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In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Your Week 7 Buy Low Target: DeSean Jackson

This is just going to be a brief post because there’s not really that much to discuss, but I think now would be a good time to buy low on DeSean Jackson. First, from the Buy Low Machine: You can see that WAS has one of the easiest WR schedules to finish out the year. What’s more, they actually have the easiest schedule (as of…...

A Giant Graph That Explains Why You’re Winning (or Losing) Your Fantasy League

Yesterday 14TeamMocker took a look at the players that are winning and losing FFPC leagues this year. I thought it might be interesting to superimpose those results over a draft board so that we can see how your draft day decisions impacted your team. Here’s a heatmap I made which colors each player’s name based on the average points scored of teams rostering them in…...

Stash Zach Zenner if You Have Room

In case you haven’t heard, Joique Bell didn’t practice at all this week and is doubtful for Monday night’s game against Seattle. The smart money is probably on Ameer Abdullah to benefit from Bell’s likely absence, although it’s a tough matchup so Abdullah could be the beneficiary and still put up an underwhelming fantasy score. Abdullah is likely already owned in your league so there…...

7 Fliers I’m Looking at Before Week 3

Quincy Enunwa – Eric Decker is day to day with a knee sprain. It’s tough to know how long he’ll be out, but Chris Owusu also has a leg injury per reports on Twitter. We liked Enunwa coming out and are glad to see him working his way into the offense. If you use a flier on Enunwa and then Decker’s knee situation ends up…...

10,000 Unique Lineups for the DraftKings Milly Maker Because… RotoViz

One of the things we can do now that we have projections from multiple sources in our database is to use the standard deviation in that data, along with simulation, to generate unique lineups for the Milly Maker. The reason it might be beneficial to do that is because random number generation has the potential to raise the specter of an outcome you weren’t previously…...

My Final Preseason Player Shares

I wanted to post a final version of the player targets articles I’ve been sharing throughout August. In the time since my last article I’ve done one more draft and also gone through one round of FAAB to land at the rosters that I’ll take into Week 1. In total I have eight mid-stakes teams that I largely drafted with some version of a Zero…...

camnewton

3 Quarterbacks on My Target List in 2015

My QB strategy has been all over the board this year for a few reasons. First, while I think that you could look at the early QBs and find them to be values, I’m not that intrigued by them. Aaron Rodgers might struggle (at least for him) without Jordy Nelson. Peyton Manning is a year older, will be in a new and less predictable offense,…...

13 Running Backs on My Target List in 2015

Let me start with my general outlook for running backs in 2015: I’m scared shitless. The early backs – even the ones I like – scare the bejesus out of me. I have the same sense of dread that I get when I’m watching Game of Thrones and I know that only bad shit is going to happen. Having said that, we still have to draft…...

17 Wide Receivers on My Target List in 2015

One realization I’ve had over the past couple of years, largely prompted by Shawn Siegele’s Zero RB article, is that while most fantasy analysis focuses on issues of scarcity we may be overlooking the most important thing that’s right before our eyes: Scoring points is important. In PPR leagues a huge number of points come from receptions, which means that targets are really important. So…...

21 Players I’ve Been Drafting Lately

Last week I went through a list of some players I had been drafting and gave some reasoning for why I’d been taking them. I’ve done a couple of more drafts this week so I thought I would update the list. These are all tight end premium mid-stakes drafts. I’ve done six of them so far and will do one more before the season starts…....

DFS Contrarian

Update to the Cheatsheet App

A few people on the message boards asked what the best way is to leverage the Cheat Sheet app. I was trying to explain to them how I draft, which is roughly follow ADP with a slight emphasis toward players that we have ranked relatively higher at their position, when I realized that I could translate that process to a single number. So I used my…...

Suggested Auction Values and Draft Pick Trading Guide

This post is an update to something I did a few weeks ago. In that earlier post I equated auction values to ADP. That’s a much better way to look at current auction values considering the dearth of good resources we have on the auction format. The other thing that this list could be used for is as a guide to make preseason draft pick trades…....

Brian Quick Could See First Action This Week

From ESPN: The yellow beanie has been a uniform staple for Quick for the first few weeks of training camp. It’s not quite a red “hands-off” jersey like quarterbacks wear but, like a traffic light, it offers a “proceed-with-caution” warning for all who approach him. Now, it appears Quick is poised to shed the beanie and return to an actual game on Saturday against the…...

13 Zero RB Targets from High Stakes League Drafts

Last night I was crunching some numbers using the FFPC API when I decided to check out how Zero RB teams in those drafts were filling their RB spots. I defined a team as being Zero RB-ish if it had one or fewer RBs through five rounds. I could have been more strict about interpretation of the strategy but I figured that would give me a…...

29 Draft Targets from High Volume High Stakes Players

This article is an update to the piece I posted a few weeks ago about which players were ending up on a lot of teams of high volume high stakes owners. My assumptions for the article are simple – a fantasy owner that has multiple entries on a high stakes platform like FFPC (and in this case I’m using owners with at least four teams as the…...

8 Players I’ve Been Targeting in Recent Drafts

As an analyst one of the things that happens every year is that you talk yourself into a player – maybe you say that Martavis Bryant should be on every team – and then you don’t ever end up drafting that player. It’s not willful. You’re not writing pieces pumping up players and then avoiding them because screw the readers. It’s more accidental and also because…...

Terrence West Started Preseason Week 2 and Can Be Drafted in the 16th Round

From Sports World Report: Meanwhile, the run game looked as unimpressive as the quarterback game. The Browns continue to deal with uncertainty in Isaiah Crowell and Terrance West who have yet to capitalize off the momentum of last year. Both second-year pros are struggling to make an impact which is leading the Browns to consider free agent options. According to West, he would welcome Ray…...

The Carolina Offense, and Can Devin Funchess be a League Winner in 2015?

Last year a number of the writers on the site were proponents of Kelvin Benjamin even though he didn’t pass certain metric thresholds that we typically like. But in trying to sort the signal out from the noise I think several of us focused on the opportunity in Carolina and Benjamin’s touchdown upside as factors that could make him very valuable. But each season brings…...

Breshad Perriman Knee Update

To reiterate, #Ravens sent first round pick Breshad Perriman for an MRI yesterday on his nagging knee injury. — Jason Cole (@JasonCole62) August 18, 2015 Breshad Perriman hasn’t practiced since the first day of camp, so this isn’t great news. It seems like maybe the Ravens think that Perriman should have made more progress than he has. When Perriman started camp as the starter opposite…...

On the Titans Running Back Situation

As a site we were very high on Bishop Sankey last year, so while I would like him to succeed because my personal self-esteem is tied to that outcome, as an analyst you kind of have to be ready to move on when it’s time. I don’t know for sure that it’s time to move on from Sankey although I’m definitely paying attention. Here’s what…...

Your Week 7 Buy Low Target: DeSean Jackson

This is just going to be a brief post because there’s not really that much to discuss, but I think now would be a good time to buy low on DeSean Jackson. First, from the Buy Low Machine: You can see that WAS has one of the easiest WR schedules to finish out the year. What’s more, they actually have the easiest schedule (as of…...

A Giant Graph That Explains Why You’re Winning (or Losing) Your Fantasy League

Yesterday 14TeamMocker took a look at the players that are winning and losing FFPC leagues this year. I thought it might be interesting to superimpose those results over a draft board so that we can see how your draft day decisions impacted your team. Here’s a heatmap I made which colors each player’s name based on the average points scored of teams rostering them in…...

Stash Zach Zenner if You Have Room

In case you haven’t heard, Joique Bell didn’t practice at all this week and is doubtful for Monday night’s game against Seattle. The smart money is probably on Ameer Abdullah to benefit from Bell’s likely absence, although it’s a tough matchup so Abdullah could be the beneficiary and still put up an underwhelming fantasy score. Abdullah is likely already owned in your league so there…...

7 Fliers I’m Looking at Before Week 3

Quincy Enunwa – Eric Decker is day to day with a knee sprain. It’s tough to know how long he’ll be out, but Chris Owusu also has a leg injury per reports on Twitter. We liked Enunwa coming out and are glad to see him working his way into the offense. If you use a flier on Enunwa and then Decker’s knee situation ends up…...

10,000 Unique Lineups for the DraftKings Milly Maker Because… RotoViz

One of the things we can do now that we have projections from multiple sources in our database is to use the standard deviation in that data, along with simulation, to generate unique lineups for the Milly Maker. The reason it might be beneficial to do that is because random number generation has the potential to raise the specter of an outcome you weren’t previously…...

My Final Preseason Player Shares

I wanted to post a final version of the player targets articles I’ve been sharing throughout August. In the time since my last article I’ve done one more draft and also gone through one round of FAAB to land at the rosters that I’ll take into Week 1. In total I have eight mid-stakes teams that I largely drafted with some version of a Zero…...

camnewton

3 Quarterbacks on My Target List in 2015

My QB strategy has been all over the board this year for a few reasons. First, while I think that you could look at the early QBs and find them to be values, I’m not that intrigued by them. Aaron Rodgers might struggle (at least for him) without Jordy Nelson. Peyton Manning is a year older, will be in a new and less predictable offense,…...

13 Running Backs on My Target List in 2015

Let me start with my general outlook for running backs in 2015: I’m scared shitless. The early backs – even the ones I like – scare the bejesus out of me. I have the same sense of dread that I get when I’m watching Game of Thrones and I know that only bad shit is going to happen. Having said that, we still have to draft…...

17 Wide Receivers on My Target List in 2015

One realization I’ve had over the past couple of years, largely prompted by Shawn Siegele’s Zero RB article, is that while most fantasy analysis focuses on issues of scarcity we may be overlooking the most important thing that’s right before our eyes: Scoring points is important. In PPR leagues a huge number of points come from receptions, which means that targets are really important. So…...

21 Players I’ve Been Drafting Lately

Last week I went through a list of some players I had been drafting and gave some reasoning for why I’d been taking them. I’ve done a couple of more drafts this week so I thought I would update the list. These are all tight end premium mid-stakes drafts. I’ve done six of them so far and will do one more before the season starts…....

DFS Contrarian

Update to the Cheatsheet App

A few people on the message boards asked what the best way is to leverage the Cheat Sheet app. I was trying to explain to them how I draft, which is roughly follow ADP with a slight emphasis toward players that we have ranked relatively higher at their position, when I realized that I could translate that process to a single number. So I used my…...

Suggested Auction Values and Draft Pick Trading Guide

This post is an update to something I did a few weeks ago. In that earlier post I equated auction values to ADP. That’s a much better way to look at current auction values considering the dearth of good resources we have on the auction format. The other thing that this list could be used for is as a guide to make preseason draft pick trades…....

Brian Quick Could See First Action This Week

From ESPN: The yellow beanie has been a uniform staple for Quick for the first few weeks of training camp. It’s not quite a red “hands-off” jersey like quarterbacks wear but, like a traffic light, it offers a “proceed-with-caution” warning for all who approach him. Now, it appears Quick is poised to shed the beanie and return to an actual game on Saturday against the…...

13 Zero RB Targets from High Stakes League Drafts

Last night I was crunching some numbers using the FFPC API when I decided to check out how Zero RB teams in those drafts were filling their RB spots. I defined a team as being Zero RB-ish if it had one or fewer RBs through five rounds. I could have been more strict about interpretation of the strategy but I figured that would give me a…...

29 Draft Targets from High Volume High Stakes Players

This article is an update to the piece I posted a few weeks ago about which players were ending up on a lot of teams of high volume high stakes owners. My assumptions for the article are simple – a fantasy owner that has multiple entries on a high stakes platform like FFPC (and in this case I’m using owners with at least four teams as the…...

8 Players I’ve Been Targeting in Recent Drafts

As an analyst one of the things that happens every year is that you talk yourself into a player – maybe you say that Martavis Bryant should be on every team – and then you don’t ever end up drafting that player. It’s not willful. You’re not writing pieces pumping up players and then avoiding them because screw the readers. It’s more accidental and also because…...

Terrence West Started Preseason Week 2 and Can Be Drafted in the 16th Round

From Sports World Report: Meanwhile, the run game looked as unimpressive as the quarterback game. The Browns continue to deal with uncertainty in Isaiah Crowell and Terrance West who have yet to capitalize off the momentum of last year. Both second-year pros are struggling to make an impact which is leading the Browns to consider free agent options. According to West, he would welcome Ray…...

The Carolina Offense, and Can Devin Funchess be a League Winner in 2015?

Last year a number of the writers on the site were proponents of Kelvin Benjamin even though he didn’t pass certain metric thresholds that we typically like. But in trying to sort the signal out from the noise I think several of us focused on the opportunity in Carolina and Benjamin’s touchdown upside as factors that could make him very valuable. But each season brings…...

Breshad Perriman Knee Update

To reiterate, #Ravens sent first round pick Breshad Perriman for an MRI yesterday on his nagging knee injury. — Jason Cole (@JasonCole62) August 18, 2015 Breshad Perriman hasn’t practiced since the first day of camp, so this isn’t great news. It seems like maybe the Ravens think that Perriman should have made more progress than he has. When Perriman started camp as the starter opposite…...

On the Titans Running Back Situation

As a site we were very high on Bishop Sankey last year, so while I would like him to succeed because my personal self-esteem is tied to that outcome, as an analyst you kind of have to be ready to move on when it’s time. I don’t know for sure that it’s time to move on from Sankey although I’m definitely paying attention. Here’s what…...

Your Week 7 Buy Low Target: DeSean Jackson

This is just going to be a brief post because there’s not really that much to discuss, but I think now would be a good time to buy low on DeSean Jackson. First, from the Buy Low Machine: You can see that WAS has one of the easiest WR schedules to finish out the year. What’s more, they actually have the easiest schedule (as of…...

A Giant Graph That Explains Why You’re Winning (or Losing) Your Fantasy League

Yesterday 14TeamMocker took a look at the players that are winning and losing FFPC leagues this year. I thought it might be interesting to superimpose those results over a draft board so that we can see how your draft day decisions impacted your team. Here’s a heatmap I made which colors each player’s name based on the average points scored of teams rostering them in…...

Stash Zach Zenner if You Have Room

In case you haven’t heard, Joique Bell didn’t practice at all this week and is doubtful for Monday night’s game against Seattle. The smart money is probably on Ameer Abdullah to benefit from Bell’s likely absence, although it’s a tough matchup so Abdullah could be the beneficiary and still put up an underwhelming fantasy score. Abdullah is likely already owned in your league so there…...

7 Fliers I’m Looking at Before Week 3

Quincy Enunwa – Eric Decker is day to day with a knee sprain. It’s tough to know how long he’ll be out, but Chris Owusu also has a leg injury per reports on Twitter. We liked Enunwa coming out and are glad to see him working his way into the offense. If you use a flier on Enunwa and then Decker’s knee situation ends up…...

10,000 Unique Lineups for the DraftKings Milly Maker Because… RotoViz

One of the things we can do now that we have projections from multiple sources in our database is to use the standard deviation in that data, along with simulation, to generate unique lineups for the Milly Maker. The reason it might be beneficial to do that is because random number generation has the potential to raise the specter of an outcome you weren’t previously…...

My Final Preseason Player Shares

I wanted to post a final version of the player targets articles I’ve been sharing throughout August. In the time since my last article I’ve done one more draft and also gone through one round of FAAB to land at the rosters that I’ll take into Week 1. In total I have eight mid-stakes teams that I largely drafted with some version of a Zero…...

camnewton

3 Quarterbacks on My Target List in 2015

My QB strategy has been all over the board this year for a few reasons. First, while I think that you could look at the early QBs and find them to be values, I’m not that intrigued by them. Aaron Rodgers might struggle (at least for him) without Jordy Nelson. Peyton Manning is a year older, will be in a new and less predictable offense,…...

13 Running Backs on My Target List in 2015

Let me start with my general outlook for running backs in 2015: I’m scared shitless. The early backs – even the ones I like – scare the bejesus out of me. I have the same sense of dread that I get when I’m watching Game of Thrones and I know that only bad shit is going to happen. Having said that, we still have to draft…...

17 Wide Receivers on My Target List in 2015

One realization I’ve had over the past couple of years, largely prompted by Shawn Siegele’s Zero RB article, is that while most fantasy analysis focuses on issues of scarcity we may be overlooking the most important thing that’s right before our eyes: Scoring points is important. In PPR leagues a huge number of points come from receptions, which means that targets are really important. So…...

21 Players I’ve Been Drafting Lately

Last week I went through a list of some players I had been drafting and gave some reasoning for why I’d been taking them. I’ve done a couple of more drafts this week so I thought I would update the list. These are all tight end premium mid-stakes drafts. I’ve done six of them so far and will do one more before the season starts…....

DFS Contrarian

Update to the Cheatsheet App

A few people on the message boards asked what the best way is to leverage the Cheat Sheet app. I was trying to explain to them how I draft, which is roughly follow ADP with a slight emphasis toward players that we have ranked relatively higher at their position, when I realized that I could translate that process to a single number. So I used my…...

Suggested Auction Values and Draft Pick Trading Guide

This post is an update to something I did a few weeks ago. In that earlier post I equated auction values to ADP. That’s a much better way to look at current auction values considering the dearth of good resources we have on the auction format. The other thing that this list could be used for is as a guide to make preseason draft pick trades…....

Brian Quick Could See First Action This Week

From ESPN: The yellow beanie has been a uniform staple for Quick for the first few weeks of training camp. It’s not quite a red “hands-off” jersey like quarterbacks wear but, like a traffic light, it offers a “proceed-with-caution” warning for all who approach him. Now, it appears Quick is poised to shed the beanie and return to an actual game on Saturday against the…...

13 Zero RB Targets from High Stakes League Drafts

Last night I was crunching some numbers using the FFPC API when I decided to check out how Zero RB teams in those drafts were filling their RB spots. I defined a team as being Zero RB-ish if it had one or fewer RBs through five rounds. I could have been more strict about interpretation of the strategy but I figured that would give me a…...

29 Draft Targets from High Volume High Stakes Players

This article is an update to the piece I posted a few weeks ago about which players were ending up on a lot of teams of high volume high stakes owners. My assumptions for the article are simple – a fantasy owner that has multiple entries on a high stakes platform like FFPC (and in this case I’m using owners with at least four teams as the…...

8 Players I’ve Been Targeting in Recent Drafts

As an analyst one of the things that happens every year is that you talk yourself into a player – maybe you say that Martavis Bryant should be on every team – and then you don’t ever end up drafting that player. It’s not willful. You’re not writing pieces pumping up players and then avoiding them because screw the readers. It’s more accidental and also because…...

Terrence West Started Preseason Week 2 and Can Be Drafted in the 16th Round

From Sports World Report: Meanwhile, the run game looked as unimpressive as the quarterback game. The Browns continue to deal with uncertainty in Isaiah Crowell and Terrance West who have yet to capitalize off the momentum of last year. Both second-year pros are struggling to make an impact which is leading the Browns to consider free agent options. According to West, he would welcome Ray…...

The Carolina Offense, and Can Devin Funchess be a League Winner in 2015?

Last year a number of the writers on the site were proponents of Kelvin Benjamin even though he didn’t pass certain metric thresholds that we typically like. But in trying to sort the signal out from the noise I think several of us focused on the opportunity in Carolina and Benjamin’s touchdown upside as factors that could make him very valuable. But each season brings…...

Breshad Perriman Knee Update

To reiterate, #Ravens sent first round pick Breshad Perriman for an MRI yesterday on his nagging knee injury. — Jason Cole (@JasonCole62) August 18, 2015 Breshad Perriman hasn’t practiced since the first day of camp, so this isn’t great news. It seems like maybe the Ravens think that Perriman should have made more progress than he has. When Perriman started camp as the starter opposite…...

On the Titans Running Back Situation

As a site we were very high on Bishop Sankey last year, so while I would like him to succeed because my personal self-esteem is tied to that outcome, as an analyst you kind of have to be ready to move on when it’s time. I don’t know for sure that it’s time to move on from Sankey although I’m definitely paying attention. Here’s what…...

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