revolutionary tools.  groundbreaking articles.  proven results.

4 Guys to Avoid: Rounds 6-9 Edition

Trent Richardson

Trent Richardson (ADP- 6.03)

Trent Richardson has been a highly debated player this year. RotoViz even had an article where the writers weighed in and debated him, in a Friday Free-For-All.

index

Using the Heatmap, we can get a solid grasp on just how much his production saw a drop from his rookie to his sophomore year. Some people may look at his rookie season as validation for they may believe in his production. He saved his rookie season by scoring 11 touchdowns and catching 51 passes. His YPC in 2012 were in the bottom seven of the NFL among running backs who had at least five rushing attempts per game. After that it dropped to 2.99 YPC, which was third-worst. Maybe the biggest red flag was that he only scored three rushing TDs with the Colts last year. The Colts scored 61 percent of their TDs via the pass last year in the red zone. If you are drafting T-Rich this year, make sure you put the name Dan Herron on your radar. He could become a factor in this Colts offense.

Darren Sproles (ADP- 7.11)

I’m going to have a hard time drafting Darren Sproles this year. Sproles was effective in New Orleans, but he has been on the decline since 2012.

index

The Heatmap does a great job of showing his slow decline into perspective. One thing the Saints didn’t have during Sproles’ three-year career, was a lead back like LeSean McCoy. I’m not certain how much the Eagle will utilize Sproles in this offense when you have man like McCoy at the head of the backfield. However the Eagles have said if McCoy were to go down, they believe Sproles can be an every-down back.

“We’ve said it all along. Darren can play running back on first, second and third down,” the offensive coordinator said. “We always try to use our players in a way where we maximize their strengths and minimize their weaknesses, no matter what the situation.”

It’s not that I don’t like Sproles, but I think there is better options to consider in this round. The Saints were a pass-happy offense, throwing the ball 651 times in 2013, while the Eagles are more run driven, with only 508 passing attempts. At this point, I’m looking to target Fred Jackson, who receives majority of the goal-line and third-down work, Jordan Reed, Mike Wallace, or Terrance Williams.

Sammy Watkins (ADP- 8.05)

Average_Draft_Position__ADP__-_Fantasy_Football_Calculator

It appears fantasy players are finally starting to catch on that selecting Sammy Watkins early is absurd in redraft leagues. He’s on an offense that led the league in rushing attempts last year and his QB only completed 58.8 percent of his passes while throwing for 11 TDs. Watkins’ potential is severally capped by the run-heavy mentality of the Bills and his poor QB play. Even in the eighth round I still don’t like drafting Watkins and rookie WRs historically struggle in the NFL. I am more likely to target mid-rounder Justin Hunter or Eric Decker at this point.

Riley Cooper (ADP- 9.03)

Riley Cooper had his best year in 2013 as he had 47 receptions for 835 yards and eight TDs. Foles had an outrageous AYA of 14.26 last year when targeting Cooper. DeSean Jackson has also parted way with Philly, that leaves rookie Jordan Matthews and Jeremy Maclin in the wide receiver corp. They also added Sproles in this off-season, who should see a decent amount of targets. I also think sophomore TE Zac Ertz will emerge as a red zone threat this year. Cooper is red flag for me this year because his 2013 season seemed flukey to me. Seventeen percent of his receptions were TDs. Three of his eight TDs came in a single game against the Raiders and he was 82nd in the league in receptions. Cooper also had four receptions or less in nine of the 11 games he played with Foles. He also struggles against tougher competition.

index

In fact, Cooper didn’t even score a TD against any top 20 ranked defense last year. His fantasy points dropped 11 points, he didn’t record a TD and his receiving yards decreased roughly 20 yards. He’s also been dealing with an ankle injury. Cooper is a strong avoid for me this year.

recent and related...

in case you missed it...

Bracket Busting: For All The Marbles

High-stakes writers Monty Phan and John Lapinski chronicle their entry in the FFPC Super Bracket contest. The Super Bracket regular season runs for just 11 weeks, and the league is far from decided. After a solid win last week, we’re right back in the thick of it. Here are the

Read More

Week 11 Yahoo! DFS Picks

Identifying my Week 11 NFL DFS picks was easier than it’s ever been thanks to the continued work of our apps development team. The NFL Stat Explorer, the DFS Lineup Optimizer, and our world-famous Game Splits App are three windows I never close on my screen. Let’s build a plan

Read More

Week 11 Primetime Slate DFS Breakdown

Who are the best plays for the Week 11 DFS primetime slate on DraftKings and FanDuel? Tyler Loechner runs through notes on the primetime short slate featuring SNF/MNF games.1 DSF Week 11 Primetime Slate DFS Week 11 Primetime Slate theory thoughts: The two games on this slate are dramatically different

Read More

High Staked: Hello Darkness, My Old Friend

Veteran high stakes fantasy football player Monty Phan chronicles his season. Welcome to Week 11 in FFPC high stakes, where, once again, we’re reminded that there’s a big difference between what we think should happen and what actually occurs. For a lot of teams, it’s – mercifully – the final

Read More

Week 12 Waiver Wire Advice: Top Targets At Each Position

Looking for Week 12 waiver wire advice for fantasy football? You’ve come to the right place. We’ll give you some of the top targets at each position so that when you submit a waiver claim, you do it with confidence. This article will run through the top players available in

Read More
Connect
Support

rotovizmain@gmail.com

Sign-up today for our free Premium Email subscription!

© 2019 RotoViz. All rights Reserved.