RB dead zone if you’re interested in better understanding why RB win rates have historically dropped within the “dead zone” rounds.
Using the positional heat map, we see that over the last five years, RB win rates have plummeted between the third and fifth rounds. The win rates then bounce back in a big way between the sixth and eighth rounds.
This sixth to eighth round range will be where we target individual players to boost our overall win rates.
Round 6 RB
- J.K. Dobbins – (63.9 ADP, RB30)
- Ronald Jones – (67.0 ADP, RB31)