Best Ball

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Good First Impressions: Rookie Tight Ends Winning Plaudits in Camp

Apparently, the great Oscar Wilde once said that you never get a second chance to make a good first impression. This mantra has been taken onboard by a host of rookies this summer, with many first-year players wowing observers across the NFL. There are two rookie tight ends in particular that are impressing the people that matter, early in training camp. But how excited should…...

5 Priority Wide Receiver Targets Who Are Also Dominating Early in Training Camp

Shawn Siegele explains why these five WRs have been the foundation of his summer draft plans and why training camp developments are making them even better picks for your big redraft leagues this August. One consistent and justified refrain from our subscribers is that you want my 2023 Draft Plan early enough for most drafters to use it on the big day. While I’ll still…...

The Crucial Wide Receiver Stat That Drafters Forgot: How to Use Advanced WR Metrics to Beat ADP

My previous article examined which metrics are most predictive for wide receivers. I was concerned in that piece to show which metrics were both stable (predicted themselves) and useful (predicted fantasy points.) Today I want to ask a slightly different but even more important question: which WR metrics are most valuable? That is, which metrics give us an edge in fantasy drafts? It doesn’t help…...

Overcoming Inflation and Exploiting the New QB ADP Landscape: Keys to the 2023 FFPC Best Ball Tournament – Part 2

Conor O’Driscoll took down the inaugural FFPC Best Ball Tournament, and followed that up by getting two teams into the finals last year. Now the world’s No. 1 authority on this unique tournament format gives you an in-depth look at his process for consistent success. In the second installment he details his approach to handling the new QB ADP landscape. Part 1 on how make…...

What’s the Possible Upside for Aggressive Javonte Williams Drafters?

Shawn Siegele looks at what it means for Javonte Williams to avoid PUP and what his trajectory will likely be if he stays healthy in 2023. Where should we be selecting him now in fantasy drafts? On a few podcasts last week, I mentioned that if the prices for Breece Hall and Williams were reversed, I’d still be trying to create at least some exposure…...

I’m Always Too High on Breece Hall, But Is That About to Pay Off?

Breece Hall may be the most controversial fantasy selection this summer. The second-year player for New York took the league by storm last season before suffering an ACL tear in Week 7. Will he be the second coming of Adrian Peterson, or will his trajectory follow the path taken by J.K. Dobbins a year ago? Hall was put on PUP to begin training camp, but…...

FFPC SuperFlex Best Ball: Outdueling Shawn and Blair with Insights from the Workshops and RCE

Erik Hove explains why a unique approach to FFPC Superflex tournaments provides a winning edge that can’t be achieved through normal draft stuctures. Underdog has the badge brigade. Shawn Siegele’s Best Ball Banana Stand live streams with Pete Overzet take it to the next level with fear-inducing WR avalanches. But nothing strikes fear in an RV-pilled, FFPC drafter like seeing a Blair Andrews/Shawn Siegele co-managed…...

How to Turn Elite-But-Lean WR Builds Into Deadly Tournament Rosters

Shawn Siegele recommends aggressive draft selections to execute a trendy Underdog BBMIV draft plan that’s perfect for 2023. In the 2023 Underdog Workshop, I’m using the Roster Construction Explorer and Advance Rate Explorer to create evidence-based draft plans to handle any slot and room. The 2023 Underdog Workshop Will the Best-Parts Plan allow you to blend dominant tactics from 2021 and 2022? The evidence for…...

Tournaments Are About to Give Us 1 Must-Draft WR to Go With 1 Do-Not-Draft Bust

Shawn Siegele explains why the hardest click in your draft also might be the player who wins you $3 million. In the 2023 FFPC and Underdog Best Ball Workshops, we’ve put together plans for balancing four objectives: Deploying draft structures that exploit the current year ADP landscape Selecting player archetypes with asymmetrical risk/reward profiles Generating additional ADP value within individual leagues Embracing the right type…...

Late-Round Tight End Never Works — But It Might Work for Us: 7 Tight Ends in the Double-Digit Rounds to Help You Lean Into the WR Avalanche

Elite-tight-end builds — or even double-elite-TE builds — have long been a staple of winning roster construction principles at RotoViz. Even in Shawn Siegele’s foundational Zero-RB article, he mentions that his preferred construction in the first five rounds includes four WRs and a TE. Looking back at the win rates for elite TE builds shows that beginning your draft with a top TE provides a…...

Is All Stacking Beneficial? The Theory and Data on Late Stacks and Back Stacking in Best Ball

Bjorn Yang-Vaernet uses the RotoViz Best Ball Tools to explore whether drafters should be late stacking and back stacking in Underdog best ball tournaments Best ball has come a long way since Underdog arrived on the scene three years ago. In particular, what drafters consider “obvious” strategies today were debated in previous summers. A few of these strategies are: Getting ADP closing value Week 17…...

Combining Double-Anchor RB, WR Storm Tactics, ADP Value, and Tournament Upside in Best Ball Mania IV

Shawn Siegele breaks down all 18 picks from a Best Ball Mania IV draft on a team that balances ADP value, overall roster construction, and correlation plays. In the previous Underdog Workshop, we looked at how to blend league-winning traits from 2021 and 2022 while capitalizing on the unique ADP environment of 2023. That team featured a double-anchor at RB but combined upside WRs with…...

A Contrarian Path to Supercharged Elite TE Builds: Keys to the 2023 FFPC Best Ball Tournament – Part 1

Conor O’Driscoll took down the inaugural FFPC Best Ball Tournament, and followed that up by getting two teams into the finals last year. Now the world’s No. 1 authority on this unique tournament format gives you an in-depth look at his process for consistent success. First up, how should we approach the tight end position? Last year I wrote a short series about the FFPC…...

Is the QB Window Still Viable? Exploring the Impact of Quarterback Breakouts and Injuries

Earlier this offseason, Michael Dubner suggested that elite quarterbacks can carry teams to the playoffs despite the elevated cost. Shawn Siegele has found a number of late options with breakout potential. Both rightly pointed out that the QB window did not provide the returns in 2022 that we’ve come to expect. Yet, in many ways, the death of the QB window has been greatly exaggerated…....

My Favorite Way to Beat the Underdog Avalanche Mixes Fun, Firepower, Safety, and Upside

Shawn Siegele examines a Best Ball Banana Stand draft with Peter Overzet and asks whether we can use the pressure from a WR Avalanche draft to help us think about tactics that bridge the 2021 and 2022 seasons in Underdog. Pete and I draft a team in BBM4 every Wednesday morning, and these drafts tend to be extremely WR heavy. That creates an interesting mix…...

Tournament Champion or Crash and Burn? The Evidence For and Against a Contrarian Best Ball Play

Shawn Siegele looks at the quarterback position in 2023 and dives into the tools to ask whether a deeply contrarian approach might be the answer that unlocks extreme upside builds. The RotoViz writers and subscribers have turned in some really big results over the years by gleaning insights from the Underdog and FFPC Roster Construction Explorers. If you understand what works year-in and year-out in…...

This Cheap Contrarian Stack Could Give Your Underdog Squads a 2022 Seahawks Level Boost

With all the prize money up for grabs in BBMIV on Underdog, we are searching for the best ways to optimize both our individual roster construction and our portfolio constrution. One aspect of portfolio construction that goes overlooked is adjusting for the number of teams you are drafting. I will be nowhere near the 150-entry limit when the tournament finally fills. If you are drafting…...

The Next DeVonta Smith Could Be the Perfect Way to Beat 2023’s WR Dead Zone

Shawn Siegele dives deep into the evidence and breaks out the full RotoViz toolkit to help you find a receiver who profiles as the 2023 version of DeVonta Smith. In Part 1 of this series, I framed the project this way: You only have so many early-round selections. Players on the same NFL team are frequently dealing with the same team-level risks. That leads to…...

How to Use the Win the Flex and Range of Outcomes Tools to Find Undervalued Wide Receivers

RotoViz was a pioneer of the idea of structural drafting, often in tandem with the idea that the flex wins championships and that fantasy football drafts are a race to fill the flex. But we’ve always paired structural drafting with evidence-based player-level research. Success in fantasy is not as simple as drafting the right number of RBs or drafting a QB in the right round,…...

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