Is George Pickens In Line for a Year 2 Breakout? 1 Big Thing from Week 16
Image Credit: Peter Joneleit/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: George Pickens.

In 1 Big Thing, Blair Andrews uses the RotoViz tools to take a deep dive into an interesting, unique, and potentially actionable development from the last week of fantasy football.

George Pickens led all Steelers in PPR points in Week 16. That sounds pretty good, but he had only 16.7 points. He’s only surpassed that number twice this season.

Despite making a few amazing catches, Pickens has not exactly been a fantasy force. Part of the problem, as you can probably guess, is the Steelers’ offense.

The Steelers’ Offensive Shortcomings

Kenny Pickett is the QB36 in points per game, and he’s produced over 54 points below expectation in the passing game. After 16 games, Pickett’s closest comps in the RotoViz Screener don’t inspire much confidence, but both Joe Burrow and Ryan Tannehill show up if you scroll far enough.

It remains to be seen whether Pickett is more Zach Wilson or more Burrow. Pickett’s efficiency profile and TD-INT ratio more closely mirror the former, but his completion percentage is on a level closer to Burrow than to Wilson, which offers some hope. Of course it helps that in his second season, Burrow got to throw to an ascending Tee Higgins and one of the best rookie WRs ever in Ja’Marr Chase.

The Surprising Deficiency in the Steelers’ WR Corps

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Please subscribe For Full Access to all RotoViz content and tools!

 

What’s included in your subscription??

  • Exclusive Access to RotoViz Study Hall
    • A treasure trove of our most insightful articles that will teach you the metrics that matter, time-tested winning strategies, the approaches that will give you an edge, and teach you how to be an effective fantasy manager.
  • Revolutionary Tools
    • Including the NFL Stat Explorer, Weekly GLSP Projections, NCAA Prospect Box Score Scout, Combine Explorer, Range of Outcomes App, DFS Lineup Optimizer, Best Ball Suite,and many, many, more.
  • Groundbreaking Articles
    • RotoViz is home of the original Zero-RB article and continues to push fantasy gamers forward as the go-to destination for evidence-based analysis and strategic advantages.
  • Weekly Projections
    • Built using RotoViz’s unique GLSP approach.
  • Expert Rankings
  • And a whole lot more…

Blair Andrews

Managing Editor, Author of The Wrong Read, Occasional Fantasy Football League Winner. All opinions are someone else's.

The Upcoming Rookie Class Is Breaking the Models, Part 3: The 2026 Wide Receiver Freak Score Leaderboard

We’ve already explored the top running back and tight end athletes in the 2026 rookie class. In both groups we found players setting new records and forcing us to rethink both our models and our priors. But Freak Scores were designed first and foremost to find wide receiver profiles with an advantage in the red zone and around the goal line. The theory has always…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

The Upcoming Rookie Class Is Breaking the Models, Part 2: The 2026 Tight End Freak Score Leaderboard

Last time, we looked at the freak athletes of the 2026 class at the running back position, including one prospect who literally forces us to rescale the metric (look for some updates on that front coming soon). No RB who ran at the combine has a Freak Score below 50 — no RB who participated was slower than 4.56 seconds in the 40-yard dash. And the…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

The Upcoming Rookie Class Is Breaking the Models: The 2026 Running Back Freak Score Leaderboard

At RotoViz, we like to look at NFL prospects’ collegiate production as a foundational data point in making predictions. The best predictor of whether a player will succeed in the NFL is whether they succeeded in college. But it would be a mistake to think that size and speed don’t matter. Indeed, for a long time, we’ve relied on Freak Scores to find wide receiver…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

The Upcoming Rookie Class Is Breaking the Models, Part 3: The 2026 Wide Receiver Freak Score Leaderboard

We’ve already explored the top running back and tight end athletes in the 2026 rookie class. In both groups we found players setting new records and forcing us to rethink both our models and our priors. But Freak Scores were designed first and foremost to find wide receiver profiles with an advantage in the red zone and around the goal line. The theory has always…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

The Upcoming Rookie Class Is Breaking the Models, Part 2: The 2026 Tight End Freak Score Leaderboard

Last time, we looked at the freak athletes of the 2026 class at the running back position, including one prospect who literally forces us to rescale the metric (look for some updates on that front coming soon). No RB who ran at the combine has a Freak Score below 50 — no RB who participated was slower than 4.56 seconds in the 40-yard dash. And the…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

The Upcoming Rookie Class Is Breaking the Models: The 2026 Running Back Freak Score Leaderboard

At RotoViz, we like to look at NFL prospects’ collegiate production as a foundational data point in making predictions. The best predictor of whether a player will succeed in the NFL is whether they succeeded in college. But it would be a mistake to think that size and speed don’t matter. Indeed, for a long time, we’ve relied on Freak Scores to find wide receiver…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

The Blitz

Connect
Support

rotovizmain@gmail.com

Sign-up today for our free Premium Email subscription!

Data provided by

© 2021 RotoViz. All rights Reserved.

Welcome Back to RotoViz...

– IF YOU HAVE ISSUES LOGGING IN PLEASE CONTACT ROTOVIZMAIN@GMAIL.COM

– PLEASE NOTE THAT ROTOVIZ USES WORDPRESS FOR ACCOUNT MANAGEMENT. IF RESETTING YOUR PASSWORD YOU MAY BE FOWARDED TO A WORDPRESS PAGE.