It may seem strange that we had Davante Adams as only our 5th best WR prospect in our composite rookie rankings. After all, he’s 6’2″, just shy of 220 pounds, he was insanely productive in college, and dominant in the red zone. I basically just described the RotoViz version of the Vitruvian Man.
Now I’m going to say something that may seem even stranger: I think we1 were skeptical about Adams precisely because he was so productive. People weren’t sure why that was, and the only explanation that truly makes Adams a great prospect is simply that he’s just that amazing. But there were other explanations, and they weren’t as promising for Adams. However, I think now that the Packers have drafted him, those questions have been answered. Questions like:
Did Derek Carr make Davante Adams?
This may sound silly to us, given that Derek Carr doesn’t project to be that good. However, he was insanely productive in college, and being a college QB isn’t the same as being an NFL QB. Perhaps Adams was just the beneficiary of Carr’s talents.
If so… it’s irrelevant now. Derek Carr may be a truly great college QB; Aaron Rodgers is an even better NFL QB. That’s really not up for debate.
Was it just the offensive system Adams played in? After all, Derek Carr isn’t that good.
Maybe it was just the offense that led to Adams’ INSANE production. That’s definitely a possibility. I mean, what are the chances he goes to a pro team that might throw for 50 TDs in a single season?
The chances are pretty good apparently. The Packers offense has been nigh unstoppable over the last several seasons with Aaron Rodgers at the helm, and it’s relied very heavily on WRs. There will be plenty of points, real and fantasy, to go Adams’ way.
Ok, but in college he played in the Mountain West Conference against weak competition. Can he transition to the NFL?
That’s a fair point, nobody really knows what to make of that conference yet. Regardless, the quality of defenses is going to be higher in the NFL, no matter what conference a player was in.
Of course, Green Bay has made a habit of making NFL defenses look like a bunch of college kids. Moving on.
But is Adams number one WR material?
This is a fair criticism. He may not be versatile or athletic enough to be a true number one WR. And that doesn’t matter one bit in Green Bay, where their number three WR James Jones led the NFL in TDs in 2012. Did I mention that Adams is great at scoring TDs?
Overall, this was the perfect place for Adams to end up. If he just spends his career as Green Bay’s number two or three WR, he’s still bound to be productive. If he manages to become their number one someday, then that means he’s a legitimately special talent and his production will be even higher. I don’t see a situation where he isn’t a top six pick in rookie drafts, and he may be valuable in redraft leagues as soon as this year.
- It’s worth pointing out that we were higher on Adams, sometimes significantly so, than most rankers. (back)