Best Ball

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

The RB Dead Zone Lives On: Best Ball Mania IV Advance Rate Model Review — Week 4

Let’s start with a thought experiment:  You go back in time and draft a Best Ball Mania IV (BBM4) team with all the knowledge you have now. Who do you select in each round? As someone who has been keeping up with my expected advance rate model, you may be tempted to simply select the player with the highest expected advance rate in each round…....

The Value of a Spike Week: Best Ball Mania IV Advance Rate Model Review — Week 3

One of the more underappreciated ways that Underdog best ball is different from a normal redraft league is the “points chase” scoring. There are no weekly matchups and no W/L records, only points. Total points scored matters to an extent in redraft, but it’s typically relevant on the margins as a tie breaker or similar. This makes spike weeks less impactful in redraft. All of…...

Late-Round Stars Emerging: Best Ball Mania IV Advance Rate Model Review — Week 2

Two weeks into the 2023 NFL season and we already have a few clear candidates for the best ball MVP. They show up in redraft leagues as waiver wire headliners and late-round dart throws, but how do these studs leave their mark in Underdog’s Best Ball Mania IV? (BBM4) In this week’s BBM4 advance rate model review, we’ll identify a few late round stars and…...

Tyreek Hill Steals the Show: Best Ball Mania IV Advance Rate Model Review – Week 1

If you’re anything like me, you opened up the Underdog app to check out your best ball portfolio less than a quarter into the early window of Week 1. I’ll admit it’s premature; the Underdog app often hasn’t even updated the scores, but I just have to know. We spend all summer drafting best ball teams and when the season arrives it can feel anticlimactic…....

Don’t Miss Out On 2023’s Crazy Rookie Wide Receiver Value Like You Missed Garrett Wilson

Garrett Wilson massively outperformed in fantasy a year ago, putting up more than 1,100 yards despite historically bad quarterback play. Now Michael Dubner reveals the rookie WR on the same path Wilson blazed a year ago.  With one week of drafting remaining in the FFPC Main Event and FantasyPros contests, and 4% of Best Ball Mania drafts remaining, I’m bringing you an urgent message not…...

Using WTF Principles To Crush Running Back: Keys to the 2023 FFPC Best Ball Tournament – Part 3

Conor O’Driscoll took down the inaugural FFPC Best Ball Tournament, and followed up with two finals teams last year. Now the world’s foremost authority on this unique tournament format gives you an in-depth look at his process. Part 1 on how to make elite TE builds even stronger here. Part 2 on overcoming QB inflation here. The current iteration of the Win The Flex tool…...

2 Mispriced Early-Round Players Who Could be League Winners in 2023

Meng Song discusses a couple of mispriced early-round players who could be league-winners in 2023. There’s plenty of information out there regarding late-round ADP values and mid-round sleepers, like Mat Irby’s three middle-round running backs who could be stars. Players who outperform their ADPs certainly add value to a fantasy roster, but it’s rare to hit on true league-winners in the middle or late rounds…...

The FFPC Superflex Tournament 2 Is Live (and Awesome) – This Is How You Win

Shawn Siegele finished No. 2 overall in the 2021 FFPC Best Ball Tournament and reached the finals of the 2022 FFPC Superflex Tournament (both with his Overtime co-host Colm Kelly). Now he looks at what the Roster Construction Explorer tells you about winning in 2023. The original FFPC Superflex tournament has filled, but not to worry. Superflex 2 offers a $10,000 grand prize in a…...

How to Prioritize Scooping Value in Your Best Ball Drafts: Adjusted ADP Value Reveals Some Surprising Positional Strategies

As the 2023 home league draft season kicks into gear, I’m reminded of the frustratingly sharp Underdog average draft position (ADP) landscape. I’m cruising through home league drafts, snagging fifth-round Christian Watson, sixth-round Brandon Aiyuk, and seventh-round Jahan Dotson with ease. In Underdog best ball drafts? I’m praying for a wide receiver with some semblance of upside at the end of the sixth round. It’s…...

2023 Hero RB Draft Guide: Candidates and Roster Construction

Curtis Patrick’s 2023 Hero RB Draft Guide reviews Hero RB candidates and preferred roster construction for league winning results. 2023 Hero RB Draft Guide: Candidates and Roster Construction RotoViz is famous for Zero RB strategy. Shawn Siegele is the Godfather of this strategy and remains its foremost spokesman. Even Shawn doesn’t use this strategy all the time. Drafting a running back in the early rounds of…...

How to Spot RB Breakout Profiles With Too Much Trap Potential, Plus 4 Positional Groups You Must Fade

Michael Dubner exposes the team positional groups he’s fading in 2023 best ball tournaments.  In fantasy football, it’s not just about knowing who you draft, but it’s also who you do not draft. When reviewing my best ball portfolio, I like to get a sense of what individual players I’m over- and underweight on. I want to see what roster constructions I’m implementing. And what…...

Can You Go Too Far In Scooping ADP Value?

The frenzied search for quantifiable edges in best ball tournaments is heating up this offseason with average draft position (ADP) value emerging as one of the most promising. ADP value is a metric that quantifies the extent to which a drafter is reaching or scooping falling players throughout the draft. Preliminary findings have shown correlation between higher ADP value (less reaching, more scooping) and higher…...

Double-Digit Draft Slots Could be the Key to Countering the WR Avalanche

Bjorn Yang-Vaernet shares why he thinks double-digit best ball draft slots could have a big advantage again in 2023. Over a large enough sample size, best ball drafters should get every draft slot once in every 12 drafts. However, for drafters like myself, whose full-time job is not drafting best ball teams, I am at the mercy of the random number generator (RNG) program in…...

Stacking Kickers Provides a Massive Edge for the Non-Tournament Player: How to Win Standalone Best Ball Leagues

Daily fantasy drafters have been stacking NFL offenses for years. Best ball tournament stacking has exploded recently. But nearly all tournament formats leave out a position that offers a massive benefit when stacked. This is one area in which the cash game best ball player has a distinct edge. One look at the Stack Analysis tool in the RotoViz Win Rate Explorer shows us what…...

My Favorite Targets in Each Round: The August Edition Part 1 – Foundation Picks

Earlier in the offseason I looked at my favorite targets in Best Ball Mania IV. But a lot has changed since then. Now that we’re in the home stretch of best ball drafting season, let’s look again at some of the top targets in each round. Using our Underdog ADP tool — now with the ability to show an ADP Draft Grid — we can…...

This Cheap Underdog Hack Allows You to Create a Dominant Advantage at All Positions

Shawn Siegele explores the evidence for a cheap Underdog hack that helps you dominate all positions and pushes your advance rates through the roof. When Colm Kelly and I draft our RotoViz Overtime squads, we tend to emphasize Zero RB constructions that include Elite TE builds. The WR-heavy approach dominated 2022, and top TEs often give you a trump card through the playoffs even when…...

It’s Much Easier to Fade the Fantasy MVP Than You Might Think, But This Tactic Helps You Escape the Trap

Michael Dubner explains why you can very easily fade the fantasy MVP, and discusses the specific portfolio management technique that rescues you from the trap. RotoViz has long been ahead of the field in understanding the structural advantage Elite TEs offer in best ball, even in tournament formats. Although we used to get big seasons from Rob Gronkowski, Jimmy Graham, and Zach Ertz – and we…...

Missed Out on the Elite QBs? 3 QBs in the QB Window That Have Week 17 Winning Upside

Bjorn Yang-Vaernet examines three teams and their respective QBs that can be drafted in the QB Window (Rounds 6 to 13) and have legitimate tournament-winning upside in 2023. One of the more interesting dynamics in late-July/early-August best ball drafts is the game of chicken that drafters have when selecting elite QBs. After routinely going in Round 2, managers have started to see how far they…...

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