2021 Rookie Scouting Index V1: 1 RB and 2 WRs Are Being Massively Undervalued
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Image Credit: Andy Altenburger/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Ja'Marr Chase.

Each year, in the run-up to the NFL draft, we produce the RotoViz Scouting Index (RSI). The RSI aggregates and compiles NFL prospect rankings from a variety of more traditional scouting outlets. This accomplishes a few things:

  • It saves time. No need to check rankings on several sites; we’ve done the work.
  • It reveals the general consensus. No need to guess which players are held in high – or rising – esteem; we’ve done the math.
  • It checks our bias. We do love statistical analysis, but it’s important to consider what the more traditional football community thinks about a given player. The consensus opinion is what will largely determine a player’s NFL draft stock and initial fantasy value, which is especially important for dynasty rookie drafts. It’s also possible we’re missing something; seeing which players the film community holds in higher regard might prompt us to look more closely at a prospect.

2021 Calculation and Sources

The outlets that will contribute to the RSI calculation are CBSDraftTek, TheDraftNetwork, and ESPN.

A player’s RSI score will be calculated as follows:

  • Determine a player’s positional rank for each outlet — with a maximum rank of 15.
  • Sum each player’s ranks and divide by the number of sources
  • Scale to 100
  • If a player is not ranked by a given source he is assigned a 15 for that source

This rewards/penalizes players for being/not being ranked at multiple sources without overweighting sources that rank fewer players. It also does a better job of addressing the variance in the number of players being ranked by each site than simply reviewing average ranks.

2021 QB Rookie Scouting Index

Player School HT WT RSI Low High
Trevor Lawrence Clemson 6’6″ 220 lbs 100 1 1
Justin Fields Ohio State 6’3″ 223 lbs 94 3 2
Zach Wilson BYU 6’3″ 210 lbs 94 3 2
Trey Lance North Dakota State 6’3″ 224 lbs 88 4 4
Mac Jones Alabama 6’2.5″ 217 lbs 84 5 5
Kyle Trask Florida 6’5″ 239 lbs 80 6 6
Jamie Newman Georgia 6’3″ 235 lbs 74 9 7
Brady White Memphis 6’3″ 215 lbs 57 15 8
Ian Book Notre Dame 6’0″ 210 lbs 55 15 8
K.J. Costello Mississippi State 6’5″ 222 lbs 55 15 9
  • Kyle Trask ranks sixth in the first version of the RSI. However, Trask ties with Trevor Lawrence for the most total yards per game, leads the class in touchdowns per game, and averaged 10.95 adjusted yards per attempt. Given his collegiate production, there’s reason to believe he’s being underestimated and could be the second-best passer behind Lawrence.

2021 RB Rookie Scouting Index

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Dave Caban

Senior Fantasy Analyst, app developer, hosts the RotoViz Radio Flagship, auction draft enthusiast.

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