AAF Daily Fantasy sports is in full gear as we now approach the second half of the regular season. Each week I’ll be running through some of the top plays, stacks to target, and a few punts to consider when building DFS lineups at Fanball. Let’s dive into Week 6.
Target Running Backs with Volume
We’ve finally reached the point in the season where Trent Richardson ($7,500) is no longer the plug-and-play RB1 to prioritize our cash lineups around. Richardson’s touch count has fallen to just 12.5 over the last two weeks while teammates LaDarius Perkins and Brandon Ross siphon off snaps with carries and routes run. While nobody in the AAF comes close to Richardson’s goal line work and targets out of the backfield, he isn’t someone to prioritize this week on the road at San Diego. The Fleet have allowed the second-fewest fantasy points to opposing running backs this season and just 3.5 yards per carry. Richardson still makes for a contrarian tournament option given his receiving upside (102 routes, 27 targets), but he’ll likely have a tough day on the ground.
Zac Stacy ($6,500) continues to be one of the league’s few workhorse backs. He’s the only running back in the league with double-digit carries each game through Week 5. After scoring two touchdowns last week, Stacy should draw some decent ownership, but a tough matchup against Salt Lake’s run defense could mean he’s better served for tournaments. Salt Lake is allowing a league-low 3.2 yards per carry and the fewest fantasy points to opposing backs. This is purely a volume play, while most teams implement a committee, Stacy is averaging 17 touches per game and playing on 51 percent of his team’s snaps.
Priced down from $6,700 last week, Kenneth Farrow ($6,100) comes in as a great building block for DFS squads this week. Farrow leads the league in rushing attempts (78) and rushing yards (305), and now faces the run-friendly defense of Atlanta this week. The Legends have given up the most fantasy points (30.9 FP/G) and rushing touchdowns (eight) to opposing running backs so far this season. If prioritizing volume, Farrow should inherit plenty, despite San Antonio being minor road dogs (+1.5). We targeted Stacy in this exact matchup last week (22.6 FPs) and shouldn’t be shocked if Farrow finds similar success.
Chase the Targets at Wide Receiver
The perennial RotoViz moniker, targets are the lifeblood of fantasy, applies to the AAF just as much as the NFL.
Orlando’s Charles Johnson ($8,000) has finally reached the price point where he’s tough to recommend. Roster construction has made him a tough fit to pair with his quarterback this week, but I think he’s a fine play on his own given his production. Johnson leads the league in targets (42), target share (28 percent), receptions (29), and receiving yards (493). With just a pair of touchdowns to his name, perhaps we still have yet to see the best of Johnson. Johnson’s matchup this week with Arizona should be a quality offensive showdown with two of the league’s premier quarterback talents dueling it out.
On the other side of the field in the same game, Arizona’s Rashad Ross ($7,600) has found a nose for the end zone. Ross has now scored six touchdowns in five games, leading all wideouts through the first five weeks in fantasy points with 21.2 per game. Sporting a robust 36 percent of his team’s Air Yards, Ross makes for a strong candidate in both cash and tournaments alike given this game’s 43.5 projected game total (highest on the slate).
While Quinton Patton ($5,300) didn’t put up the fantasy stat line we were anticipating last week, the volume was absolutely there with him seeing 11 targets thrown his direction. Quarterback Keith Price came in following a Luis Perez pick-six and had an impressive performance throwing for 234 yards and completing both a passing touchdown and passing two-point conversion. Price’s 8.1 YPA is encouraging for Patton owners, with Patton being one of the league’s premier deep targets (15.3 aDOT). Sporting a league-leading 583 Air Yards, Patton could be in for a monster week with a full game of Price under center.
Stacks to Target
Garrett Gilbert ($7,100) and D’Ernest Johnson ($5,700)
For Orlando stacking considerations, I have no problems with anyone trying to add Charles Johnson and go for an all-out Orlando stack. You will need to make some uncomfortable sacrifices to squeeze him in, but that’s a ceiling — and likely unique roster combination given the high price tags — worth chasing. For those unable to fit in Orlando’s alpha receiver, I’d be comfortable taking his quarterback and pairing him with Orlando’s top running back and use those savings elsewhere. Gilbert enters a shootout with Arizona in this week’s highest-scoring game on the slate. Gilbert leads the AAF in just about every meaningful category, and while Fanball makes you pay up for him ($7,100), his ceiling in a potential shootout will be tough to fade. Pairing him with D’Ernest Johnson gives you a strong shot at capitalizing on Orlando’s touchdowns. Johnson leads the Apollos in total touches (53), routes run (50), and red zone snaps (15). Coming off a six-target outing, Johnson makes for a strong, gamescript-proof stacking candidate with Gilbert.
Aaron Murray ($6,600) and Seantavius Jones ($5,200)
Over the past two weeks, Murray leads all quarterbacks in passing yards while accruing the third-most fantasy points at the position. He’s also tacked on an additional 67 rushing yards on ten attempts. Murray hosts a home matchup in what should be a close game against the pass-funnel defense of San Antonio. The Commanders rank first in both passing yards (255.6 per game) and Air Yards (346.6 per game) allowed to date, and only Salt Lake has allowed more passing touchdowns (seven to six) through the first five weeks. Excluding Week 4’s donut, Seantavius Jones has seen target totals of 8, 7, 8, and 6. He ranks fifth in targets (31), red zone targets (6), and Air Yards (407) on the year. Jones has yet to capitalize these numbers into a touchdown, but could be on the plus-side of variance this week against the soft secondary of San Antonio.
Punts ($5K and below)
Since Zach Mettenberger has taken over for Memphis, Reece Horn ($5,000) has emerged as the team’s top wideout. During this time frame, Horn ties for the team lead in targets (23) and leads the squad in Air Yards (313). He has yet to put it all together for a massive fantasy outing, but with steady target volume — 4, 6, 5, 4, 4 — he’s a consistent part of the offense. He’s also shown a penchant for big plays, with receptions of 39- and 29-yards the last two weeks, indicating a ceiling worthy of pursuit.
Arizona finally made a decision last week regarding Josh Huff, placing him on Injured Reserve. While we continue to wait for whether or not they do the same for Richard Mullaney (hasn’t played since Week 2), I don’t mind penciling in Freddie Martino ($3,900) for some salary savings. We’ve already mentioned repeatedly that this game has shootout potential, and Martino emerged as the team’s secondary receiving option last week behind Rashad Ross. Martino saw seven targets in that game, and we shouldn’t be shocked if he sees similar volume against Orlando. Opposing teams are passing against them 57.8 percent of the time (third-most), and Orlando has faced the second-most targets to date from opposing wideouts (22.4 per game).