Tournament Champion or Crash and Burn? The Evidence For and Against a Contrarian Best Ball Play
Image Credit: Rich von Biberstein/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Desmond Ridder.

Shawn Siegele looks at the quarterback position in 2023 and dives into the tools to ask whether a deeply contrarian approach might be the answer that unlocks extreme upside builds.

The RotoViz writers and subscribers have turned in some really big results over the years by gleaning insights from the Underdog and FFPC Roster Construction Explorers. If you understand what works year-in and year-out in best ball, you can lean into winning strategies and avoid getting overconfident when chasing the previous year’s flukes.

Mike Beers’ best ball tools educated a mini-generation on the importance of the QB Window, and it was an area where our subs profited again in 2022 with league-winning early Window QBs like Jalen Hurts and Joe Burrow. But we also want to keep our eyes peeled for areas where the RCE might have a hard time anticipating a coming year’s trends. That’s especially true if drafters also don’t appear to see what’s on the horizon.

For almost a decade in fantasy, the QB position generated relatively little interest, as most savvy drafters understood the value of Late Round QB within the player and scoring environment of the time. As the NFL has changed, bringing hybrid QBs and analytics-infused offenses that lean into the pass even in run scripts, the early-round QB has been reborn. Add in the rise of Superflex, and QB is no longer an ignored position.

In today’s piece I’m going to dive into some elements of the 2023 QB landscape that have infused my draft plan with a contrarian approach that will lift your squad to epic success or reduce it to smoldering ashes.

Come With Me on a Journey Into Complete Roster Destruction

Subscriber access includes the Underdog Advance Rater Explorer, a combination of five individual tools to help you take down the $3 million BBM IV. Plus use the coupon code ROTOVIZ and get a 100% deposit match up to $100 when you sign up for an Underdog account.

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Please subscribe For Full Access to all RotoViz content and tools!

 

What’s included in your subscription??

  • Exclusive Access to RotoViz Study Hall
    • A treasure trove of our most insightful articles that will teach you the metrics that matter, time-tested winning strategies, the approaches that will give you an edge, and teach you how to be an effective fantasy manager.
  • Revolutionary Tools
    • Including the NFL Stat Explorer, Weekly GLSP Projections, NCAA Prospect Box Score Scout, Combine Explorer, Range of Outcomes App, DFS Lineup Optimizer, Best Ball Suite,and many, many, more.
  • Groundbreaking Articles
    • RotoViz is home of the original Zero-RB article and continues to push fantasy gamers forward as the go-to destination for evidence-based analysis and strategic advantages.
  • Weekly Projections
    • Built using RotoViz’s unique GLSP approach.
  • Expert Rankings
  • And a whole lot more…

Shawn Siegele

Author of the original Zero RB article and 2013 NFFC Primetime Grand Champion. 11-time main event league winner. 2015, 2017, 2018 titles in MFL10 of Death.

The 2025 FFPC Superflex Blueprint: A Complete Strategy Breakdown from the Roster Construction Explorer, Top 200 Rankings and Tiers, Discussing Tactics from Tournament Drafts, and More

In the 2025 FFPC Best Ball Superflex Blueprint, Shawn Siegele provides his updated top-200 rankings, detailed insights from the Roster Construction Explorer, and tactics from tournament drafts. I don’t think I need to pull any punches here. The FFPC Superflex Tournament is my favorite best ball format. It’s got everything you want — big prizes ($100,000 to first), low entry fee ($35), Superflex, and starting…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

The 15 Most Controversial Players in Fantasy and Why You Should Take a Closer Look at These 45 Options

Shawn Siegele breaks down the 15 most controversial players in fantasy football, talks about his favorite selections, and explains his own picks, all within the context of one of his favorite annual drafts. Pat Thorman’s MFL10 of Death is into its 12th year, and while the cast has subtly changed over the years, one thing stays the same. Pat assembles 11 of the best analysts…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

The 2025 Big Gorilla Bible: Updated Rankings and Tiers, Target Labels for Every Player, A Deep Dive into Tactics from Real Drafts, and Much More

Shawn Siegele updates his top-200 player rankings for 2025 redraft formats. Breaking the groups down into 11 tiers and providing ADP contrasts, Shawn gets you ready to win $1 million in the Big Gorilla. Fresh off our best dynasty and redraft seasons to date, the original edition of The Big Gorilla Blueprint was the biggest single-article project I’ve attempted in 15 years of writing about…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

The 2025 FFPC Superflex Blueprint: A Complete Strategy Breakdown from the Roster Construction Explorer, Top 200 Rankings and Tiers, Discussing Tactics from Tournament Drafts, and More

In the 2025 FFPC Best Ball Superflex Blueprint, Shawn Siegele provides his updated top-200 rankings, detailed insights from the Roster Construction Explorer, and tactics from tournament drafts. I don’t think I need to pull any punches here. The FFPC Superflex Tournament is my favorite best ball format. It’s got everything you want — big prizes ($100,000 to first), low entry fee ($35), Superflex, and starting…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

The 15 Most Controversial Players in Fantasy and Why You Should Take a Closer Look at These 45 Options

Shawn Siegele breaks down the 15 most controversial players in fantasy football, talks about his favorite selections, and explains his own picks, all within the context of one of his favorite annual drafts. Pat Thorman’s MFL10 of Death is into its 12th year, and while the cast has subtly changed over the years, one thing stays the same. Pat assembles 11 of the best analysts…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

The 2025 Big Gorilla Bible: Updated Rankings and Tiers, Target Labels for Every Player, A Deep Dive into Tactics from Real Drafts, and Much More

Shawn Siegele updates his top-200 player rankings for 2025 redraft formats. Breaking the groups down into 11 tiers and providing ADP contrasts, Shawn gets you ready to win $1 million in the Big Gorilla. Fresh off our best dynasty and redraft seasons to date, the original edition of The Big Gorilla Blueprint was the biggest single-article project I’ve attempted in 15 years of writing about…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

The Blitz

Connect
Support

rotovizmain@gmail.com

Sign-up today for our free Premium Email subscription!

Data provided by

© 2021 RotoViz. All rights Reserved.

Welcome Back to RotoViz...

– IF YOU HAVE ISSUES LOGGING IN PLEASE CONTACT ROTOVIZMAIN@GMAIL.COM

– PLEASE NOTE THAT ROTOVIZ USES WORDPRESS FOR ACCOUNT MANAGEMENT. IF RESETTING YOUR PASSWORD YOU MAY BE FOWARDED TO A WORDPRESS PAGE.