Matt Wispe

Learned how to write letters in 1992. Learned how to coherently write in 2016.

Author Archive

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Will Fuller Is the Ultimate Best Ball Target, and He’s Available at a Discount

  Consistency and upside are typically built into a player’s price during the draft, but other factors can sometimes lower the acquisition cost and turn a player into a value. Despite there being only a small sample size, Will Fuller has proven in the last two seasons that he’s a WR1 in games with Deshaun Watson. Even with the injury risks, he’s one of my favorite…...

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3 Pass Catchers to Target for Volume Spikes in 2019: Vacated Expected Points

  In the previous installment of Vacated Expected Points, we looked at RBs to target based on the amount of vacated rushing expected points. In this installment, we’ll see which wide receivers are in situations where they can command a high volume of receiving expected points. Be sure to check out the previous article for an explanation of vacated expected points. The first thing that’s…...

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Which Rookies are High-Stakes Drafters Targeting?

  Having the top pick in a high-stakes dynasty league is typically a double-edged sword: According to recent history, the consensus pick at the 1.01 has at times in their careers been valued as among the most coveted assets in fantasy. But, unless you traded for that pick, having it means you likely spent hundreds (and in some cases, thousands) of dollars to buy into…...

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Mecole Hardman’s ADP Is Weird for a Couple of Reasons

  When the Chiefs traded up in the 2019 second round, the RotoViz draft room was abuzz. Kansas City was obviously moving up to select the replacement for Tyreek Hill. This was the pick that was going to make a fantasy hero. The Chiefs love athleticism in their draft picks, and they’re trying to replace the fastest man in the NFL, so it seemed obvious…...

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If You Pass on Christian McCaffrey, You Could Miss the Best Fantasy Season Ever

  As impressive as Christian McCaffrey’s 2018 was, we likely still haven’t seen his ceiling. How high is it? And does the Panthers running back have the potential to push for the greatest fantasy season ever? McCaffrey was the top-scoring RB in PPR leagues last year with 383 points. That’s the eighth-most points scored by a non-quarterback since the year 2000. Even better for fantasy…...

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Dynasty Draft Strategy – Players I’m Avoiding in Startup Drafts

  Dynasty fantasy football startup drafts are in season, and that means it’s time to talk dynasty draft strategy. I’ll be covering a number of different topics to ensure you’re as prepared as is humanly possible, including roster construction techniques, snake draft versus auction draft strategy, players to target, and players to avoid. Players I’m Avoiding in Dynasty Startup Drafts in 2019 Let’s begin with…...

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Contract Year WRs: Fantasy Appeal of the Walk Year Stars

  Following on from my look at the fantasy appeal of quarterbacks heading into the final season of their current deals, attention is now turned towards wide receivers facing the same situation. We’ll be focusing on three players for whom the coming season represents a chance to earn a big payday in 2020. In their pursuits of new deals, I’ll offer my thoughts as to…...

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Zero RB or RB-Heavy in BestBall10s? The Roster Construction Explorer Gives Us the Shocking Results

  Over the last four years in the MFL10 of Death, Shawn Siegele has finished 1st, 2nd, 1st, and 1st, using his signature Zero RB approach to bring home three titles. But were these wins the result of avoiding RBs early? Or did he win because of player selection and in spite of a structural approach that might be doing more harm than good? The…...

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Dynasty Hit Rates: 2018 Draft Class

  The 2018 class started out like most previous classes with four rookies finishing inside the PPR top-12 QBs/TEs or top-24 RBs/WRs. The 2010 class was the only class in this series to have less than four, which was the average per year. It’s interesting to note that two of those, Nick Chubb and Phillip Lindsay, weren’t starters at the beginning of the season. This…...

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Contract Year QBs: Fantasy Appeal of the Walk Year Stars

  As in most industries, the goal of the average NFL player is to maximize their earnings. Rings and Vince Lombardi trophies are all well and good, and the drive to be the best in the business is strong. But with the average career around four seasons, no one should begrudge a single player for wanting to make as much money as possible before they,…...

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4 RBs to Target for Opportunity Spikes in 2019: Vacated Expected Points

  “Vacated targets” and “vacated carries” are common ways to look at the available team volume. Antonio Brown leaving Pittsburgh opened up 168 targets. Total up all of the targets of players who left in free agency, retired, were traded, or got suspended and those are the targets available for current or incoming players. This view doesn’t account for a number of factors but it…...

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Andy Isabella Is One of the Best Rookie Values in Recent Memory

  The Arizona Cardinals selected Andy Isabella No. 62 overall in the 2019 NFL draft. The UMass star was the eighth wide receiver off the board in the reality event, and yet he’s only the No. 10 WR in rookie drafts. Still, that’s hardly the kind of gap to get worked up over unless there’s something else going on. What is it about the diminutive…...

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The TE Model Predicts the Stars and Busts of the 2019 Rookie Class

  Last year I billed the tight end model as a secret weapon for dynasty rookie drafts, and it didn’t disappoint. The 2018 model results successfully picked out Chris Herndon as the biggest sleeper, and predicted that Mark Andrews was the Baltimore TE to own, not first-round pick Hayden Hurst. We’re back again with the model results for the 2019 class, and it’s found three…...

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The Dawn of D.K. Metcalf? Fantasy Fallout From Doug Baldwin’s Release

  The Seattle Seahawks released veteran wide receiver Doug Baldwin on Thursday afternoon with a failed physical designation — what is the fantasy fallout in Seattle? Baldwin is expected to hang them up at just 30-years old, a sad and somewhat unexpected end to his eight-year tenure in Seattle. My understanding is that this is likely the end of the road for Doug Baldwin just…...

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5 High-Upside Flyers to Target in Rounds 3 and 4 of 2019 Rookie Drafts

  If you’ve been following Jacob Rickrode’s fantastic series on Rookie Hit Rates, you know that the hits fall off dramatically throughout the first round and the subsequent rounds are barren hellscapes. I offered a couple of methods for profiting from this in 5 Ways to Attack Your Rookie Drafts, but I’m also just like everyone else who plays fantasy football: I want to play…....

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2019 Rookie Drafts Round 2: A Trio of Star Receivers Slide

  With the NFL draft in the books, rookie draft season is upon us. Shawn Siegele examines Round 2 from a couple of experts drafts. He breaks down all of the picks, providing advanced stats and player commentary, as well as helping you access our rookie rankings, prospect tools, and draft research. Round 2 Evaluating the picks from two conferences in the same league is…...

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5 Methods for Attacking Your 2019 Rookie Draft

  Shawn Siegele provides five different methods for attacking 2019 rookie drafts, including a look at the areas to prioritize, the positions to target, and how to orchestrate trades. If you’ve read Jacob Rickrode’s fantastic series on Rookie Hit Rates, then you know just how much risk your rookie draft entails. The best way to manage that risk is through understanding player profiles. Michael Dubner…...

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Box Score Scout Player Comparisons: Second-Round 2019 NFL Draft

  After exploring the Box Score Scout’s player comparisons for first-round picks in the 2019 NFL Draft last week, we’ll do the same for fantasy football relevant players drafted in the second round. The media’s bold player comparisons for first-round NFL Draft picks are generally acceptable, since first-round picks are usually high quality prospects. However, as we get into Day 2 of the NFL Draft,…...

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The Importance of Peak Production: Top WR Prospects and the Adjusted Production Index

  Every year it seems there are new and better ways to sift through the sea of information on all the NFL rookies. And over the years RotoViz has been a huge part of this, providing the fantasy football world with all sorts of fun, meaningful metrics that help us all make better decisions in our player analysis. Recently, our very own Blair Andrews wrote…...

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4 RB Sleepers to Watch and 1 Early Pick Who’s Better Than You Think: 2019 Backfield Dominator Ratings

  Last offseason I introduced a metric I called Backfield Dominator Rating (BDR). BDR measures the percentage of running back production that a college RB accounts for in his offense. In other words, it adjusts for offensive systems or for quarterbacks who, for whatever reason, don’t utilize RBs in the passing game.((And it also adjusts for teams that tend to use wide receivers in the running…...

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Will Fuller Is the Ultimate Best Ball Target, and He’s Available at a Discount

  Consistency and upside are typically built into a player’s price during the draft, but other factors can sometimes lower the acquisition cost and turn a player into a value. Despite there being only a small sample size, Will Fuller has proven in the last two seasons that he’s a WR1 in games with Deshaun Watson. Even with the injury risks, he’s one of my favorite…...

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3 Pass Catchers to Target for Volume Spikes in 2019: Vacated Expected Points

  In the previous installment of Vacated Expected Points, we looked at RBs to target based on the amount of vacated rushing expected points. In this installment, we’ll see which wide receivers are in situations where they can command a high volume of receiving expected points. Be sure to check out the previous article for an explanation of vacated expected points. The first thing that’s…...

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Which Rookies are High-Stakes Drafters Targeting?

  Having the top pick in a high-stakes dynasty league is typically a double-edged sword: According to recent history, the consensus pick at the 1.01 has at times in their careers been valued as among the most coveted assets in fantasy. But, unless you traded for that pick, having it means you likely spent hundreds (and in some cases, thousands) of dollars to buy into…...

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Mecole Hardman’s ADP Is Weird for a Couple of Reasons

  When the Chiefs traded up in the 2019 second round, the RotoViz draft room was abuzz. Kansas City was obviously moving up to select the replacement for Tyreek Hill. This was the pick that was going to make a fantasy hero. The Chiefs love athleticism in their draft picks, and they’re trying to replace the fastest man in the NFL, so it seemed obvious…...

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If You Pass on Christian McCaffrey, You Could Miss the Best Fantasy Season Ever

  As impressive as Christian McCaffrey’s 2018 was, we likely still haven’t seen his ceiling. How high is it? And does the Panthers running back have the potential to push for the greatest fantasy season ever? McCaffrey was the top-scoring RB in PPR leagues last year with 383 points. That’s the eighth-most points scored by a non-quarterback since the year 2000. Even better for fantasy…...

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Dynasty Draft Strategy – Players I’m Avoiding in Startup Drafts

  Dynasty fantasy football startup drafts are in season, and that means it’s time to talk dynasty draft strategy. I’ll be covering a number of different topics to ensure you’re as prepared as is humanly possible, including roster construction techniques, snake draft versus auction draft strategy, players to target, and players to avoid. Players I’m Avoiding in Dynasty Startup Drafts in 2019 Let’s begin with…...

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Contract Year WRs: Fantasy Appeal of the Walk Year Stars

  Following on from my look at the fantasy appeal of quarterbacks heading into the final season of their current deals, attention is now turned towards wide receivers facing the same situation. We’ll be focusing on three players for whom the coming season represents a chance to earn a big payday in 2020. In their pursuits of new deals, I’ll offer my thoughts as to…...

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Zero RB or RB-Heavy in BestBall10s? The Roster Construction Explorer Gives Us the Shocking Results

  Over the last four years in the MFL10 of Death, Shawn Siegele has finished 1st, 2nd, 1st, and 1st, using his signature Zero RB approach to bring home three titles. But were these wins the result of avoiding RBs early? Or did he win because of player selection and in spite of a structural approach that might be doing more harm than good? The…...

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Dynasty Hit Rates: 2018 Draft Class

  The 2018 class started out like most previous classes with four rookies finishing inside the PPR top-12 QBs/TEs or top-24 RBs/WRs. The 2010 class was the only class in this series to have less than four, which was the average per year. It’s interesting to note that two of those, Nick Chubb and Phillip Lindsay, weren’t starters at the beginning of the season. This…...

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Contract Year QBs: Fantasy Appeal of the Walk Year Stars

  As in most industries, the goal of the average NFL player is to maximize their earnings. Rings and Vince Lombardi trophies are all well and good, and the drive to be the best in the business is strong. But with the average career around four seasons, no one should begrudge a single player for wanting to make as much money as possible before they,…...

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4 RBs to Target for Opportunity Spikes in 2019: Vacated Expected Points

  “Vacated targets” and “vacated carries” are common ways to look at the available team volume. Antonio Brown leaving Pittsburgh opened up 168 targets. Total up all of the targets of players who left in free agency, retired, were traded, or got suspended and those are the targets available for current or incoming players. This view doesn’t account for a number of factors but it…...

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Andy Isabella Is One of the Best Rookie Values in Recent Memory

  The Arizona Cardinals selected Andy Isabella No. 62 overall in the 2019 NFL draft. The UMass star was the eighth wide receiver off the board in the reality event, and yet he’s only the No. 10 WR in rookie drafts. Still, that’s hardly the kind of gap to get worked up over unless there’s something else going on. What is it about the diminutive…...

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The TE Model Predicts the Stars and Busts of the 2019 Rookie Class

  Last year I billed the tight end model as a secret weapon for dynasty rookie drafts, and it didn’t disappoint. The 2018 model results successfully picked out Chris Herndon as the biggest sleeper, and predicted that Mark Andrews was the Baltimore TE to own, not first-round pick Hayden Hurst. We’re back again with the model results for the 2019 class, and it’s found three…...

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The Dawn of D.K. Metcalf? Fantasy Fallout From Doug Baldwin’s Release

  The Seattle Seahawks released veteran wide receiver Doug Baldwin on Thursday afternoon with a failed physical designation — what is the fantasy fallout in Seattle? Baldwin is expected to hang them up at just 30-years old, a sad and somewhat unexpected end to his eight-year tenure in Seattle. My understanding is that this is likely the end of the road for Doug Baldwin just…...

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5 High-Upside Flyers to Target in Rounds 3 and 4 of 2019 Rookie Drafts

  If you’ve been following Jacob Rickrode’s fantastic series on Rookie Hit Rates, you know that the hits fall off dramatically throughout the first round and the subsequent rounds are barren hellscapes. I offered a couple of methods for profiting from this in 5 Ways to Attack Your Rookie Drafts, but I’m also just like everyone else who plays fantasy football: I want to play…....

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2019 Rookie Drafts Round 2: A Trio of Star Receivers Slide

  With the NFL draft in the books, rookie draft season is upon us. Shawn Siegele examines Round 2 from a couple of experts drafts. He breaks down all of the picks, providing advanced stats and player commentary, as well as helping you access our rookie rankings, prospect tools, and draft research. Round 2 Evaluating the picks from two conferences in the same league is…...

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5 Methods for Attacking Your 2019 Rookie Draft

  Shawn Siegele provides five different methods for attacking 2019 rookie drafts, including a look at the areas to prioritize, the positions to target, and how to orchestrate trades. If you’ve read Jacob Rickrode’s fantastic series on Rookie Hit Rates, then you know just how much risk your rookie draft entails. The best way to manage that risk is through understanding player profiles. Michael Dubner…...

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Box Score Scout Player Comparisons: Second-Round 2019 NFL Draft

  After exploring the Box Score Scout’s player comparisons for first-round picks in the 2019 NFL Draft last week, we’ll do the same for fantasy football relevant players drafted in the second round. The media’s bold player comparisons for first-round NFL Draft picks are generally acceptable, since first-round picks are usually high quality prospects. However, as we get into Day 2 of the NFL Draft,…...

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The Importance of Peak Production: Top WR Prospects and the Adjusted Production Index

  Every year it seems there are new and better ways to sift through the sea of information on all the NFL rookies. And over the years RotoViz has been a huge part of this, providing the fantasy football world with all sorts of fun, meaningful metrics that help us all make better decisions in our player analysis. Recently, our very own Blair Andrews wrote…...

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4 RB Sleepers to Watch and 1 Early Pick Who’s Better Than You Think: 2019 Backfield Dominator Ratings

  Last offseason I introduced a metric I called Backfield Dominator Rating (BDR). BDR measures the percentage of running back production that a college RB accounts for in his offense. In other words, it adjusts for offensive systems or for quarterbacks who, for whatever reason, don’t utilize RBs in the passing game.((And it also adjusts for teams that tend to use wide receivers in the running…...

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Will Fuller Is the Ultimate Best Ball Target, and He’s Available at a Discount

  Consistency and upside are typically built into a player’s price during the draft, but other factors can sometimes lower the acquisition cost and turn a player into a value. Despite there being only a small sample size, Will Fuller has proven in the last two seasons that he’s a WR1 in games with Deshaun Watson. Even with the injury risks, he’s one of my favorite…...

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3 Pass Catchers to Target for Volume Spikes in 2019: Vacated Expected Points

  In the previous installment of Vacated Expected Points, we looked at RBs to target based on the amount of vacated rushing expected points. In this installment, we’ll see which wide receivers are in situations where they can command a high volume of receiving expected points. Be sure to check out the previous article for an explanation of vacated expected points. The first thing that’s…...

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Which Rookies are High-Stakes Drafters Targeting?

  Having the top pick in a high-stakes dynasty league is typically a double-edged sword: According to recent history, the consensus pick at the 1.01 has at times in their careers been valued as among the most coveted assets in fantasy. But, unless you traded for that pick, having it means you likely spent hundreds (and in some cases, thousands) of dollars to buy into…...

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Mecole Hardman’s ADP Is Weird for a Couple of Reasons

  When the Chiefs traded up in the 2019 second round, the RotoViz draft room was abuzz. Kansas City was obviously moving up to select the replacement for Tyreek Hill. This was the pick that was going to make a fantasy hero. The Chiefs love athleticism in their draft picks, and they’re trying to replace the fastest man in the NFL, so it seemed obvious…...

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If You Pass on Christian McCaffrey, You Could Miss the Best Fantasy Season Ever

  As impressive as Christian McCaffrey’s 2018 was, we likely still haven’t seen his ceiling. How high is it? And does the Panthers running back have the potential to push for the greatest fantasy season ever? McCaffrey was the top-scoring RB in PPR leagues last year with 383 points. That’s the eighth-most points scored by a non-quarterback since the year 2000. Even better for fantasy…...

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Dynasty Draft Strategy – Players I’m Avoiding in Startup Drafts

  Dynasty fantasy football startup drafts are in season, and that means it’s time to talk dynasty draft strategy. I’ll be covering a number of different topics to ensure you’re as prepared as is humanly possible, including roster construction techniques, snake draft versus auction draft strategy, players to target, and players to avoid. Players I’m Avoiding in Dynasty Startup Drafts in 2019 Let’s begin with…...

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Contract Year WRs: Fantasy Appeal of the Walk Year Stars

  Following on from my look at the fantasy appeal of quarterbacks heading into the final season of their current deals, attention is now turned towards wide receivers facing the same situation. We’ll be focusing on three players for whom the coming season represents a chance to earn a big payday in 2020. In their pursuits of new deals, I’ll offer my thoughts as to…...

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Zero RB or RB-Heavy in BestBall10s? The Roster Construction Explorer Gives Us the Shocking Results

  Over the last four years in the MFL10 of Death, Shawn Siegele has finished 1st, 2nd, 1st, and 1st, using his signature Zero RB approach to bring home three titles. But were these wins the result of avoiding RBs early? Or did he win because of player selection and in spite of a structural approach that might be doing more harm than good? The…...

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Dynasty Hit Rates: 2018 Draft Class

  The 2018 class started out like most previous classes with four rookies finishing inside the PPR top-12 QBs/TEs or top-24 RBs/WRs. The 2010 class was the only class in this series to have less than four, which was the average per year. It’s interesting to note that two of those, Nick Chubb and Phillip Lindsay, weren’t starters at the beginning of the season. This…...

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Contract Year QBs: Fantasy Appeal of the Walk Year Stars

  As in most industries, the goal of the average NFL player is to maximize their earnings. Rings and Vince Lombardi trophies are all well and good, and the drive to be the best in the business is strong. But with the average career around four seasons, no one should begrudge a single player for wanting to make as much money as possible before they,…...

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4 RBs to Target for Opportunity Spikes in 2019: Vacated Expected Points

  “Vacated targets” and “vacated carries” are common ways to look at the available team volume. Antonio Brown leaving Pittsburgh opened up 168 targets. Total up all of the targets of players who left in free agency, retired, were traded, or got suspended and those are the targets available for current or incoming players. This view doesn’t account for a number of factors but it…...

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Andy Isabella Is One of the Best Rookie Values in Recent Memory

  The Arizona Cardinals selected Andy Isabella No. 62 overall in the 2019 NFL draft. The UMass star was the eighth wide receiver off the board in the reality event, and yet he’s only the No. 10 WR in rookie drafts. Still, that’s hardly the kind of gap to get worked up over unless there’s something else going on. What is it about the diminutive…...

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The TE Model Predicts the Stars and Busts of the 2019 Rookie Class

  Last year I billed the tight end model as a secret weapon for dynasty rookie drafts, and it didn’t disappoint. The 2018 model results successfully picked out Chris Herndon as the biggest sleeper, and predicted that Mark Andrews was the Baltimore TE to own, not first-round pick Hayden Hurst. We’re back again with the model results for the 2019 class, and it’s found three…...

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The Dawn of D.K. Metcalf? Fantasy Fallout From Doug Baldwin’s Release

  The Seattle Seahawks released veteran wide receiver Doug Baldwin on Thursday afternoon with a failed physical designation — what is the fantasy fallout in Seattle? Baldwin is expected to hang them up at just 30-years old, a sad and somewhat unexpected end to his eight-year tenure in Seattle. My understanding is that this is likely the end of the road for Doug Baldwin just…...

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5 High-Upside Flyers to Target in Rounds 3 and 4 of 2019 Rookie Drafts

  If you’ve been following Jacob Rickrode’s fantastic series on Rookie Hit Rates, you know that the hits fall off dramatically throughout the first round and the subsequent rounds are barren hellscapes. I offered a couple of methods for profiting from this in 5 Ways to Attack Your Rookie Drafts, but I’m also just like everyone else who plays fantasy football: I want to play…....

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2019 Rookie Drafts Round 2: A Trio of Star Receivers Slide

  With the NFL draft in the books, rookie draft season is upon us. Shawn Siegele examines Round 2 from a couple of experts drafts. He breaks down all of the picks, providing advanced stats and player commentary, as well as helping you access our rookie rankings, prospect tools, and draft research. Round 2 Evaluating the picks from two conferences in the same league is…...

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5 Methods for Attacking Your 2019 Rookie Draft

  Shawn Siegele provides five different methods for attacking 2019 rookie drafts, including a look at the areas to prioritize, the positions to target, and how to orchestrate trades. If you’ve read Jacob Rickrode’s fantastic series on Rookie Hit Rates, then you know just how much risk your rookie draft entails. The best way to manage that risk is through understanding player profiles. Michael Dubner…...

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Box Score Scout Player Comparisons: Second-Round 2019 NFL Draft

  After exploring the Box Score Scout’s player comparisons for first-round picks in the 2019 NFL Draft last week, we’ll do the same for fantasy football relevant players drafted in the second round. The media’s bold player comparisons for first-round NFL Draft picks are generally acceptable, since first-round picks are usually high quality prospects. However, as we get into Day 2 of the NFL Draft,…...

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The Importance of Peak Production: Top WR Prospects and the Adjusted Production Index

  Every year it seems there are new and better ways to sift through the sea of information on all the NFL rookies. And over the years RotoViz has been a huge part of this, providing the fantasy football world with all sorts of fun, meaningful metrics that help us all make better decisions in our player analysis. Recently, our very own Blair Andrews wrote…...

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4 RB Sleepers to Watch and 1 Early Pick Who’s Better Than You Think: 2019 Backfield Dominator Ratings

  Last offseason I introduced a metric I called Backfield Dominator Rating (BDR). BDR measures the percentage of running back production that a college RB accounts for in his offense. In other words, it adjusts for offensive systems or for quarterbacks who, for whatever reason, don’t utilize RBs in the passing game.((And it also adjusts for teams that tend to use wide receivers in the running…...

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