RotoDoc

Co-Owner and Editor-in-Chief at RotoViz. Mathematics Ph.D. 3x qualifier for the DraftKings NASCAR Main Event.

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In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Evaluating My 2016 Young WR Model Performance

Prior to the 2016 season I created a model that tried to predict PPR production on a per-game basis for young wide receivers, which I defined as WRs in their first four years in the league. This article is going to break down the model results. For all the data the models were built from, as well as the 2016 model projections themselves, refer to…...

Predicting QB performance

Predicting QB Performance is Harder Than Ever

Thanks to the RotoViz Screener, we can quickly access data all the way back to 2000 and use the data to answer pressing questions. One thing I noticed is that predicting QB performance, even over the course of a full season, is really freaking hard. First let’s start with why this is important. ADP is largely driven by prior year results. Take a look at 2016…...

Wild Card Preview

Wild Card Preview: Oakland at Houston

The NFL playoffs are here! While it’s sad that seasonal leagues are over, there are still several fantasy formats out there for the NFL playoffs. As such, here is your Oakland Raiders at Houston Texans Wild Card Preview…....

Amara Darboh

Amara Darboh, WR — 2017 NFL Draft Prospect

Tonight, No. 11 Florida State takes on No. 6 Michigan in the Capital One Orange Bowl. Michigan’s senior wide receiver, Amara Darboh, garnered a Senior Bowl invite…....

receiving efficiency

DFS Contrarian: Week 15 Recap, Picks for Week 16

Let’s dive into a recap of my Week 15 picks and my top roster, then give the top Week 16 DFS contrarian picks. As a reminder, here are the rules for the DFS Contrarian series…....

DFS Contrarian: Week 15 Plays — Sunday Update

Because of some interesting weather conditions, here is an update to my DFS Contrarian article from earlier in the week. As a reminder, here are the rules for the DFS Contrarian series…....

DFS Contrarian: Thoughts on Detroit vs. New Orleans

I’ve been listening to a lot of podcasts this week, and reading up on some DFS articles, and the main thing I keep hearing and reading about this Detroit/New Orleans game is that lots of people will be game stacking this game…....

draftkings week 16

DFS Contrarian: Week 12 GPP Picks

The DFS Contrarian is back with Week 12 GPP picks. The week started off well, as my Thanksgiving slate advice helped me to a big DFS Turkey Day. As a reminder, here are the rules for the DFS Contrarian series…....

DFS Contrarian: How to Attack the Thanksgiving Slate

This won’t be the usual DFS Contraian article, where I give my top plays less than 10 percent owned. Instead, I’ll be talking contrarian strategy for this three-game Thanksgiving slate…....

draftkings week 14

Stack it Up! DFS Stacks for Week 11

Each week I’ll be using the Daily Lineup Optimizer App along with other insights to find some interesting DFS stacks. In it, there’s a stacking tab, where you can pick and choose stacks based on correlations, projections, and gambling lines…....

A Look at Zero RB Results Through Week 10

I am going to take a look at Zero RB results through Week 10. Specifically I will focus on how running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends have performed relative to ADP in PPR and standard leagues…....

NASCAR DFS Picks

DraftKings NASCAR Phoenix 2 Picks and Projections

This weekend’s DraftKings NASCAR Phoenix slate is the penultimate slate of the season. After Phoenix, there’s only one race left at Homestead, where NASCAR’s champion will be crowned…....

NASCAR DFS Talladega

DraftKings NASCAR Texas 2 Picks and Projections

You’re in for a treat for this week’s DraftKings NASCAR Texas slate. I’ve been working really hard to constantly improve my NASCAR machine learning model, and this week I’ve hit on a process that improved my out-of-sample predictions by over 10 percent…....

Evaluating My 2016 Young WR Model Performance

Prior to the 2016 season I created a model that tried to predict PPR production on a per-game basis for young wide receivers, which I defined as WRs in their first four years in the league. This article is going to break down the model results. For all the data the models were built from, as well as the 2016 model projections themselves, refer to…...

Predicting QB performance

Predicting QB Performance is Harder Than Ever

Thanks to the RotoViz Screener, we can quickly access data all the way back to 2000 and use the data to answer pressing questions. One thing I noticed is that predicting QB performance, even over the course of a full season, is really freaking hard. First let’s start with why this is important. ADP is largely driven by prior year results. Take a look at 2016…...

Wild Card Preview

Wild Card Preview: Oakland at Houston

The NFL playoffs are here! While it’s sad that seasonal leagues are over, there are still several fantasy formats out there for the NFL playoffs. As such, here is your Oakland Raiders at Houston Texans Wild Card Preview…....

Amara Darboh

Amara Darboh, WR — 2017 NFL Draft Prospect

Tonight, No. 11 Florida State takes on No. 6 Michigan in the Capital One Orange Bowl. Michigan’s senior wide receiver, Amara Darboh, garnered a Senior Bowl invite…....

receiving efficiency

DFS Contrarian: Week 15 Recap, Picks for Week 16

Let’s dive into a recap of my Week 15 picks and my top roster, then give the top Week 16 DFS contrarian picks. As a reminder, here are the rules for the DFS Contrarian series…....

DFS Contrarian: Week 15 Plays — Sunday Update

Because of some interesting weather conditions, here is an update to my DFS Contrarian article from earlier in the week. As a reminder, here are the rules for the DFS Contrarian series…....

DFS Contrarian: Thoughts on Detroit vs. New Orleans

I’ve been listening to a lot of podcasts this week, and reading up on some DFS articles, and the main thing I keep hearing and reading about this Detroit/New Orleans game is that lots of people will be game stacking this game…....

draftkings week 16

DFS Contrarian: Week 12 GPP Picks

The DFS Contrarian is back with Week 12 GPP picks. The week started off well, as my Thanksgiving slate advice helped me to a big DFS Turkey Day. As a reminder, here are the rules for the DFS Contrarian series…....

DFS Contrarian: How to Attack the Thanksgiving Slate

This won’t be the usual DFS Contraian article, where I give my top plays less than 10 percent owned. Instead, I’ll be talking contrarian strategy for this three-game Thanksgiving slate…....

draftkings week 14

Stack it Up! DFS Stacks for Week 11

Each week I’ll be using the Daily Lineup Optimizer App along with other insights to find some interesting DFS stacks. In it, there’s a stacking tab, where you can pick and choose stacks based on correlations, projections, and gambling lines…....

A Look at Zero RB Results Through Week 10

I am going to take a look at Zero RB results through Week 10. Specifically I will focus on how running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends have performed relative to ADP in PPR and standard leagues…....

NASCAR DFS Picks

DraftKings NASCAR Phoenix 2 Picks and Projections

This weekend’s DraftKings NASCAR Phoenix slate is the penultimate slate of the season. After Phoenix, there’s only one race left at Homestead, where NASCAR’s champion will be crowned…....

NASCAR DFS Talladega

DraftKings NASCAR Texas 2 Picks and Projections

You’re in for a treat for this week’s DraftKings NASCAR Texas slate. I’ve been working really hard to constantly improve my NASCAR machine learning model, and this week I’ve hit on a process that improved my out-of-sample predictions by over 10 percent…....

Evaluating My 2016 Young WR Model Performance

Prior to the 2016 season I created a model that tried to predict PPR production on a per-game basis for young wide receivers, which I defined as WRs in their first four years in the league. This article is going to break down the model results. For all the data the models were built from, as well as the 2016 model projections themselves, refer to…...

Predicting QB performance

Predicting QB Performance is Harder Than Ever

Thanks to the RotoViz Screener, we can quickly access data all the way back to 2000 and use the data to answer pressing questions. One thing I noticed is that predicting QB performance, even over the course of a full season, is really freaking hard. First let’s start with why this is important. ADP is largely driven by prior year results. Take a look at 2016…...

Wild Card Preview

Wild Card Preview: Oakland at Houston

The NFL playoffs are here! While it’s sad that seasonal leagues are over, there are still several fantasy formats out there for the NFL playoffs. As such, here is your Oakland Raiders at Houston Texans Wild Card Preview…....

Amara Darboh

Amara Darboh, WR — 2017 NFL Draft Prospect

Tonight, No. 11 Florida State takes on No. 6 Michigan in the Capital One Orange Bowl. Michigan’s senior wide receiver, Amara Darboh, garnered a Senior Bowl invite…....

receiving efficiency

DFS Contrarian: Week 15 Recap, Picks for Week 16

Let’s dive into a recap of my Week 15 picks and my top roster, then give the top Week 16 DFS contrarian picks. As a reminder, here are the rules for the DFS Contrarian series…....

DFS Contrarian: Week 15 Plays — Sunday Update

Because of some interesting weather conditions, here is an update to my DFS Contrarian article from earlier in the week. As a reminder, here are the rules for the DFS Contrarian series…....

DFS Contrarian: Thoughts on Detroit vs. New Orleans

I’ve been listening to a lot of podcasts this week, and reading up on some DFS articles, and the main thing I keep hearing and reading about this Detroit/New Orleans game is that lots of people will be game stacking this game…....

draftkings week 16

DFS Contrarian: Week 12 GPP Picks

The DFS Contrarian is back with Week 12 GPP picks. The week started off well, as my Thanksgiving slate advice helped me to a big DFS Turkey Day. As a reminder, here are the rules for the DFS Contrarian series…....

DFS Contrarian: How to Attack the Thanksgiving Slate

This won’t be the usual DFS Contraian article, where I give my top plays less than 10 percent owned. Instead, I’ll be talking contrarian strategy for this three-game Thanksgiving slate…....

draftkings week 14

Stack it Up! DFS Stacks for Week 11

Each week I’ll be using the Daily Lineup Optimizer App along with other insights to find some interesting DFS stacks. In it, there’s a stacking tab, where you can pick and choose stacks based on correlations, projections, and gambling lines…....

A Look at Zero RB Results Through Week 10

I am going to take a look at Zero RB results through Week 10. Specifically I will focus on how running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends have performed relative to ADP in PPR and standard leagues…....

NASCAR DFS Picks

DraftKings NASCAR Phoenix 2 Picks and Projections

This weekend’s DraftKings NASCAR Phoenix slate is the penultimate slate of the season. After Phoenix, there’s only one race left at Homestead, where NASCAR’s champion will be crowned…....

NASCAR DFS Talladega

DraftKings NASCAR Texas 2 Picks and Projections

You’re in for a treat for this week’s DraftKings NASCAR Texas slate. I’ve been working really hard to constantly improve my NASCAR machine learning model, and this week I’ve hit on a process that improved my out-of-sample predictions by over 10 percent…....

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