Dave Caban

Senior Fantasy Analyst, app developer, hosts the RotoViz Radio Flagship, auction draft enthusiast.

Author Archive

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

2019 Game Level Similarity Projections: Calculating Weekly Fantasy Point Expectations

Dave Caban explains the process used to generate the weekly projections that will power the apps in the 2019 season. Throughout the 2019 season, I’ll be generating Game Level Similarity Projections (GLSP) on a weekly basis. GLSP use historical data to determine a realistic range of outcomes for a particular player in a particular game. These projections will be included in a number of our…...

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Just Draft the Right Players: My Top Targets In Each Round

I’ve been in a handful of drafts this offseason with co-managers (including one with three other co-managers). One thing I’ve found myself doing in order to prepare to co-draft a fantasy team is to pick out my draft targets in each round. In most rounds there are only a handful of players I’m actually considering. So putting those targets down in writing has been helpful when strategizing…...

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2019 Zero RB Candidates – The Update

In the Update, we’re going to do something a little different than we’ve done in the past. Instead of a countdown, we’re placing the candidates into categories that will help you find players at different ADP levels who fit your personal draft plan. We’re also going to go with the short and sweet intro, mentioning that Zero RB posted a gaudy 14% win rate in…...

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College Football DFS Confident Cash Plays: Week 1

Welcome to the second edition of 2019’s Confident Cash Plays! ICYMI, last week was a hit for our suggested player pool with the exception of a couple of dirt cheap running backs. The optimal lineup using just our player pool scored 196.96 points — easily a 3x profit in most cash contests. Now it’s on to Week 1 of the College Football season with our…...

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3 Players I’m Begging You Not to Draft

Every year, there are a handful of players whose selection leaves me scratching my head. Last year, I begged you not to draft D’Onta Foreman and his ruptured Achilles, which seems obvious looking back, but people were drafting him right up until opening weekend. The year before that, I implored you to avoid the trendy Martavis Bryant, and he finished as the WR50. This year, I…...

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FFPC Best Ball Roster Construction: The Best Defense Is Lots Of Defense

In traditional redraft leagues, fantasy analysts will tell you not to even draft a defense unless the rules require it. In best ball leagues, not only do you need to draft a defense, research has shown that you probably want at least three even in shallower best ball leagues. So what about the 28-round FFPC drafts? What’s the optimal number of defenses, and when should…...

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The Complete Road Map to Our Favorite Fantasy Discount Plays

If you’ve been jumping the queue to draft Dante Pettis in the sixth round this summer, this article may not be for you. Then again, maybe it’s exactly what you need. Every year there are still some players getting a bit too much love while their cohorts with similar ranges of outcomes go at a discount. After all, as the Fantasy Douche explained years ago,…...

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Memphis Will Run All Over Ole Miss: DraftKings Week 1 CFB DFS GPP Breakdown

The CFB DFS season continues with 10 games in DraftKings’ main slate. Toledo at Kentucky (-12), Over/Under: 62 — 12 p.m. ET Mississippi State (-20) vs. Louisiana, Over/Under: 60 — 12 p.m. ET Ole Miss at Memphis (-5), Over/Under: 66 — 12 p.m. ET East Carolina at North Carolina State (-17), Over/Under: 53.5 — 12 p.m. ET Indiana (-17.5) vs. Ball State, Over/Under: 60 —…...

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2019 Is a Banner Year for Third-Year Breakout WRs: Advanced Stats Identify 2 Strong Buys, 2 Holds, and 1 Sleeper

Shawn Siegele is known for Zero RB selections and WR breakout candidates. The breakouts fueled his overall title in the 2013 NFFC Primetime, and his 2018 breakout selections led to an 11th league title and top-15 finish. Today, he looks at the history of third-year WR breakouts, discusses the key indicators of fantasy success, and provides five options for your 2019 fantasy football drafts. We…...

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Travis May’s College Football 2019 Watch List

Happy “College Football Season Is Back” Week! You know what that means! It’s time for tailgating, staring at large televisions for eight hours on a Saturday, and lying to yourself when you say that you’re “finally going to stay up to watch the late PAC-12 game!” And even if you aren’t crazy enough to watch Washington State vs. New Mexico play into the early morning,…...

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Dr. Budoff and the Fantasy Football Injury Cheat Sheet for 2019 – Key Players to Place on Your “Do Not Draft” List

We all have them. There are players we want, and then there are those that we just don’t. Sometimes, we just don’t believe the hype that everyone else seems to, and they for more money than you’re willing to pay in auction drafts.[1]The only way to draft. Sometimes a player’s injury history lands them on your “Do Not Draft” list. That’s what I’m focusing on…...

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Using the Draft Dashboard to Build a Win Big-Lose Small Fantasy Roster

The Draft Dashboard is a powerful tool to prepare for drafts and to dominate the real thing. Now available in both web and excel versions, it gives you a wealth of information at your fingertips when you’re on the clock, and it’s also a flexible mock draft tool that allows you to work through a variety of scenarios and formats. Last week, I used the Draft Dashboard…...

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6 Priority Players I Want in Every Fantasy Draft

Diversification is great if you’re playing 50 or more leagues, but you need to narrow your focus and give yourself the best chance at success if you’re only playing in a few fantasy drafts. Here are six players I think have the best shot at being league winners in 2019, along with some suggested alternatives in case you miss out. D.J. Moore Last year around…...

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When The Devy Breaks: Don’t Wait to Buy Lynn Bowden Jr.

We made it folks. College football is finally back. And with its return, devy leagues are heating up. The goals for this weekly article series are as follows: Present a “stock up, stock down” section, highlighting devy prospects either gaining or losing stock Engage some of the best and brightest devy analysts in the industry via mock drafts, sleepers, and other crucial pieces of insight Identify weekly…...

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Are We Drafting the Denver Running Backs in the Right Order?: Fantasy Football Multiverse

After watching Avengers: Endgame, I couldn’t stop thinking about the multiverse. Then, my mind drifted to the Projection Machine, which acts as a fantasy football time machine. Every little tweak in the timeline of fantasy football can have a wide range of repercussions that echo across the league. So, in this series, I’ll dial up that Projection Machine to examine players who could experience big…...

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Devy Weekly: Welcome to the 2019 College Football Season

Welcome to the first installment of the 2019 Devy Weekly series! Every single week we’ll be covering some top college football players that just helped their case for a shot at an NFL future. We’ll break it down by position, giving you players to target in all areas of need for your dynasty rosters. If you’re new to Devy Leagues, the long and short of it…...

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How to Target the Right Fourth-Year WR Breakouts: 2 Solid Middle-Round Options and 1 Sleeper to Own Everywhere

Shawn Siegele looks at the history of fourth-year WR breakouts, discusses the key indicators of fantasy success, and provides three options for your 2019 fantasy football drafts. We focus on WR breakouts by class because you’re looking for very different indicators depending on the amount of experience candidates possess. Yesterday, we found 3 Intriguing Late-Round Options for a Fifth-Year Breakout. Today, we highlight some higher…...

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Devy Rankings Update: College Football Is Back!

College football is officially back! Yes, the NFL is too, blah, blah, preseason, blah. But for those of you who play in devy fantasy football leagues, or just simply enjoy college football action, you’re ready to talk about all your favorite players! Luckily, so are we here at RotoViz! So, without further ado, let’s jump into this breakdown of the latest RotoViz Devy Rankings! Our Devy…...

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Target These 2 Discount Plays on Odell Beckham Jr

Am I the only one who gets a bit nervous when on the clock in the first round and Odell Beckham is the WR at the top of the draft queue? While he has the talent to overcome historical trends, I can’t help but harken back to Blair Andrews telling us that we should generally avoid WRs who change teams. Nor can I completely ignore the fact that…...

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Leonard Fournette’s Huge Range of Outcomes: Should You Buy His Lotto Ticket at ADP?

Leonard Fournette is proving to be one of the most pivotal players in 2019 fantasy drafts. With his third-round ADP, he’s one of the earliest “risk” players you need to make a choice on. Do you buy Fournette at his current ADP, or do you pass on him and let one of your league mates deal with the volatility? Fournette’s rookie season comps were a…...

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2019 Game Level Similarity Projections: Calculating Weekly Fantasy Point Expectations

Dave Caban explains the process used to generate the weekly projections that will power the apps in the 2019 season. Throughout the 2019 season, I’ll be generating Game Level Similarity Projections (GLSP) on a weekly basis. GLSP use historical data to determine a realistic range of outcomes for a particular player in a particular game. These projections will be included in a number of our…...

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Just Draft the Right Players: My Top Targets In Each Round

I’ve been in a handful of drafts this offseason with co-managers (including one with three other co-managers). One thing I’ve found myself doing in order to prepare to co-draft a fantasy team is to pick out my draft targets in each round. In most rounds there are only a handful of players I’m actually considering. So putting those targets down in writing has been helpful when strategizing…...

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2019 Zero RB Candidates – The Update

In the Update, we’re going to do something a little different than we’ve done in the past. Instead of a countdown, we’re placing the candidates into categories that will help you find players at different ADP levels who fit your personal draft plan. We’re also going to go with the short and sweet intro, mentioning that Zero RB posted a gaudy 14% win rate in…...

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College Football DFS Confident Cash Plays: Week 1

Welcome to the second edition of 2019’s Confident Cash Plays! ICYMI, last week was a hit for our suggested player pool with the exception of a couple of dirt cheap running backs. The optimal lineup using just our player pool scored 196.96 points — easily a 3x profit in most cash contests. Now it’s on to Week 1 of the College Football season with our…...

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3 Players I’m Begging You Not to Draft

Every year, there are a handful of players whose selection leaves me scratching my head. Last year, I begged you not to draft D’Onta Foreman and his ruptured Achilles, which seems obvious looking back, but people were drafting him right up until opening weekend. The year before that, I implored you to avoid the trendy Martavis Bryant, and he finished as the WR50. This year, I…...

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FFPC Best Ball Roster Construction: The Best Defense Is Lots Of Defense

In traditional redraft leagues, fantasy analysts will tell you not to even draft a defense unless the rules require it. In best ball leagues, not only do you need to draft a defense, research has shown that you probably want at least three even in shallower best ball leagues. So what about the 28-round FFPC drafts? What’s the optimal number of defenses, and when should…...

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The Complete Road Map to Our Favorite Fantasy Discount Plays

If you’ve been jumping the queue to draft Dante Pettis in the sixth round this summer, this article may not be for you. Then again, maybe it’s exactly what you need. Every year there are still some players getting a bit too much love while their cohorts with similar ranges of outcomes go at a discount. After all, as the Fantasy Douche explained years ago,…...

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Memphis Will Run All Over Ole Miss: DraftKings Week 1 CFB DFS GPP Breakdown

The CFB DFS season continues with 10 games in DraftKings’ main slate. Toledo at Kentucky (-12), Over/Under: 62 — 12 p.m. ET Mississippi State (-20) vs. Louisiana, Over/Under: 60 — 12 p.m. ET Ole Miss at Memphis (-5), Over/Under: 66 — 12 p.m. ET East Carolina at North Carolina State (-17), Over/Under: 53.5 — 12 p.m. ET Indiana (-17.5) vs. Ball State, Over/Under: 60 —…...

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2019 Is a Banner Year for Third-Year Breakout WRs: Advanced Stats Identify 2 Strong Buys, 2 Holds, and 1 Sleeper

Shawn Siegele is known for Zero RB selections and WR breakout candidates. The breakouts fueled his overall title in the 2013 NFFC Primetime, and his 2018 breakout selections led to an 11th league title and top-15 finish. Today, he looks at the history of third-year WR breakouts, discusses the key indicators of fantasy success, and provides five options for your 2019 fantasy football drafts. We…...

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Travis May’s College Football 2019 Watch List

Happy “College Football Season Is Back” Week! You know what that means! It’s time for tailgating, staring at large televisions for eight hours on a Saturday, and lying to yourself when you say that you’re “finally going to stay up to watch the late PAC-12 game!” And even if you aren’t crazy enough to watch Washington State vs. New Mexico play into the early morning,…...

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Dr. Budoff and the Fantasy Football Injury Cheat Sheet for 2019 – Key Players to Place on Your “Do Not Draft” List

We all have them. There are players we want, and then there are those that we just don’t. Sometimes, we just don’t believe the hype that everyone else seems to, and they for more money than you’re willing to pay in auction drafts.[1]The only way to draft. Sometimes a player’s injury history lands them on your “Do Not Draft” list. That’s what I’m focusing on…...

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Using the Draft Dashboard to Build a Win Big-Lose Small Fantasy Roster

The Draft Dashboard is a powerful tool to prepare for drafts and to dominate the real thing. Now available in both web and excel versions, it gives you a wealth of information at your fingertips when you’re on the clock, and it’s also a flexible mock draft tool that allows you to work through a variety of scenarios and formats. Last week, I used the Draft Dashboard…...

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6 Priority Players I Want in Every Fantasy Draft

Diversification is great if you’re playing 50 or more leagues, but you need to narrow your focus and give yourself the best chance at success if you’re only playing in a few fantasy drafts. Here are six players I think have the best shot at being league winners in 2019, along with some suggested alternatives in case you miss out. D.J. Moore Last year around…...

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When The Devy Breaks: Don’t Wait to Buy Lynn Bowden Jr.

We made it folks. College football is finally back. And with its return, devy leagues are heating up. The goals for this weekly article series are as follows: Present a “stock up, stock down” section, highlighting devy prospects either gaining or losing stock Engage some of the best and brightest devy analysts in the industry via mock drafts, sleepers, and other crucial pieces of insight Identify weekly…...

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Are We Drafting the Denver Running Backs in the Right Order?: Fantasy Football Multiverse

After watching Avengers: Endgame, I couldn’t stop thinking about the multiverse. Then, my mind drifted to the Projection Machine, which acts as a fantasy football time machine. Every little tweak in the timeline of fantasy football can have a wide range of repercussions that echo across the league. So, in this series, I’ll dial up that Projection Machine to examine players who could experience big…...

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Devy Weekly: Welcome to the 2019 College Football Season

Welcome to the first installment of the 2019 Devy Weekly series! Every single week we’ll be covering some top college football players that just helped their case for a shot at an NFL future. We’ll break it down by position, giving you players to target in all areas of need for your dynasty rosters. If you’re new to Devy Leagues, the long and short of it…...

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How to Target the Right Fourth-Year WR Breakouts: 2 Solid Middle-Round Options and 1 Sleeper to Own Everywhere

Shawn Siegele looks at the history of fourth-year WR breakouts, discusses the key indicators of fantasy success, and provides three options for your 2019 fantasy football drafts. We focus on WR breakouts by class because you’re looking for very different indicators depending on the amount of experience candidates possess. Yesterday, we found 3 Intriguing Late-Round Options for a Fifth-Year Breakout. Today, we highlight some higher…...

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Devy Rankings Update: College Football Is Back!

College football is officially back! Yes, the NFL is too, blah, blah, preseason, blah. But for those of you who play in devy fantasy football leagues, or just simply enjoy college football action, you’re ready to talk about all your favorite players! Luckily, so are we here at RotoViz! So, without further ado, let’s jump into this breakdown of the latest RotoViz Devy Rankings! Our Devy…...

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Target These 2 Discount Plays on Odell Beckham Jr

Am I the only one who gets a bit nervous when on the clock in the first round and Odell Beckham is the WR at the top of the draft queue? While he has the talent to overcome historical trends, I can’t help but harken back to Blair Andrews telling us that we should generally avoid WRs who change teams. Nor can I completely ignore the fact that…...

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Leonard Fournette’s Huge Range of Outcomes: Should You Buy His Lotto Ticket at ADP?

Leonard Fournette is proving to be one of the most pivotal players in 2019 fantasy drafts. With his third-round ADP, he’s one of the earliest “risk” players you need to make a choice on. Do you buy Fournette at his current ADP, or do you pass on him and let one of your league mates deal with the volatility? Fournette’s rookie season comps were a…...

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2019 Game Level Similarity Projections: Calculating Weekly Fantasy Point Expectations

Dave Caban explains the process used to generate the weekly projections that will power the apps in the 2019 season. Throughout the 2019 season, I’ll be generating Game Level Similarity Projections (GLSP) on a weekly basis. GLSP use historical data to determine a realistic range of outcomes for a particular player in a particular game. These projections will be included in a number of our…...

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Just Draft the Right Players: My Top Targets In Each Round

I’ve been in a handful of drafts this offseason with co-managers (including one with three other co-managers). One thing I’ve found myself doing in order to prepare to co-draft a fantasy team is to pick out my draft targets in each round. In most rounds there are only a handful of players I’m actually considering. So putting those targets down in writing has been helpful when strategizing…...

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2019 Zero RB Candidates – The Update

In the Update, we’re going to do something a little different than we’ve done in the past. Instead of a countdown, we’re placing the candidates into categories that will help you find players at different ADP levels who fit your personal draft plan. We’re also going to go with the short and sweet intro, mentioning that Zero RB posted a gaudy 14% win rate in…...

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College Football DFS Confident Cash Plays: Week 1

Welcome to the second edition of 2019’s Confident Cash Plays! ICYMI, last week was a hit for our suggested player pool with the exception of a couple of dirt cheap running backs. The optimal lineup using just our player pool scored 196.96 points — easily a 3x profit in most cash contests. Now it’s on to Week 1 of the College Football season with our…...

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3 Players I’m Begging You Not to Draft

Every year, there are a handful of players whose selection leaves me scratching my head. Last year, I begged you not to draft D’Onta Foreman and his ruptured Achilles, which seems obvious looking back, but people were drafting him right up until opening weekend. The year before that, I implored you to avoid the trendy Martavis Bryant, and he finished as the WR50. This year, I…...

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FFPC Best Ball Roster Construction: The Best Defense Is Lots Of Defense

In traditional redraft leagues, fantasy analysts will tell you not to even draft a defense unless the rules require it. In best ball leagues, not only do you need to draft a defense, research has shown that you probably want at least three even in shallower best ball leagues. So what about the 28-round FFPC drafts? What’s the optimal number of defenses, and when should…...

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The Complete Road Map to Our Favorite Fantasy Discount Plays

If you’ve been jumping the queue to draft Dante Pettis in the sixth round this summer, this article may not be for you. Then again, maybe it’s exactly what you need. Every year there are still some players getting a bit too much love while their cohorts with similar ranges of outcomes go at a discount. After all, as the Fantasy Douche explained years ago,…...

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Memphis Will Run All Over Ole Miss: DraftKings Week 1 CFB DFS GPP Breakdown

The CFB DFS season continues with 10 games in DraftKings’ main slate. Toledo at Kentucky (-12), Over/Under: 62 — 12 p.m. ET Mississippi State (-20) vs. Louisiana, Over/Under: 60 — 12 p.m. ET Ole Miss at Memphis (-5), Over/Under: 66 — 12 p.m. ET East Carolina at North Carolina State (-17), Over/Under: 53.5 — 12 p.m. ET Indiana (-17.5) vs. Ball State, Over/Under: 60 —…...

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2019 Is a Banner Year for Third-Year Breakout WRs: Advanced Stats Identify 2 Strong Buys, 2 Holds, and 1 Sleeper

Shawn Siegele is known for Zero RB selections and WR breakout candidates. The breakouts fueled his overall title in the 2013 NFFC Primetime, and his 2018 breakout selections led to an 11th league title and top-15 finish. Today, he looks at the history of third-year WR breakouts, discusses the key indicators of fantasy success, and provides five options for your 2019 fantasy football drafts. We…...

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Travis May’s College Football 2019 Watch List

Happy “College Football Season Is Back” Week! You know what that means! It’s time for tailgating, staring at large televisions for eight hours on a Saturday, and lying to yourself when you say that you’re “finally going to stay up to watch the late PAC-12 game!” And even if you aren’t crazy enough to watch Washington State vs. New Mexico play into the early morning,…...

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Dr. Budoff and the Fantasy Football Injury Cheat Sheet for 2019 – Key Players to Place on Your “Do Not Draft” List

We all have them. There are players we want, and then there are those that we just don’t. Sometimes, we just don’t believe the hype that everyone else seems to, and they for more money than you’re willing to pay in auction drafts.[1]The only way to draft. Sometimes a player’s injury history lands them on your “Do Not Draft” list. That’s what I’m focusing on…...

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Using the Draft Dashboard to Build a Win Big-Lose Small Fantasy Roster

The Draft Dashboard is a powerful tool to prepare for drafts and to dominate the real thing. Now available in both web and excel versions, it gives you a wealth of information at your fingertips when you’re on the clock, and it’s also a flexible mock draft tool that allows you to work through a variety of scenarios and formats. Last week, I used the Draft Dashboard…...

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6 Priority Players I Want in Every Fantasy Draft

Diversification is great if you’re playing 50 or more leagues, but you need to narrow your focus and give yourself the best chance at success if you’re only playing in a few fantasy drafts. Here are six players I think have the best shot at being league winners in 2019, along with some suggested alternatives in case you miss out. D.J. Moore Last year around…...

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When The Devy Breaks: Don’t Wait to Buy Lynn Bowden Jr.

We made it folks. College football is finally back. And with its return, devy leagues are heating up. The goals for this weekly article series are as follows: Present a “stock up, stock down” section, highlighting devy prospects either gaining or losing stock Engage some of the best and brightest devy analysts in the industry via mock drafts, sleepers, and other crucial pieces of insight Identify weekly…...

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Are We Drafting the Denver Running Backs in the Right Order?: Fantasy Football Multiverse

After watching Avengers: Endgame, I couldn’t stop thinking about the multiverse. Then, my mind drifted to the Projection Machine, which acts as a fantasy football time machine. Every little tweak in the timeline of fantasy football can have a wide range of repercussions that echo across the league. So, in this series, I’ll dial up that Projection Machine to examine players who could experience big…...

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Devy Weekly: Welcome to the 2019 College Football Season

Welcome to the first installment of the 2019 Devy Weekly series! Every single week we’ll be covering some top college football players that just helped their case for a shot at an NFL future. We’ll break it down by position, giving you players to target in all areas of need for your dynasty rosters. If you’re new to Devy Leagues, the long and short of it…...

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How to Target the Right Fourth-Year WR Breakouts: 2 Solid Middle-Round Options and 1 Sleeper to Own Everywhere

Shawn Siegele looks at the history of fourth-year WR breakouts, discusses the key indicators of fantasy success, and provides three options for your 2019 fantasy football drafts. We focus on WR breakouts by class because you’re looking for very different indicators depending on the amount of experience candidates possess. Yesterday, we found 3 Intriguing Late-Round Options for a Fifth-Year Breakout. Today, we highlight some higher…...

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Devy Rankings Update: College Football Is Back!

College football is officially back! Yes, the NFL is too, blah, blah, preseason, blah. But for those of you who play in devy fantasy football leagues, or just simply enjoy college football action, you’re ready to talk about all your favorite players! Luckily, so are we here at RotoViz! So, without further ado, let’s jump into this breakdown of the latest RotoViz Devy Rankings! Our Devy…...

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Target These 2 Discount Plays on Odell Beckham Jr

Am I the only one who gets a bit nervous when on the clock in the first round and Odell Beckham is the WR at the top of the draft queue? While he has the talent to overcome historical trends, I can’t help but harken back to Blair Andrews telling us that we should generally avoid WRs who change teams. Nor can I completely ignore the fact that…...

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Leonard Fournette’s Huge Range of Outcomes: Should You Buy His Lotto Ticket at ADP?

Leonard Fournette is proving to be one of the most pivotal players in 2019 fantasy drafts. With his third-round ADP, he’s one of the earliest “risk” players you need to make a choice on. Do you buy Fournette at his current ADP, or do you pass on him and let one of your league mates deal with the volatility? Fournette’s rookie season comps were a…...

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