Blair Andrews

Managing Editor, Author of The Wrong Read, Occasional Fantasy Football League Winner. All opinions are someone else's.

Author Archive

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

The Upcoming Rookie Class Is Breaking the Models, Part 3: The 2026 Wide Receiver Freak Score Leaderboard

We’ve already explored the top running back and tight end athletes in the 2026 rookie class. In both groups we found players setting new records and forcing us to rethink both our models and our priors. But Freak Scores were designed first and foremost to find wide receiver profiles with an advantage in the red zone and around the goal line. The theory has always…...

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The Upcoming Rookie Class Is Breaking the Models, Part 2: The 2026 Tight End Freak Score Leaderboard

Last time, we looked at the freak athletes of the 2026 class at the running back position, including one prospect who literally forces us to rescale the metric (look for some updates on that front coming soon). No RB who ran at the combine has a Freak Score below 50 — no RB who participated was slower than 4.56 seconds in the 40-yard dash. And the…...

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The Upcoming Rookie Class Is Breaking the Models: The 2026 Running Back Freak Score Leaderboard

At RotoViz, we like to look at NFL prospects’ collegiate production as a foundational data point in making predictions. The best predictor of whether a player will succeed in the NFL is whether they succeeded in college. But it would be a mistake to think that size and speed don’t matter. Indeed, for a long time, we’ve relied on Freak Scores to find wide receiver…...

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Projections, Strategies, and Lineups for the FFPC Playoff Challenge: The Wrong Read, Playoff Edition

The week between the regular season and the playoffs is one of my favorite weeks of the year. It’s the week of the FFPC Playoff Challenge. The FFPC Playoff Challenge is a contest that is deceptive in its simplicity. There is basically only one rule: you can roster only one player from each NFL playoff team in filling out your 12-person lineup. There’s no salary…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 17

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 16

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 15

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 14

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 13 – Part 2

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 13 – Thanksgiving Edition

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 12

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 11

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 10

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 9

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 8

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 7

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 6

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 5

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 4

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 3

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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The Upcoming Rookie Class Is Breaking the Models, Part 3: The 2026 Wide Receiver Freak Score Leaderboard

We’ve already explored the top running back and tight end athletes in the 2026 rookie class. In both groups we found players setting new records and forcing us to rethink both our models and our priors. But Freak Scores were designed first and foremost to find wide receiver profiles with an advantage in the red zone and around the goal line. The theory has always…...

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The Upcoming Rookie Class Is Breaking the Models, Part 2: The 2026 Tight End Freak Score Leaderboard

Last time, we looked at the freak athletes of the 2026 class at the running back position, including one prospect who literally forces us to rescale the metric (look for some updates on that front coming soon). No RB who ran at the combine has a Freak Score below 50 — no RB who participated was slower than 4.56 seconds in the 40-yard dash. And the…...

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The Upcoming Rookie Class Is Breaking the Models: The 2026 Running Back Freak Score Leaderboard

At RotoViz, we like to look at NFL prospects’ collegiate production as a foundational data point in making predictions. The best predictor of whether a player will succeed in the NFL is whether they succeeded in college. But it would be a mistake to think that size and speed don’t matter. Indeed, for a long time, we’ve relied on Freak Scores to find wide receiver…...

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Projections, Strategies, and Lineups for the FFPC Playoff Challenge: The Wrong Read, Playoff Edition

The week between the regular season and the playoffs is one of my favorite weeks of the year. It’s the week of the FFPC Playoff Challenge. The FFPC Playoff Challenge is a contest that is deceptive in its simplicity. There is basically only one rule: you can roster only one player from each NFL playoff team in filling out your 12-person lineup. There’s no salary…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 17

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 16

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 15

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 14

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 13 – Part 2

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 13 – Thanksgiving Edition

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 12

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 11

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 10

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 9

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 8

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 7

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 6

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 5

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 4

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 3

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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The Upcoming Rookie Class Is Breaking the Models, Part 3: The 2026 Wide Receiver Freak Score Leaderboard

We’ve already explored the top running back and tight end athletes in the 2026 rookie class. In both groups we found players setting new records and forcing us to rethink both our models and our priors. But Freak Scores were designed first and foremost to find wide receiver profiles with an advantage in the red zone and around the goal line. The theory has always…...

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The Upcoming Rookie Class Is Breaking the Models, Part 2: The 2026 Tight End Freak Score Leaderboard

Last time, we looked at the freak athletes of the 2026 class at the running back position, including one prospect who literally forces us to rescale the metric (look for some updates on that front coming soon). No RB who ran at the combine has a Freak Score below 50 — no RB who participated was slower than 4.56 seconds in the 40-yard dash. And the…...

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The Upcoming Rookie Class Is Breaking the Models: The 2026 Running Back Freak Score Leaderboard

At RotoViz, we like to look at NFL prospects’ collegiate production as a foundational data point in making predictions. The best predictor of whether a player will succeed in the NFL is whether they succeeded in college. But it would be a mistake to think that size and speed don’t matter. Indeed, for a long time, we’ve relied on Freak Scores to find wide receiver…...

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Projections, Strategies, and Lineups for the FFPC Playoff Challenge: The Wrong Read, Playoff Edition

The week between the regular season and the playoffs is one of my favorite weeks of the year. It’s the week of the FFPC Playoff Challenge. The FFPC Playoff Challenge is a contest that is deceptive in its simplicity. There is basically only one rule: you can roster only one player from each NFL playoff team in filling out your 12-person lineup. There’s no salary…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 17

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 16

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 15

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 14

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 13 – Part 2

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 13 – Thanksgiving Edition

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 12

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 11

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 10

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 9

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 8

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 7

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 6

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 5

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 4

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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Game-Level Similarity Projections and Weekly Rankings: The Wrong Read, Week 3

One of my favorite ways to prep for the upcoming week of football games is to use the GLSP tool. Those projections use sophisticated modeling techniques to find a range of outcomes, and as such they do a better job of capturing the inherent uncertainty of weekly projections than many other systems. But they aren’t perfect: they are blind to a few factors, such as…...

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