Late-Round Tight End Never Works — But It Might Work for Us: 7 Tight Ends in the Double-Digit Rounds to Help You Lean Into the WR Avalanche
Image Credit: Robin Alam/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Cole Kmet.

Elite-tight-end builds — or even double-elite-TE builds — have long been a staple of winning roster construction principles at RotoViz. Even in Shawn Siegele’s foundational Zero-RB article, he mentions that his preferred construction in the first five rounds includes four WRs and a TE.

Looking back at the win rates for elite TE builds shows that beginning your draft with a top TE provides a sizable advantage.

FFPC Classic – 2017-2022

Double-elite TE builds provide an even bigger boost.

2-TE Before 6 (2017-2022)

Want to learn top tournament tips from the 2021 FFPC Best Ball Champion? Conor O’Driscoll offers you a contrarian path to supercharged elite TE builds

But Does Elite TE Always Work?

Of course, this is a format in which TEs score 1.5 points for every reception. Elite TE builds have not so been successful in Underdog drafts.

Although they have returned above average results in later playoff rounds, it has been harder to advance elite TE builds to the playoffs in the first place. And this isn’t just something unique about the last two seasons. Elite TE has been successful in FFPC drafts during the Underdog era.

In other words, the difference comes down at least in part to format — scoring settings and roster requirements. The reason the settings had such a profound effect is perhaps not exactly what you are thinking, however.

It All Comes Back to Picking Players

Although elite TE — taking your first TE before Round 6 — doesn’t get teams to the playoffs at a high rate, it’s important to remember which specific players we’re talking about in each format. For instance, in 2021, even in the FFPC, elite TE didn’t work from every draft slot in every round.

Taking a TE in the back half of the first round was usually a losing strategy. The sweet spot was around the Round 3-4 turn. In other words, the big win rate boost came from picking Mark Andrews, who had an ADP around the 4.04.

Andrews was also the key pick in Underdog leagues, but he was going much later.

Andrews’ ADP in Underdog leagues was at the 5.11, but he was very often slipping into the sixth round, just outside the bounds of how we’ve defined Elite TE.

Likewise in 2022, the TE pick you needed was

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Please subscribe For Full Access to all RotoViz content and tools!

 

What’s included in your subscription??

  • Exclusive Access to RotoViz Study Hall
    • A treasure trove of our most insightful articles that will teach you the metrics that matter, time-tested winning strategies, the approaches that will give you an edge, and teach you how to be an effective fantasy manager.
  • Revolutionary Tools
    • Including the NFL Stat Explorer, Weekly GLSP Projections, NCAA Prospect Box Score Scout, Combine Explorer, Range of Outcomes App, DFS Lineup Optimizer, Best Ball Suite,and many, many, more.
  • Groundbreaking Articles
    • RotoViz is home of the original Zero-RB article and continues to push fantasy gamers forward as the go-to destination for evidence-based analysis and strategic advantages.
  • Weekly Projections
    • Built using RotoViz’s unique GLSP approach.
  • Expert Rankings
  • And a whole lot more…

Blair Andrews

Managing Editor, Author of The Wrong Read, Occasional Fantasy Football League Winner. All opinions are someone else's.

Good Players Are Good, But Good Values Are Better: How to Beat the Running Back Market in Fantasy

Blair Andrews explores the metrics that best predict running back outperformance. The RB fantasy market is exploitable, if we know where to look. My last article detailed the key wide receiver metrics you need to chase to beat ADP — that is, to return an above-average win rate. In a 12-team league, every team can expect to win about 8.3% of the time, as a…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Good Players Are Still Good: The Most Undervalued Wide Receiver Metric

If you think you fully understand the importance of fantasy efficiency, think again. Fantasy football doesn’t have to be difficult. We love digging into all the advanced metrics, refining our models, and finding tiny edges using new data sources. But sometimes the old standbys still give you the best bang for your buck. We’ve advocated using win rates to evaluate player seasons for several years…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

This Contrarian Strategy Helped Me Finish No. 2 Overall in the 2024 Scott Fish Bowl . . . and It’s Even More Potent in 2025

Despite many recent successes, as a site we’re generally quite modest. This has mainly to do with the personalities of the central players. I’m not a fantasy analyst who likes to toot my own horn, as it were. That’s why, unless you were paying close attention, you might not know that I finished second overall in the Scott Fish Bowl last season (SFB14), out of…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Good Players Are Good, But Good Values Are Better: How to Beat the Running Back Market in Fantasy

Blair Andrews explores the metrics that best predict running back outperformance. The RB fantasy market is exploitable, if we know where to look. My last article detailed the key wide receiver metrics you need to chase to beat ADP — that is, to return an above-average win rate. In a 12-team league, every team can expect to win about 8.3% of the time, as a…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Good Players Are Still Good: The Most Undervalued Wide Receiver Metric

If you think you fully understand the importance of fantasy efficiency, think again. Fantasy football doesn’t have to be difficult. We love digging into all the advanced metrics, refining our models, and finding tiny edges using new data sources. But sometimes the old standbys still give you the best bang for your buck. We’ve advocated using win rates to evaluate player seasons for several years…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

This Contrarian Strategy Helped Me Finish No. 2 Overall in the 2024 Scott Fish Bowl . . . and It’s Even More Potent in 2025

Despite many recent successes, as a site we’re generally quite modest. This has mainly to do with the personalities of the central players. I’m not a fantasy analyst who likes to toot my own horn, as it were. That’s why, unless you were paying close attention, you might not know that I finished second overall in the Scott Fish Bowl last season (SFB14), out of…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

The Blitz

Connect
Support

rotovizmain@gmail.com

Sign-up today for our free Premium Email subscription!

Data provided by

© 2021 RotoViz. All rights Reserved.

Welcome Back to RotoViz...

– IF YOU HAVE ISSUES LOGGING IN PLEASE CONTACT ROTOVIZMAIN@GMAIL.COM

– PLEASE NOTE THAT ROTOVIZ USES WORDPRESS FOR ACCOUNT MANAGEMENT. IF RESETTING YOUR PASSWORD YOU MAY BE FOWARDED TO A WORDPRESS PAGE.