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Week 11 Studs/Duds

Gore1

Studs

Case KeenumQB – Houston Texans

Through his first 3 NFL games as a starting quarterback, Keenum has thrown for 7 touchdowns and no interceptions. He’s also averaged right around 20 fantasy points per game depending on your league’s scoring. Keenum is going against an Oakland Raiders’ defense that has allowed an average of over 250 passing yards since their bye week and were the catalyst to Nick Foles’ historic game two weeks ago. With Arian Foster out for the remainder of the year and Ben Tate still nursing broken ribs, expect the Texans to lean on Keenum’s arm again this week. Case has proven that he will take his shots and push the ball downfield and against a weak Raiders secondary he should be able to connect on a few big plays. High end QB2 floor with QB1 upside again this week for Keenum.

Frank GoreRB – San Francisco 49ers

Even with the rest of the 49er offense struggling last week against Carolina, Gore was able to rack up 101 yards on 18 touches. Gore is leading the league in runs of 15+ yards and in week 11 he gets a Saints defense that is allowing a league worst 5.0 YPC on the ground. If the 49er defense can keep this game close, look for Gore to have a big day. I realize you’re pretty much starting him every week at this point regardless of matchup, but I’d be confident in rolling Gore out in daily leagues also. Frank is a stud and I’d expect a good stat line this week.

Stephen HillWR – New York Jets

Everyone knows the story with Stephen Hill. He’s an athletic freak but hasn’t been able to put everything together on the field yet in his young career. His best game of the season so far this year was week 3 against the Buffalo Bills in which he had a 3/101/1 stat line. Granted, this was helped by a 51 yard touchdown catch, but Hill showed he could be the threat that the Jets drafted him for. Hill again gets the Bills in week 11 as he looks to duplicate what he did in week 3. Hill is questionable with foot/knee problems, but assuming he plays I think he could see some favorable matchups against the awful Bills corners. The return of Santonio Holmes and Kellen Winslow should create some more space for Hill, giving him interesting Flex value. Don’t go crazy on Hill but a big game wouldn’t surprise me at all.

Duds

Philip Rivers – QB – San Diego Chargers

After his torrid start to the year, Rivers has cooled down since his torching of Dallas in week 4. Since then, he only has a plus-2 TD:INT ratio and not has scored over 18 fantasy points in any one game. San Diego travels to Miami this Sunday to face a Dolphins defense that has been very stingy to opposing QBs. They are allowing the fifth-fewest fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this year, and that’s including a 32-point outburst from Drew Brees in week 4. Because of the Chargers tendency to abandon the run and let Rivers chuck it, shear volume should provide a decent floor, but I’d temper upside expectations to low-end QB1 range. I’d play Keenum over him.

Eddie LacyRB – Green Bay Packers

I really like Lacy and what he brings to this Packer team. He has run hard so far this season and has created a new dimension for this offense that they haven’t had in years. However, with Rodgers missing time, defenses can start to clamp down on Lacy as they aren’t nearly as worried about Scott Tolzien burning them through the air. Not only will the Giants defense be geared up to stop Lacy this week, he also lost his center and right tackle last week (its still unclear whether Evan Dietrich-Smith and Don Barclay will suit up against the Giants). The Giants are only yielding 3.7 YPC on the ground this year and were able to hold LeSean McCoy and Adrian Peterson to only 78 yards on the ground combined in weeks 7 and 8, so they have proven that they can stop high-power running games. Because of his workload, Lacy will still have chances to score and rack up yards, but I would lower expectations for him. He’s not an RB1 for me this week.

T.Y. HiltonWR – Indianapolis Colts

Hilton has become Andrew Luck’s top target since Reggie Wayne went down and he has shown he can be an all-around receiver, not just a deep threat. Hilton underachieving this week is more about the Titans secondary than about Hilton himself. Alterraun Verner and Jason McCourty are studs on the outside and Verner has been particularly nasty. Verner has only given up 17 catches for 278 yards (no touchdowns and 5 picks) all season and quarterbacks have a QB rating of 23.8 when throwing his way.  With hard-hitting safeties Bernard Pollard and Michael Griffin patrolling the back end, the Titans have one of the most formidable secondary’s in the league. With Trent Richardson not being able to generate anything on the ground, Tennessee will be able to key in on the Colts pass game and shut down Luck and friends. I expect a low-scoring game and middling WR2/3 numbers for Hilton.

Week 9 Results:

The Duds from last week panned out well. The Carolina defense shut down the 49ers offense as Kap couldn’t get anything going and Boldin was a nonfactor. Rice also continued to plod along. Mike James was shredding the Dolphins defense (5 carries, 41 yards) before getting injured. Case Keenum is throwing the ball downfield a ton and Graham proved non-effective as he didn’t see much work underneath. Roethlisberger had a solid game but didn’t give owners anything special as he was right outside QB1 range.

Studs

Weekly Rank (Non-PPR)

Ben Roethlisberger

QB13

Mike James

RB17

Garrett Graham

TE11

Duds

Weekly Rank (Non-PPR)

Colin Kaepernick

QB19

Ray Rice

RB16

Anquan Boldin

WR22

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