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In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Actual Advance Rates Have Arrived: Best Ball Mania IV Advance Rate Review – Week 5

One of my econometrics professors in university used to repeat the same phrase in nearly every lecture: “All models are wrong but some are useful.” It’s a popular aphorism for a reason. I’ve published my Best Ball Mania IV (BBM4) advance rate model each week this season, but as of recently that model has reached the end of its usefulness. Last week Underdog released the…...

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Ja’Marr Chase Breaks The Slate: Week 5 DraftKings Review

Each week in this space I review my DraftKings lineup that I enter in a small-field contest to see what we can learn from the process that went into building that lineup. You can be right about key decision points on the slate and still lose because you did not have the correct roster construction that week or you faded one critical play. That makes…...

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5 Things that Matter from Week 5, and 5 Things that (Probably) Don’t

Knowing when to react and when not to is crucial in fantasy football. It’s important to distinguish what is truly significant and what is not. This article aims to clarify what requires our full attention and what can be disregarded. FIVE THINGS THAT MATTER FROM WEEK 5 A GOLD HELMET OR A ROUNDED CROWN? In 2022, the Dallas Mavericks and Phoenix Suns played in the…...

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Stay Running with Logan (Thomas): Week 6 Tight End Streamers

Week 6 of the 2023 NFL season is already upon us. Things are just starting to get weird, and they’ll only get weirder folks. So buckle up. One of the weirdest things to happen lately was just how many tight ends were fantasy relevant in Week 5. Fourteen TEs scored 10 or more PPR points, while a whopping six managed 19 or more. We truly…...

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The Falcons Defense Will Help Sam Howell Break the Sacks Taken Record: Week 6 D/ST Streaming

The best D/ST matchups of Week 6 belong to the elite defenses, with games like the Bills-Giants, 49ers-Browns, Saints-Texans, and Dolphins-Panthers. That makes things tricky for D/ST streamers this week, and may mean taking a swing on some big upside plays. The three players with the most turnovers in the NFL since 2022 may surprise some people: Josh Allen, Kirk Cousins, and Trevor Lawrence. It’s not just the Zach…...

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Win the Waiver Wire: 12 Priority Pickups and 7 Stashes for Week 6

Bjorn Yang-Vaernet examines which players on the waiver wire are worth prioritizing for Week 6 and highlights others to preemptively stash. I must have jinxed the lack of injuries in last week’s waiver wire article because several impact players suffered injuries in Week 5 including: Anthony Richardson (shoulder) De’Von Achane (knee) Khalil Herbert (ankle) Justin Jefferson (hamstring) Tank Dell (head) As always, many of these…...

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Private Atonement for an Unremembered Past: Week 5 Ushers In a New Golden Age of Fantasy Football

Inside where nothing shows, I am the essence of a man spinning double-headed coins, and betting against himself in private atonement for an unremembered past. – Tom Stoppard, Rosencrantz and Guildenstern Are Dead When you embrace players with a wide range of outcomes – betting on talent, betting on the emergence of elite youth – the first month is occasionally epic but frequently scary. You…...

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One More Chance for Cincinnati, Plus Cooper Kupp Returns: The Wrong Read, Week 5 – Part 2

The Wrong Read has had many lives — first as a reflection on insights from the RotoViz podcasts; then as a freeform space for exploring a variety of metrics and strategies. It will likely continue in that latter function, but at least for now — in season — it’s an in-depth matchup lookahead article. Each week I’ll gather advanced stats from our tools to paint…...

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The Curious Case of the Jets and Cooper Kupp Returns: FanDuel Week 5 DFS Picks

Justin Herrera uses the RotoViz tools to bring you the top plays and some under-the-radar options for the FanDuel main slate.  This weekly article is a deep dive into some guys with exploitable matchups, something to prove, or who are just great deals on FanDuel. The goal is always to help you win money on a week-to-week basis. Barring that, at least you can have…...

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Going Deep: Week 5 Passing Matchups Preview, Part 3

Welcome to Going Deep! This weekly article will make use of charting data, advanced metrics, and other RotoViz tools — specifically the newly released Passing Game Matchup Rater — to help readers better understand the challenges facing wide receivers and tight ends in the coming week. As my process makes heavy use of the Matchup Rater, I’d highly recommend that you set aside half an hour to…...

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Weather or Not: A Week 5 NFL Weather Report (with Sunday Updates)

RotoViz subscribers know that winning often hinges on meticulous analysis of various factors: player statistics, team dynamics, and even the whims of Mother Nature herself. Weather conditions, often overlooked, can play a pivotal role in any game’s outcome. A few of the most well-known and craziest examples include the Fog Bowl, the Tuck Rule Game, and the Ice Bowl. The NFL is unique in its willingness to embrace…...

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Is Breece Hall Set To Explode? Week 5 DraftKings Slate Breakdown

The bye weeks have arrived, which means fewer games and plays to sift through, and the slate will be a little tighter. Once again, we will be forced to choose between Tyreek Hill ($9000) and Justin Jefferson ($9400). We only have two $8K quarterbacks to decide between: Patrick Mahomes ($8200) and Jalen Hurts ($8000). There is no Christian McCaffrey on this slate, so the highest-priced…...

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Going Deep: Week 5 Passing Matchups Preview, Part 2

Welcome to Going Deep! This weekly article will make use of charting data, advanced metrics, and other RotoViz tools — specifically the newly released Passing Game Matchup Rater — to help readers better understand the challenges facing wide receivers and tight ends in the coming week. As my process makes heavy use of the Matchup Rater, I’d highly recommend that you set aside half an hour to…...

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DFS Insights for the Week 5 Slate with K-Means Cluster Analysis

Welcome back to the series! In the previous installment, we dissected the strategies for Week 4 of the 2023 NFL season using k-means clustering. If you missed it, you could catch up here. This week we made major upgrades to the analysis. Methodology (In-Brief) Aggregated projections from six sources for the first five weeks Collected the actual results of the first four weeks. Collected information…...

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Rhamondre Stevenson Could Finally Break Through, and Jameson Williams’ Debut Is Timed Perfectly: The Wrong Read, Week 5 – Part 1

The Wrong Read has had many lives — first as a reflection on insights from the RotoViz podcasts; then as a freeform space for exploring a variety of metrics and strategies. It will likely continue in that latter function, but at least for now — in season — it’s an in-depth matchup lookahead article. Each week I’ll gather advanced stats from our tools to paint…...

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Zero RB Dynasty Watch: Buying High and Surviving the Byes

David Phillippi looks at the Zero RB Countdown through a dynasty lens and provides a glimpse into how you can use this redraft resource to evaluate your dynasty squads. With four weeks in the books and bye weeks now complicating our lineup and end-of-roster decisions, it’s a great time to just count back down through the candidates and see where things stand with these players/backfields…...

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Going Deep: Week 5 Passing Matchups Preview, Part 1

Welcome to Going Deep! This weekly article will make use of charting data, advanced metrics, and other RotoViz tools — specifically the newly released Passing Game Matchup Rater — to help readers better understand the challenges facing wide receivers and tight ends in the coming week. As my process makes heavy use of the Matchup Rater, I’d highly recommend that you set aside half an hour to…...

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The Bears Face a Real Football Team and Stefon Diggs Continues His WR1 Quest: The Wrong Read, Week 5 – Early Week Preview

The Wrong Read has had many lives — first as a reflection on insights from the RotoViz podcasts; then as a freeform space for exploring a variety of metrics and strategies. It will likely continue in that latter function, but at least for now — in season — it’s an in-depth matchup lookahead article. Each week I’ll gather advanced stats from our tools to paint…...

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Zay Flowers’ Ascension and CeeDee Lamb’s Easy Path Back To Fantasy Stardom: Wide Receiver Advanced Stats And Buy Lows Ahead Of Week 5

In this weekly article, Ryan Ramsarran uses the Advanced Stat Explorer and other RotoViz tools to dive deep into wide receiver usage trends. Usage is key for making waiver wire adds, start/sit decisions, and finding the next blowup WR in DFS. We’ll use the advanced WR metrics to highlight a few buy-low options at the position each week. Week 4 is in the books, and…...

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Using the RotoViz Pace Tool to Forecast Which Week 5 Matchups to Target or Avoid

The pace of play at the team level is instructive in fantasy football. The faster a team is, the more plays they will tend to run. The more plays a team tends to run, the more players on those teams tend to score. Using the RotoViz Pace Tool, we can see the tendencies of every team in these areas so far in 2023. I toggled to…...

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