Cort Smith

Featured Writer, RotoViz. Founder, Bet the Prop. Traveler, musician, recovering journalist.

Author Archive

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Keke Coutee is the Next…? Historical Comps for the Texans WR

Earlier in the offseason, we looked at the top historical comparables for the top-11 rookie WRs in scoring from the 2018 class. However, doing the list by total points means that I omitted one key name from the list — Keke Coutee. On a per-game basis, Coutee was about as good as any rookie in 2018. Let’s dive into the numbers and the historical comps…...

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FFPC Command Center

  Please subscribe to Access this content!     What’s included in your subscription? Exclusive Access to RotoViz Study Hall A treasure trove of our most insightful articles that will teach you the metrics that matter, time-tested winning strategies, the approaches that will give you an edge, and teach you how to be an effective fantasy manager. Revolutionary Tools Including the NFL Stat Explorer, Weekly GLSP

High-Stakes Best-Ball ADP: 4 Teams With Volatile Movers and What To Do About Them

Throughout the offseason, RotoViz will take snapshots of high-stakes best-ball ADP using the FFPC Exposures and ADP app. Other entries in the series include a look at February ADP and movement after NFL free agency.  We’re now about halfway between the end of the NFL Draft and the start of training camps, when any bit of information – “Sony Michel isn’t practicing in May! Buy…...

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The Dolphins Offense Is Mispriced In All Formats

It’s no secret the Miami Dolphins are a rebuilding franchise. They’re not coy about it, and everyone knows it. As such and evidenced by ADP, it would appear the community’s expected offensive output is exclusively draw plays and kneel downs, and for the team to concede each game before it’s played. Needless to say, there is exploitability here. I’m going to walk through the pricing…...

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Is Jake Kumerow a Legit Fantasy Sleeper in 2019?

Packers QB Aaron Rodgers sent waves of hope through the fantasy world this week when he spent a solid 60 seconds pumping the tires of sophomore wide receiver Jake Kumerow. Here’s the full clip. Aaron Rodgers really likes Jake Kumerow. via @packers pic.twitter.com/olk6QyaWD5 — Aaron Nagler (@AaronNagler) June 12, 2019 “He’s an extremely intelligent guy who’s in the right place at the right time,” fawned Rodgers…....

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Just Pick Players: Win Your League With This Simple Onesie Selection Tactic – The Wrong Read, No. 56

Welcome to the 56th installment of The Wrong Read. Quarterback and tight end are the forgotten positions in fantasy, but they are probably more important than you think — you can win your best ball league simply by taking the right roster construction approach to these positions. At the end of the day though, you also have to pick players, and good process here can…...

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The Top 100 Rookies for IDP Leagues: Tiered Rankings

If you like NFL rookies and rankings lists then you’re in the right place. Travis May breaks down the top 100 incoming NFL rookies for fantasy football. And it’s not just offensive players! Individual defensive players (IDP) will be included in this list as well for all you hardcore fantasy footballers! Now that the dust has settled from NFL Draft hype and the first round…...

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The Dream of Perpetual Motion: A Quick Reminder That Rookies Are Free in Startups

If Brian Malone’s 2018 article, Rookies Are Free Money, isn’t my favorite article on the site, it’s easily in my top five. Or at least the top 10. (I tend to receive a lot of grief from friends about my top 10 lists containing an almost unlimited number of items.) Regardless of where you rank it, Brian’s look at the profitability of rookies is a…...

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Generating Buzz: 3 NFC Deep Sleepers to Monitor Heading into Camp

Earlier this week, I took a look at three little known players from the AFC generating some column inches this offseason. With that in mind, it seems only fair that we offer a similar spotlight to three men from the NFC. These players are not superstars by any stretch. But they have caught the eye of their coaches and/or beat writers in the last few…...

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3 IDP Breakout Candidates at Linebacker

If you’re going to pay up at any defensive position in IDP leagues, it should be at linebacker. Still, LB1 points are available on the waiver wire almost every year, as we saw with Corey Littleton and the Rams last year, so even if you’ve already invested in the position, uncovering a hidden gem is something you should always be striving for. Talent is secondary…...

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What If We’re Right? Part 3: Safe Holds at WR

This article is part of a series on dynasty WRs looking at the RotoViz redraft rankings and asking “what if we’re right?”[1]I’m using the royal we here since I don’t actually contribute to our rankings. Many thanks to our redraft rankers: Blair Andrews, Curtis Patrick, Dave Caban, Hasan Rahim, Monty Phan and Shawn Siegele. After all, our rankings are trying to determine the most likely outcome…...

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2019 Rookies and Redraft Leagues: 2 Targets and 5 Fades at RB

In part 1 of this series, we concluded that rookies drafted outside of Round 3 of the NFL draft have very low odds of being “usable” in redraft leagues. In the overwhelming majority of cases, they should be avoided on draft day. As a reminder, a usable player is one who scored 160 or more PPR points over the course of their rookie season. Even…...

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3 Cheap IDP Sleepers I’m Targeting: Defensive Back

Unless it’s elite talent paired with elite usage, I don’t like to pay up for defensive players in IDP leagues. Fantasy IDPs are a lot like real-life RBs in that they’re cheap, replaceable, and don’t really matter. Generally speaking, we want to be buying cheap snaps and waiting for that sweet variance to kick in. In this series, we’ll look at some cheap/free dynasty IDP…...

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Superflex Startups: Using QB Tiers and Dynasty ADP to Beat the Runs

With one of original RotoViz dynasty leagues growing stale, we decide to reboot under the leadership of Funniest RotoVizian Alive, John Solis. Our new league is Superflex, as all leagues should be in 2019. In many cases it’s difficult to get good Superflex ADP, but the Dynasty ADP tool from Mike Beers allows you to pull in dynasty superflex ADPs from FFPC and MFL. Today…...

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Generating Buzz: 3 Deep Sleepers to Monitor Heading Into Camp

It seems that only novices place significant importance on OTAs or minicamps. Novices, or people with undying affection for the performance of players playing sans pads against their teammates — I mean, if you’ve read one tweet about how great DeVante Parker looks in June you’ve pretty much read them all. But sometimes a team, or normally a coach, will give us a nugget about…...

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BestBall10s Workshop No. 11: The Roster Construction Explorer Urges You to Load Up Early at WR

We’ve finally made it to the pivotal position. Shawn Siegele uses the Roster Construction Explorer to investigate the role of wide receivers in BestBall10s. If you prefer FFPC Best Ball, check out the work from FFPC gurus Monty Phan and John Lapinski. When I began the Best Ball Workshop, I knew the Roster Construction Explorer had the potential to radically reform the way owners draft…...

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4 Cheap IDP Sleepers I’m Targetting: Defensive Line

Unless it’s elite talent paired with elite usage, I don’t like to pay up for defensive players in IDP leagues. Fantasy IDPs are a lot like real-life RBs in that they’re cheap, replaceable, and don’t really matter. Generally speaking, we want to be buying cheap snaps and waiting for that sweet variance to kick in. In this series, we’ll look at some cheap/free dynasty IDP…...

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Targeting Rookies in Redraft Leagues: Quarterback Edition

SHOULD REDRAFT PLAYERS TARGET ROOKIES? IN THIS SERIES, DAVE CABAN REVIEWS ROOKIE DATA FROM THE PAST TEN YEARS TO ANSWER THIS QUESTION.   In part 1 of this series, we concluded that rookies drafted outside of Round 3 of the NFL draft have very low odds of being “usable” in redraft leagues. As a reminder, a usable player is one who scored 160 or more…...

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20 Rounds of Death: The Best Ball Workshop Breaks Down Every Pick

Pat Thorman’s MFL10 of Death VI wrapped up earlier this week. Shawn Siegele walks through 20 rounds of player selections as he tries to defend his 2017 and 2018 titles. In the Best Ball Workshop No. 9, we used the Roster Construction Explorer and found the two best paths to a high win rate in BestBall10s. Today, we’ll look at how I used the workshop…...

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What If We’re Right? Part 2: High Risk Holds at WR

This article is part of a series on dynasty WRs looking at the RotoViz redraft rankings and asking “what if we’re right?”[1]I’m using the royal we here since I don’t actually contribute to our rankings. Many thanks to our redraft rankers: Blair Andrews, Curtis Patrick, Dave Caban, Hasan Rahim, Monty Phan and Shawn Siegele. After all, our rankings are trying to determine the most likely outcome…...

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Keke Coutee is the Next…? Historical Comps for the Texans WR

Earlier in the offseason, we looked at the top historical comparables for the top-11 rookie WRs in scoring from the 2018 class. However, doing the list by total points means that I omitted one key name from the list — Keke Coutee. On a per-game basis, Coutee was about as good as any rookie in 2018. Let’s dive into the numbers and the historical comps…...

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FFPC Command Center

  Please subscribe to Access this content!     What’s included in your subscription? Exclusive Access to RotoViz Study Hall A treasure trove of our most insightful articles that will teach you the metrics that matter, time-tested winning strategies, the approaches that will give you an edge, and teach you how to be an effective fantasy manager. Revolutionary Tools Including the NFL Stat Explorer, Weekly GLSP

High-Stakes Best-Ball ADP: 4 Teams With Volatile Movers and What To Do About Them

Throughout the offseason, RotoViz will take snapshots of high-stakes best-ball ADP using the FFPC Exposures and ADP app. Other entries in the series include a look at February ADP and movement after NFL free agency.  We’re now about halfway between the end of the NFL Draft and the start of training camps, when any bit of information – “Sony Michel isn’t practicing in May! Buy…...

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The Dolphins Offense Is Mispriced In All Formats

It’s no secret the Miami Dolphins are a rebuilding franchise. They’re not coy about it, and everyone knows it. As such and evidenced by ADP, it would appear the community’s expected offensive output is exclusively draw plays and kneel downs, and for the team to concede each game before it’s played. Needless to say, there is exploitability here. I’m going to walk through the pricing…...

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Is Jake Kumerow a Legit Fantasy Sleeper in 2019?

Packers QB Aaron Rodgers sent waves of hope through the fantasy world this week when he spent a solid 60 seconds pumping the tires of sophomore wide receiver Jake Kumerow. Here’s the full clip. Aaron Rodgers really likes Jake Kumerow. via @packers pic.twitter.com/olk6QyaWD5 — Aaron Nagler (@AaronNagler) June 12, 2019 “He’s an extremely intelligent guy who’s in the right place at the right time,” fawned Rodgers…....

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Just Pick Players: Win Your League With This Simple Onesie Selection Tactic – The Wrong Read, No. 56

Welcome to the 56th installment of The Wrong Read. Quarterback and tight end are the forgotten positions in fantasy, but they are probably more important than you think — you can win your best ball league simply by taking the right roster construction approach to these positions. At the end of the day though, you also have to pick players, and good process here can…...

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The Top 100 Rookies for IDP Leagues: Tiered Rankings

If you like NFL rookies and rankings lists then you’re in the right place. Travis May breaks down the top 100 incoming NFL rookies for fantasy football. And it’s not just offensive players! Individual defensive players (IDP) will be included in this list as well for all you hardcore fantasy footballers! Now that the dust has settled from NFL Draft hype and the first round…...

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The Dream of Perpetual Motion: A Quick Reminder That Rookies Are Free in Startups

If Brian Malone’s 2018 article, Rookies Are Free Money, isn’t my favorite article on the site, it’s easily in my top five. Or at least the top 10. (I tend to receive a lot of grief from friends about my top 10 lists containing an almost unlimited number of items.) Regardless of where you rank it, Brian’s look at the profitability of rookies is a…...

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Generating Buzz: 3 NFC Deep Sleepers to Monitor Heading into Camp

Earlier this week, I took a look at three little known players from the AFC generating some column inches this offseason. With that in mind, it seems only fair that we offer a similar spotlight to three men from the NFC. These players are not superstars by any stretch. But they have caught the eye of their coaches and/or beat writers in the last few…...

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3 IDP Breakout Candidates at Linebacker

If you’re going to pay up at any defensive position in IDP leagues, it should be at linebacker. Still, LB1 points are available on the waiver wire almost every year, as we saw with Corey Littleton and the Rams last year, so even if you’ve already invested in the position, uncovering a hidden gem is something you should always be striving for. Talent is secondary…...

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What If We’re Right? Part 3: Safe Holds at WR

This article is part of a series on dynasty WRs looking at the RotoViz redraft rankings and asking “what if we’re right?”[1]I’m using the royal we here since I don’t actually contribute to our rankings. Many thanks to our redraft rankers: Blair Andrews, Curtis Patrick, Dave Caban, Hasan Rahim, Monty Phan and Shawn Siegele. After all, our rankings are trying to determine the most likely outcome…...

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2019 Rookies and Redraft Leagues: 2 Targets and 5 Fades at RB

In part 1 of this series, we concluded that rookies drafted outside of Round 3 of the NFL draft have very low odds of being “usable” in redraft leagues. In the overwhelming majority of cases, they should be avoided on draft day. As a reminder, a usable player is one who scored 160 or more PPR points over the course of their rookie season. Even…...

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3 Cheap IDP Sleepers I’m Targeting: Defensive Back

Unless it’s elite talent paired with elite usage, I don’t like to pay up for defensive players in IDP leagues. Fantasy IDPs are a lot like real-life RBs in that they’re cheap, replaceable, and don’t really matter. Generally speaking, we want to be buying cheap snaps and waiting for that sweet variance to kick in. In this series, we’ll look at some cheap/free dynasty IDP…...

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Superflex Startups: Using QB Tiers and Dynasty ADP to Beat the Runs

With one of original RotoViz dynasty leagues growing stale, we decide to reboot under the leadership of Funniest RotoVizian Alive, John Solis. Our new league is Superflex, as all leagues should be in 2019. In many cases it’s difficult to get good Superflex ADP, but the Dynasty ADP tool from Mike Beers allows you to pull in dynasty superflex ADPs from FFPC and MFL. Today…...

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Generating Buzz: 3 Deep Sleepers to Monitor Heading Into Camp

It seems that only novices place significant importance on OTAs or minicamps. Novices, or people with undying affection for the performance of players playing sans pads against their teammates — I mean, if you’ve read one tweet about how great DeVante Parker looks in June you’ve pretty much read them all. But sometimes a team, or normally a coach, will give us a nugget about…...

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BestBall10s Workshop No. 11: The Roster Construction Explorer Urges You to Load Up Early at WR

We’ve finally made it to the pivotal position. Shawn Siegele uses the Roster Construction Explorer to investigate the role of wide receivers in BestBall10s. If you prefer FFPC Best Ball, check out the work from FFPC gurus Monty Phan and John Lapinski. When I began the Best Ball Workshop, I knew the Roster Construction Explorer had the potential to radically reform the way owners draft…...

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4 Cheap IDP Sleepers I’m Targetting: Defensive Line

Unless it’s elite talent paired with elite usage, I don’t like to pay up for defensive players in IDP leagues. Fantasy IDPs are a lot like real-life RBs in that they’re cheap, replaceable, and don’t really matter. Generally speaking, we want to be buying cheap snaps and waiting for that sweet variance to kick in. In this series, we’ll look at some cheap/free dynasty IDP…...

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Targeting Rookies in Redraft Leagues: Quarterback Edition

SHOULD REDRAFT PLAYERS TARGET ROOKIES? IN THIS SERIES, DAVE CABAN REVIEWS ROOKIE DATA FROM THE PAST TEN YEARS TO ANSWER THIS QUESTION.   In part 1 of this series, we concluded that rookies drafted outside of Round 3 of the NFL draft have very low odds of being “usable” in redraft leagues. As a reminder, a usable player is one who scored 160 or more…...

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20 Rounds of Death: The Best Ball Workshop Breaks Down Every Pick

Pat Thorman’s MFL10 of Death VI wrapped up earlier this week. Shawn Siegele walks through 20 rounds of player selections as he tries to defend his 2017 and 2018 titles. In the Best Ball Workshop No. 9, we used the Roster Construction Explorer and found the two best paths to a high win rate in BestBall10s. Today, we’ll look at how I used the workshop…...

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What If We’re Right? Part 2: High Risk Holds at WR

This article is part of a series on dynasty WRs looking at the RotoViz redraft rankings and asking “what if we’re right?”[1]I’m using the royal we here since I don’t actually contribute to our rankings. Many thanks to our redraft rankers: Blair Andrews, Curtis Patrick, Dave Caban, Hasan Rahim, Monty Phan and Shawn Siegele. After all, our rankings are trying to determine the most likely outcome…...

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Keke Coutee is the Next…? Historical Comps for the Texans WR

Earlier in the offseason, we looked at the top historical comparables for the top-11 rookie WRs in scoring from the 2018 class. However, doing the list by total points means that I omitted one key name from the list — Keke Coutee. On a per-game basis, Coutee was about as good as any rookie in 2018. Let’s dive into the numbers and the historical comps…...

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FFPC Command Center

  Please subscribe to Access this content!     What’s included in your subscription? Exclusive Access to RotoViz Study Hall A treasure trove of our most insightful articles that will teach you the metrics that matter, time-tested winning strategies, the approaches that will give you an edge, and teach you how to be an effective fantasy manager. Revolutionary Tools Including the NFL Stat Explorer, Weekly GLSP

High-Stakes Best-Ball ADP: 4 Teams With Volatile Movers and What To Do About Them

Throughout the offseason, RotoViz will take snapshots of high-stakes best-ball ADP using the FFPC Exposures and ADP app. Other entries in the series include a look at February ADP and movement after NFL free agency.  We’re now about halfway between the end of the NFL Draft and the start of training camps, when any bit of information – “Sony Michel isn’t practicing in May! Buy…...

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The Dolphins Offense Is Mispriced In All Formats

It’s no secret the Miami Dolphins are a rebuilding franchise. They’re not coy about it, and everyone knows it. As such and evidenced by ADP, it would appear the community’s expected offensive output is exclusively draw plays and kneel downs, and for the team to concede each game before it’s played. Needless to say, there is exploitability here. I’m going to walk through the pricing…...

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Is Jake Kumerow a Legit Fantasy Sleeper in 2019?

Packers QB Aaron Rodgers sent waves of hope through the fantasy world this week when he spent a solid 60 seconds pumping the tires of sophomore wide receiver Jake Kumerow. Here’s the full clip. Aaron Rodgers really likes Jake Kumerow. via @packers pic.twitter.com/olk6QyaWD5 — Aaron Nagler (@AaronNagler) June 12, 2019 “He’s an extremely intelligent guy who’s in the right place at the right time,” fawned Rodgers…....

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Just Pick Players: Win Your League With This Simple Onesie Selection Tactic – The Wrong Read, No. 56

Welcome to the 56th installment of The Wrong Read. Quarterback and tight end are the forgotten positions in fantasy, but they are probably more important than you think — you can win your best ball league simply by taking the right roster construction approach to these positions. At the end of the day though, you also have to pick players, and good process here can…...

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The Top 100 Rookies for IDP Leagues: Tiered Rankings

If you like NFL rookies and rankings lists then you’re in the right place. Travis May breaks down the top 100 incoming NFL rookies for fantasy football. And it’s not just offensive players! Individual defensive players (IDP) will be included in this list as well for all you hardcore fantasy footballers! Now that the dust has settled from NFL Draft hype and the first round…...

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The Dream of Perpetual Motion: A Quick Reminder That Rookies Are Free in Startups

If Brian Malone’s 2018 article, Rookies Are Free Money, isn’t my favorite article on the site, it’s easily in my top five. Or at least the top 10. (I tend to receive a lot of grief from friends about my top 10 lists containing an almost unlimited number of items.) Regardless of where you rank it, Brian’s look at the profitability of rookies is a…...

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Generating Buzz: 3 NFC Deep Sleepers to Monitor Heading into Camp

Earlier this week, I took a look at three little known players from the AFC generating some column inches this offseason. With that in mind, it seems only fair that we offer a similar spotlight to three men from the NFC. These players are not superstars by any stretch. But they have caught the eye of their coaches and/or beat writers in the last few…...

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3 IDP Breakout Candidates at Linebacker

If you’re going to pay up at any defensive position in IDP leagues, it should be at linebacker. Still, LB1 points are available on the waiver wire almost every year, as we saw with Corey Littleton and the Rams last year, so even if you’ve already invested in the position, uncovering a hidden gem is something you should always be striving for. Talent is secondary…...

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What If We’re Right? Part 3: Safe Holds at WR

This article is part of a series on dynasty WRs looking at the RotoViz redraft rankings and asking “what if we’re right?”[1]I’m using the royal we here since I don’t actually contribute to our rankings. Many thanks to our redraft rankers: Blair Andrews, Curtis Patrick, Dave Caban, Hasan Rahim, Monty Phan and Shawn Siegele. After all, our rankings are trying to determine the most likely outcome…...

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2019 Rookies and Redraft Leagues: 2 Targets and 5 Fades at RB

In part 1 of this series, we concluded that rookies drafted outside of Round 3 of the NFL draft have very low odds of being “usable” in redraft leagues. In the overwhelming majority of cases, they should be avoided on draft day. As a reminder, a usable player is one who scored 160 or more PPR points over the course of their rookie season. Even…...

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3 Cheap IDP Sleepers I’m Targeting: Defensive Back

Unless it’s elite talent paired with elite usage, I don’t like to pay up for defensive players in IDP leagues. Fantasy IDPs are a lot like real-life RBs in that they’re cheap, replaceable, and don’t really matter. Generally speaking, we want to be buying cheap snaps and waiting for that sweet variance to kick in. In this series, we’ll look at some cheap/free dynasty IDP…...

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Superflex Startups: Using QB Tiers and Dynasty ADP to Beat the Runs

With one of original RotoViz dynasty leagues growing stale, we decide to reboot under the leadership of Funniest RotoVizian Alive, John Solis. Our new league is Superflex, as all leagues should be in 2019. In many cases it’s difficult to get good Superflex ADP, but the Dynasty ADP tool from Mike Beers allows you to pull in dynasty superflex ADPs from FFPC and MFL. Today…...

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Generating Buzz: 3 Deep Sleepers to Monitor Heading Into Camp

It seems that only novices place significant importance on OTAs or minicamps. Novices, or people with undying affection for the performance of players playing sans pads against their teammates — I mean, if you’ve read one tweet about how great DeVante Parker looks in June you’ve pretty much read them all. But sometimes a team, or normally a coach, will give us a nugget about…...

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BestBall10s Workshop No. 11: The Roster Construction Explorer Urges You to Load Up Early at WR

We’ve finally made it to the pivotal position. Shawn Siegele uses the Roster Construction Explorer to investigate the role of wide receivers in BestBall10s. If you prefer FFPC Best Ball, check out the work from FFPC gurus Monty Phan and John Lapinski. When I began the Best Ball Workshop, I knew the Roster Construction Explorer had the potential to radically reform the way owners draft…...

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4 Cheap IDP Sleepers I’m Targetting: Defensive Line

Unless it’s elite talent paired with elite usage, I don’t like to pay up for defensive players in IDP leagues. Fantasy IDPs are a lot like real-life RBs in that they’re cheap, replaceable, and don’t really matter. Generally speaking, we want to be buying cheap snaps and waiting for that sweet variance to kick in. In this series, we’ll look at some cheap/free dynasty IDP…...

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Targeting Rookies in Redraft Leagues: Quarterback Edition

SHOULD REDRAFT PLAYERS TARGET ROOKIES? IN THIS SERIES, DAVE CABAN REVIEWS ROOKIE DATA FROM THE PAST TEN YEARS TO ANSWER THIS QUESTION.   In part 1 of this series, we concluded that rookies drafted outside of Round 3 of the NFL draft have very low odds of being “usable” in redraft leagues. As a reminder, a usable player is one who scored 160 or more…...

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20 Rounds of Death: The Best Ball Workshop Breaks Down Every Pick

Pat Thorman’s MFL10 of Death VI wrapped up earlier this week. Shawn Siegele walks through 20 rounds of player selections as he tries to defend his 2017 and 2018 titles. In the Best Ball Workshop No. 9, we used the Roster Construction Explorer and found the two best paths to a high win rate in BestBall10s. Today, we’ll look at how I used the workshop…...

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What If We’re Right? Part 2: High Risk Holds at WR

This article is part of a series on dynasty WRs looking at the RotoViz redraft rankings and asking “what if we’re right?”[1]I’m using the royal we here since I don’t actually contribute to our rankings. Many thanks to our redraft rankers: Blair Andrews, Curtis Patrick, Dave Caban, Hasan Rahim, Monty Phan and Shawn Siegele. After all, our rankings are trying to determine the most likely outcome…...

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