6 Years In And Freak Score Is Still Finding You Touchdowns
Image Credit: David Rosenblum/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Chase Claypool.

Freak Score is our home grown size adjusted speed metric that uses height, weight, and speed to project the TD-scoring potential for NFL prospects. Unlike many other measures for an NFL prospect’s size/athleticism profile, the Freak Score incorporates player height. Since its inception 6 years ago the NFL has seen a great many changing trends, but the Freak Score has remained a top predictor.

The Freak Score tool was established to help us identify players such as D.K. Metcalf or Chase Claypool who looked primed to enter the NFL as touchdown magnets. The metric is scaled to make it more user friendly with a range of 1-100. Currently, Calvin Johnson sets our scale at 100, and he’s unlikely to be dethroned.

I decided to revisit the metric to see how well it has held up over the years, with a few key questions in mind:

  • How accurate has the metric really been?
  • Over the years the NFL has seen shifting team trends. Do we need to update the formulation for Freak Score?
  • Can we apply Freak Score to other positions?

Finding the Next Metcalf and Claypool

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Matt Spencer

Machine Learning Approach to Football Analytics with JavaScript

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