Cort Smith

Featured Writer, RotoViz. Founder, Bet the Prop. Traveler, musician, recovering journalist.

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In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

3 Value IDPs I’m Targeting in 2019 Rookie Drafts

Dynasty rookie drafts are in full swing this spring, and if you’re like me, it’s not enough to just play in an IDP league — it’s got to be a deep IDP league, requiring you to unearth rookie gems on a regular basis. In the midst of a dynasty rookie draft that requires 11 IDP starters, I’ve been digging in to find the mid-to-late-round values…...

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RB-Heavy Will Kill Your Best Ball Team, But There Is An Early Round Perfect for RBs

In Lesson 7 of the Best Ball Workshop, we learned that RB-heavy teams have very poor win rates. In fact, if you start RBx4 or select RBs in four of the first five rounds, then your chances of winning drop to approximately one in 20. Far from being fueled exclusively by the RB apocalypse of 2015, RBx4 had it’s worst year in 2018, winning less…...

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3 Players You Should Stop Drafting at ADP

  Being player agnostic is one of the best edges you can find in fantasy football in 2019 — don’t fall in love with a player, fall in love with his price. With the suite of RotoViz tools, finding this year’s most mispriced players is easier than ever. We already looked at some players that we think are being drafted too low. On the flip…...

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Don’t Miss Out on the Best WR Value in the 2019 Class

  Andy Isabella may be one of the best rookie values in recent memory, but he’s not the best WR value in this draft class. No, that honor goes to a different senior WR from a non-power 5 conference. One who actually broke out before he was 22 years old. How can there be a better WR value than Isabella, the uber productive WR whom…...

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Tips for a Successful Dynasty Startup Draft

  There are a lot of ways to win in dynasty. Some dynasty owners will plan on losing the first few years while building “dream team” rosters. Others tend to overly focus on youth and/or highly touted rookies. There’s also the “get your guy” owner who will undoubtedly reach for a player often rounds ahead of ADP. You can almost bank on there being at…...

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When The Devy Breaks: Mock Draft Breakdown

  Last week I took part in a devy mock draft hosted by Greg Brandt from over at Devy Watch. It was a 12-team, PPR scoring, non-Superflex draft with a player pool consisting of 2020, 2021, and 2022 eligible prospects. Two of my fellow RotoViz writers, Travis May and Matt Wispe, also took part. My goal here is to walk you through the draft, round…...

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3 Deep Sleepers RotoViz Likes More Than You

  Being player agnostic is one of the best edges you can find in fantasy football in 2019 — don’t fall in love with a player, fall in love with his price. With the suite of RotoViz tools, finding this year’s most mispriced players is easier than ever, so let’s take a look at three deep sleepers we like more than the drafting public. By…...

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Contract Year RBs: Fantasy Appeal of the Walk Year Stars

  We’re back again to offer our thoughts on prominent contract year players at one of the fantasy footballs most important positions, namely running back. Yes, I know the popular theory is that they don’t matter. But getting a good one can be the reason you take home a fantasy crown. Drafting a bad one can be the reason you are swearing angrily at your…...

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Will Fuller Is the Ultimate Best Ball Target, and He’s Available at a Discount

  Consistency and upside are typically built into a player’s price during the draft, but other factors can sometimes lower the acquisition cost and turn a player into a value. Despite there being only a small sample size, Will Fuller has proven in the last two seasons that he’s a WR1 in games with Deshaun Watson. Even with the injury risks, he’s one of my favorite…...

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3 Pass Catchers to Target for Volume Spikes in 2019: Vacated Expected Points

  In the previous installment of Vacated Expected Points, we looked at RBs to target based on the amount of vacated rushing expected points. In this installment, we’ll see which wide receivers are in situations where they can command a high volume of receiving expected points. Be sure to check out the previous article for an explanation of vacated expected points. The first thing that’s…...

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Which Rookies are High-Stakes Drafters Targeting?

  Having the top pick in a high-stakes dynasty league is typically a double-edged sword: According to recent history, the consensus pick at the 1.01 has at times in their careers been valued as among the most coveted assets in fantasy. But, unless you traded for that pick, having it means you likely spent hundreds (and in some cases, thousands) of dollars to buy into…...

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Mecole Hardman’s ADP Is Weird for a Couple of Reasons

  When the Chiefs traded up in the 2019 second round, the RotoViz draft room was abuzz. Kansas City was obviously moving up to select the replacement for Tyreek Hill. This was the pick that was going to make a fantasy hero. The Chiefs love athleticism in their draft picks, and they’re trying to replace the fastest man in the NFL, so it seemed obvious…...

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If You Pass on Christian McCaffrey, You Could Miss the Best Fantasy Season Ever

  As impressive as Christian McCaffrey’s 2018 was, we likely still haven’t seen his ceiling. How high is it? And does the Panthers running back have the potential to push for the greatest fantasy season ever? McCaffrey was the top-scoring RB in PPR leagues last year with 383 points. That’s the eighth-most points scored by a non-quarterback since the year 2000. Even better for fantasy…...

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Dynasty Draft Strategy – Players I’m Avoiding in Startup Drafts

  Dynasty fantasy football startup drafts are in season, and that means it’s time to talk dynasty draft strategy. I’ll be covering a number of different topics to ensure you’re as prepared as is humanly possible, including roster construction techniques, snake draft versus auction draft strategy, players to target, and players to avoid. Players I’m Avoiding in Dynasty Startup Drafts in 2019 Let’s begin with…...

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Contract Year WRs: Fantasy Appeal of the Walk Year Stars

  Following on from my look at the fantasy appeal of quarterbacks heading into the final season of their current deals, attention is now turned towards wide receivers facing the same situation. We’ll be focusing on three players for whom the coming season represents a chance to earn a big payday in 2020. In their pursuits of new deals, I’ll offer my thoughts as to…...

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Zero RB or RB-Heavy in BestBall10s? The Roster Construction Explorer Gives Us the Shocking Results

  Over the last four years in the MFL10 of Death, Shawn Siegele has finished 1st, 2nd, 1st, and 1st, using his signature Zero RB approach to bring home three titles. But were these wins the result of avoiding RBs early? Or did he win because of player selection and in spite of a structural approach that might be doing more harm than good? The…...

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Dynasty Hit Rates: 2018 Draft Class

  The 2018 class started out like most previous classes with four rookies finishing inside the PPR top-12 QBs/TEs or top-24 RBs/WRs. The 2010 class was the only class in this series to have less than four, which was the average per year. It’s interesting to note that two of those, Nick Chubb and Phillip Lindsay, weren’t starters at the beginning of the season. This…...

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Contract Year QBs: Fantasy Appeal of the Walk Year Stars

  As in most industries, the goal of the average NFL player is to maximize their earnings. Rings and Vince Lombardi trophies are all well and good, and the drive to be the best in the business is strong. But with the average career around four seasons, no one should begrudge a single player for wanting to make as much money as possible before they,…...

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4 RBs to Target for Opportunity Spikes in 2019: Vacated Expected Points

  “Vacated targets” and “vacated carries” are common ways to look at the available team volume. Antonio Brown leaving Pittsburgh opened up 168 targets. Total up all of the targets of players who left in free agency, retired, were traded, or got suspended and those are the targets available for current or incoming players. This view doesn’t account for a number of factors but it…...

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Andy Isabella Is One of the Best Rookie Values in Recent Memory

  The Arizona Cardinals selected Andy Isabella No. 62 overall in the 2019 NFL draft. The UMass star was the eighth wide receiver off the board in the reality event, and yet he’s only the No. 10 WR in rookie drafts. Still, that’s hardly the kind of gap to get worked up over unless there’s something else going on. What is it about the diminutive…...

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3 Value IDPs I’m Targeting in 2019 Rookie Drafts

Dynasty rookie drafts are in full swing this spring, and if you’re like me, it’s not enough to just play in an IDP league — it’s got to be a deep IDP league, requiring you to unearth rookie gems on a regular basis. In the midst of a dynasty rookie draft that requires 11 IDP starters, I’ve been digging in to find the mid-to-late-round values…...

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RB-Heavy Will Kill Your Best Ball Team, But There Is An Early Round Perfect for RBs

In Lesson 7 of the Best Ball Workshop, we learned that RB-heavy teams have very poor win rates. In fact, if you start RBx4 or select RBs in four of the first five rounds, then your chances of winning drop to approximately one in 20. Far from being fueled exclusively by the RB apocalypse of 2015, RBx4 had it’s worst year in 2018, winning less…...

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3 Players You Should Stop Drafting at ADP

  Being player agnostic is one of the best edges you can find in fantasy football in 2019 — don’t fall in love with a player, fall in love with his price. With the suite of RotoViz tools, finding this year’s most mispriced players is easier than ever. We already looked at some players that we think are being drafted too low. On the flip…...

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Don’t Miss Out on the Best WR Value in the 2019 Class

  Andy Isabella may be one of the best rookie values in recent memory, but he’s not the best WR value in this draft class. No, that honor goes to a different senior WR from a non-power 5 conference. One who actually broke out before he was 22 years old. How can there be a better WR value than Isabella, the uber productive WR whom…...

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Tips for a Successful Dynasty Startup Draft

  There are a lot of ways to win in dynasty. Some dynasty owners will plan on losing the first few years while building “dream team” rosters. Others tend to overly focus on youth and/or highly touted rookies. There’s also the “get your guy” owner who will undoubtedly reach for a player often rounds ahead of ADP. You can almost bank on there being at…...

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When The Devy Breaks: Mock Draft Breakdown

  Last week I took part in a devy mock draft hosted by Greg Brandt from over at Devy Watch. It was a 12-team, PPR scoring, non-Superflex draft with a player pool consisting of 2020, 2021, and 2022 eligible prospects. Two of my fellow RotoViz writers, Travis May and Matt Wispe, also took part. My goal here is to walk you through the draft, round…...

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3 Deep Sleepers RotoViz Likes More Than You

  Being player agnostic is one of the best edges you can find in fantasy football in 2019 — don’t fall in love with a player, fall in love with his price. With the suite of RotoViz tools, finding this year’s most mispriced players is easier than ever, so let’s take a look at three deep sleepers we like more than the drafting public. By…...

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Contract Year RBs: Fantasy Appeal of the Walk Year Stars

  We’re back again to offer our thoughts on prominent contract year players at one of the fantasy footballs most important positions, namely running back. Yes, I know the popular theory is that they don’t matter. But getting a good one can be the reason you take home a fantasy crown. Drafting a bad one can be the reason you are swearing angrily at your…...

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Will Fuller Is the Ultimate Best Ball Target, and He’s Available at a Discount

  Consistency and upside are typically built into a player’s price during the draft, but other factors can sometimes lower the acquisition cost and turn a player into a value. Despite there being only a small sample size, Will Fuller has proven in the last two seasons that he’s a WR1 in games with Deshaun Watson. Even with the injury risks, he’s one of my favorite…...

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3 Pass Catchers to Target for Volume Spikes in 2019: Vacated Expected Points

  In the previous installment of Vacated Expected Points, we looked at RBs to target based on the amount of vacated rushing expected points. In this installment, we’ll see which wide receivers are in situations where they can command a high volume of receiving expected points. Be sure to check out the previous article for an explanation of vacated expected points. The first thing that’s…...

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Which Rookies are High-Stakes Drafters Targeting?

  Having the top pick in a high-stakes dynasty league is typically a double-edged sword: According to recent history, the consensus pick at the 1.01 has at times in their careers been valued as among the most coveted assets in fantasy. But, unless you traded for that pick, having it means you likely spent hundreds (and in some cases, thousands) of dollars to buy into…...

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Mecole Hardman’s ADP Is Weird for a Couple of Reasons

  When the Chiefs traded up in the 2019 second round, the RotoViz draft room was abuzz. Kansas City was obviously moving up to select the replacement for Tyreek Hill. This was the pick that was going to make a fantasy hero. The Chiefs love athleticism in their draft picks, and they’re trying to replace the fastest man in the NFL, so it seemed obvious…...

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If You Pass on Christian McCaffrey, You Could Miss the Best Fantasy Season Ever

  As impressive as Christian McCaffrey’s 2018 was, we likely still haven’t seen his ceiling. How high is it? And does the Panthers running back have the potential to push for the greatest fantasy season ever? McCaffrey was the top-scoring RB in PPR leagues last year with 383 points. That’s the eighth-most points scored by a non-quarterback since the year 2000. Even better for fantasy…...

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Dynasty Draft Strategy – Players I’m Avoiding in Startup Drafts

  Dynasty fantasy football startup drafts are in season, and that means it’s time to talk dynasty draft strategy. I’ll be covering a number of different topics to ensure you’re as prepared as is humanly possible, including roster construction techniques, snake draft versus auction draft strategy, players to target, and players to avoid. Players I’m Avoiding in Dynasty Startup Drafts in 2019 Let’s begin with…...

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Contract Year WRs: Fantasy Appeal of the Walk Year Stars

  Following on from my look at the fantasy appeal of quarterbacks heading into the final season of their current deals, attention is now turned towards wide receivers facing the same situation. We’ll be focusing on three players for whom the coming season represents a chance to earn a big payday in 2020. In their pursuits of new deals, I’ll offer my thoughts as to…...

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Zero RB or RB-Heavy in BestBall10s? The Roster Construction Explorer Gives Us the Shocking Results

  Over the last four years in the MFL10 of Death, Shawn Siegele has finished 1st, 2nd, 1st, and 1st, using his signature Zero RB approach to bring home three titles. But were these wins the result of avoiding RBs early? Or did he win because of player selection and in spite of a structural approach that might be doing more harm than good? The…...

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Dynasty Hit Rates: 2018 Draft Class

  The 2018 class started out like most previous classes with four rookies finishing inside the PPR top-12 QBs/TEs or top-24 RBs/WRs. The 2010 class was the only class in this series to have less than four, which was the average per year. It’s interesting to note that two of those, Nick Chubb and Phillip Lindsay, weren’t starters at the beginning of the season. This…...

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Contract Year QBs: Fantasy Appeal of the Walk Year Stars

  As in most industries, the goal of the average NFL player is to maximize their earnings. Rings and Vince Lombardi trophies are all well and good, and the drive to be the best in the business is strong. But with the average career around four seasons, no one should begrudge a single player for wanting to make as much money as possible before they,…...

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4 RBs to Target for Opportunity Spikes in 2019: Vacated Expected Points

  “Vacated targets” and “vacated carries” are common ways to look at the available team volume. Antonio Brown leaving Pittsburgh opened up 168 targets. Total up all of the targets of players who left in free agency, retired, were traded, or got suspended and those are the targets available for current or incoming players. This view doesn’t account for a number of factors but it…...

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Andy Isabella Is One of the Best Rookie Values in Recent Memory

  The Arizona Cardinals selected Andy Isabella No. 62 overall in the 2019 NFL draft. The UMass star was the eighth wide receiver off the board in the reality event, and yet he’s only the No. 10 WR in rookie drafts. Still, that’s hardly the kind of gap to get worked up over unless there’s something else going on. What is it about the diminutive…...

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3 Value IDPs I’m Targeting in 2019 Rookie Drafts

Dynasty rookie drafts are in full swing this spring, and if you’re like me, it’s not enough to just play in an IDP league — it’s got to be a deep IDP league, requiring you to unearth rookie gems on a regular basis. In the midst of a dynasty rookie draft that requires 11 IDP starters, I’ve been digging in to find the mid-to-late-round values…...

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RB-Heavy Will Kill Your Best Ball Team, But There Is An Early Round Perfect for RBs

In Lesson 7 of the Best Ball Workshop, we learned that RB-heavy teams have very poor win rates. In fact, if you start RBx4 or select RBs in four of the first five rounds, then your chances of winning drop to approximately one in 20. Far from being fueled exclusively by the RB apocalypse of 2015, RBx4 had it’s worst year in 2018, winning less…...

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3 Players You Should Stop Drafting at ADP

  Being player agnostic is one of the best edges you can find in fantasy football in 2019 — don’t fall in love with a player, fall in love with his price. With the suite of RotoViz tools, finding this year’s most mispriced players is easier than ever. We already looked at some players that we think are being drafted too low. On the flip…...

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Don’t Miss Out on the Best WR Value in the 2019 Class

  Andy Isabella may be one of the best rookie values in recent memory, but he’s not the best WR value in this draft class. No, that honor goes to a different senior WR from a non-power 5 conference. One who actually broke out before he was 22 years old. How can there be a better WR value than Isabella, the uber productive WR whom…...

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Tips for a Successful Dynasty Startup Draft

  There are a lot of ways to win in dynasty. Some dynasty owners will plan on losing the first few years while building “dream team” rosters. Others tend to overly focus on youth and/or highly touted rookies. There’s also the “get your guy” owner who will undoubtedly reach for a player often rounds ahead of ADP. You can almost bank on there being at…...

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When The Devy Breaks: Mock Draft Breakdown

  Last week I took part in a devy mock draft hosted by Greg Brandt from over at Devy Watch. It was a 12-team, PPR scoring, non-Superflex draft with a player pool consisting of 2020, 2021, and 2022 eligible prospects. Two of my fellow RotoViz writers, Travis May and Matt Wispe, also took part. My goal here is to walk you through the draft, round…...

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3 Deep Sleepers RotoViz Likes More Than You

  Being player agnostic is one of the best edges you can find in fantasy football in 2019 — don’t fall in love with a player, fall in love with his price. With the suite of RotoViz tools, finding this year’s most mispriced players is easier than ever, so let’s take a look at three deep sleepers we like more than the drafting public. By…...

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Contract Year RBs: Fantasy Appeal of the Walk Year Stars

  We’re back again to offer our thoughts on prominent contract year players at one of the fantasy footballs most important positions, namely running back. Yes, I know the popular theory is that they don’t matter. But getting a good one can be the reason you take home a fantasy crown. Drafting a bad one can be the reason you are swearing angrily at your…...

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Will Fuller Is the Ultimate Best Ball Target, and He’s Available at a Discount

  Consistency and upside are typically built into a player’s price during the draft, but other factors can sometimes lower the acquisition cost and turn a player into a value. Despite there being only a small sample size, Will Fuller has proven in the last two seasons that he’s a WR1 in games with Deshaun Watson. Even with the injury risks, he’s one of my favorite…...

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3 Pass Catchers to Target for Volume Spikes in 2019: Vacated Expected Points

  In the previous installment of Vacated Expected Points, we looked at RBs to target based on the amount of vacated rushing expected points. In this installment, we’ll see which wide receivers are in situations where they can command a high volume of receiving expected points. Be sure to check out the previous article for an explanation of vacated expected points. The first thing that’s…...

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Which Rookies are High-Stakes Drafters Targeting?

  Having the top pick in a high-stakes dynasty league is typically a double-edged sword: According to recent history, the consensus pick at the 1.01 has at times in their careers been valued as among the most coveted assets in fantasy. But, unless you traded for that pick, having it means you likely spent hundreds (and in some cases, thousands) of dollars to buy into…...

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Mecole Hardman’s ADP Is Weird for a Couple of Reasons

  When the Chiefs traded up in the 2019 second round, the RotoViz draft room was abuzz. Kansas City was obviously moving up to select the replacement for Tyreek Hill. This was the pick that was going to make a fantasy hero. The Chiefs love athleticism in their draft picks, and they’re trying to replace the fastest man in the NFL, so it seemed obvious…...

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If You Pass on Christian McCaffrey, You Could Miss the Best Fantasy Season Ever

  As impressive as Christian McCaffrey’s 2018 was, we likely still haven’t seen his ceiling. How high is it? And does the Panthers running back have the potential to push for the greatest fantasy season ever? McCaffrey was the top-scoring RB in PPR leagues last year with 383 points. That’s the eighth-most points scored by a non-quarterback since the year 2000. Even better for fantasy…...

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Dynasty Draft Strategy – Players I’m Avoiding in Startup Drafts

  Dynasty fantasy football startup drafts are in season, and that means it’s time to talk dynasty draft strategy. I’ll be covering a number of different topics to ensure you’re as prepared as is humanly possible, including roster construction techniques, snake draft versus auction draft strategy, players to target, and players to avoid. Players I’m Avoiding in Dynasty Startup Drafts in 2019 Let’s begin with…...

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Contract Year WRs: Fantasy Appeal of the Walk Year Stars

  Following on from my look at the fantasy appeal of quarterbacks heading into the final season of their current deals, attention is now turned towards wide receivers facing the same situation. We’ll be focusing on three players for whom the coming season represents a chance to earn a big payday in 2020. In their pursuits of new deals, I’ll offer my thoughts as to…...

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Zero RB or RB-Heavy in BestBall10s? The Roster Construction Explorer Gives Us the Shocking Results

  Over the last four years in the MFL10 of Death, Shawn Siegele has finished 1st, 2nd, 1st, and 1st, using his signature Zero RB approach to bring home three titles. But were these wins the result of avoiding RBs early? Or did he win because of player selection and in spite of a structural approach that might be doing more harm than good? The…...

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Dynasty Hit Rates: 2018 Draft Class

  The 2018 class started out like most previous classes with four rookies finishing inside the PPR top-12 QBs/TEs or top-24 RBs/WRs. The 2010 class was the only class in this series to have less than four, which was the average per year. It’s interesting to note that two of those, Nick Chubb and Phillip Lindsay, weren’t starters at the beginning of the season. This…...

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Contract Year QBs: Fantasy Appeal of the Walk Year Stars

  As in most industries, the goal of the average NFL player is to maximize their earnings. Rings and Vince Lombardi trophies are all well and good, and the drive to be the best in the business is strong. But with the average career around four seasons, no one should begrudge a single player for wanting to make as much money as possible before they,…...

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4 RBs to Target for Opportunity Spikes in 2019: Vacated Expected Points

  “Vacated targets” and “vacated carries” are common ways to look at the available team volume. Antonio Brown leaving Pittsburgh opened up 168 targets. Total up all of the targets of players who left in free agency, retired, were traded, or got suspended and those are the targets available for current or incoming players. This view doesn’t account for a number of factors but it…...

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Andy Isabella Is One of the Best Rookie Values in Recent Memory

  The Arizona Cardinals selected Andy Isabella No. 62 overall in the 2019 NFL draft. The UMass star was the eighth wide receiver off the board in the reality event, and yet he’s only the No. 10 WR in rookie drafts. Still, that’s hardly the kind of gap to get worked up over unless there’s something else going on. What is it about the diminutive…...

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