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Week 2 Buy Low Report – Christian Kirk Headlines the Best RB and WR Values

The Strength of Schedule Streaming app allows you to see which players have the easiest or most difficult upcoming schedules, a potentially league-winning edge that gives you the opportunity to buy players right before they explode in plus matchups.

Every week, the Buy Low Report will combine insight from the SoS Streaming app and the RotoViz Screener - which has information on rushing and receiving expected fantasy points (ruEP and reEP, respectively) and rushing and receiving Fantasy Points Over Expectation (ruFPOE and reFPOE) - so you know which players are buy-low candidates.

Wide Receivers - Weeks 2 through 5

Christian Kirk

Larry Fitzgerald looked like the Cardinals’ receiver to own in Week 1, Christian Kirk quietly played 93% of snaps and amassed 12 targets (22% share) and 139 air yards (24% share). Although one week isn’t enough of a sample size to make any sure determination about how much volume Kirk will see in the future, he currently ranks 12th among wide receivers in reEP.

While he was only able to turn that volume into four receptions for 32 yards - his 8.4 points were 11.3 fantasy points below expectation - it’s encouraging to see that the second-year wideout is heavily involved in Kliff Kingsbury’s Air Raid offense. Furthermore, it’s safe to assume Kirk’s disappointing Week 1 efficiency is more of a mirage than a sign of things to come. Last year, Kirk led all Arizona pass-catchers (min. 30 targets) in FPOE, totaling 17.3 points above expectation despite being in the worst possible situation.

 
Player FPOE
Christian Kirk 17.3
David Johnson 1.4
Larry Fitzgerald -6.5
Chad Williams -33.3
Ricky Seals-Jones -33.6

Kirk and the Cardinals head to Baltimore in Week 2 to take on one of the league’s best defenses - although the Ravens will be without Jimmy Smith - so the Cardinals are in the red in the graphic above, but the schedule opens up nicely with Carolina, Seattle, and Cincinnati in Weeks 3 through 5. Over those three weeks, the Cardinals have the fourth-best schedule for wide receivers.

Kirk could be on this list again next week if he disappoints in a difficult matchup, but I’m not willing to take the risk of waiting another week. Kirk’s uncharacteristic lack of efficiency opens up a buying window for the Texas A&M product.

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