Shawn Siegele

Author of the original Zero RB article and 2013 NFFC Primetime Grand Champion. 11-time main event league winner. 2015, 2017, 2018 titles in MFL10 of Death.

Author Archive

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

BestBall Win Rates – Running Back Dead Zone Versus the Running Back Sweet Spot

Shawn Siegele examines the BestBall win rates for running backs in the Dead Zone and compares them to runners in the Sweet Spot, especially members of the 2019 Zero RB Candidates list. Each week in my adventures down the rabbit hole of the Best Ball Win Rates tool, I like to choose a specific position or question for closer examination. This week’s prompt comes from…...

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High Staked: Bad Beats

Veteran high stakes fantasy football player Monty Phan chronicles his season. I haven’t used this space that often this season to give detailed updates on the FFPC high-stakes teams I help run, but I’m doing so this week because I believe there’s a common unifier among those who play fantasy football: the bad beat. As opposed to the dominant teams we’ve had the past few…...

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Swashbuckling Traders Can Remake Their Fantasy Rosters By Selling These 2 Stars

Jack Miller has done an excellent job this season using the Strength of Schedule Streaming tool to help you buy players before they benefited from easier schedules. In this companion piece, Shawn Siegele suggests a few sell options to make those purchases. The Always Difficult Decision to Sell Star Players Last week, I recommended selling Chris Carson, Mark Ingram, Stefon Diggs, and D.J. Moore. Those sells are…...

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The 3 and Out: Team by Team Opportunity, Expected Points, and Actual Results

The 3 and Out uses a number of RotoViz Apps to uncover significant workload changes; league, team, and player-specific trends; and hidden but powerful statistics. Welcome back to The 3 and Out! In this week’s edition, we’re going to look at fantasy points scored, snap percentages, opportunity shares, and expected points on a team by team basis. This information will be presented in tables that include per…...

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Zero RB Watch List: AFC Week 9 – Will the Real Duke Johnson Please Stand Up (and Stay on the Field)?

Blair Andrews examines the running back workloads for every AFC backfield ahead of Week 9. Almost every fantasy team can use a breakout RB, whether they were drafted as a Zero-RB squad or not. The Zero RB Watch List helps to find these breakout stars before they hit. But it also helps you understand which of the high-profile backs you should be buying and selling…...

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Week 9 QB Rankings, Streaming Options, and 2-QB Plays

Giana Pacinelli provides QB streaming options, 2-QB plays, and overall QB rankings for Week 9 of the 2019 fantasy football season. There’s been a lot of turnover at the quarterback position this season.  There have also been a lot of turnovers coming from the quarterback position.  Mitchell Trubisky had two and Kyle Allen had three last week, but their coaches say they’re sticking with them as…...

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Zero RB Watch List: NFC Week 9 – Tevin Coleman and Miles Sanders Impress With Explosive Performances

Shawn Siegele looks at the monster performances from Aaron Jones, Tevin Coleman, and Christian McCaffrey, and breaks down the running back workloads for every NFC backfield ahead of Week 9. Our goal with the Zero RB Watch List is to help you locate RB breakouts and waiver adds before they happen, but this column isn’t just for Zero RB owners. We’re just as focused on…...

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Week 9 Buy Low Report – A Tight End Makes an Appearance

The Strength of Schedule Streaming app allows you to see which players have the easiest or most difficult upcoming schedules, a potentially league-winning edge that gives you the opportunity to buy players right before they explode in plus matchups. Welcome back to the Buy Low Report. As usual, we will combine insight from the SoS Streaming App and the RotoViz Screener to identify players who…...

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2019 Week 9 Tight End Streamers

Kyle Rudolph did virtually nothing to justify my faith in him last week, as he delivered a dud on Thursday Night. To be fair to Kyle, his team’s firm commitment towards #EstablishingTheRun meant that it was hardly a day for any pass catcher. But my mood was lifted over the weekend by the showings from Jonnu Smith and Dallas Goedert. Smith posted 19.8 PPR points…...

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Wide Receiver Target Report: Week 8

The list of the most targeted wide receivers in Week 8 contained a host of familiar names, many of whom enjoyed banner weeks in both reality and fantasy football. Mike Evans of the Buccaneers had his second game this season with 190-plus receiving yards. Julian Edelman had his first game of the season with at least two touchdowns. Julio Jones proved that he doesn’t need…...

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Week 9 Fantasy Football Kicker Streaming

The Process Before I look at Week 9, it is important to see whether the selection process was effective. Here is a recap of last week’s recommendations. If you need a refresher on what to look for when analyzing kickers, read the Week 2 Fantasy Football Kicker Streaming article.  Name, Team Stat Line Week 4 Position Rank 1 Dan Bailey, Minnesota Vikings FG 4/4 XP…...

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The Week 9 Do Not Cut List

We are staring at the middle of the season and we are rapidly approaching bye-pocalypse, roster construction matters now more than ever. Look at your team and determine what you need: do you need to win every game to get in the playoffs, or can you sacrifice a week in order to keep players on bye weeks and submit sub-optimal lineups?  Roster Construction If you are…...

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Dumpster Dives: Deep Waiver Pickups for Week 9

Waiver Wire Dumpster Dives takes you beyond the obvious plays and helps you find undervalued gems for deep leagues. Four more teams are on their bye weeks and everyone is feeling the pinch. As waiver wires thin out, some GMs will make desperation trades to fill in their roster this week. It’s a great time to offer up a two-for-one deal that nets you the better…...

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Crazy Efficiency and Would-Be Second-Year Breakouts: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 8

If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform raw opportunity, such as carries and targets, directly into fantasy points. From there we can…...

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Mike Evans Is Joined by Cooper Kupp and Kenny Golladay Atop the WR Fantasy Points Over Expectation Leaderboard

After a grim Week 7, Sunday offered a much better scoring climate. Several RotoViz priority targets put up big numbers. Shawn Siegele breaks down the monster fantasy performances from Mike Evans, Cooper Kupp, Kenny Golladay and the rest of the wide receivers stars. With help from the Screener and the NFL Stat Explorer, we take a closer look at the wide receivers who created the most fantasy points…...

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Week 9 Waiver Wire Advice: Top Targets At Each Position

Looking for Week 9 waiver wire advice for fantasy football? You’ve come to the right place. We’ll give you some of the top targets at each position so that when you submit a waiver claim, you do it with confidence. This article will run through the top players available in most leagues.((If a player is already owned in over 50% of leagues, he won’t be…...

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High Staked: *Sigh* … Drake

Veteran high stakes fantasy football player Monty Phan chronicles his season. When you’re already thin at running back and forced to start Kenyan Drake, this is infuriating to read, especially when it’s 30 minutes after the early Sunday games have already started: I’m told trade talks are progressing involving #Dolphins RB Kenyan Drake, who won’t travel for tomorrow’s game against the #Steelers. — Tom Pelissero…...

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Talkin’ Trades Week 8: Tom Brady Adds a WR and the Falcons Vacate Some Targets

There’s an enormous amount of turbulence in the league with the trade deadline approaching on October 29. We’ve already seen a few dominoes fall, but it would be no surprise to see more with the tanking battle including more teams than the Dolphins would’ve hoped for. Miami might even start paying cash for other teams to take their starters. In the midst of the turmoil,…...

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Tomorrow’s Moves Today – Week 6: Leveraging SOS and Team-Level Trends to Stay Ahead of the Competition

Tomorrow’s Moves Today uses the Strength of Schedule Streaming App to identify team positional units with favorable/unfavorable upcoming schedules and players on related teams that should be targeted or avoided. Welcome to the Week 6 edition of Tomorrow’s Moves Today! On a weekly basis, we’ll look ahead to find positional units with favorable upcoming schedules. Likewise, we’ll identify positional units that stand before an oncoming gauntlet. The idea…...

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Game Level Similarity Projections: Providing Context and Explaining a Recent Tweak

Dave Caban reviews the RotoViz process used to build weekly projections and explains a recent tweak that will impact the GLSP numbers on a weekly basis. Long-time readers are undoubtedly familiar with RotoViz’s Game Level Similarity Projection (GLSP) process but we made a tweak this week that is worth taking a couple of minutes to absorb. For those of you that are new to the…...

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BestBall Win Rates – Running Back Dead Zone Versus the Running Back Sweet Spot

Shawn Siegele examines the BestBall win rates for running backs in the Dead Zone and compares them to runners in the Sweet Spot, especially members of the 2019 Zero RB Candidates list. Each week in my adventures down the rabbit hole of the Best Ball Win Rates tool, I like to choose a specific position or question for closer examination. This week’s prompt comes from…...

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High Staked: Bad Beats

Veteran high stakes fantasy football player Monty Phan chronicles his season. I haven’t used this space that often this season to give detailed updates on the FFPC high-stakes teams I help run, but I’m doing so this week because I believe there’s a common unifier among those who play fantasy football: the bad beat. As opposed to the dominant teams we’ve had the past few…...

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Swashbuckling Traders Can Remake Their Fantasy Rosters By Selling These 2 Stars

Jack Miller has done an excellent job this season using the Strength of Schedule Streaming tool to help you buy players before they benefited from easier schedules. In this companion piece, Shawn Siegele suggests a few sell options to make those purchases. The Always Difficult Decision to Sell Star Players Last week, I recommended selling Chris Carson, Mark Ingram, Stefon Diggs, and D.J. Moore. Those sells are…...

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The 3 and Out: Team by Team Opportunity, Expected Points, and Actual Results

The 3 and Out uses a number of RotoViz Apps to uncover significant workload changes; league, team, and player-specific trends; and hidden but powerful statistics. Welcome back to The 3 and Out! In this week’s edition, we’re going to look at fantasy points scored, snap percentages, opportunity shares, and expected points on a team by team basis. This information will be presented in tables that include per…...

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Zero RB Watch List: AFC Week 9 – Will the Real Duke Johnson Please Stand Up (and Stay on the Field)?

Blair Andrews examines the running back workloads for every AFC backfield ahead of Week 9. Almost every fantasy team can use a breakout RB, whether they were drafted as a Zero-RB squad or not. The Zero RB Watch List helps to find these breakout stars before they hit. But it also helps you understand which of the high-profile backs you should be buying and selling…...

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Week 9 QB Rankings, Streaming Options, and 2-QB Plays

Giana Pacinelli provides QB streaming options, 2-QB plays, and overall QB rankings for Week 9 of the 2019 fantasy football season. There’s been a lot of turnover at the quarterback position this season.  There have also been a lot of turnovers coming from the quarterback position.  Mitchell Trubisky had two and Kyle Allen had three last week, but their coaches say they’re sticking with them as…...

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Zero RB Watch List: NFC Week 9 – Tevin Coleman and Miles Sanders Impress With Explosive Performances

Shawn Siegele looks at the monster performances from Aaron Jones, Tevin Coleman, and Christian McCaffrey, and breaks down the running back workloads for every NFC backfield ahead of Week 9. Our goal with the Zero RB Watch List is to help you locate RB breakouts and waiver adds before they happen, but this column isn’t just for Zero RB owners. We’re just as focused on…...

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Week 9 Buy Low Report – A Tight End Makes an Appearance

The Strength of Schedule Streaming app allows you to see which players have the easiest or most difficult upcoming schedules, a potentially league-winning edge that gives you the opportunity to buy players right before they explode in plus matchups. Welcome back to the Buy Low Report. As usual, we will combine insight from the SoS Streaming App and the RotoViz Screener to identify players who…...

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2019 Week 9 Tight End Streamers

Kyle Rudolph did virtually nothing to justify my faith in him last week, as he delivered a dud on Thursday Night. To be fair to Kyle, his team’s firm commitment towards #EstablishingTheRun meant that it was hardly a day for any pass catcher. But my mood was lifted over the weekend by the showings from Jonnu Smith and Dallas Goedert. Smith posted 19.8 PPR points…...

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Wide Receiver Target Report: Week 8

The list of the most targeted wide receivers in Week 8 contained a host of familiar names, many of whom enjoyed banner weeks in both reality and fantasy football. Mike Evans of the Buccaneers had his second game this season with 190-plus receiving yards. Julian Edelman had his first game of the season with at least two touchdowns. Julio Jones proved that he doesn’t need…...

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Week 9 Fantasy Football Kicker Streaming

The Process Before I look at Week 9, it is important to see whether the selection process was effective. Here is a recap of last week’s recommendations. If you need a refresher on what to look for when analyzing kickers, read the Week 2 Fantasy Football Kicker Streaming article.  Name, Team Stat Line Week 4 Position Rank 1 Dan Bailey, Minnesota Vikings FG 4/4 XP…...

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The Week 9 Do Not Cut List

We are staring at the middle of the season and we are rapidly approaching bye-pocalypse, roster construction matters now more than ever. Look at your team and determine what you need: do you need to win every game to get in the playoffs, or can you sacrifice a week in order to keep players on bye weeks and submit sub-optimal lineups?  Roster Construction If you are…...

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Dumpster Dives: Deep Waiver Pickups for Week 9

Waiver Wire Dumpster Dives takes you beyond the obvious plays and helps you find undervalued gems for deep leagues. Four more teams are on their bye weeks and everyone is feeling the pinch. As waiver wires thin out, some GMs will make desperation trades to fill in their roster this week. It’s a great time to offer up a two-for-one deal that nets you the better…...

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Crazy Efficiency and Would-Be Second-Year Breakouts: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 8

If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform raw opportunity, such as carries and targets, directly into fantasy points. From there we can…...

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Mike Evans Is Joined by Cooper Kupp and Kenny Golladay Atop the WR Fantasy Points Over Expectation Leaderboard

After a grim Week 7, Sunday offered a much better scoring climate. Several RotoViz priority targets put up big numbers. Shawn Siegele breaks down the monster fantasy performances from Mike Evans, Cooper Kupp, Kenny Golladay and the rest of the wide receivers stars. With help from the Screener and the NFL Stat Explorer, we take a closer look at the wide receivers who created the most fantasy points…...

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Week 9 Waiver Wire Advice: Top Targets At Each Position

Looking for Week 9 waiver wire advice for fantasy football? You’ve come to the right place. We’ll give you some of the top targets at each position so that when you submit a waiver claim, you do it with confidence. This article will run through the top players available in most leagues.((If a player is already owned in over 50% of leagues, he won’t be…...

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High Staked: *Sigh* … Drake

Veteran high stakes fantasy football player Monty Phan chronicles his season. When you’re already thin at running back and forced to start Kenyan Drake, this is infuriating to read, especially when it’s 30 minutes after the early Sunday games have already started: I’m told trade talks are progressing involving #Dolphins RB Kenyan Drake, who won’t travel for tomorrow’s game against the #Steelers. — Tom Pelissero…...

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Talkin’ Trades Week 8: Tom Brady Adds a WR and the Falcons Vacate Some Targets

There’s an enormous amount of turbulence in the league with the trade deadline approaching on October 29. We’ve already seen a few dominoes fall, but it would be no surprise to see more with the tanking battle including more teams than the Dolphins would’ve hoped for. Miami might even start paying cash for other teams to take their starters. In the midst of the turmoil,…...

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Tomorrow’s Moves Today – Week 6: Leveraging SOS and Team-Level Trends to Stay Ahead of the Competition

Tomorrow’s Moves Today uses the Strength of Schedule Streaming App to identify team positional units with favorable/unfavorable upcoming schedules and players on related teams that should be targeted or avoided. Welcome to the Week 6 edition of Tomorrow’s Moves Today! On a weekly basis, we’ll look ahead to find positional units with favorable upcoming schedules. Likewise, we’ll identify positional units that stand before an oncoming gauntlet. The idea…...

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Game Level Similarity Projections: Providing Context and Explaining a Recent Tweak

Dave Caban reviews the RotoViz process used to build weekly projections and explains a recent tweak that will impact the GLSP numbers on a weekly basis. Long-time readers are undoubtedly familiar with RotoViz’s Game Level Similarity Projection (GLSP) process but we made a tweak this week that is worth taking a couple of minutes to absorb. For those of you that are new to the…...

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BestBall Win Rates – Running Back Dead Zone Versus the Running Back Sweet Spot

Shawn Siegele examines the BestBall win rates for running backs in the Dead Zone and compares them to runners in the Sweet Spot, especially members of the 2019 Zero RB Candidates list. Each week in my adventures down the rabbit hole of the Best Ball Win Rates tool, I like to choose a specific position or question for closer examination. This week’s prompt comes from…...

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High Staked: Bad Beats

Veteran high stakes fantasy football player Monty Phan chronicles his season. I haven’t used this space that often this season to give detailed updates on the FFPC high-stakes teams I help run, but I’m doing so this week because I believe there’s a common unifier among those who play fantasy football: the bad beat. As opposed to the dominant teams we’ve had the past few…...

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Swashbuckling Traders Can Remake Their Fantasy Rosters By Selling These 2 Stars

Jack Miller has done an excellent job this season using the Strength of Schedule Streaming tool to help you buy players before they benefited from easier schedules. In this companion piece, Shawn Siegele suggests a few sell options to make those purchases. The Always Difficult Decision to Sell Star Players Last week, I recommended selling Chris Carson, Mark Ingram, Stefon Diggs, and D.J. Moore. Those sells are…...

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The 3 and Out: Team by Team Opportunity, Expected Points, and Actual Results

The 3 and Out uses a number of RotoViz Apps to uncover significant workload changes; league, team, and player-specific trends; and hidden but powerful statistics. Welcome back to The 3 and Out! In this week’s edition, we’re going to look at fantasy points scored, snap percentages, opportunity shares, and expected points on a team by team basis. This information will be presented in tables that include per…...

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Zero RB Watch List: AFC Week 9 – Will the Real Duke Johnson Please Stand Up (and Stay on the Field)?

Blair Andrews examines the running back workloads for every AFC backfield ahead of Week 9. Almost every fantasy team can use a breakout RB, whether they were drafted as a Zero-RB squad or not. The Zero RB Watch List helps to find these breakout stars before they hit. But it also helps you understand which of the high-profile backs you should be buying and selling…...

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Week 9 QB Rankings, Streaming Options, and 2-QB Plays

Giana Pacinelli provides QB streaming options, 2-QB plays, and overall QB rankings for Week 9 of the 2019 fantasy football season. There’s been a lot of turnover at the quarterback position this season.  There have also been a lot of turnovers coming from the quarterback position.  Mitchell Trubisky had two and Kyle Allen had three last week, but their coaches say they’re sticking with them as…...

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Zero RB Watch List: NFC Week 9 – Tevin Coleman and Miles Sanders Impress With Explosive Performances

Shawn Siegele looks at the monster performances from Aaron Jones, Tevin Coleman, and Christian McCaffrey, and breaks down the running back workloads for every NFC backfield ahead of Week 9. Our goal with the Zero RB Watch List is to help you locate RB breakouts and waiver adds before they happen, but this column isn’t just for Zero RB owners. We’re just as focused on…...

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Week 9 Buy Low Report – A Tight End Makes an Appearance

The Strength of Schedule Streaming app allows you to see which players have the easiest or most difficult upcoming schedules, a potentially league-winning edge that gives you the opportunity to buy players right before they explode in plus matchups. Welcome back to the Buy Low Report. As usual, we will combine insight from the SoS Streaming App and the RotoViz Screener to identify players who…...

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2019 Week 9 Tight End Streamers

Kyle Rudolph did virtually nothing to justify my faith in him last week, as he delivered a dud on Thursday Night. To be fair to Kyle, his team’s firm commitment towards #EstablishingTheRun meant that it was hardly a day for any pass catcher. But my mood was lifted over the weekend by the showings from Jonnu Smith and Dallas Goedert. Smith posted 19.8 PPR points…...

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Wide Receiver Target Report: Week 8

The list of the most targeted wide receivers in Week 8 contained a host of familiar names, many of whom enjoyed banner weeks in both reality and fantasy football. Mike Evans of the Buccaneers had his second game this season with 190-plus receiving yards. Julian Edelman had his first game of the season with at least two touchdowns. Julio Jones proved that he doesn’t need…...

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Week 9 Fantasy Football Kicker Streaming

The Process Before I look at Week 9, it is important to see whether the selection process was effective. Here is a recap of last week’s recommendations. If you need a refresher on what to look for when analyzing kickers, read the Week 2 Fantasy Football Kicker Streaming article.  Name, Team Stat Line Week 4 Position Rank 1 Dan Bailey, Minnesota Vikings FG 4/4 XP…...

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The Week 9 Do Not Cut List

We are staring at the middle of the season and we are rapidly approaching bye-pocalypse, roster construction matters now more than ever. Look at your team and determine what you need: do you need to win every game to get in the playoffs, or can you sacrifice a week in order to keep players on bye weeks and submit sub-optimal lineups?  Roster Construction If you are…...

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Dumpster Dives: Deep Waiver Pickups for Week 9

Waiver Wire Dumpster Dives takes you beyond the obvious plays and helps you find undervalued gems for deep leagues. Four more teams are on their bye weeks and everyone is feeling the pinch. As waiver wires thin out, some GMs will make desperation trades to fill in their roster this week. It’s a great time to offer up a two-for-one deal that nets you the better…...

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Crazy Efficiency and Would-Be Second-Year Breakouts: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 8

If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform raw opportunity, such as carries and targets, directly into fantasy points. From there we can…...

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Mike Evans Is Joined by Cooper Kupp and Kenny Golladay Atop the WR Fantasy Points Over Expectation Leaderboard

After a grim Week 7, Sunday offered a much better scoring climate. Several RotoViz priority targets put up big numbers. Shawn Siegele breaks down the monster fantasy performances from Mike Evans, Cooper Kupp, Kenny Golladay and the rest of the wide receivers stars. With help from the Screener and the NFL Stat Explorer, we take a closer look at the wide receivers who created the most fantasy points…...

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Week 9 Waiver Wire Advice: Top Targets At Each Position

Looking for Week 9 waiver wire advice for fantasy football? You’ve come to the right place. We’ll give you some of the top targets at each position so that when you submit a waiver claim, you do it with confidence. This article will run through the top players available in most leagues.((If a player is already owned in over 50% of leagues, he won’t be…...

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High Staked: *Sigh* … Drake

Veteran high stakes fantasy football player Monty Phan chronicles his season. When you’re already thin at running back and forced to start Kenyan Drake, this is infuriating to read, especially when it’s 30 minutes after the early Sunday games have already started: I’m told trade talks are progressing involving #Dolphins RB Kenyan Drake, who won’t travel for tomorrow’s game against the #Steelers. — Tom Pelissero…...

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Talkin’ Trades Week 8: Tom Brady Adds a WR and the Falcons Vacate Some Targets

There’s an enormous amount of turbulence in the league with the trade deadline approaching on October 29. We’ve already seen a few dominoes fall, but it would be no surprise to see more with the tanking battle including more teams than the Dolphins would’ve hoped for. Miami might even start paying cash for other teams to take their starters. In the midst of the turmoil,…...

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Tomorrow’s Moves Today – Week 6: Leveraging SOS and Team-Level Trends to Stay Ahead of the Competition

Tomorrow’s Moves Today uses the Strength of Schedule Streaming App to identify team positional units with favorable/unfavorable upcoming schedules and players on related teams that should be targeted or avoided. Welcome to the Week 6 edition of Tomorrow’s Moves Today! On a weekly basis, we’ll look ahead to find positional units with favorable upcoming schedules. Likewise, we’ll identify positional units that stand before an oncoming gauntlet. The idea…...

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Game Level Similarity Projections: Providing Context and Explaining a Recent Tweak

Dave Caban reviews the RotoViz process used to build weekly projections and explains a recent tweak that will impact the GLSP numbers on a weekly basis. Long-time readers are undoubtedly familiar with RotoViz’s Game Level Similarity Projection (GLSP) process but we made a tweak this week that is worth taking a couple of minutes to absorb. For those of you that are new to the…...

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