Fantasy football is a game of finding inefficiencies in the market. Armed with the MFL10 ADP app, we have the visual means to help us find the players who have the best chance at beating the market and paying off at their current cost in MFL10 best ball drafts.As part of an ongoing series, we’re counting down the best values in each round.
You can find the previous values by round here:
Round 5 brings us a perennial Zero RB favorite and an WR1 who is being drafted as a back-end WR2.
Last year, Marvin Jones finished as the overall WR12 in PPR leagues. Since the beginning of May, he’s being drafted as the WR23, behind a a bunch of players whom he outscored last season.
I understand the love for some of these players, but it’s possible we’re all just getting too cute here. Jones is even being drafted behind his teammate Golden Tate, despite scoring more points in 2017. Granted it was only seven more, but still, why?
Last season, Jones had more than twice as many air yards and was the clear winner in weighted opportunity rating.
The two have gone practically point for point over the past two seasons.
Jones has lost his fantasy luster in 2018 and Kenny Golladay’s assumed breakout is the reason why. Those forecasting the emergence of the sophomore WR may be on to something, considering a small sample of splits. from last year
Even so, Jones’ price is more than fair in the fifth. He offers both floor and ceiling on a weekly basis — last year he was a WR1 33 percent of the time and a top-36 scorer in 60 percent of weeks.
Why would the Lions suddenly stop taking work away from Jones? At 28, he’s got plenty left in the tank, and virtually nothing has changed in the Detroit passing game.
A fixture in this section of fantasy drafts over the last several years, Tevin Coleman once again presents tremendous value, and a ton of upside, in the fifth round.
Coleman ticks all the boxes we look for in the kind of Zero RB candidate that can win a league. He brings stand-alone value, having finished the last two seasons as the RB19 and RB22.
He’s also poised to go off and win your fantasy league if misfortune should befall Devonta Freeman.
Coleman is an elite receiving back. Last year, his role in the passing game held similar value to Freeman in terms of expected points (reEP), but he was far more efficient.
Coleman’s efficiency mark (reFPOE) of 17.4 was better than all but nine RBs in 2017. In 2016, Coleman led the league in this metric with a reFPOE of 27.6.
It’s possible the Falcons have taken notice, as they are promising to increase Coleman’s role in the passing game in 2018.
And yet, Coleman is consistently going well behind other committee backs who don’t have near the same track record or upside.
As a reliable weekly option with a solid receiving floor, Coleman is a fine value in the fifth. As a potential league winner, he’s a a must-target player for anyone deploying a Zero RB strategy in 2018.