Texans Stacks Surge: Best Ball Mania IV Advance Rate Review – Week 9
Image Credit: Ken Murray/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: C.J. Stroud.

Over the last few weeks we’ve taken some detours in the Underdog Best Ball Mania IV (BBM4) advance rate review series. We’ve looked at advance rates by roster construction, rookies, and leverage points for the best ball playoffs. Today we’ll grab our wide lens and return to reviewing the entire landscape at the individual player level.

Week 5 was the last time we had a high level look at the 2023 season. We marveled at the performances of Raheem Mostert, DeVon Achane, and D.J. Moore. It goes without saying that things have changed — the landscape is generally much flatter. The stars of BBM4 continue to shine, but we’re seeing fewer major misses as the season wears on. Players like Joe Burrow, Travis Kelce, and Jonathan Taylor had very low advance rates in Week 5 but have now recovered. In fantasy football, circumstances aren’t usually as good or as bad as they may seem after the first few weeks.

Each visualization shows all players at a given position by their final Underdog ADP and current advance rate. The red dashed line denotes an average advance rate of 16.67%. Players with advance rates above that line are colored in green; players below the line in red. I will only include players drafted at least 100 times.

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Week 14 of the 2023 NFL season is in the books and that means most best ball tournaments, including Underdog’s Best Ball Mania IV (BBM4), are heading into the playoff rounds. It also means that many analysts and fantasy football personalities are sharing their BBM4 advance rates and favorite advancing teams on social media. I’ve written about advance rates in various contexts throughout this season,…...

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With only one week left in the Best Ball Mania IV regular season, we can start to analyze what the playoff field will look like. The playoff field is valuable to understand because it’s a weighted selection of the players, player combinations, and roster constructions that had the most success this season. However, when the playoffs start, we’ll see the dynamic flip. Zero running back…...

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As the 2023 Best Ball Mania IV (BBM4) regular season winds down I’m beginning to think about the lessons that we’ll learn from this season. It’s easy enough to look at the performance of various roster constructions and assume that 2024’s average draft position (ADP) will be influenced by those. We’ll likely see even more emphasis on “zero RB” and “hero RB” structures. Elite quarterbacks…...

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