Michael Dubner

RotoViz Featured Writer. Emphasis on NFL DFS and Best Ball.

Author Archive

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

NFL FanDuel GPPs: What The Lineup Optimizer Is Telling Us To Do in Week 16

Michael Dubner uses the DFS Lineup Optimizer and other RotoViz tools to prepare for Week 16 GPPs on FanDuel. Large-field GPPs are primarily won in three key areas: 1) player projections, 2) roster construction, and 3) ownership. Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once…...

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DK Buffet Week 16: Key Stats for the Main Slate on DraftKings

When I’m looking into the DFS slate each week, I like to go game by game and identify players or situations that intrigue me. In every game, on every team, there’s a situation that’s relevant for DFS, for either a positive or negative reason. These situations inform us of how we should be attacking each slate. Arizona Cardinals Spread: +10 @ Seattle | Total: 51…...

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FanDuel NFL Cash Plays – Week 16

Championship Week is here. If you aren’t in your league’s big game then The Fantasy Football Ghost has some players for your Week 16 FanDuel cash games. While the last few weeks have been brutal, Week 15 saw a bit of a turnaround for us. It wasn’t quite back to those great weeks where we were consistently over 2.5 times value, but it was an…...

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NFL Week 16 DraftKings Targets: Full Weekend Of Football

It’s fantasy football championship week, and we might as well carry that cash collection spirit over to the DFS side of things. We’ve got a three-game slate on Saturday with three separate island games, and this is a spot to attack. With the earliest game on Saturday likely to have the most exposure overall, late swapping on otherwise dead lineups is a huge advantage. Be…...

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The 3 and Out: League Wide Expected Points

The 3 and Out uses several RotoViz Apps to uncover significant workload changes; league, team, and player-specific trends; and hidden but powerful statistics. Earlier in the week, Blair Andrews explained why we care about expected points. Today, we’ll take a quick look at 2019 expected points through a league-wide lens while continuing to determine how “normal” 2019 was. Once the offseason hits in earnest, we’ll…...

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16 Stats to Know for DFS in Week 16

Utilizing RotoViz’s suite of creative tools, metrics, and filterable stats (all of which just keep getting better!), I unearthed 16 key stats to help you crush your Week 16 NFL DFS lineups. Vegas lines for Week 16 Reported lines are current as of December 19, 2019.[1]Provided by footballlocks.com. LAR @ SF: This will be the fastest-paced game of Week 16 for DFS IMPLIED: SF 25.75,…...

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Zero RB Watch List: NFC Week 16 – Miles Sanders Is a “Buy High” Candidate

Blair Andrews examines the running back workloads for the most contentious NFC backfields ahead of Week 16. Every fantasy team can use a breakout RB, whether their owners drafted them as Zero-RB squads or not. The Zero RB Watch List helps to find these breakout stars before they hit. But it also helps you understand which of the high-profile backs you should be buying and…...

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QB Streaming for the Championship Game

Giana Pacinelli provides QB streaming options, 2-QB plays, and overall QB rankings for Week 16 of the 2019 fantasy football season. Before reading this article, just know that around here, we don’t recognize week 17 fantasy football championships. You can debate the merits of those leagues elsewhere, but for my article, the season ends this week. So with that, our fantasy season has almost come…...

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Best Ball Win Rates – 2019 QB Results Demonstrate the Value of the Roster Construction Explorer

Shawn Siegele breaks down the quarterback position in best ball and looks at the results from Patrick Mahomes, Lamar Jackson, and Josh Allen in three different ADP windows. Lesson 3 of the Best Ball Workshop focused on the QB position. The takeaway: QB is more important than you think and easy to exploit. Was that the case again in 2019? To answer that question, let’s…...

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Week 16 Fantasy Football Kicker Streaming

The Process Before I look to Week 16 it is important to observe if the selection process was effective. Here is a recap of last week’s recommendations. If you need a refresher on what to look for when analyzing kickers, read the Week 2 Fantasy Football Kicker Streaming article.  Name, Team Stat Line Week 15 Rank 1 Robbie Gould, San Francisco 49ers FG 3/3 XP…...

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Week 16 Buy Low Report – Lights, Kamara, Action for Championship Weekend

The Strength of Schedule Streaming app allows you to see which players have the easiest or most difficult upcoming schedules, a potentially league-winning edge that gives you the opportunity to buy players right before they explode in plus matchups. Welcome back to the Buy Low Report. As usual, we will combine insight from the SoS Streaming App and the RotoViz Screener to identify players who…...

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Zero RB Watch List: AFC Week 16 – Josh Jacobs and James Conner Eliminate Committees

Shawn Siegele breaks down the AFC running back committees ahead of Week 16, including the impact of returning bell cows Josh Jacobs and James Conner. The RotoViz Screener and NFL Stat Explorer provide a smorgasbord of data as we dive into the advanced stats for every team. Much of our focus is on how RBs score their points. We use expected points (EP) and fantasy points over expectation (FPOE)…...

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2019 Week 16 Tight End Streamers : It All Comes Down to This

It’s Week 16 people. While some teams may have to go through the formality of playing in Week 17, for the majority of folks This is it. This is why you lift all those weights. Why you make all those waiver claims. This is why you have to negotiate with fools in your league to pull off trades that in theory should benefit everyone. This…...

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Wide Receiver Target Report: Week 15

We are back once again with our weekly look at the wide receivers who saw the most targets in the last week of NFL action. Here’s the full list of WRs who commanded at least 10 targets in the last week of NFL action. Double-Digit Targets in Week 15 QUICK THOUGHTS You could be somewhat forgiven for thinking that 2019 has been a down season…...

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Why Do We Care About Expected Points? An Explanation in 4 Correlation Matrices

If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform raw opportunity, such as carries and targets, directly into fantasy points. From there we can…...

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Breshad Perriman’s Career Day Plunges the Fantasy Semifinals Into Chaos and Leads WRs in Points Over Expectation

Shawn Siegele looks at all the top wide receiver performances from Week 15, including big games from Breshad Perriman, Terry McLaurin, and DeVante Parker. The 2019 fantasy semifinals included plenty of shootouts. Thirteen WRs scored 20 or more points. Julio Jones and Chris Conley combined for 36 in the final stanza alone as they led their squads to improbable comebacks. The Week 15 fantasy points over…...

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Week 16 Waiver Wire Advice: Top Targets at Each Position

Looking for Week 16 waiver wire advice for fantasy football? You’ve come to the right place. We’ll give you some of the top targets at each position so that when you submit a waiver claim, you do it with confidence. We’re doing things a little different this week and only showing players that are worth consideration for Week 16, since fantasy’s championship weekend has finally…...

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NFL Week 15: Coin Flips

Monty Phan wraps up the weekend of NFL action. If you’re wondering what caused the greatest uproar in the NFL Twitterverse yesterday, it should come as no surprise that it was what everyone believed to be a miscommunicated call between Cowboys coach Jason Garrett and Dak Prescott that could have had a huge effect on the rest of the game. It was the pregame coin…...

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Week 15 Primetime Slate DFS Breakdown

Who are the best plays for the Week 15 DFS primetime slate on DraftKings and FanDuel? Tyler Loechner runs through notes on the primetime short slate featuring SNF/MNF games.((An important note: I’m writing this column with tournaments and GPPs top of mind. Cash game plays on short slates are usually easier to figure out because the options are so thin; tournaments require quite a bit…...

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Dollars Per Opportunity: Dede Stepping Into Big Role

Opportunity, opportunity, opportunity — that’s what fantasy football is all about. Each week I utilize our Game Level Similarity Projections to find the hidden DFS values from a dollar-per-opportunity perspective with a focus on Week 14 Yahoo! DFS. As always, within this article you will see screenshots from various amazing tools that RotoViz provides, such as the Stat Explorer, GLSP Projections, Pace App, Game Splits…...

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NFL FanDuel GPPs: What The Lineup Optimizer Is Telling Us To Do in Week 16

Michael Dubner uses the DFS Lineup Optimizer and other RotoViz tools to prepare for Week 16 GPPs on FanDuel. Large-field GPPs are primarily won in three key areas: 1) player projections, 2) roster construction, and 3) ownership. Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once…...

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DK Buffet Week 16: Key Stats for the Main Slate on DraftKings

When I’m looking into the DFS slate each week, I like to go game by game and identify players or situations that intrigue me. In every game, on every team, there’s a situation that’s relevant for DFS, for either a positive or negative reason. These situations inform us of how we should be attacking each slate. Arizona Cardinals Spread: +10 @ Seattle | Total: 51…...

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FanDuel NFL Cash Plays – Week 16

Championship Week is here. If you aren’t in your league’s big game then The Fantasy Football Ghost has some players for your Week 16 FanDuel cash games. While the last few weeks have been brutal, Week 15 saw a bit of a turnaround for us. It wasn’t quite back to those great weeks where we were consistently over 2.5 times value, but it was an…...

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NFL Week 16 DraftKings Targets: Full Weekend Of Football

It’s fantasy football championship week, and we might as well carry that cash collection spirit over to the DFS side of things. We’ve got a three-game slate on Saturday with three separate island games, and this is a spot to attack. With the earliest game on Saturday likely to have the most exposure overall, late swapping on otherwise dead lineups is a huge advantage. Be…...

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The 3 and Out: League Wide Expected Points

The 3 and Out uses several RotoViz Apps to uncover significant workload changes; league, team, and player-specific trends; and hidden but powerful statistics. Earlier in the week, Blair Andrews explained why we care about expected points. Today, we’ll take a quick look at 2019 expected points through a league-wide lens while continuing to determine how “normal” 2019 was. Once the offseason hits in earnest, we’ll…...

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16 Stats to Know for DFS in Week 16

Utilizing RotoViz’s suite of creative tools, metrics, and filterable stats (all of which just keep getting better!), I unearthed 16 key stats to help you crush your Week 16 NFL DFS lineups. Vegas lines for Week 16 Reported lines are current as of December 19, 2019.[1]Provided by footballlocks.com. LAR @ SF: This will be the fastest-paced game of Week 16 for DFS IMPLIED: SF 25.75,…...

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Zero RB Watch List: NFC Week 16 – Miles Sanders Is a “Buy High” Candidate

Blair Andrews examines the running back workloads for the most contentious NFC backfields ahead of Week 16. Every fantasy team can use a breakout RB, whether their owners drafted them as Zero-RB squads or not. The Zero RB Watch List helps to find these breakout stars before they hit. But it also helps you understand which of the high-profile backs you should be buying and…...

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QB Streaming for the Championship Game

Giana Pacinelli provides QB streaming options, 2-QB plays, and overall QB rankings for Week 16 of the 2019 fantasy football season. Before reading this article, just know that around here, we don’t recognize week 17 fantasy football championships. You can debate the merits of those leagues elsewhere, but for my article, the season ends this week. So with that, our fantasy season has almost come…...

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Best Ball Win Rates – 2019 QB Results Demonstrate the Value of the Roster Construction Explorer

Shawn Siegele breaks down the quarterback position in best ball and looks at the results from Patrick Mahomes, Lamar Jackson, and Josh Allen in three different ADP windows. Lesson 3 of the Best Ball Workshop focused on the QB position. The takeaway: QB is more important than you think and easy to exploit. Was that the case again in 2019? To answer that question, let’s…...

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Week 16 Fantasy Football Kicker Streaming

The Process Before I look to Week 16 it is important to observe if the selection process was effective. Here is a recap of last week’s recommendations. If you need a refresher on what to look for when analyzing kickers, read the Week 2 Fantasy Football Kicker Streaming article.  Name, Team Stat Line Week 15 Rank 1 Robbie Gould, San Francisco 49ers FG 3/3 XP…...

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Week 16 Buy Low Report – Lights, Kamara, Action for Championship Weekend

The Strength of Schedule Streaming app allows you to see which players have the easiest or most difficult upcoming schedules, a potentially league-winning edge that gives you the opportunity to buy players right before they explode in plus matchups. Welcome back to the Buy Low Report. As usual, we will combine insight from the SoS Streaming App and the RotoViz Screener to identify players who…...

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Zero RB Watch List: AFC Week 16 – Josh Jacobs and James Conner Eliminate Committees

Shawn Siegele breaks down the AFC running back committees ahead of Week 16, including the impact of returning bell cows Josh Jacobs and James Conner. The RotoViz Screener and NFL Stat Explorer provide a smorgasbord of data as we dive into the advanced stats for every team. Much of our focus is on how RBs score their points. We use expected points (EP) and fantasy points over expectation (FPOE)…...

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2019 Week 16 Tight End Streamers : It All Comes Down to This

It’s Week 16 people. While some teams may have to go through the formality of playing in Week 17, for the majority of folks This is it. This is why you lift all those weights. Why you make all those waiver claims. This is why you have to negotiate with fools in your league to pull off trades that in theory should benefit everyone. This…...

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Wide Receiver Target Report: Week 15

We are back once again with our weekly look at the wide receivers who saw the most targets in the last week of NFL action. Here’s the full list of WRs who commanded at least 10 targets in the last week of NFL action. Double-Digit Targets in Week 15 QUICK THOUGHTS You could be somewhat forgiven for thinking that 2019 has been a down season…...

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Why Do We Care About Expected Points? An Explanation in 4 Correlation Matrices

If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform raw opportunity, such as carries and targets, directly into fantasy points. From there we can…...

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Breshad Perriman’s Career Day Plunges the Fantasy Semifinals Into Chaos and Leads WRs in Points Over Expectation

Shawn Siegele looks at all the top wide receiver performances from Week 15, including big games from Breshad Perriman, Terry McLaurin, and DeVante Parker. The 2019 fantasy semifinals included plenty of shootouts. Thirteen WRs scored 20 or more points. Julio Jones and Chris Conley combined for 36 in the final stanza alone as they led their squads to improbable comebacks. The Week 15 fantasy points over…...

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Week 16 Waiver Wire Advice: Top Targets at Each Position

Looking for Week 16 waiver wire advice for fantasy football? You’ve come to the right place. We’ll give you some of the top targets at each position so that when you submit a waiver claim, you do it with confidence. We’re doing things a little different this week and only showing players that are worth consideration for Week 16, since fantasy’s championship weekend has finally…...

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NFL Week 15: Coin Flips

Monty Phan wraps up the weekend of NFL action. If you’re wondering what caused the greatest uproar in the NFL Twitterverse yesterday, it should come as no surprise that it was what everyone believed to be a miscommunicated call between Cowboys coach Jason Garrett and Dak Prescott that could have had a huge effect on the rest of the game. It was the pregame coin…...

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Week 15 Primetime Slate DFS Breakdown

Who are the best plays for the Week 15 DFS primetime slate on DraftKings and FanDuel? Tyler Loechner runs through notes on the primetime short slate featuring SNF/MNF games.((An important note: I’m writing this column with tournaments and GPPs top of mind. Cash game plays on short slates are usually easier to figure out because the options are so thin; tournaments require quite a bit…...

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Dollars Per Opportunity: Dede Stepping Into Big Role

Opportunity, opportunity, opportunity — that’s what fantasy football is all about. Each week I utilize our Game Level Similarity Projections to find the hidden DFS values from a dollar-per-opportunity perspective with a focus on Week 14 Yahoo! DFS. As always, within this article you will see screenshots from various amazing tools that RotoViz provides, such as the Stat Explorer, GLSP Projections, Pace App, Game Splits…...

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NFL FanDuel GPPs: What The Lineup Optimizer Is Telling Us To Do in Week 16

Michael Dubner uses the DFS Lineup Optimizer and other RotoViz tools to prepare for Week 16 GPPs on FanDuel. Large-field GPPs are primarily won in three key areas: 1) player projections, 2) roster construction, and 3) ownership. Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once…...

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DK Buffet Week 16: Key Stats for the Main Slate on DraftKings

When I’m looking into the DFS slate each week, I like to go game by game and identify players or situations that intrigue me. In every game, on every team, there’s a situation that’s relevant for DFS, for either a positive or negative reason. These situations inform us of how we should be attacking each slate. Arizona Cardinals Spread: +10 @ Seattle | Total: 51…...

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FanDuel NFL Cash Plays – Week 16

Championship Week is here. If you aren’t in your league’s big game then The Fantasy Football Ghost has some players for your Week 16 FanDuel cash games. While the last few weeks have been brutal, Week 15 saw a bit of a turnaround for us. It wasn’t quite back to those great weeks where we were consistently over 2.5 times value, but it was an…...

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NFL Week 16 DraftKings Targets: Full Weekend Of Football

It’s fantasy football championship week, and we might as well carry that cash collection spirit over to the DFS side of things. We’ve got a three-game slate on Saturday with three separate island games, and this is a spot to attack. With the earliest game on Saturday likely to have the most exposure overall, late swapping on otherwise dead lineups is a huge advantage. Be…...

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The 3 and Out: League Wide Expected Points

The 3 and Out uses several RotoViz Apps to uncover significant workload changes; league, team, and player-specific trends; and hidden but powerful statistics. Earlier in the week, Blair Andrews explained why we care about expected points. Today, we’ll take a quick look at 2019 expected points through a league-wide lens while continuing to determine how “normal” 2019 was. Once the offseason hits in earnest, we’ll…...

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16 Stats to Know for DFS in Week 16

Utilizing RotoViz’s suite of creative tools, metrics, and filterable stats (all of which just keep getting better!), I unearthed 16 key stats to help you crush your Week 16 NFL DFS lineups. Vegas lines for Week 16 Reported lines are current as of December 19, 2019.[1]Provided by footballlocks.com. LAR @ SF: This will be the fastest-paced game of Week 16 for DFS IMPLIED: SF 25.75,…...

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Zero RB Watch List: NFC Week 16 – Miles Sanders Is a “Buy High” Candidate

Blair Andrews examines the running back workloads for the most contentious NFC backfields ahead of Week 16. Every fantasy team can use a breakout RB, whether their owners drafted them as Zero-RB squads or not. The Zero RB Watch List helps to find these breakout stars before they hit. But it also helps you understand which of the high-profile backs you should be buying and…...

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QB Streaming for the Championship Game

Giana Pacinelli provides QB streaming options, 2-QB plays, and overall QB rankings for Week 16 of the 2019 fantasy football season. Before reading this article, just know that around here, we don’t recognize week 17 fantasy football championships. You can debate the merits of those leagues elsewhere, but for my article, the season ends this week. So with that, our fantasy season has almost come…...

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Best Ball Win Rates – 2019 QB Results Demonstrate the Value of the Roster Construction Explorer

Shawn Siegele breaks down the quarterback position in best ball and looks at the results from Patrick Mahomes, Lamar Jackson, and Josh Allen in three different ADP windows. Lesson 3 of the Best Ball Workshop focused on the QB position. The takeaway: QB is more important than you think and easy to exploit. Was that the case again in 2019? To answer that question, let’s…...

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Week 16 Fantasy Football Kicker Streaming

The Process Before I look to Week 16 it is important to observe if the selection process was effective. Here is a recap of last week’s recommendations. If you need a refresher on what to look for when analyzing kickers, read the Week 2 Fantasy Football Kicker Streaming article.  Name, Team Stat Line Week 15 Rank 1 Robbie Gould, San Francisco 49ers FG 3/3 XP…...

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Week 16 Buy Low Report – Lights, Kamara, Action for Championship Weekend

The Strength of Schedule Streaming app allows you to see which players have the easiest or most difficult upcoming schedules, a potentially league-winning edge that gives you the opportunity to buy players right before they explode in plus matchups. Welcome back to the Buy Low Report. As usual, we will combine insight from the SoS Streaming App and the RotoViz Screener to identify players who…...

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Zero RB Watch List: AFC Week 16 – Josh Jacobs and James Conner Eliminate Committees

Shawn Siegele breaks down the AFC running back committees ahead of Week 16, including the impact of returning bell cows Josh Jacobs and James Conner. The RotoViz Screener and NFL Stat Explorer provide a smorgasbord of data as we dive into the advanced stats for every team. Much of our focus is on how RBs score their points. We use expected points (EP) and fantasy points over expectation (FPOE)…...

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2019 Week 16 Tight End Streamers : It All Comes Down to This

It’s Week 16 people. While some teams may have to go through the formality of playing in Week 17, for the majority of folks This is it. This is why you lift all those weights. Why you make all those waiver claims. This is why you have to negotiate with fools in your league to pull off trades that in theory should benefit everyone. This…...

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Wide Receiver Target Report: Week 15

We are back once again with our weekly look at the wide receivers who saw the most targets in the last week of NFL action. Here’s the full list of WRs who commanded at least 10 targets in the last week of NFL action. Double-Digit Targets in Week 15 QUICK THOUGHTS You could be somewhat forgiven for thinking that 2019 has been a down season…...

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Why Do We Care About Expected Points? An Explanation in 4 Correlation Matrices

If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform raw opportunity, such as carries and targets, directly into fantasy points. From there we can…...

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Breshad Perriman’s Career Day Plunges the Fantasy Semifinals Into Chaos and Leads WRs in Points Over Expectation

Shawn Siegele looks at all the top wide receiver performances from Week 15, including big games from Breshad Perriman, Terry McLaurin, and DeVante Parker. The 2019 fantasy semifinals included plenty of shootouts. Thirteen WRs scored 20 or more points. Julio Jones and Chris Conley combined for 36 in the final stanza alone as they led their squads to improbable comebacks. The Week 15 fantasy points over…...

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Week 16 Waiver Wire Advice: Top Targets at Each Position

Looking for Week 16 waiver wire advice for fantasy football? You’ve come to the right place. We’ll give you some of the top targets at each position so that when you submit a waiver claim, you do it with confidence. We’re doing things a little different this week and only showing players that are worth consideration for Week 16, since fantasy’s championship weekend has finally…...

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NFL Week 15: Coin Flips

Monty Phan wraps up the weekend of NFL action. If you’re wondering what caused the greatest uproar in the NFL Twitterverse yesterday, it should come as no surprise that it was what everyone believed to be a miscommunicated call between Cowboys coach Jason Garrett and Dak Prescott that could have had a huge effect on the rest of the game. It was the pregame coin…...

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Week 15 Primetime Slate DFS Breakdown

Who are the best plays for the Week 15 DFS primetime slate on DraftKings and FanDuel? Tyler Loechner runs through notes on the primetime short slate featuring SNF/MNF games.((An important note: I’m writing this column with tournaments and GPPs top of mind. Cash game plays on short slates are usually easier to figure out because the options are so thin; tournaments require quite a bit…...

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Dollars Per Opportunity: Dede Stepping Into Big Role

Opportunity, opportunity, opportunity — that’s what fantasy football is all about. Each week I utilize our Game Level Similarity Projections to find the hidden DFS values from a dollar-per-opportunity perspective with a focus on Week 14 Yahoo! DFS. As always, within this article you will see screenshots from various amazing tools that RotoViz provides, such as the Stat Explorer, GLSP Projections, Pace App, Game Splits…...

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