Dave Caban

Senior Fantasy Analyst, app developer, hosts the RotoViz Radio Flagship, auction draft enthusiast.

Author Archive

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Game Level Similarity Projections: What Are They and How Should I Use Them?

Dave Caban published this article in Week 8 of the 2019 season. It’s being republished to provide a refresher or overview of the RotoViz Weekly Game Level Similarity Projection process. Long-time readers are undoubtedly familiar with RotoViz’s Game Level Similarity Projection (GLSP) process but for those of you that are new to the site, this post will walk you through the process and give some…...

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2020 Week 1 Tight End Streamers

There were times when many doubted we would ever get here. But finally, after the most topsy-turvy offseason in NFL history, Week 1 is upon us. This means, of course, to paraphrase the late, great Ricardo Montalban, we have entered Fantasy Island. While most drafts have only been completed recently, this doesn’t necessarily mean that fantasy managers are ecstatic with the players on their teams…....

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2020 Free Agency: Winners, Losers, and 5 New Sleepers You Need to Buy Now

Shawn Siegele covers the fantasy winners and losers in 2020 free agency, and then dives into his favorite sleepers in the aftermath. Despite the limited moves at wide receiver, 2020 free agency hasn’t been a disappointment. Last week I discussed the shock waves emanating through Superflex leagues, and today we move to the marquee positions with a look at Todd Gurley, Melvin Gordon, and David…...

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Game Splits: How Have the Conference Title Contenders Fared Against Similar Defenses?

The Green Packers and San Francisco 49ers square off in the NFC Championship Game as the Tennessee Titans try to spring another Arrowhead upset and knock off Kansas City in the AFC. Shawn Siegele uses the Team Splits app to examine the defensive matchups. Last week we used two of our most popular tools to dive into some crazy splits for playoff teams. Today we use…...

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Davante Adams Previews 2020 in Carrying Green Bay to the NFC Championship Game

Davante Adams caught eight passes for 160 yards and two scores as Green Bay held off Seattle to advance to the NFC Championship. Despite a 2019 campaign plagued by injury, Adams could be the second wide receiver off the board in 2020 fantasy drafts. In a divisional round full of fireworks, a host of big names came in at the top of the fantasy points…...

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Game Splits: Texans and Chiefs Traveled Different Paths Without Impact Receivers

The Houston Texans upset the Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium in Week 6. This Sunday they look to do the same in the divisional round of the playoffs. Shawn Siegele uses the Team Splits app to explore two crucial players who could make the difference. This week we’re using two of our most popular tools to dive into fun stats for playoff teams. Yesterday…...

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Game Splits: Titans Become Offensive Power Under Ryan Tannehill

With the Tennessee Titans hoping to spring the big upset this weekend at Baltimore, Shawn Siegele goes under the hood with the Games Splits app to analyze the impact of Ryan Tannehill. The Game Splits app is one of our most popular offerings. It allows users to create splits based on teammates, defenses, game situations, and much more. While we want to keep in mind…...

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The FFPC Playoff Challenge: Chalk Plays, Pivots and Ownership Projections

The FFPC Playoff Challenge is a contest playoff tournament with 6,500 teams and over $1.1 million in prizes and a $500,000 grand prize. The rules of the contest are simple — as you can see in Hasan Rahim’s 2018 write up: There is no draft, each owner simply selects a roster of 10 players (1-QB, 2-RB, 2-WR, 1-TE, 2-Flex, 1-K, 1-D; Flex can be RB, WR…...

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Best Ball Win Rates: 2019 Awards

Shawn Siegele uses the Best Ball Win Rates tool to hand out awards to the top performances in six categories.  Each week I’ve been using our Best Ball tools to evaluate a different fantasy position. We’ve already begun grading the Best Ball Workshop, a series of how-to strategy articles built on the insights from Mike Beers’ Roster Construction Explorer. Today we pause to hand out some…...

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Week 17 Quarterback Streaming and DFS Options

Though we recapped last week, I could not in good conscience leave those hanging who either use this article for DFS or are in a league that plays throughout the entirety of the regular season. If it’s the latter, you should probably consider not participating in such a league moving forward. I say that because Lamar Jackson, who brought many fantasy owners to victory with…...

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Zero RB Watch List: Week 17 – Deep Dynasty Stashes Emerge Amid a Flurry of Injuries

Shawn Siegele examines running back depth charts in flux and recommends stashing four deep dynasty sleepers before the offseason.  The heavyweights battled it out during championship weekend as 2019’s first three picks combined for 107 fantasy points. Saquon Barkley and Alvin Kamara were disappointments this season, but they came through in a huge way for any owners who found themselves in the title game. Following…...

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How to Use Expected Points in the Offseason: 4 More Correlation Matrices

Last week I looked at a variety of Expected-Points-based metrics to determine which were the most stable from one week to the next and which were the most predictive of fantasy scoring in future weeks. However, fantasy football is not only a weekly game — in most formats your lineup won’t vary much from one week to the next. Also, for most of our fantasy…...

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Michael Thomas Sets Records As Surprise WRs Make Their Case to Dynasty Owners

Shawn Siegele looks at all the top wide receiver performances from Week 16, including big games from Sterling Shepard, Diontae Johnson, and Steven Sims Jr. Championship weekend featured a title-winning fourth-down score from Tyler Boyd and monster performances from two legends. Michael Thomas and Julio Jones combined for 22 catches and 58 points. Beyond the three studs, the finals were littered with big performances from…...

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NFL Week 16: Coulda, Woulda, Shoulda

Monty Phan wraps up the weekend of NFL action. For nearly four months every year, my wife puts up with a husband who is totally useless on Sundays, a slave to the Red Zone Channel and NBC Sunday Night Football. Just when the season crescendos to a climax – the fantasy playoffs – is when her patience nearly runs out. What’s she rewarded with? A…...

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The 3 and Out: League Wide Expected Points

The 3 and Out uses several RotoViz Apps to uncover significant workload changes; league, team, and player-specific trends; and hidden but powerful statistics. Earlier in the week, Blair Andrews explained why we care about expected points. Today, we’ll take a quick look at 2019 expected points through a league-wide lens while continuing to determine how “normal” 2019 was. Once the offseason hits in earnest, we’ll…...

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Zero RB Watch List: NFC Week 16 – Miles Sanders Is a “Buy High” Candidate

Blair Andrews examines the running back workloads for the most contentious NFC backfields ahead of Week 16. Every fantasy team can use a breakout RB, whether their owners drafted them as Zero-RB squads or not. The Zero RB Watch List helps to find these breakout stars before they hit. But it also helps you understand which of the high-profile backs you should be buying and…...

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QB Streaming for the Championship Game

Giana Pacinelli provides QB streaming options, 2-QB plays, and overall QB rankings for Week 16 of the 2019 fantasy football season. Before reading this article, just know that around here, we don’t recognize week 17 fantasy football championships. You can debate the merits of those leagues elsewhere, but for my article, the season ends this week. So with that, our fantasy season has almost come…...

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Best Ball Win Rates – 2019 QB Results Demonstrate the Value of the Roster Construction Explorer

Shawn Siegele breaks down the quarterback position in best ball and looks at the results from Patrick Mahomes, Lamar Jackson, and Josh Allen in three different ADP windows. Lesson 3 of the Best Ball Workshop focused on the QB position. The takeaway: QB is more important than you think and easy to exploit. Was that the case again in 2019? To answer that question, let’s…...

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Week 16 Fantasy Football Kicker Streaming

The Process Before I look to Week 16 it is important to observe if the selection process was effective. Here is a recap of last week’s recommendations. If you need a refresher on what to look for when analyzing kickers, read the Week 2 Fantasy Football Kicker Streaming article.  Name, Team Stat Line Week 15 Rank 1 Robbie Gould, San Francisco 49ers FG 3/3 XP…...

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Week 16 Buy Low Report – Lights, Kamara, Action for Championship Weekend

The Strength of Schedule Streaming app allows you to see which players have the easiest or most difficult upcoming schedules, a potentially league-winning edge that gives you the opportunity to buy players right before they explode in plus matchups. Welcome back to the Buy Low Report. As usual, we will combine insight from the SoS Streaming App and the RotoViz Screener to identify players who…...

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Game Level Similarity Projections: What Are They and How Should I Use Them?

Dave Caban published this article in Week 8 of the 2019 season. It’s being republished to provide a refresher or overview of the RotoViz Weekly Game Level Similarity Projection process. Long-time readers are undoubtedly familiar with RotoViz’s Game Level Similarity Projection (GLSP) process but for those of you that are new to the site, this post will walk you through the process and give some…...

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2020 Week 1 Tight End Streamers

There were times when many doubted we would ever get here. But finally, after the most topsy-turvy offseason in NFL history, Week 1 is upon us. This means, of course, to paraphrase the late, great Ricardo Montalban, we have entered Fantasy Island. While most drafts have only been completed recently, this doesn’t necessarily mean that fantasy managers are ecstatic with the players on their teams…....

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2020 Free Agency: Winners, Losers, and 5 New Sleepers You Need to Buy Now

Shawn Siegele covers the fantasy winners and losers in 2020 free agency, and then dives into his favorite sleepers in the aftermath. Despite the limited moves at wide receiver, 2020 free agency hasn’t been a disappointment. Last week I discussed the shock waves emanating through Superflex leagues, and today we move to the marquee positions with a look at Todd Gurley, Melvin Gordon, and David…...

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Game Splits: How Have the Conference Title Contenders Fared Against Similar Defenses?

The Green Packers and San Francisco 49ers square off in the NFC Championship Game as the Tennessee Titans try to spring another Arrowhead upset and knock off Kansas City in the AFC. Shawn Siegele uses the Team Splits app to examine the defensive matchups. Last week we used two of our most popular tools to dive into some crazy splits for playoff teams. Today we use…...

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Davante Adams Previews 2020 in Carrying Green Bay to the NFC Championship Game

Davante Adams caught eight passes for 160 yards and two scores as Green Bay held off Seattle to advance to the NFC Championship. Despite a 2019 campaign plagued by injury, Adams could be the second wide receiver off the board in 2020 fantasy drafts. In a divisional round full of fireworks, a host of big names came in at the top of the fantasy points…...

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Game Splits: Texans and Chiefs Traveled Different Paths Without Impact Receivers

The Houston Texans upset the Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium in Week 6. This Sunday they look to do the same in the divisional round of the playoffs. Shawn Siegele uses the Team Splits app to explore two crucial players who could make the difference. This week we’re using two of our most popular tools to dive into fun stats for playoff teams. Yesterday…...

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Game Splits: Titans Become Offensive Power Under Ryan Tannehill

With the Tennessee Titans hoping to spring the big upset this weekend at Baltimore, Shawn Siegele goes under the hood with the Games Splits app to analyze the impact of Ryan Tannehill. The Game Splits app is one of our most popular offerings. It allows users to create splits based on teammates, defenses, game situations, and much more. While we want to keep in mind…...

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The FFPC Playoff Challenge: Chalk Plays, Pivots and Ownership Projections

The FFPC Playoff Challenge is a contest playoff tournament with 6,500 teams and over $1.1 million in prizes and a $500,000 grand prize. The rules of the contest are simple — as you can see in Hasan Rahim’s 2018 write up: There is no draft, each owner simply selects a roster of 10 players (1-QB, 2-RB, 2-WR, 1-TE, 2-Flex, 1-K, 1-D; Flex can be RB, WR…...

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Best Ball Win Rates: 2019 Awards

Shawn Siegele uses the Best Ball Win Rates tool to hand out awards to the top performances in six categories.  Each week I’ve been using our Best Ball tools to evaluate a different fantasy position. We’ve already begun grading the Best Ball Workshop, a series of how-to strategy articles built on the insights from Mike Beers’ Roster Construction Explorer. Today we pause to hand out some…...

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Week 17 Quarterback Streaming and DFS Options

Though we recapped last week, I could not in good conscience leave those hanging who either use this article for DFS or are in a league that plays throughout the entirety of the regular season. If it’s the latter, you should probably consider not participating in such a league moving forward. I say that because Lamar Jackson, who brought many fantasy owners to victory with…...

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Zero RB Watch List: Week 17 – Deep Dynasty Stashes Emerge Amid a Flurry of Injuries

Shawn Siegele examines running back depth charts in flux and recommends stashing four deep dynasty sleepers before the offseason.  The heavyweights battled it out during championship weekend as 2019’s first three picks combined for 107 fantasy points. Saquon Barkley and Alvin Kamara were disappointments this season, but they came through in a huge way for any owners who found themselves in the title game. Following…...

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How to Use Expected Points in the Offseason: 4 More Correlation Matrices

Last week I looked at a variety of Expected-Points-based metrics to determine which were the most stable from one week to the next and which were the most predictive of fantasy scoring in future weeks. However, fantasy football is not only a weekly game — in most formats your lineup won’t vary much from one week to the next. Also, for most of our fantasy…...

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Michael Thomas Sets Records As Surprise WRs Make Their Case to Dynasty Owners

Shawn Siegele looks at all the top wide receiver performances from Week 16, including big games from Sterling Shepard, Diontae Johnson, and Steven Sims Jr. Championship weekend featured a title-winning fourth-down score from Tyler Boyd and monster performances from two legends. Michael Thomas and Julio Jones combined for 22 catches and 58 points. Beyond the three studs, the finals were littered with big performances from…...

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NFL Week 16: Coulda, Woulda, Shoulda

Monty Phan wraps up the weekend of NFL action. For nearly four months every year, my wife puts up with a husband who is totally useless on Sundays, a slave to the Red Zone Channel and NBC Sunday Night Football. Just when the season crescendos to a climax – the fantasy playoffs – is when her patience nearly runs out. What’s she rewarded with? A…...

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The 3 and Out: League Wide Expected Points

The 3 and Out uses several RotoViz Apps to uncover significant workload changes; league, team, and player-specific trends; and hidden but powerful statistics. Earlier in the week, Blair Andrews explained why we care about expected points. Today, we’ll take a quick look at 2019 expected points through a league-wide lens while continuing to determine how “normal” 2019 was. Once the offseason hits in earnest, we’ll…...

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Zero RB Watch List: NFC Week 16 – Miles Sanders Is a “Buy High” Candidate

Blair Andrews examines the running back workloads for the most contentious NFC backfields ahead of Week 16. Every fantasy team can use a breakout RB, whether their owners drafted them as Zero-RB squads or not. The Zero RB Watch List helps to find these breakout stars before they hit. But it also helps you understand which of the high-profile backs you should be buying and…...

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QB Streaming for the Championship Game

Giana Pacinelli provides QB streaming options, 2-QB plays, and overall QB rankings for Week 16 of the 2019 fantasy football season. Before reading this article, just know that around here, we don’t recognize week 17 fantasy football championships. You can debate the merits of those leagues elsewhere, but for my article, the season ends this week. So with that, our fantasy season has almost come…...

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Best Ball Win Rates – 2019 QB Results Demonstrate the Value of the Roster Construction Explorer

Shawn Siegele breaks down the quarterback position in best ball and looks at the results from Patrick Mahomes, Lamar Jackson, and Josh Allen in three different ADP windows. Lesson 3 of the Best Ball Workshop focused on the QB position. The takeaway: QB is more important than you think and easy to exploit. Was that the case again in 2019? To answer that question, let’s…...

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Week 16 Fantasy Football Kicker Streaming

The Process Before I look to Week 16 it is important to observe if the selection process was effective. Here is a recap of last week’s recommendations. If you need a refresher on what to look for when analyzing kickers, read the Week 2 Fantasy Football Kicker Streaming article.  Name, Team Stat Line Week 15 Rank 1 Robbie Gould, San Francisco 49ers FG 3/3 XP…...

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Week 16 Buy Low Report – Lights, Kamara, Action for Championship Weekend

The Strength of Schedule Streaming app allows you to see which players have the easiest or most difficult upcoming schedules, a potentially league-winning edge that gives you the opportunity to buy players right before they explode in plus matchups. Welcome back to the Buy Low Report. As usual, we will combine insight from the SoS Streaming App and the RotoViz Screener to identify players who…...

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Game Level Similarity Projections: What Are They and How Should I Use Them?

Dave Caban published this article in Week 8 of the 2019 season. It’s being republished to provide a refresher or overview of the RotoViz Weekly Game Level Similarity Projection process. Long-time readers are undoubtedly familiar with RotoViz’s Game Level Similarity Projection (GLSP) process but for those of you that are new to the site, this post will walk you through the process and give some…...

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2020 Week 1 Tight End Streamers

There were times when many doubted we would ever get here. But finally, after the most topsy-turvy offseason in NFL history, Week 1 is upon us. This means, of course, to paraphrase the late, great Ricardo Montalban, we have entered Fantasy Island. While most drafts have only been completed recently, this doesn’t necessarily mean that fantasy managers are ecstatic with the players on their teams…....

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2020 Free Agency: Winners, Losers, and 5 New Sleepers You Need to Buy Now

Shawn Siegele covers the fantasy winners and losers in 2020 free agency, and then dives into his favorite sleepers in the aftermath. Despite the limited moves at wide receiver, 2020 free agency hasn’t been a disappointment. Last week I discussed the shock waves emanating through Superflex leagues, and today we move to the marquee positions with a look at Todd Gurley, Melvin Gordon, and David…...

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Game Splits: How Have the Conference Title Contenders Fared Against Similar Defenses?

The Green Packers and San Francisco 49ers square off in the NFC Championship Game as the Tennessee Titans try to spring another Arrowhead upset and knock off Kansas City in the AFC. Shawn Siegele uses the Team Splits app to examine the defensive matchups. Last week we used two of our most popular tools to dive into some crazy splits for playoff teams. Today we use…...

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Davante Adams Previews 2020 in Carrying Green Bay to the NFC Championship Game

Davante Adams caught eight passes for 160 yards and two scores as Green Bay held off Seattle to advance to the NFC Championship. Despite a 2019 campaign plagued by injury, Adams could be the second wide receiver off the board in 2020 fantasy drafts. In a divisional round full of fireworks, a host of big names came in at the top of the fantasy points…...

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Game Splits: Texans and Chiefs Traveled Different Paths Without Impact Receivers

The Houston Texans upset the Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium in Week 6. This Sunday they look to do the same in the divisional round of the playoffs. Shawn Siegele uses the Team Splits app to explore two crucial players who could make the difference. This week we’re using two of our most popular tools to dive into fun stats for playoff teams. Yesterday…...

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Game Splits: Titans Become Offensive Power Under Ryan Tannehill

With the Tennessee Titans hoping to spring the big upset this weekend at Baltimore, Shawn Siegele goes under the hood with the Games Splits app to analyze the impact of Ryan Tannehill. The Game Splits app is one of our most popular offerings. It allows users to create splits based on teammates, defenses, game situations, and much more. While we want to keep in mind…...

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The FFPC Playoff Challenge: Chalk Plays, Pivots and Ownership Projections

The FFPC Playoff Challenge is a contest playoff tournament with 6,500 teams and over $1.1 million in prizes and a $500,000 grand prize. The rules of the contest are simple — as you can see in Hasan Rahim’s 2018 write up: There is no draft, each owner simply selects a roster of 10 players (1-QB, 2-RB, 2-WR, 1-TE, 2-Flex, 1-K, 1-D; Flex can be RB, WR…...

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Best Ball Win Rates: 2019 Awards

Shawn Siegele uses the Best Ball Win Rates tool to hand out awards to the top performances in six categories.  Each week I’ve been using our Best Ball tools to evaluate a different fantasy position. We’ve already begun grading the Best Ball Workshop, a series of how-to strategy articles built on the insights from Mike Beers’ Roster Construction Explorer. Today we pause to hand out some…...

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Week 17 Quarterback Streaming and DFS Options

Though we recapped last week, I could not in good conscience leave those hanging who either use this article for DFS or are in a league that plays throughout the entirety of the regular season. If it’s the latter, you should probably consider not participating in such a league moving forward. I say that because Lamar Jackson, who brought many fantasy owners to victory with…...

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Zero RB Watch List: Week 17 – Deep Dynasty Stashes Emerge Amid a Flurry of Injuries

Shawn Siegele examines running back depth charts in flux and recommends stashing four deep dynasty sleepers before the offseason.  The heavyweights battled it out during championship weekend as 2019’s first three picks combined for 107 fantasy points. Saquon Barkley and Alvin Kamara were disappointments this season, but they came through in a huge way for any owners who found themselves in the title game. Following…...

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How to Use Expected Points in the Offseason: 4 More Correlation Matrices

Last week I looked at a variety of Expected-Points-based metrics to determine which were the most stable from one week to the next and which were the most predictive of fantasy scoring in future weeks. However, fantasy football is not only a weekly game — in most formats your lineup won’t vary much from one week to the next. Also, for most of our fantasy…...

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Michael Thomas Sets Records As Surprise WRs Make Their Case to Dynasty Owners

Shawn Siegele looks at all the top wide receiver performances from Week 16, including big games from Sterling Shepard, Diontae Johnson, and Steven Sims Jr. Championship weekend featured a title-winning fourth-down score from Tyler Boyd and monster performances from two legends. Michael Thomas and Julio Jones combined for 22 catches and 58 points. Beyond the three studs, the finals were littered with big performances from…...

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NFL Week 16: Coulda, Woulda, Shoulda

Monty Phan wraps up the weekend of NFL action. For nearly four months every year, my wife puts up with a husband who is totally useless on Sundays, a slave to the Red Zone Channel and NBC Sunday Night Football. Just when the season crescendos to a climax – the fantasy playoffs – is when her patience nearly runs out. What’s she rewarded with? A…...

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The 3 and Out: League Wide Expected Points

The 3 and Out uses several RotoViz Apps to uncover significant workload changes; league, team, and player-specific trends; and hidden but powerful statistics. Earlier in the week, Blair Andrews explained why we care about expected points. Today, we’ll take a quick look at 2019 expected points through a league-wide lens while continuing to determine how “normal” 2019 was. Once the offseason hits in earnest, we’ll…...

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Zero RB Watch List: NFC Week 16 – Miles Sanders Is a “Buy High” Candidate

Blair Andrews examines the running back workloads for the most contentious NFC backfields ahead of Week 16. Every fantasy team can use a breakout RB, whether their owners drafted them as Zero-RB squads or not. The Zero RB Watch List helps to find these breakout stars before they hit. But it also helps you understand which of the high-profile backs you should be buying and…...

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QB Streaming for the Championship Game

Giana Pacinelli provides QB streaming options, 2-QB plays, and overall QB rankings for Week 16 of the 2019 fantasy football season. Before reading this article, just know that around here, we don’t recognize week 17 fantasy football championships. You can debate the merits of those leagues elsewhere, but for my article, the season ends this week. So with that, our fantasy season has almost come…...

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Best Ball Win Rates – 2019 QB Results Demonstrate the Value of the Roster Construction Explorer

Shawn Siegele breaks down the quarterback position in best ball and looks at the results from Patrick Mahomes, Lamar Jackson, and Josh Allen in three different ADP windows. Lesson 3 of the Best Ball Workshop focused on the QB position. The takeaway: QB is more important than you think and easy to exploit. Was that the case again in 2019? To answer that question, let’s…...

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Week 16 Fantasy Football Kicker Streaming

The Process Before I look to Week 16 it is important to observe if the selection process was effective. Here is a recap of last week’s recommendations. If you need a refresher on what to look for when analyzing kickers, read the Week 2 Fantasy Football Kicker Streaming article.  Name, Team Stat Line Week 15 Rank 1 Robbie Gould, San Francisco 49ers FG 3/3 XP…...

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Week 16 Buy Low Report – Lights, Kamara, Action for Championship Weekend

The Strength of Schedule Streaming app allows you to see which players have the easiest or most difficult upcoming schedules, a potentially league-winning edge that gives you the opportunity to buy players right before they explode in plus matchups. Welcome back to the Buy Low Report. As usual, we will combine insight from the SoS Streaming App and the RotoViz Screener to identify players who…...

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