Shawn Siegele

Author of the original Zero RB article and 2013 NFFC Primetime Grand Champion. 11-time main event league winner. 2015, 2017, 2018 titles in MFL10 of Death.

Author Archive

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Zero RB Watch List: Week 17 – Deep Dynasty Stashes Emerge Amid a Flurry of Injuries

Shawn Siegele examines running back depth charts in flux and recommends stashing four deep dynasty sleepers before the offseason.  The heavyweights battled it out during championship weekend as 2019’s first three picks combined for 107 fantasy points. Saquon Barkley and Alvin Kamara were disappointments this season, but they came through in a huge way for any owners who found themselves in the title game. Following…...

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Should Tyler Johnson Have Declared Last Year? A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

On December 26, the Minnesota Golden Gophers take on the Auburn Tigers in the Outback Bowl. Although 6-foot-2-inch, 200-pound wide receiver Tyler Johnson could’ve declared early last season, he opted to prioritize earning his undergraduate degree over leaving early for the NFL. Despite opting to stay an extra year in school, Johnson has a very intriguing prospect profile. Despite the questionable quarterback play at Minnesota,…...

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How to Use Expected Points in the Offseason: 4 More Correlation Matrices

Last week I looked at a variety of Expected-Points-based metrics to determine which were the most stable from one week to the next and which were the most predictive of fantasy scoring in future weeks. However, fantasy football is not only a weekly game — in most formats your lineup won’t vary much from one week to the next. Also, for most of our fantasy…...

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Michael Thomas Sets Records As Surprise WRs Make Their Case to Dynasty Owners

Shawn Siegele looks at all the top wide receiver performances from Week 16, including big games from Sterling Shepard, Diontae Johnson, and Steven Sims Jr. Championship weekend featured a title-winning fourth-down score from Tyler Boyd and monster performances from two legends. Michael Thomas and Julio Jones combined for 22 catches and 58 points. Beyond the three studs, the finals were littered with big performances from…...

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Should D’Andre Swift Be the First Pick in Rookie Drafts? A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

On January 1, 2020, D’Andre Swift and the Georgia Bulldogs take on the Baylor Bears in the Sugar Bowl. Following the exits of teammates, Nick Chubb and Sony Michel, Swift took over an offense centered around the running game. Background Swift was one of the top RBs in the class of 2017. Per 247 Composite rankings, he was the No. 33 overall player and the fourth…...

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NFL Week 16: Coulda, Woulda, Shoulda

Monty Phan wraps up the weekend of NFL action. For nearly four months every year, my wife puts up with a husband who is totally useless on Sundays, a slave to the Red Zone Channel and NBC Sunday Night Football. Just when the season crescendos to a climax – the fantasy playoffs – is when her patience nearly runs out. What’s she rewarded with? A…...

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Week 16 Primetime Slate DFS Breakdown

Who are the best plays for the Week 16 DFS primetime slate on DraftKings and FanDuel? Tyler Loechner runs through notes on the primetime short slate featuring SNF/MNF games.((An important note: I’m writing this column with tournaments and GPPs top of mind. Cash game plays on short slates are usually easier to figure out because the options are so thin; tournaments require quite a bit…...

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NFL FanDuel GPPs: What The Lineup Optimizer Is Telling Us To Do in Week 16

Michael Dubner uses the DFS Lineup Optimizer and other RotoViz tools to prepare for Week 16 GPPs on FanDuel. Large-field GPPs are primarily won in three key areas: 1) player projections, 2) roster construction, and 3) ownership. Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once…...

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DK Buffet Week 16: Key Stats for the Main Slate on DraftKings

When I’m looking into the DFS slate each week, I like to go game by game and identify players or situations that intrigue me. In every game, on every team, there’s a situation that’s relevant for DFS, for either a positive or negative reason. These situations inform us of how we should be attacking each slate. Arizona Cardinals Spread: +10 @ Seattle | Total: 51…...

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FanDuel NFL Cash Plays – Week 16

Championship Week is here. If you aren’t in your league’s big game then The Fantasy Football Ghost has some players for your Week 16 FanDuel cash games. While the last few weeks have been brutal, Week 15 saw a bit of a turnaround for us. It wasn’t quite back to those great weeks where we were consistently over 2.5 times value, but it was an…...

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NFL Week 16 DraftKings Targets: Full Weekend Of Football

It’s fantasy football championship week, and we might as well carry that cash collection spirit over to the DFS side of things. We’ve got a three-game slate on Saturday with three separate island games, and this is a spot to attack. With the earliest game on Saturday likely to have the most exposure overall, late swapping on otherwise dead lineups is a huge advantage. Be…...

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The 3 and Out: League Wide Expected Points

The 3 and Out uses several RotoViz Apps to uncover significant workload changes; league, team, and player-specific trends; and hidden but powerful statistics. Earlier in the week, Blair Andrews explained why we care about expected points. Today, we’ll take a quick look at 2019 expected points through a league-wide lens while continuing to determine how “normal” 2019 was. Once the offseason hits in earnest, we’ll…...

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16 Stats to Know for DFS in Week 16

Utilizing RotoViz’s suite of creative tools, metrics, and filterable stats (all of which just keep getting better!), I unearthed 16 key stats to help you crush your Week 16 NFL DFS lineups. Vegas lines for Week 16 Reported lines are current as of December 19, 2019.[1]Provided by footballlocks.com. LAR @ SF: This will be the fastest-paced game of Week 16 for DFS IMPLIED: SF 25.75,…...

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Zero RB Watch List: NFC Week 16 – Miles Sanders Is a “Buy High” Candidate

Blair Andrews examines the running back workloads for the most contentious NFC backfields ahead of Week 16. Every fantasy team can use a breakout RB, whether their owners drafted them as Zero-RB squads or not. The Zero RB Watch List helps to find these breakout stars before they hit. But it also helps you understand which of the high-profile backs you should be buying and…...

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QB Streaming for the Championship Game

Giana Pacinelli provides QB streaming options, 2-QB plays, and overall QB rankings for Week 16 of the 2019 fantasy football season. Before reading this article, just know that around here, we don’t recognize week 17 fantasy football championships. You can debate the merits of those leagues elsewhere, but for my article, the season ends this week. So with that, our fantasy season has almost come…...

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Best Ball Win Rates – 2019 QB Results Demonstrate the Value of the Roster Construction Explorer

Shawn Siegele breaks down the quarterback position in best ball and looks at the results from Patrick Mahomes, Lamar Jackson, and Josh Allen in three different ADP windows. Lesson 3 of the Best Ball Workshop focused on the QB position. The takeaway: QB is more important than you think and easy to exploit. Was that the case again in 2019? To answer that question, let’s…...

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Week 16 Fantasy Football Kicker Streaming

The Process Before I look to Week 16 it is important to observe if the selection process was effective. Here is a recap of last week’s recommendations. If you need a refresher on what to look for when analyzing kickers, read the Week 2 Fantasy Football Kicker Streaming article.  Name, Team Stat Line Week 15 Rank 1 Robbie Gould, San Francisco 49ers FG 3/3 XP…...

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Week 16 Buy Low Report – Lights, Kamara, Action for Championship Weekend

The Strength of Schedule Streaming app allows you to see which players have the easiest or most difficult upcoming schedules, a potentially league-winning edge that gives you the opportunity to buy players right before they explode in plus matchups. Welcome back to the Buy Low Report. As usual, we will combine insight from the SoS Streaming App and the RotoViz Screener to identify players who…...

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Zero RB Watch List: AFC Week 16 – Josh Jacobs and James Conner Eliminate Committees

Shawn Siegele breaks down the AFC running back committees ahead of Week 16, including the impact of returning bell cows Josh Jacobs and James Conner. The RotoViz Screener and NFL Stat Explorer provide a smorgasbord of data as we dive into the advanced stats for every team. Much of our focus is on how RBs score their points. We use expected points (EP) and fantasy points over expectation (FPOE)…...

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2019 Week 16 Tight End Streamers : It All Comes Down to This

It’s Week 16 people. While some teams may have to go through the formality of playing in Week 17, for the majority of folks This is it. This is why you lift all those weights. Why you make all those waiver claims. This is why you have to negotiate with fools in your league to pull off trades that in theory should benefit everyone. This…...

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Zero RB Watch List: Week 17 – Deep Dynasty Stashes Emerge Amid a Flurry of Injuries

Shawn Siegele examines running back depth charts in flux and recommends stashing four deep dynasty sleepers before the offseason.  The heavyweights battled it out during championship weekend as 2019’s first three picks combined for 107 fantasy points. Saquon Barkley and Alvin Kamara were disappointments this season, but they came through in a huge way for any owners who found themselves in the title game. Following…...

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Should Tyler Johnson Have Declared Last Year? A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

On December 26, the Minnesota Golden Gophers take on the Auburn Tigers in the Outback Bowl. Although 6-foot-2-inch, 200-pound wide receiver Tyler Johnson could’ve declared early last season, he opted to prioritize earning his undergraduate degree over leaving early for the NFL. Despite opting to stay an extra year in school, Johnson has a very intriguing prospect profile. Despite the questionable quarterback play at Minnesota,…...

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How to Use Expected Points in the Offseason: 4 More Correlation Matrices

Last week I looked at a variety of Expected-Points-based metrics to determine which were the most stable from one week to the next and which were the most predictive of fantasy scoring in future weeks. However, fantasy football is not only a weekly game — in most formats your lineup won’t vary much from one week to the next. Also, for most of our fantasy…...

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Michael Thomas Sets Records As Surprise WRs Make Their Case to Dynasty Owners

Shawn Siegele looks at all the top wide receiver performances from Week 16, including big games from Sterling Shepard, Diontae Johnson, and Steven Sims Jr. Championship weekend featured a title-winning fourth-down score from Tyler Boyd and monster performances from two legends. Michael Thomas and Julio Jones combined for 22 catches and 58 points. Beyond the three studs, the finals were littered with big performances from…...

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Should D’Andre Swift Be the First Pick in Rookie Drafts? A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

On January 1, 2020, D’Andre Swift and the Georgia Bulldogs take on the Baylor Bears in the Sugar Bowl. Following the exits of teammates, Nick Chubb and Sony Michel, Swift took over an offense centered around the running game. Background Swift was one of the top RBs in the class of 2017. Per 247 Composite rankings, he was the No. 33 overall player and the fourth…...

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NFL Week 16: Coulda, Woulda, Shoulda

Monty Phan wraps up the weekend of NFL action. For nearly four months every year, my wife puts up with a husband who is totally useless on Sundays, a slave to the Red Zone Channel and NBC Sunday Night Football. Just when the season crescendos to a climax – the fantasy playoffs – is when her patience nearly runs out. What’s she rewarded with? A…...

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Week 16 Primetime Slate DFS Breakdown

Who are the best plays for the Week 16 DFS primetime slate on DraftKings and FanDuel? Tyler Loechner runs through notes on the primetime short slate featuring SNF/MNF games.((An important note: I’m writing this column with tournaments and GPPs top of mind. Cash game plays on short slates are usually easier to figure out because the options are so thin; tournaments require quite a bit…...

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NFL FanDuel GPPs: What The Lineup Optimizer Is Telling Us To Do in Week 16

Michael Dubner uses the DFS Lineup Optimizer and other RotoViz tools to prepare for Week 16 GPPs on FanDuel. Large-field GPPs are primarily won in three key areas: 1) player projections, 2) roster construction, and 3) ownership. Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once…...

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DK Buffet Week 16: Key Stats for the Main Slate on DraftKings

When I’m looking into the DFS slate each week, I like to go game by game and identify players or situations that intrigue me. In every game, on every team, there’s a situation that’s relevant for DFS, for either a positive or negative reason. These situations inform us of how we should be attacking each slate. Arizona Cardinals Spread: +10 @ Seattle | Total: 51…...

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FanDuel NFL Cash Plays – Week 16

Championship Week is here. If you aren’t in your league’s big game then The Fantasy Football Ghost has some players for your Week 16 FanDuel cash games. While the last few weeks have been brutal, Week 15 saw a bit of a turnaround for us. It wasn’t quite back to those great weeks where we were consistently over 2.5 times value, but it was an…...

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NFL Week 16 DraftKings Targets: Full Weekend Of Football

It’s fantasy football championship week, and we might as well carry that cash collection spirit over to the DFS side of things. We’ve got a three-game slate on Saturday with three separate island games, and this is a spot to attack. With the earliest game on Saturday likely to have the most exposure overall, late swapping on otherwise dead lineups is a huge advantage. Be…...

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The 3 and Out: League Wide Expected Points

The 3 and Out uses several RotoViz Apps to uncover significant workload changes; league, team, and player-specific trends; and hidden but powerful statistics. Earlier in the week, Blair Andrews explained why we care about expected points. Today, we’ll take a quick look at 2019 expected points through a league-wide lens while continuing to determine how “normal” 2019 was. Once the offseason hits in earnest, we’ll…...

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16 Stats to Know for DFS in Week 16

Utilizing RotoViz’s suite of creative tools, metrics, and filterable stats (all of which just keep getting better!), I unearthed 16 key stats to help you crush your Week 16 NFL DFS lineups. Vegas lines for Week 16 Reported lines are current as of December 19, 2019.[1]Provided by footballlocks.com. LAR @ SF: This will be the fastest-paced game of Week 16 for DFS IMPLIED: SF 25.75,…...

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Zero RB Watch List: NFC Week 16 – Miles Sanders Is a “Buy High” Candidate

Blair Andrews examines the running back workloads for the most contentious NFC backfields ahead of Week 16. Every fantasy team can use a breakout RB, whether their owners drafted them as Zero-RB squads or not. The Zero RB Watch List helps to find these breakout stars before they hit. But it also helps you understand which of the high-profile backs you should be buying and…...

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QB Streaming for the Championship Game

Giana Pacinelli provides QB streaming options, 2-QB plays, and overall QB rankings for Week 16 of the 2019 fantasy football season. Before reading this article, just know that around here, we don’t recognize week 17 fantasy football championships. You can debate the merits of those leagues elsewhere, but for my article, the season ends this week. So with that, our fantasy season has almost come…...

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Best Ball Win Rates – 2019 QB Results Demonstrate the Value of the Roster Construction Explorer

Shawn Siegele breaks down the quarterback position in best ball and looks at the results from Patrick Mahomes, Lamar Jackson, and Josh Allen in three different ADP windows. Lesson 3 of the Best Ball Workshop focused on the QB position. The takeaway: QB is more important than you think and easy to exploit. Was that the case again in 2019? To answer that question, let’s…...

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Week 16 Fantasy Football Kicker Streaming

The Process Before I look to Week 16 it is important to observe if the selection process was effective. Here is a recap of last week’s recommendations. If you need a refresher on what to look for when analyzing kickers, read the Week 2 Fantasy Football Kicker Streaming article.  Name, Team Stat Line Week 15 Rank 1 Robbie Gould, San Francisco 49ers FG 3/3 XP…...

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Week 16 Buy Low Report – Lights, Kamara, Action for Championship Weekend

The Strength of Schedule Streaming app allows you to see which players have the easiest or most difficult upcoming schedules, a potentially league-winning edge that gives you the opportunity to buy players right before they explode in plus matchups. Welcome back to the Buy Low Report. As usual, we will combine insight from the SoS Streaming App and the RotoViz Screener to identify players who…...

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Zero RB Watch List: AFC Week 16 – Josh Jacobs and James Conner Eliminate Committees

Shawn Siegele breaks down the AFC running back committees ahead of Week 16, including the impact of returning bell cows Josh Jacobs and James Conner. The RotoViz Screener and NFL Stat Explorer provide a smorgasbord of data as we dive into the advanced stats for every team. Much of our focus is on how RBs score their points. We use expected points (EP) and fantasy points over expectation (FPOE)…...

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2019 Week 16 Tight End Streamers : It All Comes Down to This

It’s Week 16 people. While some teams may have to go through the formality of playing in Week 17, for the majority of folks This is it. This is why you lift all those weights. Why you make all those waiver claims. This is why you have to negotiate with fools in your league to pull off trades that in theory should benefit everyone. This…...

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Zero RB Watch List: Week 17 – Deep Dynasty Stashes Emerge Amid a Flurry of Injuries

Shawn Siegele examines running back depth charts in flux and recommends stashing four deep dynasty sleepers before the offseason.  The heavyweights battled it out during championship weekend as 2019’s first three picks combined for 107 fantasy points. Saquon Barkley and Alvin Kamara were disappointments this season, but they came through in a huge way for any owners who found themselves in the title game. Following…...

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Should Tyler Johnson Have Declared Last Year? A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

On December 26, the Minnesota Golden Gophers take on the Auburn Tigers in the Outback Bowl. Although 6-foot-2-inch, 200-pound wide receiver Tyler Johnson could’ve declared early last season, he opted to prioritize earning his undergraduate degree over leaving early for the NFL. Despite opting to stay an extra year in school, Johnson has a very intriguing prospect profile. Despite the questionable quarterback play at Minnesota,…...

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How to Use Expected Points in the Offseason: 4 More Correlation Matrices

Last week I looked at a variety of Expected-Points-based metrics to determine which were the most stable from one week to the next and which were the most predictive of fantasy scoring in future weeks. However, fantasy football is not only a weekly game — in most formats your lineup won’t vary much from one week to the next. Also, for most of our fantasy…...

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Michael Thomas Sets Records As Surprise WRs Make Their Case to Dynasty Owners

Shawn Siegele looks at all the top wide receiver performances from Week 16, including big games from Sterling Shepard, Diontae Johnson, and Steven Sims Jr. Championship weekend featured a title-winning fourth-down score from Tyler Boyd and monster performances from two legends. Michael Thomas and Julio Jones combined for 22 catches and 58 points. Beyond the three studs, the finals were littered with big performances from…...

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Should D’Andre Swift Be the First Pick in Rookie Drafts? A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

On January 1, 2020, D’Andre Swift and the Georgia Bulldogs take on the Baylor Bears in the Sugar Bowl. Following the exits of teammates, Nick Chubb and Sony Michel, Swift took over an offense centered around the running game. Background Swift was one of the top RBs in the class of 2017. Per 247 Composite rankings, he was the No. 33 overall player and the fourth…...

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NFL Week 16: Coulda, Woulda, Shoulda

Monty Phan wraps up the weekend of NFL action. For nearly four months every year, my wife puts up with a husband who is totally useless on Sundays, a slave to the Red Zone Channel and NBC Sunday Night Football. Just when the season crescendos to a climax – the fantasy playoffs – is when her patience nearly runs out. What’s she rewarded with? A…...

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Week 16 Primetime Slate DFS Breakdown

Who are the best plays for the Week 16 DFS primetime slate on DraftKings and FanDuel? Tyler Loechner runs through notes on the primetime short slate featuring SNF/MNF games.((An important note: I’m writing this column with tournaments and GPPs top of mind. Cash game plays on short slates are usually easier to figure out because the options are so thin; tournaments require quite a bit…...

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NFL FanDuel GPPs: What The Lineup Optimizer Is Telling Us To Do in Week 16

Michael Dubner uses the DFS Lineup Optimizer and other RotoViz tools to prepare for Week 16 GPPs on FanDuel. Large-field GPPs are primarily won in three key areas: 1) player projections, 2) roster construction, and 3) ownership. Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once…...

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DK Buffet Week 16: Key Stats for the Main Slate on DraftKings

When I’m looking into the DFS slate each week, I like to go game by game and identify players or situations that intrigue me. In every game, on every team, there’s a situation that’s relevant for DFS, for either a positive or negative reason. These situations inform us of how we should be attacking each slate. Arizona Cardinals Spread: +10 @ Seattle | Total: 51…...

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FanDuel NFL Cash Plays – Week 16

Championship Week is here. If you aren’t in your league’s big game then The Fantasy Football Ghost has some players for your Week 16 FanDuel cash games. While the last few weeks have been brutal, Week 15 saw a bit of a turnaround for us. It wasn’t quite back to those great weeks where we were consistently over 2.5 times value, but it was an…...

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NFL Week 16 DraftKings Targets: Full Weekend Of Football

It’s fantasy football championship week, and we might as well carry that cash collection spirit over to the DFS side of things. We’ve got a three-game slate on Saturday with three separate island games, and this is a spot to attack. With the earliest game on Saturday likely to have the most exposure overall, late swapping on otherwise dead lineups is a huge advantage. Be…...

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The 3 and Out: League Wide Expected Points

The 3 and Out uses several RotoViz Apps to uncover significant workload changes; league, team, and player-specific trends; and hidden but powerful statistics. Earlier in the week, Blair Andrews explained why we care about expected points. Today, we’ll take a quick look at 2019 expected points through a league-wide lens while continuing to determine how “normal” 2019 was. Once the offseason hits in earnest, we’ll…...

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16 Stats to Know for DFS in Week 16

Utilizing RotoViz’s suite of creative tools, metrics, and filterable stats (all of which just keep getting better!), I unearthed 16 key stats to help you crush your Week 16 NFL DFS lineups. Vegas lines for Week 16 Reported lines are current as of December 19, 2019.[1]Provided by footballlocks.com. LAR @ SF: This will be the fastest-paced game of Week 16 for DFS IMPLIED: SF 25.75,…...

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Zero RB Watch List: NFC Week 16 – Miles Sanders Is a “Buy High” Candidate

Blair Andrews examines the running back workloads for the most contentious NFC backfields ahead of Week 16. Every fantasy team can use a breakout RB, whether their owners drafted them as Zero-RB squads or not. The Zero RB Watch List helps to find these breakout stars before they hit. But it also helps you understand which of the high-profile backs you should be buying and…...

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QB Streaming for the Championship Game

Giana Pacinelli provides QB streaming options, 2-QB plays, and overall QB rankings for Week 16 of the 2019 fantasy football season. Before reading this article, just know that around here, we don’t recognize week 17 fantasy football championships. You can debate the merits of those leagues elsewhere, but for my article, the season ends this week. So with that, our fantasy season has almost come…...

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Best Ball Win Rates – 2019 QB Results Demonstrate the Value of the Roster Construction Explorer

Shawn Siegele breaks down the quarterback position in best ball and looks at the results from Patrick Mahomes, Lamar Jackson, and Josh Allen in three different ADP windows. Lesson 3 of the Best Ball Workshop focused on the QB position. The takeaway: QB is more important than you think and easy to exploit. Was that the case again in 2019? To answer that question, let’s…...

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Week 16 Fantasy Football Kicker Streaming

The Process Before I look to Week 16 it is important to observe if the selection process was effective. Here is a recap of last week’s recommendations. If you need a refresher on what to look for when analyzing kickers, read the Week 2 Fantasy Football Kicker Streaming article.  Name, Team Stat Line Week 15 Rank 1 Robbie Gould, San Francisco 49ers FG 3/3 XP…...

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Week 16 Buy Low Report – Lights, Kamara, Action for Championship Weekend

The Strength of Schedule Streaming app allows you to see which players have the easiest or most difficult upcoming schedules, a potentially league-winning edge that gives you the opportunity to buy players right before they explode in plus matchups. Welcome back to the Buy Low Report. As usual, we will combine insight from the SoS Streaming App and the RotoViz Screener to identify players who…...

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Zero RB Watch List: AFC Week 16 – Josh Jacobs and James Conner Eliminate Committees

Shawn Siegele breaks down the AFC running back committees ahead of Week 16, including the impact of returning bell cows Josh Jacobs and James Conner. The RotoViz Screener and NFL Stat Explorer provide a smorgasbord of data as we dive into the advanced stats for every team. Much of our focus is on how RBs score their points. We use expected points (EP) and fantasy points over expectation (FPOE)…...

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2019 Week 16 Tight End Streamers : It All Comes Down to This

It’s Week 16 people. While some teams may have to go through the formality of playing in Week 17, for the majority of folks This is it. This is why you lift all those weights. Why you make all those waiver claims. This is why you have to negotiate with fools in your league to pull off trades that in theory should benefit everyone. This…...

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