Blair Andrews

Managing Editor, Author of The Wrong Read, Occasional Fantasy Football League Winner. All opinions are someone else's.

Author Archive

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

The Wrong Read – Episode 9: Recency Bias – An Owner’s Manual

Welcome to the ninth installment of the “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent podcast episodes and expounds on the theories suggested there in greater detail. If you’ve been following along so far, you already know how to read the introductory piece. But did you know you can also read this somewhat evergreen piece on DFS strategy?…...

avoid zero RB

Zero RB Watchlist Week 8: NFC Rankings and Tiers

Welcome to the Ultimate Zero RB Watchlist. The goal of this piece is to help you find RB targets for your Zero-RB teams before anyone else even knows about them. We know that startable RB weeks can come from almost anywhere in the NFL. By being aware of depth charts that could yield surprising weekly starters, we put ourselves in position to grab the next breakout RB before he breaks out…....

The Wrong Read – Episode 8: Is DeShaun Watson Better Than Aaron Rodgers?

Welcome to the eighth installment of the “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent podcast episodes and follows the rabbit holes they create all the way to the underground rabbit city. There is an introductory piece to this series, but at this point it has almost nothing to do with what I’m writing now. Instead, following his big game (finally), why don’t you take a look at what I wrote about Amari Cooper a couple weeks ago?…...

Ultimate Zero RB Watchlist: Rest-of-Season NFC Rankings

Welcome to the Ultimate Zero RB Watchlist. The goal of this piece is to help you find RB targets for your Zero-RB teams before anyone else even knows about them. We know that startable RB weeks can come from almost anywhere in the NFL. By being aware of depth charts that could yield surprising weekly starters, we put ourselves in position to grab the next breakout RB before he breaks out…....

New York Giants rookie Evan Engram

The Wrong Read – Episode 7: Is Evan Engram the Next A.J. Green?

Welcome to the seventh installment of the “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent podcast episodes and discusses some of the ideas heard there in greater detail. I used to link to the introductory piece, but it’s really not going to be that helpful for understanding what’s going on here. Instead, especially considering how poorly the Steelers played at home last week, why don’t you check out the second article in the series?…...

Ultimate Zero RB Watchlist: NFC Week 6

Welcome to the Ultimate Zero RB Watchlist. The goal of this piece is to help you find RB targets for your Zero-RB teams before anyone else even knows about them. We know that startable RB weeks can come from almost anywhere in the NFL. By being aware of depth charts that could yield surprising weekly starters, we put ourselves in position to grab the next breakout RB before he breaks out…....

Young WRs

The Wrong Read – Episode 6: Is It Time to Worry About Amari Cooper?

Welcome to the sixth installment of “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent podcast episodes, pushing the ideas explored therein to their logical ends, or something near enough. Does this series have any continuity from one piece to the next? No. But you can still read the others too, starting with the first article…....

Ultimate Zero RB Watchlist: NFC Week 5

Welcome to the Ultimate Zero RB Watchlist. The goal of this piece is to help you find RB targets for your Zero-RB teams before anyone else even knows about them. We know that startable RB weeks can come from almost anywhere in the NFL. By being aware of depth charts that could yield surprising weekly starters, we put ourselves in position to grab the next breakout RB before he breaks out…....

The Wrong Read – Episode 5: How to Lose Money Slower

Welcome to the fifth installment of “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent RotoViz podcast episodes and pushes the ideas explored there to even greater heights. I’m not going to recommend you read the introduction to the first piece anymore, because I don’t really think it’s all that relevant. Just read the article you clicked on. You’ll want to stay here anyway because this is probably the most actionable piece in the series so far…....

Ultimate Zero RB Watchlist: NFC Week 4

Welcome to the Ultimate Zero RB Watchlist. The goal of this piece is to help you find RB targets for your Zero-RB teams before anyone else even knows about them. We know that startable RB weeks can come from almost anywhere in the NFL. By being aware of depth charts that could yield surprising weekly starters, we put ourselves in position to grab the next breakout RB before he breaks out…....

andydalton

The Wrong Read – Episode 4: A Brief History of Midseason Offensive Coordinator Changes

Welcome to the fourth installment of “The Wrong Read”—an article series that reflects on recent podcast episodes and extends the ideas to lengths that few think possible — although this time there’s an actionable nugget at the end! You can also read the introduction to the first installment, which will give you an idea of what to expect. But why ruin the surprise?…...

Ultimate Zero RB Watchlist: NFC Week 3

Welcome to the Ultimate Zero RB Watchlist. The goal of this piece is to help you find RB targets for your Zero-RB teams before anyone else even knows about them. We know that startable RB weeks can come from almost anywhere in the NFL. By being aware of depth charts that could yield surprising weekly starters, we put ourselves in position to grab the next breakout RB before he breaks out…....

The Wrong Read – Episode 3: Overreactions and Bradford’s Path to 50

Welcome to the third installment of “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on various RotoViz podcast episodes. You can get a sense of what this series is all about by reading the introduction to the introductory piece. Or just keep reading below…....

Ultimate Zero RB Watchlist: NFC Week 2

Welcome to the Ultimate Zero RB Watchlist. The goal of this piece is to help you find RB targets for your Zero-RB teams before anyone else even knows about them. We know that startable RB weeks can come from almost anywhere in the NFL. By being aware of depth charts that could yield surprising weekly starters, we put ourselves in position to grab the next breakout RB before he breaks out. …...

The Wrong Read – Episode 2: Overthinking Heinz Field

This is the second installment of “The Wrong Read” (previously “Write to Daylight”), an article series that reflects on the latest RotoViz podcast episodes. For a brief introduction to the series, and a funny 30 Rock clip, check out episode 0. And don’t get hung up on how the articles aren’t numbered in order—I know we skipped episode 1. Numbers aren’t real…....

Efficiency-Agnostic Projections for 2017

Last offseason I put together a set of what I called efficiency-agnostic projections. These simple projections were made purely using a multiple linear regression, and assumed league-average efficiency across the board. They are efficiency-agnostic because, rather than attempting to project efficiency, I’m projecting expected points. Expected points are simply the average number of fantasy points an attempt, carry, or target has historically produced based on down, distance, and field position…....

Blair Andrews’ Perfect DRAFT Draft: An Experiment in Extreme Zero RB

You know the feeling you have after the perfect fantasy draft? The one where your draft slot allowed you to grab a personal favorite in Round 1 and then back it up with your favorite strategic approach? It’s the reason fantasy football is so much fun and the reason drafting is often the best part. This is my perfect draft…....

The Guy Behind the Guy: RotoViz’s Favorite Backup

Finding a fantasy-relevant backup can often be the difference between making or missing the playoffs in your fantasy leagues. Twenty-six RotoViz writers were recently asked to name the backup or second-stringer that most people should have on their radar. They offered their picks, explanations, and actionable advice. Find it all compiled below…....

The Wrong Read – Episode 9: Recency Bias – An Owner’s Manual

Welcome to the ninth installment of the “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent podcast episodes and expounds on the theories suggested there in greater detail. If you’ve been following along so far, you already know how to read the introductory piece. But did you know you can also read this somewhat evergreen piece on DFS strategy?…...

avoid zero RB

Zero RB Watchlist Week 8: NFC Rankings and Tiers

Welcome to the Ultimate Zero RB Watchlist. The goal of this piece is to help you find RB targets for your Zero-RB teams before anyone else even knows about them. We know that startable RB weeks can come from almost anywhere in the NFL. By being aware of depth charts that could yield surprising weekly starters, we put ourselves in position to grab the next breakout RB before he breaks out…....

The Wrong Read – Episode 8: Is DeShaun Watson Better Than Aaron Rodgers?

Welcome to the eighth installment of the “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent podcast episodes and follows the rabbit holes they create all the way to the underground rabbit city. There is an introductory piece to this series, but at this point it has almost nothing to do with what I’m writing now. Instead, following his big game (finally), why don’t you take a look at what I wrote about Amari Cooper a couple weeks ago?…...

Ultimate Zero RB Watchlist: Rest-of-Season NFC Rankings

Welcome to the Ultimate Zero RB Watchlist. The goal of this piece is to help you find RB targets for your Zero-RB teams before anyone else even knows about them. We know that startable RB weeks can come from almost anywhere in the NFL. By being aware of depth charts that could yield surprising weekly starters, we put ourselves in position to grab the next breakout RB before he breaks out…....

New York Giants rookie Evan Engram

The Wrong Read – Episode 7: Is Evan Engram the Next A.J. Green?

Welcome to the seventh installment of the “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent podcast episodes and discusses some of the ideas heard there in greater detail. I used to link to the introductory piece, but it’s really not going to be that helpful for understanding what’s going on here. Instead, especially considering how poorly the Steelers played at home last week, why don’t you check out the second article in the series?…...

Ultimate Zero RB Watchlist: NFC Week 6

Welcome to the Ultimate Zero RB Watchlist. The goal of this piece is to help you find RB targets for your Zero-RB teams before anyone else even knows about them. We know that startable RB weeks can come from almost anywhere in the NFL. By being aware of depth charts that could yield surprising weekly starters, we put ourselves in position to grab the next breakout RB before he breaks out…....

Young WRs

The Wrong Read – Episode 6: Is It Time to Worry About Amari Cooper?

Welcome to the sixth installment of “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent podcast episodes, pushing the ideas explored therein to their logical ends, or something near enough. Does this series have any continuity from one piece to the next? No. But you can still read the others too, starting with the first article…....

Ultimate Zero RB Watchlist: NFC Week 5

Welcome to the Ultimate Zero RB Watchlist. The goal of this piece is to help you find RB targets for your Zero-RB teams before anyone else even knows about them. We know that startable RB weeks can come from almost anywhere in the NFL. By being aware of depth charts that could yield surprising weekly starters, we put ourselves in position to grab the next breakout RB before he breaks out…....

The Wrong Read – Episode 5: How to Lose Money Slower

Welcome to the fifth installment of “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent RotoViz podcast episodes and pushes the ideas explored there to even greater heights. I’m not going to recommend you read the introduction to the first piece anymore, because I don’t really think it’s all that relevant. Just read the article you clicked on. You’ll want to stay here anyway because this is probably the most actionable piece in the series so far…....

Ultimate Zero RB Watchlist: NFC Week 4

Welcome to the Ultimate Zero RB Watchlist. The goal of this piece is to help you find RB targets for your Zero-RB teams before anyone else even knows about them. We know that startable RB weeks can come from almost anywhere in the NFL. By being aware of depth charts that could yield surprising weekly starters, we put ourselves in position to grab the next breakout RB before he breaks out…....

andydalton

The Wrong Read – Episode 4: A Brief History of Midseason Offensive Coordinator Changes

Welcome to the fourth installment of “The Wrong Read”—an article series that reflects on recent podcast episodes and extends the ideas to lengths that few think possible — although this time there’s an actionable nugget at the end! You can also read the introduction to the first installment, which will give you an idea of what to expect. But why ruin the surprise?…...

Ultimate Zero RB Watchlist: NFC Week 3

Welcome to the Ultimate Zero RB Watchlist. The goal of this piece is to help you find RB targets for your Zero-RB teams before anyone else even knows about them. We know that startable RB weeks can come from almost anywhere in the NFL. By being aware of depth charts that could yield surprising weekly starters, we put ourselves in position to grab the next breakout RB before he breaks out…....

The Wrong Read – Episode 3: Overreactions and Bradford’s Path to 50

Welcome to the third installment of “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on various RotoViz podcast episodes. You can get a sense of what this series is all about by reading the introduction to the introductory piece. Or just keep reading below…....

Ultimate Zero RB Watchlist: NFC Week 2

Welcome to the Ultimate Zero RB Watchlist. The goal of this piece is to help you find RB targets for your Zero-RB teams before anyone else even knows about them. We know that startable RB weeks can come from almost anywhere in the NFL. By being aware of depth charts that could yield surprising weekly starters, we put ourselves in position to grab the next breakout RB before he breaks out. …...

The Wrong Read – Episode 2: Overthinking Heinz Field

This is the second installment of “The Wrong Read” (previously “Write to Daylight”), an article series that reflects on the latest RotoViz podcast episodes. For a brief introduction to the series, and a funny 30 Rock clip, check out episode 0. And don’t get hung up on how the articles aren’t numbered in order—I know we skipped episode 1. Numbers aren’t real…....

Efficiency-Agnostic Projections for 2017

Last offseason I put together a set of what I called efficiency-agnostic projections. These simple projections were made purely using a multiple linear regression, and assumed league-average efficiency across the board. They are efficiency-agnostic because, rather than attempting to project efficiency, I’m projecting expected points. Expected points are simply the average number of fantasy points an attempt, carry, or target has historically produced based on down, distance, and field position…....

Blair Andrews’ Perfect DRAFT Draft: An Experiment in Extreme Zero RB

You know the feeling you have after the perfect fantasy draft? The one where your draft slot allowed you to grab a personal favorite in Round 1 and then back it up with your favorite strategic approach? It’s the reason fantasy football is so much fun and the reason drafting is often the best part. This is my perfect draft…....

The Guy Behind the Guy: RotoViz’s Favorite Backup

Finding a fantasy-relevant backup can often be the difference between making or missing the playoffs in your fantasy leagues. Twenty-six RotoViz writers were recently asked to name the backup or second-stringer that most people should have on their radar. They offered their picks, explanations, and actionable advice. Find it all compiled below…....

The Wrong Read – Episode 9: Recency Bias – An Owner’s Manual

Welcome to the ninth installment of the “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent podcast episodes and expounds on the theories suggested there in greater detail. If you’ve been following along so far, you already know how to read the introductory piece. But did you know you…...

avoid zero RB

Zero RB Watchlist Week 8: NFC Rankings and Tiers

Welcome to the Ultimate Zero RB Watchlist. The goal of this piece is to help you find RB targets for your Zero-RB teams before anyone else even knows about them. We know that startable RB weeks can come from almost anywhere in the NFL. By being aware of depth charts…...

The Wrong Read – Episode 8: Is DeShaun Watson Better Than Aaron Rodgers?

Welcome to the eighth installment of the “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent podcast episodes and follows the rabbit holes they create all the way to the underground rabbit city. There is an introductory piece to this series, but at this point it has almost nothing…...

Ultimate Zero RB Watchlist: Rest-of-Season NFC Rankings

Welcome to the Ultimate Zero RB Watchlist. The goal of this piece is to help you find RB targets for your Zero-RB teams before anyone else even knows about them. We know that startable RB weeks can come from almost anywhere in the NFL. By being aware of depth charts…...

New York Giants rookie Evan Engram

The Wrong Read – Episode 7: Is Evan Engram the Next A.J. Green?

Welcome to the seventh installment of the “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent podcast episodes and discusses some of the ideas heard there in greater detail. I used to link to the introductory piece, but it’s really not going to be that helpful for understanding what’s…...

Ultimate Zero RB Watchlist: NFC Week 6

Welcome to the Ultimate Zero RB Watchlist. The goal of this piece is to help you find RB targets for your Zero-RB teams before anyone else even knows about them. We know that startable RB weeks can come from almost anywhere in the NFL. By being aware of depth charts…...

Young WRs

The Wrong Read – Episode 6: Is It Time to Worry About Amari Cooper?

Welcome to the sixth installment of “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent podcast episodes, pushing the ideas explored therein to their logical ends, or something near enough. Does this series have any continuity from one piece to the next? No. But you can still read the others too,…...

Ultimate Zero RB Watchlist: NFC Week 5

Welcome to the Ultimate Zero RB Watchlist. The goal of this piece is to help you find RB targets for your Zero-RB teams before anyone else even knows about them. We know that startable RB weeks can come from almost anywhere in the NFL. By being aware of depth charts…...

The Wrong Read – Episode 5: How to Lose Money Slower

Welcome to the fifth installment of “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent RotoViz podcast episodes and pushes the ideas explored there to even greater heights. I’m not going to recommend you read the introduction to the first piece anymore, because I don’t really think it’s all…...

Ultimate Zero RB Watchlist: NFC Week 4

Welcome to the Ultimate Zero RB Watchlist. The goal of this piece is to help you find RB targets for your Zero-RB teams before anyone else even knows about them. We know that startable RB weeks can come from almost anywhere in the NFL. By being aware of depth charts…...

Ultimate Zero RB Watchlist: NFC Week 3

Welcome to the Ultimate Zero RB Watchlist. The goal of this piece is to help you find RB targets for your Zero-RB teams before anyone else even knows about them. We know that startable RB weeks can come from almost anywhere in the NFL. By being aware of depth charts…...

The Wrong Read – Episode 3: Overreactions and Bradford’s Path to 50

Welcome to the third installment of “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on various RotoViz podcast episodes. You can get a sense of what this series is all about by reading the introduction to the introductory piece. Or just keep reading below…....

Ultimate Zero RB Watchlist: NFC Week 2

Welcome to the Ultimate Zero RB Watchlist. The goal of this piece is to help you find RB targets for your Zero-RB teams before anyone else even knows about them. We know that startable RB weeks can come from almost anywhere in the NFL. By being aware of depth charts that…...

The Wrong Read – Episode 2: Overthinking Heinz Field

This is the second installment of “The Wrong Read” (previously “Write to Daylight”), an article series that reflects on the latest RotoViz podcast episodes. For a brief introduction to the series, and a funny 30 Rock clip, check out episode 0. And don’t get hung up on how the articles aren’t numbered in…...

Efficiency-Agnostic Projections for 2017

Last offseason I put together a set of what I called efficiency-agnostic projections. These simple projections were made purely using a multiple linear regression, and assumed league-average efficiency across the board. They are efficiency-agnostic because, rather than attempting to project efficiency, I’m projecting expected points. Expected points are simply the…...

Blair Andrews’ Perfect DRAFT Draft: An Experiment in Extreme Zero RB

You know the feeling you have after the perfect fantasy draft? The one where your draft slot allowed you to grab a personal favorite in Round 1 and then back it up with your favorite strategic approach? It’s the reason fantasy football is so much fun and the reason drafting…...

The Guy Behind the Guy: RotoViz’s Favorite Backup

Finding a fantasy-relevant backup can often be the difference between making or missing the playoffs in your fantasy leagues. Twenty-six RotoViz writers were recently asked to name the backup or second-stringer that most people should have on their radar. They offered their picks, explanations, and actionable advice. Find it all…...

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