Neil Dutton

Lead Writer, soft spot for the tight end position. Will never stop loving Duke Johnson.

Author Archive

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

2019 Week 1 Tight End Streamers

There is no more volatile position in the world of fantasy sport than that of the tight end. While you may feel obligated to keep trotting out the same guy week after week, much like you do with car insurance renewals, your loyalty is actually hampering you. Go out into the world, and see what else you can find! With this in mind, I will…...

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FFPC Strategy Session: A Guide to Waivers

This is the sixth article in a multi-part series on how to attack the high-stakes Main Event, the flagship contest of the Fantasy Football Players Championship that pits up to 2,400 teams against each other in a race for the $500,000 grand prize. In the FFPC Strategy Sessions, we learn from one of the best, the 2017 regular season Main Event points champion, Monty Phan. …...

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What If We’re Right? 2 Strong Sells are Now Holds

Back in June I started a series looking at the dynasty value the WRs we had ranked in the top 40 for 2019 redraft leagues. The idea behind this analysis is to imagine that our redraft ranking is exactly correct, and then consider how this finish is likely to affect the WR’s dynasty value in 2020. Here are the original articles: Part 1: Strong Sells…...

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Game Level Similarity Projections: Week 1 Ranges of Outcomes

Last week, we looked at the RotoViz process for building weekly projections. These projections will fuel a number of apps on the site. I’ll also be adding a GLSP app in the coming week or two that will display the projections, range of outcomes graphs, and allow for player comparisons. For this week, I dropped the full set of projections (inclusive of PPR, Half PPR…...

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DFS Lineup Optimizer

DFS Lineup Optimizer Please subscribe to Access this content!   What’s included in your subscription? Exclusive Access to RotoViz Study Hall A treasure trove of our most insightful articles that will teach you the metrics that matter, time-tested winning strategies, the approaches that will give you an edge, and teach you how to be an effective fantasy manager. Revolutionary Tools Including the NFL Stat Explorer,

The Home Stretch Is Here – The 2019 Cheat Sheet for Your Final Fantasy Football Drafts

We’ve reached the home stretch for the 2019 fantasy football draft season. If you’re putting the final touches on your board or starting your research from scratch, now is a good time to have all of our redraft content right at the tips of your fingers. The Cheat Sheet will help you quickly locate our key redraft articles. Hey, RotoViz fantasy community. I wanted to…...

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The Do Not Cut List: Introduction and Overview

Knowing how to maximize your probability of hitting on the right players is crucial to success in your league. Most articles focus on who you should pick up, and while this is of utmost importance, it too often neglects an equally important question: who should you drop?  The purpose of this article is ensuring you don’t drop the wrong player — a plight that can…...

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NFL Roster Cuts Fallout: Fantasy RBs to Place On Your Watch List

This weekend, we closed the chapter on the NFL preseason and opened Pandora’s box with a flurry of roster cuts and transactions. Among running backs that saw preseason action, over half of them were waived, released, or placed on Injured Reserve on Sunday. For many players, Sunday’s roster cuts marked the end of their 2019 NFL seasons (practice squad action notwithstanding). However, a few fortunate…...

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3 Draft Hacks Give You 22 Key Players to Target as You Pursue $500,000 in the FFPC Main Event

Shawn Siegele provides three draft hacks that will give you an edge as you try to win $500,000 in the fantasy football contest to end all fantasy football contests – the 2019 FFPC Main Event. In 2013, I won the NFFC Primetime overall championship. Another one of my teams finished second. During the years before and since, I’ve finished in the top 20 of national…...

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Which Teams Are Keeping their Offensive Lines Intact Entering the 2019 Season?

The Texans desperately tried to finagle a starting-caliber offensive lineman from a Jadeveon Clowney deal on the eve of the season. After Bill O’Brien angled for starting center Justin Britt and right tackle Germaine Ifedi in talks with Seattle, Houston settled for a couple linebackers and a Seahawks third rounder for Clowney. The Seahawks opted for continuity. https://twitter.com/GermainX1/status/1167686163144085504?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw The Dolphins eventually pulled a couple first-round…...

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Second-Year Breakout Wide Receivers Are the Key to Fantasy Titles: Here Are the 4 to Buy and 2 to Sell

Shawn Siegele explores the second-year breakout wide receivers that will put your 2019 fantasy football squad on the way to a title. Now we’ve reached the fun part. Second-year WRs are the key to fantasy championships. If you follow our 2019 Fantasy Blueprint and target the right second-year WRs, you’ll win a bunch of money as our writers and subscribers have done.((This includes subscribers who…...

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The Worst Picks in the Early Rounds of Your 2019 Fantasy Football Draft

You’ve read up on draft strategy, roster construction, sleepers, deep sleepers, and league-winners — by now, you definitely know who you want to draft — but knowing who not to draft is equally important. You need to know both the best and the worst picks in every round of 2019 fantasy football drafts to come out with the best team. After showing you my favorite…...

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2019 Game Level Similarity Projections: Calculating Weekly Fantasy Point Expectations

Dave Caban explains the process used to generate the weekly projections that will power the apps in the 2019 season. Throughout the 2019 season, I’ll be generating Game Level Similarity Projections (GLSP) on a weekly basis. GLSP use historical data to determine a realistic range of outcomes for a particular player in a particular game. These projections will be included in a number of our…...

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Just Draft the Right Players: My Top Targets In Each Round

I’ve been in a handful of drafts this offseason with co-managers (including one with three other co-managers). One thing I’ve found myself doing in order to prepare to co-draft a fantasy team is to pick out my draft targets in each round. In most rounds there are only a handful of players I’m actually considering. So putting those targets down in writing has been helpful when strategizing…...

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2019 Zero RB Candidates – The Update

In the Update, we’re going to do something a little different than we’ve done in the past. Instead of a countdown, we’re placing the candidates into categories that will help you find players at different ADP levels who fit your personal draft plan. We’re also going to go with the short and sweet intro, mentioning that Zero RB posted a gaudy 14% win rate in…...

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College Football DFS Confident Cash Plays: Week 1

Welcome to the second edition of 2019’s Confident Cash Plays! ICYMI, last week was a hit for our suggested player pool with the exception of a couple of dirt cheap running backs. The optimal lineup using just our player pool scored 196.96 points — easily a 3x profit in most cash contests. Now it’s on to Week 1 of the College Football season with our…...

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3 Players I’m Begging You Not to Draft

Every year, there are a handful of players whose selection leaves me scratching my head. Last year, I begged you not to draft D’Onta Foreman and his ruptured Achilles, which seems obvious looking back, but people were drafting him right up until opening weekend. The year before that, I implored you to avoid the trendy Martavis Bryant, and he finished as the WR50. This year, I…...

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FFPC Best Ball Roster Construction: The Best Defense Is Lots Of Defense

In traditional redraft leagues, fantasy analysts will tell you not to even draft a defense unless the rules require it. In best ball leagues, not only do you need to draft a defense, research has shown that you probably want at least three even in shallower best ball leagues. So what about the 28-round FFPC drafts? What’s the optimal number of defenses, and when should…...

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The Complete Road Map to Our Favorite Fantasy Discount Plays

If you’ve been jumping the queue to draft Dante Pettis in the sixth round this summer, this article may not be for you. Then again, maybe it’s exactly what you need. Every year there are still some players getting a bit too much love while their cohorts with similar ranges of outcomes go at a discount. After all, as the Fantasy Douche explained years ago,…...

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Memphis Will Run All Over Ole Miss: DraftKings Week 1 CFB DFS GPP Breakdown

The CFB DFS season continues with 10 games in DraftKings’ main slate. Toledo at Kentucky (-12), Over/Under: 62 — 12 p.m. ET Mississippi State (-20) vs. Louisiana, Over/Under: 60 — 12 p.m. ET Ole Miss at Memphis (-5), Over/Under: 66 — 12 p.m. ET East Carolina at North Carolina State (-17), Over/Under: 53.5 — 12 p.m. ET Indiana (-17.5) vs. Ball State, Over/Under: 60 —…...

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2019 Week 1 Tight End Streamers

There is no more volatile position in the world of fantasy sport than that of the tight end. While you may feel obligated to keep trotting out the same guy week after week, much like you do with car insurance renewals, your loyalty is actually hampering you. Go out into the world, and see what else you can find! With this in mind, I will…...

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FFPC Strategy Session: A Guide to Waivers

This is the sixth article in a multi-part series on how to attack the high-stakes Main Event, the flagship contest of the Fantasy Football Players Championship that pits up to 2,400 teams against each other in a race for the $500,000 grand prize. In the FFPC Strategy Sessions, we learn from one of the best, the 2017 regular season Main Event points champion, Monty Phan. …...

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What If We’re Right? 2 Strong Sells are Now Holds

Back in June I started a series looking at the dynasty value the WRs we had ranked in the top 40 for 2019 redraft leagues. The idea behind this analysis is to imagine that our redraft ranking is exactly correct, and then consider how this finish is likely to affect the WR’s dynasty value in 2020. Here are the original articles: Part 1: Strong Sells…...

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Game Level Similarity Projections: Week 1 Ranges of Outcomes

Last week, we looked at the RotoViz process for building weekly projections. These projections will fuel a number of apps on the site. I’ll also be adding a GLSP app in the coming week or two that will display the projections, range of outcomes graphs, and allow for player comparisons. For this week, I dropped the full set of projections (inclusive of PPR, Half PPR…...

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DFS Lineup Optimizer

DFS Lineup Optimizer Please subscribe to Access this content!   What’s included in your subscription? Exclusive Access to RotoViz Study Hall A treasure trove of our most insightful articles that will teach you the metrics that matter, time-tested winning strategies, the approaches that will give you an edge, and teach you how to be an effective fantasy manager. Revolutionary Tools Including the NFL Stat Explorer,

The Home Stretch Is Here – The 2019 Cheat Sheet for Your Final Fantasy Football Drafts

We’ve reached the home stretch for the 2019 fantasy football draft season. If you’re putting the final touches on your board or starting your research from scratch, now is a good time to have all of our redraft content right at the tips of your fingers. The Cheat Sheet will help you quickly locate our key redraft articles. Hey, RotoViz fantasy community. I wanted to…...

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The Do Not Cut List: Introduction and Overview

Knowing how to maximize your probability of hitting on the right players is crucial to success in your league. Most articles focus on who you should pick up, and while this is of utmost importance, it too often neglects an equally important question: who should you drop?  The purpose of this article is ensuring you don’t drop the wrong player — a plight that can…...

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NFL Roster Cuts Fallout: Fantasy RBs to Place On Your Watch List

This weekend, we closed the chapter on the NFL preseason and opened Pandora’s box with a flurry of roster cuts and transactions. Among running backs that saw preseason action, over half of them were waived, released, or placed on Injured Reserve on Sunday. For many players, Sunday’s roster cuts marked the end of their 2019 NFL seasons (practice squad action notwithstanding). However, a few fortunate…...

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3 Draft Hacks Give You 22 Key Players to Target as You Pursue $500,000 in the FFPC Main Event

Shawn Siegele provides three draft hacks that will give you an edge as you try to win $500,000 in the fantasy football contest to end all fantasy football contests – the 2019 FFPC Main Event. In 2013, I won the NFFC Primetime overall championship. Another one of my teams finished second. During the years before and since, I’ve finished in the top 20 of national…...

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Which Teams Are Keeping their Offensive Lines Intact Entering the 2019 Season?

The Texans desperately tried to finagle a starting-caliber offensive lineman from a Jadeveon Clowney deal on the eve of the season. After Bill O’Brien angled for starting center Justin Britt and right tackle Germaine Ifedi in talks with Seattle, Houston settled for a couple linebackers and a Seahawks third rounder for Clowney. The Seahawks opted for continuity. https://twitter.com/GermainX1/status/1167686163144085504?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw The Dolphins eventually pulled a couple first-round…...

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Second-Year Breakout Wide Receivers Are the Key to Fantasy Titles: Here Are the 4 to Buy and 2 to Sell

Shawn Siegele explores the second-year breakout wide receivers that will put your 2019 fantasy football squad on the way to a title. Now we’ve reached the fun part. Second-year WRs are the key to fantasy championships. If you follow our 2019 Fantasy Blueprint and target the right second-year WRs, you’ll win a bunch of money as our writers and subscribers have done.((This includes subscribers who…...

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The Worst Picks in the Early Rounds of Your 2019 Fantasy Football Draft

You’ve read up on draft strategy, roster construction, sleepers, deep sleepers, and league-winners — by now, you definitely know who you want to draft — but knowing who not to draft is equally important. You need to know both the best and the worst picks in every round of 2019 fantasy football drafts to come out with the best team. After showing you my favorite…...

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2019 Game Level Similarity Projections: Calculating Weekly Fantasy Point Expectations

Dave Caban explains the process used to generate the weekly projections that will power the apps in the 2019 season. Throughout the 2019 season, I’ll be generating Game Level Similarity Projections (GLSP) on a weekly basis. GLSP use historical data to determine a realistic range of outcomes for a particular player in a particular game. These projections will be included in a number of our…...

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Just Draft the Right Players: My Top Targets In Each Round

I’ve been in a handful of drafts this offseason with co-managers (including one with three other co-managers). One thing I’ve found myself doing in order to prepare to co-draft a fantasy team is to pick out my draft targets in each round. In most rounds there are only a handful of players I’m actually considering. So putting those targets down in writing has been helpful when strategizing…...

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2019 Zero RB Candidates – The Update

In the Update, we’re going to do something a little different than we’ve done in the past. Instead of a countdown, we’re placing the candidates into categories that will help you find players at different ADP levels who fit your personal draft plan. We’re also going to go with the short and sweet intro, mentioning that Zero RB posted a gaudy 14% win rate in…...

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College Football DFS Confident Cash Plays: Week 1

Welcome to the second edition of 2019’s Confident Cash Plays! ICYMI, last week was a hit for our suggested player pool with the exception of a couple of dirt cheap running backs. The optimal lineup using just our player pool scored 196.96 points — easily a 3x profit in most cash contests. Now it’s on to Week 1 of the College Football season with our…...

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3 Players I’m Begging You Not to Draft

Every year, there are a handful of players whose selection leaves me scratching my head. Last year, I begged you not to draft D’Onta Foreman and his ruptured Achilles, which seems obvious looking back, but people were drafting him right up until opening weekend. The year before that, I implored you to avoid the trendy Martavis Bryant, and he finished as the WR50. This year, I…...

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FFPC Best Ball Roster Construction: The Best Defense Is Lots Of Defense

In traditional redraft leagues, fantasy analysts will tell you not to even draft a defense unless the rules require it. In best ball leagues, not only do you need to draft a defense, research has shown that you probably want at least three even in shallower best ball leagues. So what about the 28-round FFPC drafts? What’s the optimal number of defenses, and when should…...

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The Complete Road Map to Our Favorite Fantasy Discount Plays

If you’ve been jumping the queue to draft Dante Pettis in the sixth round this summer, this article may not be for you. Then again, maybe it’s exactly what you need. Every year there are still some players getting a bit too much love while their cohorts with similar ranges of outcomes go at a discount. After all, as the Fantasy Douche explained years ago,…...

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Memphis Will Run All Over Ole Miss: DraftKings Week 1 CFB DFS GPP Breakdown

The CFB DFS season continues with 10 games in DraftKings’ main slate. Toledo at Kentucky (-12), Over/Under: 62 — 12 p.m. ET Mississippi State (-20) vs. Louisiana, Over/Under: 60 — 12 p.m. ET Ole Miss at Memphis (-5), Over/Under: 66 — 12 p.m. ET East Carolina at North Carolina State (-17), Over/Under: 53.5 — 12 p.m. ET Indiana (-17.5) vs. Ball State, Over/Under: 60 —…...

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2019 Week 1 Tight End Streamers

There is no more volatile position in the world of fantasy sport than that of the tight end. While you may feel obligated to keep trotting out the same guy week after week, much like you do with car insurance renewals, your loyalty is actually hampering you. Go out into the world, and see what else you can find! With this in mind, I will…...

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FFPC Strategy Session: A Guide to Waivers

This is the sixth article in a multi-part series on how to attack the high-stakes Main Event, the flagship contest of the Fantasy Football Players Championship that pits up to 2,400 teams against each other in a race for the $500,000 grand prize. In the FFPC Strategy Sessions, we learn from one of the best, the 2017 regular season Main Event points champion, Monty Phan. …...

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What If We’re Right? 2 Strong Sells are Now Holds

Back in June I started a series looking at the dynasty value the WRs we had ranked in the top 40 for 2019 redraft leagues. The idea behind this analysis is to imagine that our redraft ranking is exactly correct, and then consider how this finish is likely to affect the WR’s dynasty value in 2020. Here are the original articles: Part 1: Strong Sells…...

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Game Level Similarity Projections: Week 1 Ranges of Outcomes

Last week, we looked at the RotoViz process for building weekly projections. These projections will fuel a number of apps on the site. I’ll also be adding a GLSP app in the coming week or two that will display the projections, range of outcomes graphs, and allow for player comparisons. For this week, I dropped the full set of projections (inclusive of PPR, Half PPR…...

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DFS Lineup Optimizer

DFS Lineup Optimizer Please subscribe to Access this content!   What’s included in your subscription? Exclusive Access to RotoViz Study Hall A treasure trove of our most insightful articles that will teach you the metrics that matter, time-tested winning strategies, the approaches that will give you an edge, and teach you how to be an effective fantasy manager. Revolutionary Tools Including the NFL Stat Explorer,

The Home Stretch Is Here – The 2019 Cheat Sheet for Your Final Fantasy Football Drafts

We’ve reached the home stretch for the 2019 fantasy football draft season. If you’re putting the final touches on your board or starting your research from scratch, now is a good time to have all of our redraft content right at the tips of your fingers. The Cheat Sheet will help you quickly locate our key redraft articles. Hey, RotoViz fantasy community. I wanted to…...

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The Do Not Cut List: Introduction and Overview

Knowing how to maximize your probability of hitting on the right players is crucial to success in your league. Most articles focus on who you should pick up, and while this is of utmost importance, it too often neglects an equally important question: who should you drop?  The purpose of this article is ensuring you don’t drop the wrong player — a plight that can…...

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NFL Roster Cuts Fallout: Fantasy RBs to Place On Your Watch List

This weekend, we closed the chapter on the NFL preseason and opened Pandora’s box with a flurry of roster cuts and transactions. Among running backs that saw preseason action, over half of them were waived, released, or placed on Injured Reserve on Sunday. For many players, Sunday’s roster cuts marked the end of their 2019 NFL seasons (practice squad action notwithstanding). However, a few fortunate…...

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3 Draft Hacks Give You 22 Key Players to Target as You Pursue $500,000 in the FFPC Main Event

Shawn Siegele provides three draft hacks that will give you an edge as you try to win $500,000 in the fantasy football contest to end all fantasy football contests – the 2019 FFPC Main Event. In 2013, I won the NFFC Primetime overall championship. Another one of my teams finished second. During the years before and since, I’ve finished in the top 20 of national…...

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Which Teams Are Keeping their Offensive Lines Intact Entering the 2019 Season?

The Texans desperately tried to finagle a starting-caliber offensive lineman from a Jadeveon Clowney deal on the eve of the season. After Bill O’Brien angled for starting center Justin Britt and right tackle Germaine Ifedi in talks with Seattle, Houston settled for a couple linebackers and a Seahawks third rounder for Clowney. The Seahawks opted for continuity. https://twitter.com/GermainX1/status/1167686163144085504?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw The Dolphins eventually pulled a couple first-round…...

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Second-Year Breakout Wide Receivers Are the Key to Fantasy Titles: Here Are the 4 to Buy and 2 to Sell

Shawn Siegele explores the second-year breakout wide receivers that will put your 2019 fantasy football squad on the way to a title. Now we’ve reached the fun part. Second-year WRs are the key to fantasy championships. If you follow our 2019 Fantasy Blueprint and target the right second-year WRs, you’ll win a bunch of money as our writers and subscribers have done.((This includes subscribers who…...

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The Worst Picks in the Early Rounds of Your 2019 Fantasy Football Draft

You’ve read up on draft strategy, roster construction, sleepers, deep sleepers, and league-winners — by now, you definitely know who you want to draft — but knowing who not to draft is equally important. You need to know both the best and the worst picks in every round of 2019 fantasy football drafts to come out with the best team. After showing you my favorite…...

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2019 Game Level Similarity Projections: Calculating Weekly Fantasy Point Expectations

Dave Caban explains the process used to generate the weekly projections that will power the apps in the 2019 season. Throughout the 2019 season, I’ll be generating Game Level Similarity Projections (GLSP) on a weekly basis. GLSP use historical data to determine a realistic range of outcomes for a particular player in a particular game. These projections will be included in a number of our…...

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Just Draft the Right Players: My Top Targets In Each Round

I’ve been in a handful of drafts this offseason with co-managers (including one with three other co-managers). One thing I’ve found myself doing in order to prepare to co-draft a fantasy team is to pick out my draft targets in each round. In most rounds there are only a handful of players I’m actually considering. So putting those targets down in writing has been helpful when strategizing…...

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2019 Zero RB Candidates – The Update

In the Update, we’re going to do something a little different than we’ve done in the past. Instead of a countdown, we’re placing the candidates into categories that will help you find players at different ADP levels who fit your personal draft plan. We’re also going to go with the short and sweet intro, mentioning that Zero RB posted a gaudy 14% win rate in…...

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College Football DFS Confident Cash Plays: Week 1

Welcome to the second edition of 2019’s Confident Cash Plays! ICYMI, last week was a hit for our suggested player pool with the exception of a couple of dirt cheap running backs. The optimal lineup using just our player pool scored 196.96 points — easily a 3x profit in most cash contests. Now it’s on to Week 1 of the College Football season with our…...

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3 Players I’m Begging You Not to Draft

Every year, there are a handful of players whose selection leaves me scratching my head. Last year, I begged you not to draft D’Onta Foreman and his ruptured Achilles, which seems obvious looking back, but people were drafting him right up until opening weekend. The year before that, I implored you to avoid the trendy Martavis Bryant, and he finished as the WR50. This year, I…...

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FFPC Best Ball Roster Construction: The Best Defense Is Lots Of Defense

In traditional redraft leagues, fantasy analysts will tell you not to even draft a defense unless the rules require it. In best ball leagues, not only do you need to draft a defense, research has shown that you probably want at least three even in shallower best ball leagues. So what about the 28-round FFPC drafts? What’s the optimal number of defenses, and when should…...

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The Complete Road Map to Our Favorite Fantasy Discount Plays

If you’ve been jumping the queue to draft Dante Pettis in the sixth round this summer, this article may not be for you. Then again, maybe it’s exactly what you need. Every year there are still some players getting a bit too much love while their cohorts with similar ranges of outcomes go at a discount. After all, as the Fantasy Douche explained years ago,…...

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Memphis Will Run All Over Ole Miss: DraftKings Week 1 CFB DFS GPP Breakdown

The CFB DFS season continues with 10 games in DraftKings’ main slate. Toledo at Kentucky (-12), Over/Under: 62 — 12 p.m. ET Mississippi State (-20) vs. Louisiana, Over/Under: 60 — 12 p.m. ET Ole Miss at Memphis (-5), Over/Under: 66 — 12 p.m. ET East Carolina at North Carolina State (-17), Over/Under: 53.5 — 12 p.m. ET Indiana (-17.5) vs. Ball State, Over/Under: 60 —…...

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