Blair Andrews

Managing Editor, Author of The Wrong Read, Occasional Fantasy Football League Winner. All opinions are someone else's.

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In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

ronald jones

Running Back Breakouts: Should You Draft Rookies in Redraft? – The Wrong Read, No. 37

Welcome to the 37th installment of the “The Wrong Read.” This article series started as one that reflected on recent podcast episodes and extended the ideas discussed there to logical conclusions with broader applications. Since then it’s become a space for me to write about whatever I want, with irregular references to various podcast episodes…....

Wide Receiver Breakouts: How Long Should You Hold On? – The Wrong Read, No. 36

Welcome to the 36th installment of the “The Wrong Read.” This article series started as one that reflected on recent podcast episodes and extended the ideas discussed there to logical conclusions with broader applications. Since then it’s become a space for me to write about whatever I want, with irregular references to various podcast episodes. Nevertheless, I’ll link to the episode that started my train…...

Running Back Age Curves, Breakout Rates, and Failure Rates – The Wrong Read, No. 35

Welcome to the 35th installment of the “The Wrong Read.” This article series started as one that reflected on recent podcast episodes and extended the ideas discussed there to logical conclusions with broader applications. Since then it’s become a space for me to write about whatever I want, with irregular references to various podcast episodes…....

Opportunity Scores Based on ADP Expected Points

What are the best landing spots for rookie WRs? Which receiving corps are drafters undervaluing? Which QBs are drafters undervaluing? The best way to get at these questions is to look at ADP. In past years, Kevin Cole has developed opportunity scores for each team based on the ADPs of their QB and various receivers. I’m going to continue his work, only using a slightly…...

Age Curves and NFL Breakouts: How to Win in Dynasty – The Wrong Read, No. 34

Welcome to the 34th installment of “The Wrong Read.” This article series started as one that reflected on recent podcast episodes and extended the ideas discussed there to logical conclusions with broader applications. Since then it’s become a space for me to write about whatever I want, with irregular references to various podcast episodes. Nevertheless, I’ll link to the episode that started my train of…...

Hidden Receiving Ability: 2018 RBs and the Backfield Dominator Rating

In the past we’ve measured RB contributions in the receiving game in one of two ways. Either we measure their raw counting stats — i.e., the total number of receptions and receiving yards (which does have predictive value) — or we measure their receiving contribution as a percentage of team receiving production, via the College Dominator Rating. Both have drawbacks that make them less-than-perfect measurements…...

How Much Does Draft Age Matter for Wide Receivers? Redux – The Wrong Read, No. 32

Welcome to the 32nd installment of the “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent podcast episodes, pushing the ideas discussed on the podcasts to their logical conclusions and offering some further thoughts on the topics broached by the guests and hosts. Brandin Cooks was recently traded to the Rams. My initial reaction is that this figures to hurt his fantasy outlook, not…...

How Much Does Draft Age Matter for Quarterbacks? – The Wrong Read, No. 31

Welcome to the 31st installment of the “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent podcast episodes, pushing the ideas discussed on the podcasts to their logical conclusions and offering some further thoughts on the topics broached by the guests and hosts. The article below is about quarterbacks. With the NFL Draft quickly approaching, perhaps you will be interesting in reading about one…...

How Much Does Draft Age Matter for Running Backs? – The Wrong Read, No. 30

Welcome to the 30th installment of the “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent podcast episodes, pushing the ideas discussed on the podcasts to their logical conclusions and offering some further thoughts on the topics broached by the guests and hosts. Given all the players who’ve changed teams lately, it might be worthwhile to revisit how those players should be expected to…...

How Much Does Draft Age Matter for Tight Ends? – The Wrong Read, No. 29

Welcome to the 29th installment of the “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent podcast episodes, pushing the ideas discussed on the podcasts to their logical conclusions and offering some further thoughts on the topics broached by the guests and hosts. Now that rookies have been added to DRAFT Best Ball Leagues and MFL10s have started up, you might have some questions…...

The Essentials of Best Ball Strategy – The Wrong Read, No. 28

Welcome to the 28th installment of the “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent podcast episodes, pushing the ideas discussed on the podcasts to their logical conclusions and offering some further thoughts on the topics broached by the guests and hosts. After all the trades the Browns made, I’m a lot less confident in what I previously wrote about Duke Johnson. Jarvis…...

A Robot Could Do Your Job: The Future of NFL Playcalling – The Wrong Read, No. 27

Welcome to the 27th installment of the “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent podcast episodes, pushing the ideas discussed on the podcasts to their logical conclusions and offering some further thoughts on the topics broached by the guests and hosts. Darryl Slater recently came on RotoViz Radio to say the Jets could take Baker Mayfield sixth overall. Here are my thoughts on…...

Is This the Best RB Class Ever? 2018 Workhorse Scores

The 2018 running back class is being touted as one of the best and deepest in recent memory. It remains to be seen whether that is the case, but one way to get at the question is to examine their Workhorse Scores…....

Avoid Players Who Change Teams: My Biggest Misses of 2017 – The Wrong Read No. 26

Welcome to the 26th installment of the “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent podcast episodes, pushing the ideas discussed on the podcasts to their logical conclusions and offering some further thoughts on the topics broached by the guests and hosts. It’s being reported that the Browns are not expected to re-sign Isaiah Crowell. Barring an early RB draft pick, Duke Johnson…...

Is 2018 the Perfect Year for Zero RB? Early Best Ball ADP – The Wrong Read, No. 25

Welcome to the 25th installment of the “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent podcast episodes, pushing the ideas discussed on the podcasts to their logical conclusions and offering some further thoughts on the topics broached by the guests and hosts. If you’re starting to get into best ball leagues now, you’re probably starting to think hard about your first pick. Alvin…...

Should Baker Mayfield Be the First Overall Pick? The Significance of College Passing Stats – The Wrong Read, No. 24

Welcome to the 24th installment of the “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent podcast episodes, pushing the ideas discussed on the podcasts to their logical conclusions and offering some further thoughts on the topics broached by the guests and hosts. Now that the Super Bowl is well behind us, it’s prospect season. You should pay special attention to rookie running backs…....

Who’s the Best Coach in the NFL? Fourth-Down Strategy – The Wrong Read, No. 23

Welcome to the 23rd installment of the “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent podcast episodes, pushing the ideas discussed on the podcasts to their logical conclusions and offering some further thoughts on the topics broached by the guests and hosts. The Eagles famously incorporated analytics into their decision-making en route to winning Super Bowl LII. This further fuels my optimism that…...

Dynasty Startup Strategy – Balancing Safety and Upside: The Wrong Read, No. 22

Welcome to the 22nd installment of the “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent podcast episodes, pushing the ideas discussed on the podcasts to their logical conclusions and offering some further thoughts on the topics broached by the guests and hosts. With all the recent coaching moves, it’s worth asking about the future of the analytics movement in the NFL. Here’s my…...

The Wrong Read – Episode 21: Is Duke Johnson the Next Le’Veon Bell?

Welcome to the 21st installment of the “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent podcast episodes, pushing the ideas discussed on the podcasts to their logical conclusions and offering some further thoughts on the topics broached by the guests and hosts. A couple recent guests on the RotoViz Mailbag have defended Amari Cooper, echoing my mid-season analysis that it’s far too early to…...

The Wrong Read – Episode 20: Is it Finally Time to Give Up on Sammy Watkins?

Welcome to the 20th installment of the “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent podcast episodes, pushing the ideas discussed on the podcasts to their logical conclusions and offering some further thoughts on the topics broached by the guests and hosts. Prospect season is quickly approaching. Here’s an article about why you should be paying special attention to rookie running backs if…...

ronald jones

Running Back Breakouts: Should You Draft Rookies in Redraft? – The Wrong Read, No. 37

Welcome to the 37th installment of the “The Wrong Read.” This article series started as one that reflected on recent podcast episodes and extended the ideas discussed there to logical conclusions with broader applications. Since then it’s become a space for me to write about whatever I want, with irregular references to various podcast episodes…....

Wide Receiver Breakouts: How Long Should You Hold On? – The Wrong Read, No. 36

Welcome to the 36th installment of the “The Wrong Read.” This article series started as one that reflected on recent podcast episodes and extended the ideas discussed there to logical conclusions with broader applications. Since then it’s become a space for me to write about whatever I want, with irregular references to various podcast episodes. Nevertheless, I’ll link to the episode that started my train…...

Running Back Age Curves, Breakout Rates, and Failure Rates – The Wrong Read, No. 35

Welcome to the 35th installment of the “The Wrong Read.” This article series started as one that reflected on recent podcast episodes and extended the ideas discussed there to logical conclusions with broader applications. Since then it’s become a space for me to write about whatever I want, with irregular references to various podcast episodes…....

Opportunity Scores Based on ADP Expected Points

What are the best landing spots for rookie WRs? Which receiving corps are drafters undervaluing? Which QBs are drafters undervaluing? The best way to get at these questions is to look at ADP. In past years, Kevin Cole has developed opportunity scores for each team based on the ADPs of their QB and various receivers. I’m going to continue his work, only using a slightly…...

Age Curves and NFL Breakouts: How to Win in Dynasty – The Wrong Read, No. 34

Welcome to the 34th installment of “The Wrong Read.” This article series started as one that reflected on recent podcast episodes and extended the ideas discussed there to logical conclusions with broader applications. Since then it’s become a space for me to write about whatever I want, with irregular references to various podcast episodes. Nevertheless, I’ll link to the episode that started my train of…...

Hidden Receiving Ability: 2018 RBs and the Backfield Dominator Rating

In the past we’ve measured RB contributions in the receiving game in one of two ways. Either we measure their raw counting stats — i.e., the total number of receptions and receiving yards (which does have predictive value) — or we measure their receiving contribution as a percentage of team receiving production, via the College Dominator Rating. Both have drawbacks that make them less-than-perfect measurements…...

How Much Does Draft Age Matter for Wide Receivers? Redux – The Wrong Read, No. 32

Welcome to the 32nd installment of the “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent podcast episodes, pushing the ideas discussed on the podcasts to their logical conclusions and offering some further thoughts on the topics broached by the guests and hosts. Brandin Cooks was recently traded to the Rams. My initial reaction is that this figures to hurt his fantasy outlook, not…...

How Much Does Draft Age Matter for Quarterbacks? – The Wrong Read, No. 31

Welcome to the 31st installment of the “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent podcast episodes, pushing the ideas discussed on the podcasts to their logical conclusions and offering some further thoughts on the topics broached by the guests and hosts. The article below is about quarterbacks. With the NFL Draft quickly approaching, perhaps you will be interesting in reading about one…...

How Much Does Draft Age Matter for Running Backs? – The Wrong Read, No. 30

Welcome to the 30th installment of the “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent podcast episodes, pushing the ideas discussed on the podcasts to their logical conclusions and offering some further thoughts on the topics broached by the guests and hosts. Given all the players who’ve changed teams lately, it might be worthwhile to revisit how those players should be expected to…...

How Much Does Draft Age Matter for Tight Ends? – The Wrong Read, No. 29

Welcome to the 29th installment of the “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent podcast episodes, pushing the ideas discussed on the podcasts to their logical conclusions and offering some further thoughts on the topics broached by the guests and hosts. Now that rookies have been added to DRAFT Best Ball Leagues and MFL10s have started up, you might have some questions…...

The Essentials of Best Ball Strategy – The Wrong Read, No. 28

Welcome to the 28th installment of the “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent podcast episodes, pushing the ideas discussed on the podcasts to their logical conclusions and offering some further thoughts on the topics broached by the guests and hosts. After all the trades the Browns made, I’m a lot less confident in what I previously wrote about Duke Johnson. Jarvis…...

A Robot Could Do Your Job: The Future of NFL Playcalling – The Wrong Read, No. 27

Welcome to the 27th installment of the “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent podcast episodes, pushing the ideas discussed on the podcasts to their logical conclusions and offering some further thoughts on the topics broached by the guests and hosts. Darryl Slater recently came on RotoViz Radio to say the Jets could take Baker Mayfield sixth overall. Here are my thoughts on…...

Is This the Best RB Class Ever? 2018 Workhorse Scores

The 2018 running back class is being touted as one of the best and deepest in recent memory. It remains to be seen whether that is the case, but one way to get at the question is to examine their Workhorse Scores…....

Avoid Players Who Change Teams: My Biggest Misses of 2017 – The Wrong Read No. 26

Welcome to the 26th installment of the “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent podcast episodes, pushing the ideas discussed on the podcasts to their logical conclusions and offering some further thoughts on the topics broached by the guests and hosts. It’s being reported that the Browns are not expected to re-sign Isaiah Crowell. Barring an early RB draft pick, Duke Johnson…...

Is 2018 the Perfect Year for Zero RB? Early Best Ball ADP – The Wrong Read, No. 25

Welcome to the 25th installment of the “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent podcast episodes, pushing the ideas discussed on the podcasts to their logical conclusions and offering some further thoughts on the topics broached by the guests and hosts. If you’re starting to get into best ball leagues now, you’re probably starting to think hard about your first pick. Alvin…...

Should Baker Mayfield Be the First Overall Pick? The Significance of College Passing Stats – The Wrong Read, No. 24

Welcome to the 24th installment of the “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent podcast episodes, pushing the ideas discussed on the podcasts to their logical conclusions and offering some further thoughts on the topics broached by the guests and hosts. Now that the Super Bowl is well behind us, it’s prospect season. You should pay special attention to rookie running backs…....

Who’s the Best Coach in the NFL? Fourth-Down Strategy – The Wrong Read, No. 23

Welcome to the 23rd installment of the “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent podcast episodes, pushing the ideas discussed on the podcasts to their logical conclusions and offering some further thoughts on the topics broached by the guests and hosts. The Eagles famously incorporated analytics into their decision-making en route to winning Super Bowl LII. This further fuels my optimism that…...

Dynasty Startup Strategy – Balancing Safety and Upside: The Wrong Read, No. 22

Welcome to the 22nd installment of the “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent podcast episodes, pushing the ideas discussed on the podcasts to their logical conclusions and offering some further thoughts on the topics broached by the guests and hosts. With all the recent coaching moves, it’s worth asking about the future of the analytics movement in the NFL. Here’s my…...

The Wrong Read – Episode 21: Is Duke Johnson the Next Le’Veon Bell?

Welcome to the 21st installment of the “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent podcast episodes, pushing the ideas discussed on the podcasts to their logical conclusions and offering some further thoughts on the topics broached by the guests and hosts. A couple recent guests on the RotoViz Mailbag have defended Amari Cooper, echoing my mid-season analysis that it’s far too early to…...

The Wrong Read – Episode 20: Is it Finally Time to Give Up on Sammy Watkins?

Welcome to the 20th installment of the “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent podcast episodes, pushing the ideas discussed on the podcasts to their logical conclusions and offering some further thoughts on the topics broached by the guests and hosts. Prospect season is quickly approaching. Here’s an article about why you should be paying special attention to rookie running backs if…...

ronald jones

Running Back Breakouts: Should You Draft Rookies in Redraft? – The Wrong Read, No. 37

Welcome to the 37th installment of the “The Wrong Read.” This article series started as one that reflected on recent podcast episodes and extended the ideas discussed there to logical conclusions with broader applications. Since then it’s become a space for me to write about whatever I want, with irregular references to various podcast episodes…....

Wide Receiver Breakouts: How Long Should You Hold On? – The Wrong Read, No. 36

Welcome to the 36th installment of the “The Wrong Read.” This article series started as one that reflected on recent podcast episodes and extended the ideas discussed there to logical conclusions with broader applications. Since then it’s become a space for me to write about whatever I want, with irregular references to various podcast episodes. Nevertheless, I’ll link to the episode that started my train…...

Running Back Age Curves, Breakout Rates, and Failure Rates – The Wrong Read, No. 35

Welcome to the 35th installment of the “The Wrong Read.” This article series started as one that reflected on recent podcast episodes and extended the ideas discussed there to logical conclusions with broader applications. Since then it’s become a space for me to write about whatever I want, with irregular references to various podcast episodes…....

Opportunity Scores Based on ADP Expected Points

What are the best landing spots for rookie WRs? Which receiving corps are drafters undervaluing? Which QBs are drafters undervaluing? The best way to get at these questions is to look at ADP. In past years, Kevin Cole has developed opportunity scores for each team based on the ADPs of their QB and various receivers. I’m going to continue his work, only using a slightly…...

Age Curves and NFL Breakouts: How to Win in Dynasty – The Wrong Read, No. 34

Welcome to the 34th installment of “The Wrong Read.” This article series started as one that reflected on recent podcast episodes and extended the ideas discussed there to logical conclusions with broader applications. Since then it’s become a space for me to write about whatever I want, with irregular references to various podcast episodes. Nevertheless, I’ll link to the episode that started my train of…...

Hidden Receiving Ability: 2018 RBs and the Backfield Dominator Rating

In the past we’ve measured RB contributions in the receiving game in one of two ways. Either we measure their raw counting stats — i.e., the total number of receptions and receiving yards (which does have predictive value) — or we measure their receiving contribution as a percentage of team receiving production, via the College Dominator Rating. Both have drawbacks that make them less-than-perfect measurements…...

How Much Does Draft Age Matter for Wide Receivers? Redux – The Wrong Read, No. 32

Welcome to the 32nd installment of the “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent podcast episodes, pushing the ideas discussed on the podcasts to their logical conclusions and offering some further thoughts on the topics broached by the guests and hosts. Brandin Cooks was recently traded to the Rams. My initial reaction is that this figures to hurt his fantasy outlook, not…...

How Much Does Draft Age Matter for Quarterbacks? – The Wrong Read, No. 31

Welcome to the 31st installment of the “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent podcast episodes, pushing the ideas discussed on the podcasts to their logical conclusions and offering some further thoughts on the topics broached by the guests and hosts. The article below is about quarterbacks. With the NFL Draft quickly approaching, perhaps you will be interesting in reading about one…...

How Much Does Draft Age Matter for Running Backs? – The Wrong Read, No. 30

Welcome to the 30th installment of the “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent podcast episodes, pushing the ideas discussed on the podcasts to their logical conclusions and offering some further thoughts on the topics broached by the guests and hosts. Given all the players who’ve changed teams lately, it might be worthwhile to revisit how those players should be expected to…...

How Much Does Draft Age Matter for Tight Ends? – The Wrong Read, No. 29

Welcome to the 29th installment of the “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent podcast episodes, pushing the ideas discussed on the podcasts to their logical conclusions and offering some further thoughts on the topics broached by the guests and hosts. Now that rookies have been added to DRAFT Best Ball Leagues and MFL10s have started up, you might have some questions…...

The Essentials of Best Ball Strategy – The Wrong Read, No. 28

Welcome to the 28th installment of the “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent podcast episodes, pushing the ideas discussed on the podcasts to their logical conclusions and offering some further thoughts on the topics broached by the guests and hosts. After all the trades the Browns made, I’m a lot less confident in what I previously wrote about Duke Johnson. Jarvis…...

A Robot Could Do Your Job: The Future of NFL Playcalling – The Wrong Read, No. 27

Welcome to the 27th installment of the “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent podcast episodes, pushing the ideas discussed on the podcasts to their logical conclusions and offering some further thoughts on the topics broached by the guests and hosts. Darryl Slater recently came on RotoViz Radio to say the Jets could take Baker Mayfield sixth overall. Here are my thoughts on…...

Is This the Best RB Class Ever? 2018 Workhorse Scores

The 2018 running back class is being touted as one of the best and deepest in recent memory. It remains to be seen whether that is the case, but one way to get at the question is to examine their Workhorse Scores…....

Avoid Players Who Change Teams: My Biggest Misses of 2017 – The Wrong Read No. 26

Welcome to the 26th installment of the “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent podcast episodes, pushing the ideas discussed on the podcasts to their logical conclusions and offering some further thoughts on the topics broached by the guests and hosts. It’s being reported that the Browns are not expected to re-sign Isaiah Crowell. Barring an early RB draft pick, Duke Johnson…...

Is 2018 the Perfect Year for Zero RB? Early Best Ball ADP – The Wrong Read, No. 25

Welcome to the 25th installment of the “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent podcast episodes, pushing the ideas discussed on the podcasts to their logical conclusions and offering some further thoughts on the topics broached by the guests and hosts. If you’re starting to get into best ball leagues now, you’re probably starting to think hard about your first pick. Alvin…...

Should Baker Mayfield Be the First Overall Pick? The Significance of College Passing Stats – The Wrong Read, No. 24

Welcome to the 24th installment of the “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent podcast episodes, pushing the ideas discussed on the podcasts to their logical conclusions and offering some further thoughts on the topics broached by the guests and hosts. Now that the Super Bowl is well behind us, it’s prospect season. You should pay special attention to rookie running backs…....

Who’s the Best Coach in the NFL? Fourth-Down Strategy – The Wrong Read, No. 23

Welcome to the 23rd installment of the “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent podcast episodes, pushing the ideas discussed on the podcasts to their logical conclusions and offering some further thoughts on the topics broached by the guests and hosts. The Eagles famously incorporated analytics into their decision-making en route to winning Super Bowl LII. This further fuels my optimism that…...

Dynasty Startup Strategy – Balancing Safety and Upside: The Wrong Read, No. 22

Welcome to the 22nd installment of the “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent podcast episodes, pushing the ideas discussed on the podcasts to their logical conclusions and offering some further thoughts on the topics broached by the guests and hosts. With all the recent coaching moves, it’s worth asking about the future of the analytics movement in the NFL. Here’s my…...

The Wrong Read – Episode 21: Is Duke Johnson the Next Le’Veon Bell?

Welcome to the 21st installment of the “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent podcast episodes, pushing the ideas discussed on the podcasts to their logical conclusions and offering some further thoughts on the topics broached by the guests and hosts. A couple recent guests on the RotoViz Mailbag have defended Amari Cooper, echoing my mid-season analysis that it’s far too early to…...

The Wrong Read – Episode 20: Is it Finally Time to Give Up on Sammy Watkins?

Welcome to the 20th installment of the “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent podcast episodes, pushing the ideas discussed on the podcasts to their logical conclusions and offering some further thoughts on the topics broached by the guests and hosts. Prospect season is quickly approaching. Here’s an article about why you should be paying special attention to rookie running backs if…...

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