Shawn Siegele examines Breece Hall in his All-the-Metrics series and claims the Iowa State star is a legitimate threat to Jonathan Taylor and Christian McCaffrey.
This year I wrote about all the sleepers first, but the draft is this evening and there’s an outside shot Hall is selected. So it’s time.
Speaking of sleepers, Ben Gretch and I discuss our favorite potential draft-weekend risers and what they need to jump a round in rookie drafts.
Breece Hall Isn’t Jonathan Taylor, But He Could Be Better
If you want to go in-depth on my nine favorite sleepers, they’re at the back of the article. And for new readers, an explanation of All-the-Metrics is there too.
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Shawn Siegele

Never Chase Your Zero RB Winners, Right? Even for a Young, Supercharged Version of Aaron Jones?
What would you pay for a young, supercharged version of Aaron Jones, especially if he labored for one of the NFL’s best offenses? For years, I’ve forced myself to avoid Zero RB hits during their follow-up seasons. After all, taking the next step and becoming a 350-point sensation requires a mix of attributes that is incredibly difficult to deliver. Of course, it’s always tempting to…...

When Rules of Thumb Fail: Winning the Next War
Shawn Siegele argues that occasionally simple rules of thumb end up not being so simple. Understanding the trajectory for players as they move through the NFL can be very important. That’s one of the reasons I so frequently reference Blair’s groundbreaking WR age series. It’s also helpful to understand the role that draft slot plays in establishing a baseline for a player’s likely usage. While…...

Third Breakout’s the Charm: An Unsexy WR Set for a Stefon Diggs-Level Mid-Career Leap
Shawn Siegele examines a veteran star with perhaps the most bizarre ADP in all of fantasy. Stefon Diggs entered the NFL as probably the most hyped RotoViz sleeper in the site’s history, and he proceeded to play quite well during his first five seasons. He averaged over 200 points per season from 2016 to 2019 and constantly flirted with WR1 status. This was still a…...
Never Chase Your Zero RB Winners, Right? Even for a Young, Supercharged Version of Aaron Jones?
What would you pay for a young, supercharged version of Aaron Jones, especially if he labored for one of the NFL’s best offenses? For years, I’ve forced myself to avoid Zero RB hits during their follow-up seasons. After all, taking the next step and becoming a 350-point sensation requires a mix of attributes that is incredibly difficult to deliver. Of course, it’s always tempting to…...
When Rules of Thumb Fail: Winning the Next War
Shawn Siegele argues that occasionally simple rules of thumb end up not being so simple. Understanding the trajectory for players as they move through the NFL can be very important. That’s one of the reasons I so frequently reference Blair’s groundbreaking WR age series. It’s also helpful to understand the role that draft slot plays in establishing a baseline for a player’s likely usage. While…...
Third Breakout’s the Charm: An Unsexy WR Set for a Stefon Diggs-Level Mid-Career Leap
Shawn Siegele examines a veteran star with perhaps the most bizarre ADP in all of fantasy. Stefon Diggs entered the NFL as probably the most hyped RotoViz sleeper in the site’s history, and he proceeded to play quite well during his first five seasons. He averaged over 200 points per season from 2016 to 2019 and constantly flirted with WR1 status. This was still a…...