Dave Caban

Senior Fantasy Analyst, app developer, hosts the RotoViz Radio Flagship, auction draft enthusiast.

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In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

2020 Round 1 Rookie WRs: Market Share Projections and Win-Now Targets

With the 12th pick in the 2020 NFL Draft, the Las Vegas Raiders selected Henry Ruggs III and got the wide receiver ball rolling. In total, six WRs were drafted. Since 2010, 32 WRs have been drafted in Round 1. Of these 32 pass catchers, 43% (14) managed to score more than 10 points per game (PPG) in their rookie season. This group averaged 13.8…...

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Is Clyde Edwards-Helaire The Rookie 1.01?

Clyde Edwards-Helaire was drafted 32nd overall by the Kansas City Chiefs and was the first running back selected in the 2020 NFL Draft. Originally, Edwards-Helaire graded out as potentially the next Aaron Jones in the RB Prospect Lab, but his updated comps provide even more reasons for optimism. Dalvin Cook is a very interesting comparable for Edwards-Helaire, given that both players tested quite poorly, but were…...

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2020 WR Prospect Lab Scores – Several Big Surprises in the Updated Rankings After 6 Receivers Go on Day 1

Day 1 always has a big impact on rookie drafts. How should it change your plans? Shawn Siegele explores the updated WR Prospect Lab Scores for the six first-round selections at wide receiver. The WR run started a little later than expected but was on in full force by the end of the night. CeeDee Lamb and Jerry Jeudy, the top receivers in our dynasty…...

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These 2 Undervalued WRs Are Must-Buys After Landing in Great Spots

It’s just so perfect when things come together like this. The fantasy football deities have blessed us by placing two fantastic wide receiver prospects in situations that will allow them to showcase their skills immediately. In case you didn’t know — and I really hope you did know if you’re reading this — Round 1 of the NFL Draft was yesterday. People have been hyping…...

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The Best Rookie Running Back Landing Spots: Vacated RB Expected Points

The early portions of 2020 rookie drafts are expected to be filled with exciting running backs. But the outlooks for our favorite backs depend a lot on which teams draft them. One straightforward way to determine which landing spots are best is to look at which teams have the most available opportunity. In what follows, I’ll explore vacated RB expected points (EP) to find the…...

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3 Hyperproductive Wide Receivers Who Could Fall to Day 3 of the NFL Draft

At this point, it’s clear that college production is more important than athleticism for wide receiver prospects. In The Wrong Read No. 60, Blair Andrews used a correlation matrix to show which stats are related to performance at the next level. Predictably, he found that production metrics like Dominator Rating (DR), breakout age, and yards per team attempt (YPTA) are most closely tied to NFL…...

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Could We Be Underestimating the 2020 Running Back Class? The Backfield Dominator Rating Finds 4 Steals Beyond the 5 Flashy Names

The 2020 class of running backs has several prospects that excite fantasy owners. Surprisingly, the scouting community is less enthusiastic. Many mock drafts do not have a single RB being picked in the first round. Many of our favorite backs figure to be Day 3 selections. However, we know the NFL Draft is not an efficient market for extrapolating fantasy value. In the first volume…...

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Jonnu Smith Is the Top TE in Tennessee, but Is He a TE1 in Fantasy?

One of the biggest second-half storylines last year was the Tennessee Titans’ run to the AFC Championship Game. We’ve all heard how impressive Ryan Tannehill was when he became the full-time starter (noted in the chart below) and how Derrick Henry bulldozed his way to a rushing title. The A.J. Brown truthers (myself included) have been out in full force this offseason and expectations are…...

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Opportunity Scores: The Top Rookie Wide Receiver Landing Spots

A few years ago, RotoViz OG Kevin Cole created a formula for determining which teams were the best landing spots for rookie wide receivers. In fantasy and real football, performance is a function of opportunity. Whether the opportunity was created through talent, draft position, or lack of competition, it doesn’t matter. All that matters is raw opportunity because targets are the lifeblood of fantasy scoring. Kevin’s formula attempts…...

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Catch Passes to Beat the Masses: Why Pass-Catching is the Key to Identifying Late-Round RB Breakouts

Player evaluation is hard. That’s a truth we’ll have to deal with a lot over the next week, as the 2020 NFL Draft begins on Thursday. Sticking with the draft idea for a minute, we know that there are certain thresholds prospects have to meet to have a respectable likelihood of success at the next level. For example, if a wide receiver doesn’t break out…...

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The Top Late-Round Picks at Every Position

Nothing beats finding a high-upside player at the back of your best ball draft. Whether it’s Mecole Hardman providing nine double-digit scoring weeks or D.J. Chark, who became a starting level WR for nearly half the season, these late-round picks can often provide the needed boost to increase your team’s overall ceiling. So, with that in mind, I’m bringing back my series from a couple of years ago,…...

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A Trio of Day 3 Prospects Who Could Be the Next Stefon Diggs or Aaron Jones

Shawn Siegele looks at his favorite deep sleepers in the 2020 NFL draft, picking a running back, wide receiver, and tight end who could each emerge from deep in Day 3. Locating sleepers is among the most fun elements of fantasy football. When you hit on players like Aaron Jones or Stefon Diggs, it completely revitalizes your dynasty team at a fraction of the normal…...

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The Perfect Best Ball Draft: Rounds 9-12

The Perfect Best Ball Draft (pre-NFL draft) continues with a look today at Rounds 9-12. If you missed the perfect picks from Rounds 1-4 or Rounds 5-8, be sure to check out those pieces first. Your squad is now nearly halfway done, and the real test begins: Can you find the diamonds in the rough? Once you get into the double-digit rounds of a Best Ball…...

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Jalen Hurts and Contextualizing Historic Efficiency: A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

Two years ago, Baker Mayfield became the first former walk-on to be selected first overall in the NFL Draft. Last year, Kyler Murray went from a future pro baseball player who also happened to be pretty good at football to the first overall pick in the NFL Draft. And this year, Jalen Hurts went from the guy who was benched for Tua Tagovailoa on the…...

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Fanball ADP Risers: 3 NFL Teams Make Big Changes

We previously looked at the risers and fallers in the world of high stakes best ball. Now let’s turn our attention to those who get their kicks over at Fanball. The platform is different, and so are the players who have become more popular in recent weeks. Here are six Fanball ADP risers on three different teams who have seen their stock rise over the…...

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The Perfect Best Ball Draft: Rounds 5-8

We’re continuing our run through the Perfect Best Ball Draft (pre-NFL draft) with a look today at Rounds 5-8. The middle rounds of Best Ball drafts are where you really separate yourself from the field, as most of the “studs” are off the board. If you want to know the best players to pick in Rounds 1-4, check out the first article of this series…....

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Stefon Diggs Still Offers an Elite Ceiling

The Bills and Vikings completed a blockbuster deal that sent 26-year-old star WR Stefon Diggs to the Bills for a package of picks. Diggs was rumored to have wanted out of Minnesota since the middle of last season, as the Vikings shifted to a run-centric offense. At first glance, the transition to Josh Allen and the Bills is far from a dream landing spot, especially considering…...

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2020 WR Prospect Lab Rankings – 3 Stars, 2 Big-Time Sleepers, and Trio of Red Flags

Shawn Siegele examines the 2020 NFL draft’s top-20 wide receivers in the WR Prospect Lab. How does this storied class look under the microscope? Mike Beers just put the finishing touches on the WR Prospect Lab. The sister tool to our RB Prospect Lab allows you to explore the raw and advanced stats relevant to receiver performance. You can build your own model or use…...

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Eno Benjamin Might Surprise You: A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

Eno Benjamin was a four-star recruit who ranked as the sixth-best running back in the impressive 2017 recruiting class, just behind Cam Akers and De’Andre Swift, and ahead of the like of Travis Etienne, Chuba Hubbard.  Clearly, the recruiting pedigree suggests that Benjamin has been a top prospect from the day he stepped foot in Tempe. Benjamin saw work as a true freshman and had…...

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Is Blake Jarwin the Next Undrafted Star?

Sometimes, all a guy needs is a chance. This is especially true for an undrafted free agent. To not even be among the top 250-ish players drafted does not often signify future success. Past undrafted players have broken the mold into fantasy relevance, including Phillip Lindsay and Preston Williams, but they are the exception rather than the norm. When an undrafted player gets a chance…...

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2020 Round 1 Rookie WRs: Market Share Projections and Win-Now Targets

With the 12th pick in the 2020 NFL Draft, the Las Vegas Raiders selected Henry Ruggs III and got the wide receiver ball rolling. In total, six WRs were drafted. Since 2010, 32 WRs have been drafted in Round 1. Of these 32 pass catchers, 43% (14) managed to score more than 10 points per game (PPG) in their rookie season. This group averaged 13.8…...

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Is Clyde Edwards-Helaire The Rookie 1.01?

Clyde Edwards-Helaire was drafted 32nd overall by the Kansas City Chiefs and was the first running back selected in the 2020 NFL Draft. Originally, Edwards-Helaire graded out as potentially the next Aaron Jones in the RB Prospect Lab, but his updated comps provide even more reasons for optimism. Dalvin Cook is a very interesting comparable for Edwards-Helaire, given that both players tested quite poorly, but were…...

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2020 WR Prospect Lab Scores – Several Big Surprises in the Updated Rankings After 6 Receivers Go on Day 1

Day 1 always has a big impact on rookie drafts. How should it change your plans? Shawn Siegele explores the updated WR Prospect Lab Scores for the six first-round selections at wide receiver. The WR run started a little later than expected but was on in full force by the end of the night. CeeDee Lamb and Jerry Jeudy, the top receivers in our dynasty…...

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These 2 Undervalued WRs Are Must-Buys After Landing in Great Spots

It’s just so perfect when things come together like this. The fantasy football deities have blessed us by placing two fantastic wide receiver prospects in situations that will allow them to showcase their skills immediately. In case you didn’t know — and I really hope you did know if you’re reading this — Round 1 of the NFL Draft was yesterday. People have been hyping…...

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The Best Rookie Running Back Landing Spots: Vacated RB Expected Points

The early portions of 2020 rookie drafts are expected to be filled with exciting running backs. But the outlooks for our favorite backs depend a lot on which teams draft them. One straightforward way to determine which landing spots are best is to look at which teams have the most available opportunity. In what follows, I’ll explore vacated RB expected points (EP) to find the…...

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3 Hyperproductive Wide Receivers Who Could Fall to Day 3 of the NFL Draft

At this point, it’s clear that college production is more important than athleticism for wide receiver prospects. In The Wrong Read No. 60, Blair Andrews used a correlation matrix to show which stats are related to performance at the next level. Predictably, he found that production metrics like Dominator Rating (DR), breakout age, and yards per team attempt (YPTA) are most closely tied to NFL…...

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Could We Be Underestimating the 2020 Running Back Class? The Backfield Dominator Rating Finds 4 Steals Beyond the 5 Flashy Names

The 2020 class of running backs has several prospects that excite fantasy owners. Surprisingly, the scouting community is less enthusiastic. Many mock drafts do not have a single RB being picked in the first round. Many of our favorite backs figure to be Day 3 selections. However, we know the NFL Draft is not an efficient market for extrapolating fantasy value. In the first volume…...

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Jonnu Smith Is the Top TE in Tennessee, but Is He a TE1 in Fantasy?

One of the biggest second-half storylines last year was the Tennessee Titans’ run to the AFC Championship Game. We’ve all heard how impressive Ryan Tannehill was when he became the full-time starter (noted in the chart below) and how Derrick Henry bulldozed his way to a rushing title. The A.J. Brown truthers (myself included) have been out in full force this offseason and expectations are…...

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Opportunity Scores: The Top Rookie Wide Receiver Landing Spots

A few years ago, RotoViz OG Kevin Cole created a formula for determining which teams were the best landing spots for rookie wide receivers. In fantasy and real football, performance is a function of opportunity. Whether the opportunity was created through talent, draft position, or lack of competition, it doesn’t matter. All that matters is raw opportunity because targets are the lifeblood of fantasy scoring. Kevin’s formula attempts…...

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Catch Passes to Beat the Masses: Why Pass-Catching is the Key to Identifying Late-Round RB Breakouts

Player evaluation is hard. That’s a truth we’ll have to deal with a lot over the next week, as the 2020 NFL Draft begins on Thursday. Sticking with the draft idea for a minute, we know that there are certain thresholds prospects have to meet to have a respectable likelihood of success at the next level. For example, if a wide receiver doesn’t break out…...

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The Top Late-Round Picks at Every Position

Nothing beats finding a high-upside player at the back of your best ball draft. Whether it’s Mecole Hardman providing nine double-digit scoring weeks or D.J. Chark, who became a starting level WR for nearly half the season, these late-round picks can often provide the needed boost to increase your team’s overall ceiling. So, with that in mind, I’m bringing back my series from a couple of years ago,…...

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A Trio of Day 3 Prospects Who Could Be the Next Stefon Diggs or Aaron Jones

Shawn Siegele looks at his favorite deep sleepers in the 2020 NFL draft, picking a running back, wide receiver, and tight end who could each emerge from deep in Day 3. Locating sleepers is among the most fun elements of fantasy football. When you hit on players like Aaron Jones or Stefon Diggs, it completely revitalizes your dynasty team at a fraction of the normal…...

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The Perfect Best Ball Draft: Rounds 9-12

The Perfect Best Ball Draft (pre-NFL draft) continues with a look today at Rounds 9-12. If you missed the perfect picks from Rounds 1-4 or Rounds 5-8, be sure to check out those pieces first. Your squad is now nearly halfway done, and the real test begins: Can you find the diamonds in the rough? Once you get into the double-digit rounds of a Best Ball…...

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Jalen Hurts and Contextualizing Historic Efficiency: A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

Two years ago, Baker Mayfield became the first former walk-on to be selected first overall in the NFL Draft. Last year, Kyler Murray went from a future pro baseball player who also happened to be pretty good at football to the first overall pick in the NFL Draft. And this year, Jalen Hurts went from the guy who was benched for Tua Tagovailoa on the…...

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Fanball ADP Risers: 3 NFL Teams Make Big Changes

We previously looked at the risers and fallers in the world of high stakes best ball. Now let’s turn our attention to those who get their kicks over at Fanball. The platform is different, and so are the players who have become more popular in recent weeks. Here are six Fanball ADP risers on three different teams who have seen their stock rise over the…...

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The Perfect Best Ball Draft: Rounds 5-8

We’re continuing our run through the Perfect Best Ball Draft (pre-NFL draft) with a look today at Rounds 5-8. The middle rounds of Best Ball drafts are where you really separate yourself from the field, as most of the “studs” are off the board. If you want to know the best players to pick in Rounds 1-4, check out the first article of this series…....

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Stefon Diggs Still Offers an Elite Ceiling

The Bills and Vikings completed a blockbuster deal that sent 26-year-old star WR Stefon Diggs to the Bills for a package of picks. Diggs was rumored to have wanted out of Minnesota since the middle of last season, as the Vikings shifted to a run-centric offense. At first glance, the transition to Josh Allen and the Bills is far from a dream landing spot, especially considering…...

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2020 WR Prospect Lab Rankings – 3 Stars, 2 Big-Time Sleepers, and Trio of Red Flags

Shawn Siegele examines the 2020 NFL draft’s top-20 wide receivers in the WR Prospect Lab. How does this storied class look under the microscope? Mike Beers just put the finishing touches on the WR Prospect Lab. The sister tool to our RB Prospect Lab allows you to explore the raw and advanced stats relevant to receiver performance. You can build your own model or use…...

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Eno Benjamin Might Surprise You: A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

Eno Benjamin was a four-star recruit who ranked as the sixth-best running back in the impressive 2017 recruiting class, just behind Cam Akers and De’Andre Swift, and ahead of the like of Travis Etienne, Chuba Hubbard.  Clearly, the recruiting pedigree suggests that Benjamin has been a top prospect from the day he stepped foot in Tempe. Benjamin saw work as a true freshman and had…...

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Is Blake Jarwin the Next Undrafted Star?

Sometimes, all a guy needs is a chance. This is especially true for an undrafted free agent. To not even be among the top 250-ish players drafted does not often signify future success. Past undrafted players have broken the mold into fantasy relevance, including Phillip Lindsay and Preston Williams, but they are the exception rather than the norm. When an undrafted player gets a chance…...

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2020 Round 1 Rookie WRs: Market Share Projections and Win-Now Targets

With the 12th pick in the 2020 NFL Draft, the Las Vegas Raiders selected Henry Ruggs III and got the wide receiver ball rolling. In total, six WRs were drafted. Since 2010, 32 WRs have been drafted in Round 1. Of these 32 pass catchers, 43% (14) managed to score more than 10 points per game (PPG) in their rookie season. This group averaged 13.8…...

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Is Clyde Edwards-Helaire The Rookie 1.01?

Clyde Edwards-Helaire was drafted 32nd overall by the Kansas City Chiefs and was the first running back selected in the 2020 NFL Draft. Originally, Edwards-Helaire graded out as potentially the next Aaron Jones in the RB Prospect Lab, but his updated comps provide even more reasons for optimism. Dalvin Cook is a very interesting comparable for Edwards-Helaire, given that both players tested quite poorly, but were…...

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2020 WR Prospect Lab Scores – Several Big Surprises in the Updated Rankings After 6 Receivers Go on Day 1

Day 1 always has a big impact on rookie drafts. How should it change your plans? Shawn Siegele explores the updated WR Prospect Lab Scores for the six first-round selections at wide receiver. The WR run started a little later than expected but was on in full force by the end of the night. CeeDee Lamb and Jerry Jeudy, the top receivers in our dynasty…...

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These 2 Undervalued WRs Are Must-Buys After Landing in Great Spots

It’s just so perfect when things come together like this. The fantasy football deities have blessed us by placing two fantastic wide receiver prospects in situations that will allow them to showcase their skills immediately. In case you didn’t know — and I really hope you did know if you’re reading this — Round 1 of the NFL Draft was yesterday. People have been hyping…...

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The Best Rookie Running Back Landing Spots: Vacated RB Expected Points

The early portions of 2020 rookie drafts are expected to be filled with exciting running backs. But the outlooks for our favorite backs depend a lot on which teams draft them. One straightforward way to determine which landing spots are best is to look at which teams have the most available opportunity. In what follows, I’ll explore vacated RB expected points (EP) to find the…...

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3 Hyperproductive Wide Receivers Who Could Fall to Day 3 of the NFL Draft

At this point, it’s clear that college production is more important than athleticism for wide receiver prospects. In The Wrong Read No. 60, Blair Andrews used a correlation matrix to show which stats are related to performance at the next level. Predictably, he found that production metrics like Dominator Rating (DR), breakout age, and yards per team attempt (YPTA) are most closely tied to NFL…...

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Could We Be Underestimating the 2020 Running Back Class? The Backfield Dominator Rating Finds 4 Steals Beyond the 5 Flashy Names

The 2020 class of running backs has several prospects that excite fantasy owners. Surprisingly, the scouting community is less enthusiastic. Many mock drafts do not have a single RB being picked in the first round. Many of our favorite backs figure to be Day 3 selections. However, we know the NFL Draft is not an efficient market for extrapolating fantasy value. In the first volume…...

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Jonnu Smith Is the Top TE in Tennessee, but Is He a TE1 in Fantasy?

One of the biggest second-half storylines last year was the Tennessee Titans’ run to the AFC Championship Game. We’ve all heard how impressive Ryan Tannehill was when he became the full-time starter (noted in the chart below) and how Derrick Henry bulldozed his way to a rushing title. The A.J. Brown truthers (myself included) have been out in full force this offseason and expectations are…...

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Opportunity Scores: The Top Rookie Wide Receiver Landing Spots

A few years ago, RotoViz OG Kevin Cole created a formula for determining which teams were the best landing spots for rookie wide receivers. In fantasy and real football, performance is a function of opportunity. Whether the opportunity was created through talent, draft position, or lack of competition, it doesn’t matter. All that matters is raw opportunity because targets are the lifeblood of fantasy scoring. Kevin’s formula attempts…...

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Catch Passes to Beat the Masses: Why Pass-Catching is the Key to Identifying Late-Round RB Breakouts

Player evaluation is hard. That’s a truth we’ll have to deal with a lot over the next week, as the 2020 NFL Draft begins on Thursday. Sticking with the draft idea for a minute, we know that there are certain thresholds prospects have to meet to have a respectable likelihood of success at the next level. For example, if a wide receiver doesn’t break out…...

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The Top Late-Round Picks at Every Position

Nothing beats finding a high-upside player at the back of your best ball draft. Whether it’s Mecole Hardman providing nine double-digit scoring weeks or D.J. Chark, who became a starting level WR for nearly half the season, these late-round picks can often provide the needed boost to increase your team’s overall ceiling. So, with that in mind, I’m bringing back my series from a couple of years ago,…...

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A Trio of Day 3 Prospects Who Could Be the Next Stefon Diggs or Aaron Jones

Shawn Siegele looks at his favorite deep sleepers in the 2020 NFL draft, picking a running back, wide receiver, and tight end who could each emerge from deep in Day 3. Locating sleepers is among the most fun elements of fantasy football. When you hit on players like Aaron Jones or Stefon Diggs, it completely revitalizes your dynasty team at a fraction of the normal…...

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The Perfect Best Ball Draft: Rounds 9-12

The Perfect Best Ball Draft (pre-NFL draft) continues with a look today at Rounds 9-12. If you missed the perfect picks from Rounds 1-4 or Rounds 5-8, be sure to check out those pieces first. Your squad is now nearly halfway done, and the real test begins: Can you find the diamonds in the rough? Once you get into the double-digit rounds of a Best Ball…...

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Jalen Hurts and Contextualizing Historic Efficiency: A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

Two years ago, Baker Mayfield became the first former walk-on to be selected first overall in the NFL Draft. Last year, Kyler Murray went from a future pro baseball player who also happened to be pretty good at football to the first overall pick in the NFL Draft. And this year, Jalen Hurts went from the guy who was benched for Tua Tagovailoa on the…...

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Fanball ADP Risers: 3 NFL Teams Make Big Changes

We previously looked at the risers and fallers in the world of high stakes best ball. Now let’s turn our attention to those who get their kicks over at Fanball. The platform is different, and so are the players who have become more popular in recent weeks. Here are six Fanball ADP risers on three different teams who have seen their stock rise over the…...

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The Perfect Best Ball Draft: Rounds 5-8

We’re continuing our run through the Perfect Best Ball Draft (pre-NFL draft) with a look today at Rounds 5-8. The middle rounds of Best Ball drafts are where you really separate yourself from the field, as most of the “studs” are off the board. If you want to know the best players to pick in Rounds 1-4, check out the first article of this series…....

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Stefon Diggs Still Offers an Elite Ceiling

The Bills and Vikings completed a blockbuster deal that sent 26-year-old star WR Stefon Diggs to the Bills for a package of picks. Diggs was rumored to have wanted out of Minnesota since the middle of last season, as the Vikings shifted to a run-centric offense. At first glance, the transition to Josh Allen and the Bills is far from a dream landing spot, especially considering…...

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2020 WR Prospect Lab Rankings – 3 Stars, 2 Big-Time Sleepers, and Trio of Red Flags

Shawn Siegele examines the 2020 NFL draft’s top-20 wide receivers in the WR Prospect Lab. How does this storied class look under the microscope? Mike Beers just put the finishing touches on the WR Prospect Lab. The sister tool to our RB Prospect Lab allows you to explore the raw and advanced stats relevant to receiver performance. You can build your own model or use…...

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Eno Benjamin Might Surprise You: A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

Eno Benjamin was a four-star recruit who ranked as the sixth-best running back in the impressive 2017 recruiting class, just behind Cam Akers and De’Andre Swift, and ahead of the like of Travis Etienne, Chuba Hubbard.  Clearly, the recruiting pedigree suggests that Benjamin has been a top prospect from the day he stepped foot in Tempe. Benjamin saw work as a true freshman and had…...

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Is Blake Jarwin the Next Undrafted Star?

Sometimes, all a guy needs is a chance. This is especially true for an undrafted free agent. To not even be among the top 250-ish players drafted does not often signify future success. Past undrafted players have broken the mold into fantasy relevance, including Phillip Lindsay and Preston Williams, but they are the exception rather than the norm. When an undrafted player gets a chance…...

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