If you missed my first article introducing the “Joe 2 Pro” series, you can read it here. It gives a brief overview on how to attack daily fantasy football without feeling like you’re drowning. What I am trying to do with the Joe 2 Pro series is bring up topics regarding daily fantasy football that I wish I knew about when I had first started playing. There’s definitely a learning curve when you go from seasonal leagues to daily fantasy football.
There aren’t a ton of appealing options QB when you scroll down the pricing list. This doesn’t bother me because in my cash games, I am usually paying up for QB anyway. On DraftKings I am using either Aaron Rodgers or Drew Brees. The Saints are projected for 31 points at home, while the Packers are projected for a similar total at 29. Both QBs have a median projection over 19 points using our RotoViz GLSP Apps. I’ll probably side with Brees simply for the $700 savings. On FanDuel, I am going a little cheaper at QB in hopes of trying to roster Rob Gronkowski. I normally reserve Matthew Stafford as strictly a GPP play, but I may make an exception this week. The Bears are the second-best matchup for QBs when using our RotoViz Buy Low Machine. Stafford also has a median projection of 19 points, with a high projection of 24. Just a few weeks ago Stafford threw for 390 yards and two TDs against this Bears team. I also like that Jimmy Clausen is now starting for the Bears. I believe Detroit will dominate the time of possession between these two teams.
As much as I always love Le’Veon Bell, I think it’s going to be too difficult to fit him into your lineups. That high price tag is going to lower the floor for the rest of your team. The main running backs I am looking at this week are Fred Jackson, Joique Bell, C.J. Anderson, Tre Mason, and Lamar Miller. The Bills are currently six point favorites on the road against a struggling Raiders team. They offer the second-best matchup according to our Buy Low Machine and Jackson has handled 74 percent of the snaps for the Bills since Week 13. He also has 33 red zone touches, which is only five less than all the Bills’ wide receivers combined. I’m all in on Anderson this week, too. His volume can’t be ignored, as he’s touching the ball almost 30 times per game. He also has 22 red zone touches since Week 12, which is the same as all the Broncos’ WRs combined. Bell has been the primary back for Detroit, and they’re also seven point favorites against a Clausen-led Bears team. Bell has topped 20 touches in every game since Week 12, and he has 45 red zone touches this season, which is more than the Lions’ tight ends and WRs combined. Also, when you filter his touches between 12 to 23, he has a great projection using our GLSP App.
The way I construct my cash game rosters, I usually am paying less at WR to pay up for QB and RB. Obviously this varies depending on the week and salaries, but this week I am likely going cheap(ish) WR. I usually avoid the Packers WR corp in cash games because sometimes it can be frustrating when trying to predict the production, especially when they have such high price tags. I don’t mind Randall Cobb who is pretty affordable around the industry. The Packers have scored 71 percent of their TDs in the red zone via the pass to the WRs. Cobb is also one more red zone touch ahead of Jordy Nelson. Cobb runs 90 percent of his routes from the slot, which puts him up against Leonard Johnson, who is graded PFF’s 85th best corner. Staying in the same game, I also like Mike Evans and Vincent Jackson. The Buccaneers are 10 points underdogs in this game, so I believe the passing volume will be there for both Evans and Jackson.
Evans has certainly been the more efficient of the two WRs as he has nine more TDs than Jackson, but the volume is still encouraging. Digging a little deeper into the salaries, I do like Marques Colston. With the Saints projected for 31 points, there can be some optimism here. Colston runs 75 percent of his routes from the slot, so he is likely going to avoid Desmond Trufant. Colston leads all Saints WRs in red zone touches and Kenny Stills hasn’t had a red zone target since Week 11. I prefer Colston to Stills on DraftKings, where he is $1,100 cheaper.
Every week for DFS, I start my decision making process based on whether I am rostering Gronk or not. His price tag dropped on DraftKings and it’s hovering around where it usually is on FanDuel. The Jets are dead last at defending the TE according to Football Outsiders, and Gronk has a median projection of 19 points in PPR scoring. If I am not using Gronk, the only other option I am considering right now is Travis Kelce. The Steelers are one of the worst at defending the TE and Kelce’s usage has slowly been increasing. He’s run 143 pass routes since Week 11, which is the tenth-most in the league among TEs, and he has the third-most receiving yards among TEs in that same span. Kelce is currently the Chief’s leading receiver and I’d imagine they continue to lean on him in the passing game come Sunday in a must win game.
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