Tournament Champion or Crash and Burn? The Evidence For and Against a Contrarian Best Ball Play
Image Credit: Rich von Biberstein/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Desmond Ridder.

Shawn Siegele looks at the quarterback position in 2023 and dives into the tools to ask whether a deeply contrarian approach might be the answer that unlocks extreme upside builds.

The RotoViz writers and subscribers have turned in some really big results over the years by gleaning insights from the Underdog and FFPC Roster Construction Explorers. If you understand what works year-in and year-out in best ball, you can lean into winning strategies and avoid getting overconfident when chasing the previous year’s flukes.

Mike Beers’ best ball tools educated a mini-generation on the importance of the QB Window, and it was an area where our subs profited again in 2022 with league-winning early Window QBs like Jalen Hurts and Joe Burrow. But we also want to keep our eyes peeled for areas where the RCE might have a hard time anticipating a coming year’s trends. That’s especially true if drafters also don’t appear to see what’s on the horizon.

For almost a decade in fantasy, the QB position generated relatively little interest, as most savvy drafters understood the value of Late Round QB within the player and scoring environment of the time. As the NFL has changed, bringing hybrid QBs and analytics-infused offenses that lean into the pass even in run scripts, the early-round QB has been reborn. Add in the rise of Superflex, and QB is no longer an ignored position.

In today’s piece I’m going to dive into some elements of the 2023 QB landscape that have infused my draft plan with a contrarian approach that will lift your squad to epic success or reduce it to smoldering ashes.

Come With Me on a Journey Into Complete Roster Destruction

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Shawn Siegele

Author of the original Zero RB article and 2013 NFFC Primetime Grand Champion. 11-time main event league winner. 2015, 2017, 2018 titles in MFL10 of Death.

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Fix Your Dynasty Drafting Mistakes and Land the Next Wave of Sleeper Stars

Shawn Siegele breaks down early rookie draft ADP and works through your best opportunities to beat the dynasty competition. Today’s piece is intended as a post-mortem of the FFPC rookie drafts with the goal that’s actionable for you in . . . future rookie drafts throughout the summer and fall. new dynasty startups where managing rookie prices is the most essential part of your trade-down…...

Membership Required

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Once You’ve Exhausted All Trade-Out Possibilities, This Is How You Crush Your Rookie Draft

Shawn Siegele breaks down the movement post-NFL draft and provides his 2026 dynasty superflex rookie rankings. The pre-draft version of the rankings included detailed player blurbs on my top-40 prospects. In today’s exercise, I extend the rankings to a full four-round dynasty SF draft. Beyond those names, I discuss an additional 12 players, including a few priority UDFAs, who might be interesting to deep-league managers…...

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You must be a member to access this content.

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2026 NFL Cheat Sheet: Advanced Stat Profiles and Tiered Rankings of the Top 40 Prospects

Shawn Siegele dives into the prospect profiles for the 2026 NFL draft and ranks his top-40 fantasy prospects for dynasty superflex leagues. I’m very biased, of course, but I’m also proud of our dynasty content in recent seasons. If you’ve purchased the rookie guides and followed the Perpetual Reloading series, you’ve won a lot of titles in the FFPC RV TriFlex leagues and similar formats…....

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