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Joe 2 Pro: Daily Fantasy Football, Cash Game Strategy Week 11 – Using the GLSP Apps

Kelvin Benjamin

If you missed my first article introducing the “Joe 2 Pro” series, you can read it here. It gives a brief overview on how to attack daily fantasy football without feeling like you’re drowning. What I am trying to do with the Joe 2 Pro series is bring up topics regarding daily fantasy football that I wish I knew about when I had first started playing. There’s definitely a learning curve when you go from seasonal leagues to daily fantasy football.

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Game Level Similarity Projections 

Using the GLSP Apps from RotoViz can be quite useful when constructing your daily fantasy football lineups. I prefer these projections to others out there because you can get a range of different outcomes for a particular player. The apps gives you a low, median and high projection on your players, and you’re also able to to filter certain things, such as pass attempts for quarterbacks, touches for running backs and targets for wide receivers and tight ends.

For example, this week I am debating a few different QBs for my cash game lineups. Peyton Manning, Drew Brees, Aaron Rodgers, and Andrew Luck are all under consideration. It’s just a matter how my roster construction plays out after I finish up all of my research.

GLSP_Projections_-_QB_-_RotoVizPM_Fotor_Collage

If you’re going only by the projections, you’d probably say it’s obviously Rodgers or Manning. However, in DFS you also need to factor salary into the equation. Brees offers a $1,100 to a $1,700 discount to those other QBs on DraftKings, and $800 to $1,100 on FanDuel. It’s all going to come down how the rest of your roster is constructed. If you find that you can afford Manning or the other expensive QBs, them by all means pay up for them. I don’t think you can make a wrong decision when trying to decipher these QBs, however I think Manning, Luck and Rodgers all have a higher floor than Brees. You can almost bank on Manning throwing for at least 300 yards and three scores each week.

Week 11 Thought Process

Running Back

As I stated above, the QBs I am looking at this week are Manning, Brees, Luck and Rodgers. When it comes to RB this week, I am looking at Le’Veon Bell, Jamaal Charles, and also Jeremy Hill if Giovani Bernard is inactive again. On FanDuel I may take a shot with Jerick McKinnon where he comes in at a very cheap $5,500. In the last four weeks McKinnon has seen no fewer than 17 touches per game. What’s hurting him is not finding the endzone. If you’re looking for some salary relief, McKinnon could be the way to go.

Wide Receiver

Since these sites release their salaries before the Monday night game, Kelvin Benjamin still comes in at a rather affordable price, on both sites. He still sees around 25 percent target market share of targets and the Falcons have the worst DVOA against WRs according to Football Outsiders. You also might want to give DeSean Jackson some consideration.

Andre Johnson is severely discounted on both sites, but I am not sure how he will shake out with Ryan Mallet now behind center. Jordan Matthews is another guy who can offer some salary relief coming off a game where he was targeted nine times by Mark Sanchez. Demaryius Thomas hasn’t scored in three straight games and according to Narrative Street, Thomas should be fed this week because Manning usually makes a conscious effort to get his players involved again. Even though he has six straight games of 100 yards or more. I’m just having trouble fitting him into my lineups right now due to his salary.

Tight End

The obvious plays are Jimmy Graham and Rob Gronkowski if you can fit them. If I don’t use those two, I find myself looking at Dwayne Allen. I kind of wish Coby Fleener would just disappear, but I don’t think that’ll happen.

NAMETRGSTRGMSreEPreFPOEreFPOEPT
Dwayne Allen400.10353.4838.720.97
Coby Fleener450.11657.666.840.15

Allen has been much more efficient than his counterpart, and he’s tallied up three more touchdowns than Fleener this season. He also comes in at $500 cheaper on DraftKings than Fleener, but he’s $1,100 more expensive on FanDuel. Talk about a price discrepancy… However, Allen has six TDs in the last seven games and has scored in seven of his nine games this season, so I’m looking to roll with him this week if I am targeting some of the moderately priced TE options. Anthony Fasano also didn’t practice Wednesday, so you’ll want to monitor that because if Fasano isn’t active, I’d move Travis Kelce ahead of Allen.

Good luck to everybody in Week 11!

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