Injuries From 2025 Are Creating Buying Opportunities on Elite Talents in the Early Rounds of 2026 Drafts: Making the Most of Recency Bias, Part 3
Image Credit: Robin Alam/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Lamar Jackson.

Kevin Szafraniec highlights seven players going in the early rounds of best ball drafts who disappointed in 2025 but whose current ADPs may be an overcorrection.

Everything in fantasy football is cost-related. Theoretically, any player can turn into an ADP value if their price drops low enough.

As is the case every year, 2026’s best ball environment has no shortage of players whose ADPs have fallen since last year. There is almost always a valid reason for a player’s cost to decline, be it injury, production, team environment, or any combination of the three. Still, the stigma of a bad season can stick with a player even as they tumble down the draft board, acting as a scarlet letter in fantasy circles.

Even so, we have to take circumstances into account and weigh new information against our lingering biases and emotions. Therefore, we will be taking a look at players whose ADPs have fallen a little too far in the current best ball landscape, which now presents us with an opportunity for inflated returns. After covering the late rounds in Part 1 and the middle rounds in Part 2, we will finish things off by taking a look at Rounds 1 through 5 of the FFPC’s Best Ball Tournament ADP.

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Don’t Call It a Comeback

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Kevin Szafraniec

Lead Writer and Full-time Cat Dad. Sneakerhead, Record Collector, Beatmaker, Lord of the Rings Superfan, and Jeopardy Enthusiast in my free time. Follow me on X and Bluesky @thecatdadff

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Choose Your Own Adventure at TE: How to Use the Win Rate Explorer and Roster Construction Explorer Together to Build a Superflex Juggernaut, Part 5

In Part 5 of this series, Kevin Szafraniec combines the power of RotoViz’s Win Rate Explorer and Roster Construction Explorer to uncover ways to boost the success of Superflex best ball teams via the tight end position. If you’re a RotoViz subscriber and aren’t taking advantage of our powerful suite of best ball tools, you are truly missing out. In Part 1 of this series, I gave…...

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A Lesson in Restraint: How to Use the Win Rate Explorer and Roster Construction Explorer Together to Build a Superflex Juggernaut, Part 4

In Part 4 of this series, Kevin Szafraniec combines the power of RotoViz’s Win Rate Explorer and Roster Construction Explorer to uncover ways to boost the success of Superflex best ball teams via the wide receiver position. If you’re a RotoViz subscriber and aren’t taking advantage of our powerful suite of best ball tools, you are truly missing out. In Part 1 of this series, I gave…...

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Return of the Stack: How to Use the Win Rate Explorer and Roster Construction Explorer Together to Build a Superflex Juggernaut, Part 6

In Part 6 of this series, Kevin Szafraniec evaluates the team stack data in RotoViz’s Best Ball Win Rate Explorer to pinpoint the combinations that have historically provided the most profitable returns in Superflex best ball leagues. So far in this series, we have covered a lot of information: Part 1: Historical Win Rates By Draft Slot, League Winners, and Positional Heatmaps Part 2: Superflex…...

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Choose Your Own Adventure at TE: How to Use the Win Rate Explorer and Roster Construction Explorer Together to Build a Superflex Juggernaut, Part 5

In Part 5 of this series, Kevin Szafraniec combines the power of RotoViz’s Win Rate Explorer and Roster Construction Explorer to uncover ways to boost the success of Superflex best ball teams via the tight end position. If you’re a RotoViz subscriber and aren’t taking advantage of our powerful suite of best ball tools, you are truly missing out. In Part 1 of this series, I gave…...

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A Lesson in Restraint: How to Use the Win Rate Explorer and Roster Construction Explorer Together to Build a Superflex Juggernaut, Part 4

In Part 4 of this series, Kevin Szafraniec combines the power of RotoViz’s Win Rate Explorer and Roster Construction Explorer to uncover ways to boost the success of Superflex best ball teams via the wide receiver position. If you’re a RotoViz subscriber and aren’t taking advantage of our powerful suite of best ball tools, you are truly missing out. In Part 1 of this series, I gave…...

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