Blair Andrews

Managing Editor, Author of The Wrong Read, Occasional Fantasy Football League Winner. All opinions are someone else's.

Author Archive

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Checking All the Boxes: The 2022 WR Class Offers Several Future Stars Hoping to Follow in Justin Jefferson’s Footsteps

Last offseason we tried to recreate our success with Justin Jefferson by using a random forest model and a rule extraction algorithm to find the most valuable WR prospect heuristics. That is, we want to know what boxes need to be checked. While last year’s class didn’t include anyone who checked the most important boxes according to the algorithm, it gave us a handful of…...

Underdog Tournament Best Ball Workshop: Does Zero RB Work in Tournament Play?

Blair Andrews uses two new Underdog Best Ball tools to examine optimal tournament constructions. Can Zero RB work in tournaments? As a site, we’ve been able to leverage our tools and analysis to some impressive best ball wins. In just the last year, Conor O’Driscoll beat 4,607 other entrants to win the inaugural FFPC Best Ball Tournament, narrowly defeating the second-place team drafted by Colm…...

The Backfield Dominator Rating Finds the Most Undervalued Running Back in the 2022 Class

Receiving skill is crucial for running back prospects, especially in fantasy. In most dynasty leagues, players earn a point for every reception, so backs who can add several points through the air have a huge advantage. This is why receiving yardage market share is one of our favorite RB metrics. We’ve previously found that a 10% threshold usually signals a strong chance of success at…...

Matt Ryan Looks to Re-Establish Competence and Professionalism in Indianapolis

The Indianapolis Colts traded Carson Wentz to the Washington Commanders and just acquired Matt Ryan from the Falcons. Although there’s a conditional pick involved, the cumulative impact appears to be moving up in both the second and third rounds of the 2022 draft and gaining an additional 2023 second-rounder. Of course, the biggest win is simply not having Wentz as your QB. Can the move…...

D.J. Chark Escapes Jacksonville, But Are Things Any Better in Detroit?

D.J. Chark has reportedly agreed to a one-year, $10 million contract with the Detroit Lions. At least he’s not staying in Jacksonville. After a mixed collegiate resume turned into an unproductive rookie year, Chark blew up in 2019, posting 226 points in 15 games. His 4.34 forty and 40-inch vertical were both on full display with a line that included 1,008 receiving yards and eight…...

Christian Kirk Is Better Than You Think, But Is Jacksonville the Right Place for a Breakout?

The Jacksonville Jaguars are reportedly signing Christian Kirk to a four-year deal worth up to $84 million. That sounds like a lot for a player who has yet to have a 1,000-yard season, but there are a lot of reasons for fantasy gamers to be excited about this signing. Kirk broke out in his fourth season, scoring 209.5 PPR points in 2021. Fourth-year breakouts tend…...

Courtland Sutton Is a Premier Deep Threat and Javonte Williams Is Still Too Cheap: Reactions to the Russell Wilson Trade

Blair Andrews and Shawn Siegele offer a first reaction to the Russell Wilson trade. What does it mean for Denver and Seattle skill players and their fantasy outlooks? Blair examines the new running back and wide receiver situations while Shawn covers some surprising tight end upgrades. The Denver Broncos made the biggest splash so far in this young offseason by finally addressing their need at…...

Game Theory and Leverage Opportunities for the FFPC Playoff Challenge

Blair Andrews looks ahead to the FFPC Playoff Challenge and offers some thoughts on general lineup construction strategy and potential leverage opportunities. The FFPC Playoff Challenge is one of my favorite contests of the fantasy football season. Its unique scoring settings and roster requirements always make for an interesting puzzle, and the game theory aspects add to the intrigue. You can pick any players you…...

Zero RB Watch: NFC Week 18 – A.J. Dillon Makes an Impact in Title Games

Blair Andrews looks back at Week 17 and the fantasy playoffs to see what RB performances were true difference makers, and looks ahead to Week 18 with some notes for DFS players. Our goal with the Zero RB Watch List is to help you locate RB breakouts and waiver adds before they happen, but this column isn’t just for Zero RB owners. We’re just as…...

A.J. Brown Is Back and Jaylen Waddle Is Chasing Records: How to Use Expected Points and GLSP in DFS for Week 17

Blair Andrews presents expected points market shares and the Weekly GLSP team totals to help you find the best plays on DraftKings in Week 17. Using Expected Points in DFS One of the best indicators of future fantasy scoring is past expected points. Expected points are the best way translate opportunity into potential fantasy output. Opportunity is sticky from one week to the next. Efficiency…...

Zero RB Watch: AFC Week 17 – Devin Singletary Hits His Stride Just in Time to Win Fantasy Titles

Blair Andrews looks forward to Jonathan Taylor’s bounceback game, wonders whether Damien Harris actually needs any targets, and finds the silver lining in the Denver Broncos’ backfield split. Our goal with the Zero RB Watch List is to help you locate RB breakouts and waiver adds before they happen, but this column isn’t just for Zero RB owners. We’re just as focused on the high-profile…...

D.K. Metcalf Is a Ticking Time Bomb: How to Use Expected Points and GLSP for Week 16 DFS

Blair Andrews presents expected points market shares and the Weekly GLSP team totals to help you find the best tournament plays on DraftKings for Week 16. Using Expected Points in DFS One of the best indicators of future fantasy scoring is past expected points. Expected points are the best way to translate opportunity into potential fantasy output. Opportunity is sticky from one week to the…...

Zero RB Watch: NFC Week 16 – Ronald Jones and Jeff Wilson Look Like Fantasy Semifinal Gems

Blair Andrews tries to console fantasy managers who must rely on Saquon Barkley for the fantasy semifinals and offers condolences to those who must rely on Ezekiel Elliott, if there are any of you left. Our goal with the Zero RB Watch List is to help you locate RB breakouts and waiver adds before they happen, but this column isn’t just for Zero RB owners…....

Zero RB Watch List: AFC Week 15 – Surprise Efficiency Stars and the Curious Case of Nick Chubb

Blair Andrews wonders why the Denver Broncos coaches didn’t get the memo about Javonte Williams’ breakout and asks whether Najee Harris truly has the profile of an elite running back. Our goal with the Zero RB Watch List is to help you locate RB breakouts and waiver adds before they happen, but this column isn’t just for Zero RB owners. We’re just as focused on…...

The Dynasty WR1 Battle Heats Up, Plus a Week 15 Expected Points Preview

Blair Andrews speculates on who might be the dynasty WR1 in 2022 after two young stars padded their resumes in Week 14. Notes on Week 14 WRs and a Look Ahead to 2022 ADP Justin Jefferson had taken a brief lead in the battle for overall dynasty WR1 after Ja’Marr Chase’s multi-week dip in efficiency. But Chase reminded us why he was worth the early…...

Zero RB Watch: NFC Week 14 – Quarterback Changes Propel Stars to New Heights and Seattle’s RB Experiments Continue

Blair Andrews wonders whether Kenneth Gainwell has earned more work, ponders the implications of Seattle’s RB moves, and falls (almost) silent in the face of Mike Davis’ explosion. Our goal with the Zero RB Watch List is to help you locate RB breakouts and waiver adds before they happen, but this column isn’t just for Zero RB owners. We’re just as focused on the high-profile…...

Jaylen Waddle Emerges (Again): Week 13 Expected Points and Team GLSP

Blair Andrews takes a closer look at Jaylen Waddle and Tee Higgins and provides a snapshot of expected points (EP) market share. Expected Points and Team GLSP Expected point share is among the most predictive metrics on a week-to-week basis, so knowing who the leaders are — and who the leaders were in the previous week — gives us a huge edge in predicting the…...

Zero RB Watch List: AFC Week 13 – Javonte Williams’ Breakout Is Better Late Than Never

Blair Andrews congratulates the Dolphins on putting together the most RotoViz backfield in the league, marvels at Jonathan Taylor’s string of RB1 finishes, and explains why Austin Walter’s name is worth remembering. Our goal with the Zero RB Watch List is to help you locate RB breakouts and waiver adds before they happen, but this column isn’t just for Zero RB owners. We’re just as…...

Zero RB Watch: NFC Week 12 – A.J. Dillon Continues to Emerge

Blair Andrews reminisces about the days when Kenneth Gainwell was the next rookie sensation, looks forward to A.J. Dillon’s reign as Derrick Henry with receiving skills, and questions the 49ers draft strategy. Our goal with the Zero RB Watch List is to help you locate RB breakouts and waiver adds before they happen, but this column isn’t just for Zero RB owners. We’re just as…...

Checking All the Boxes: The 2022 WR Class Offers Several Future Stars Hoping to Follow in Justin Jefferson’s Footsteps

Last offseason we tried to recreate our success with Justin Jefferson by using a random forest model and a rule extraction algorithm to find the most valuable WR prospect heuristics. That is, we want to know what boxes need to be checked. While last year’s class didn’t include anyone who checked the most important boxes according to the algorithm, it gave us a handful of…...

Underdog Tournament Best Ball Workshop: Does Zero RB Work in Tournament Play?

Blair Andrews uses two new Underdog Best Ball tools to examine optimal tournament constructions. Can Zero RB work in tournaments? As a site, we’ve been able to leverage our tools and analysis to some impressive best ball wins. In just the last year, Conor O’Driscoll beat 4,607 other entrants to win the inaugural FFPC Best Ball Tournament, narrowly defeating the second-place team drafted by Colm…...

The Backfield Dominator Rating Finds the Most Undervalued Running Back in the 2022 Class

Receiving skill is crucial for running back prospects, especially in fantasy. In most dynasty leagues, players earn a point for every reception, so backs who can add several points through the air have a huge advantage. This is why receiving yardage market share is one of our favorite RB metrics. We’ve previously found that a 10% threshold usually signals a strong chance of success at…...

Matt Ryan Looks to Re-Establish Competence and Professionalism in Indianapolis

The Indianapolis Colts traded Carson Wentz to the Washington Commanders and just acquired Matt Ryan from the Falcons. Although there’s a conditional pick involved, the cumulative impact appears to be moving up in both the second and third rounds of the 2022 draft and gaining an additional 2023 second-rounder. Of course, the biggest win is simply not having Wentz as your QB. Can the move…...

D.J. Chark Escapes Jacksonville, But Are Things Any Better in Detroit?

D.J. Chark has reportedly agreed to a one-year, $10 million contract with the Detroit Lions. At least he’s not staying in Jacksonville. After a mixed collegiate resume turned into an unproductive rookie year, Chark blew up in 2019, posting 226 points in 15 games. His 4.34 forty and 40-inch vertical were both on full display with a line that included 1,008 receiving yards and eight…...

Christian Kirk Is Better Than You Think, But Is Jacksonville the Right Place for a Breakout?

The Jacksonville Jaguars are reportedly signing Christian Kirk to a four-year deal worth up to $84 million. That sounds like a lot for a player who has yet to have a 1,000-yard season, but there are a lot of reasons for fantasy gamers to be excited about this signing. Kirk broke out in his fourth season, scoring 209.5 PPR points in 2021. Fourth-year breakouts tend…...

Courtland Sutton Is a Premier Deep Threat and Javonte Williams Is Still Too Cheap: Reactions to the Russell Wilson Trade

Blair Andrews and Shawn Siegele offer a first reaction to the Russell Wilson trade. What does it mean for Denver and Seattle skill players and their fantasy outlooks? Blair examines the new running back and wide receiver situations while Shawn covers some surprising tight end upgrades. The Denver Broncos made the biggest splash so far in this young offseason by finally addressing their need at…...

Game Theory and Leverage Opportunities for the FFPC Playoff Challenge

Blair Andrews looks ahead to the FFPC Playoff Challenge and offers some thoughts on general lineup construction strategy and potential leverage opportunities. The FFPC Playoff Challenge is one of my favorite contests of the fantasy football season. Its unique scoring settings and roster requirements always make for an interesting puzzle, and the game theory aspects add to the intrigue. You can pick any players you…...

Zero RB Watch: NFC Week 18 – A.J. Dillon Makes an Impact in Title Games

Blair Andrews looks back at Week 17 and the fantasy playoffs to see what RB performances were true difference makers, and looks ahead to Week 18 with some notes for DFS players. Our goal with the Zero RB Watch List is to help you locate RB breakouts and waiver adds before they happen, but this column isn’t just for Zero RB owners. We’re just as…...

A.J. Brown Is Back and Jaylen Waddle Is Chasing Records: How to Use Expected Points and GLSP in DFS for Week 17

Blair Andrews presents expected points market shares and the Weekly GLSP team totals to help you find the best plays on DraftKings in Week 17. Using Expected Points in DFS One of the best indicators of future fantasy scoring is past expected points. Expected points are the best way translate opportunity into potential fantasy output. Opportunity is sticky from one week to the next. Efficiency…...

Zero RB Watch: AFC Week 17 – Devin Singletary Hits His Stride Just in Time to Win Fantasy Titles

Blair Andrews looks forward to Jonathan Taylor’s bounceback game, wonders whether Damien Harris actually needs any targets, and finds the silver lining in the Denver Broncos’ backfield split. Our goal with the Zero RB Watch List is to help you locate RB breakouts and waiver adds before they happen, but this column isn’t just for Zero RB owners. We’re just as focused on the high-profile…...

D.K. Metcalf Is a Ticking Time Bomb: How to Use Expected Points and GLSP for Week 16 DFS

Blair Andrews presents expected points market shares and the Weekly GLSP team totals to help you find the best tournament plays on DraftKings for Week 16. Using Expected Points in DFS One of the best indicators of future fantasy scoring is past expected points. Expected points are the best way to translate opportunity into potential fantasy output. Opportunity is sticky from one week to the…...

Zero RB Watch: NFC Week 16 – Ronald Jones and Jeff Wilson Look Like Fantasy Semifinal Gems

Blair Andrews tries to console fantasy managers who must rely on Saquon Barkley for the fantasy semifinals and offers condolences to those who must rely on Ezekiel Elliott, if there are any of you left. Our goal with the Zero RB Watch List is to help you locate RB breakouts and waiver adds before they happen, but this column isn’t just for Zero RB owners…....

Zero RB Watch List: AFC Week 15 – Surprise Efficiency Stars and the Curious Case of Nick Chubb

Blair Andrews wonders why the Denver Broncos coaches didn’t get the memo about Javonte Williams’ breakout and asks whether Najee Harris truly has the profile of an elite running back. Our goal with the Zero RB Watch List is to help you locate RB breakouts and waiver adds before they happen, but this column isn’t just for Zero RB owners. We’re just as focused on…...

The Dynasty WR1 Battle Heats Up, Plus a Week 15 Expected Points Preview

Blair Andrews speculates on who might be the dynasty WR1 in 2022 after two young stars padded their resumes in Week 14. Notes on Week 14 WRs and a Look Ahead to 2022 ADP Justin Jefferson had taken a brief lead in the battle for overall dynasty WR1 after Ja’Marr Chase’s multi-week dip in efficiency. But Chase reminded us why he was worth the early…...

Zero RB Watch: NFC Week 14 – Quarterback Changes Propel Stars to New Heights and Seattle’s RB Experiments Continue

Blair Andrews wonders whether Kenneth Gainwell has earned more work, ponders the implications of Seattle’s RB moves, and falls (almost) silent in the face of Mike Davis’ explosion. Our goal with the Zero RB Watch List is to help you locate RB breakouts and waiver adds before they happen, but this column isn’t just for Zero RB owners. We’re just as focused on the high-profile…...

Jaylen Waddle Emerges (Again): Week 13 Expected Points and Team GLSP

Blair Andrews takes a closer look at Jaylen Waddle and Tee Higgins and provides a snapshot of expected points (EP) market share. Expected Points and Team GLSP Expected point share is among the most predictive metrics on a week-to-week basis, so knowing who the leaders are — and who the leaders were in the previous week — gives us a huge edge in predicting the…...

Zero RB Watch List: AFC Week 13 – Javonte Williams’ Breakout Is Better Late Than Never

Blair Andrews congratulates the Dolphins on putting together the most RotoViz backfield in the league, marvels at Jonathan Taylor’s string of RB1 finishes, and explains why Austin Walter’s name is worth remembering. Our goal with the Zero RB Watch List is to help you locate RB breakouts and waiver adds before they happen, but this column isn’t just for Zero RB owners. We’re just as…...

Zero RB Watch: NFC Week 12 – A.J. Dillon Continues to Emerge

Blair Andrews reminisces about the days when Kenneth Gainwell was the next rookie sensation, looks forward to A.J. Dillon’s reign as Derrick Henry with receiving skills, and questions the 49ers draft strategy. Our goal with the Zero RB Watch List is to help you locate RB breakouts and waiver adds before they happen, but this column isn’t just for Zero RB owners. We’re just as…...

Checking All the Boxes: The 2022 WR Class Offers Several Future Stars Hoping to Follow in Justin Jefferson’s Footsteps

Last offseason we tried to recreate our success with Justin Jefferson by using a random forest model and a rule extraction algorithm to find the most valuable WR prospect heuristics. That is, we want to know what boxes need to be checked. While last year’s class didn’t include anyone who checked the most important boxes according to the algorithm, it gave us a handful of…...

Underdog Tournament Best Ball Workshop: Does Zero RB Work in Tournament Play?

Blair Andrews uses two new Underdog Best Ball tools to examine optimal tournament constructions. Can Zero RB work in tournaments? As a site, we’ve been able to leverage our tools and analysis to some impressive best ball wins. In just the last year, Conor O’Driscoll beat 4,607 other entrants to win the inaugural FFPC Best Ball Tournament, narrowly defeating the second-place team drafted by Colm…...

The Backfield Dominator Rating Finds the Most Undervalued Running Back in the 2022 Class

Receiving skill is crucial for running back prospects, especially in fantasy. In most dynasty leagues, players earn a point for every reception, so backs who can add several points through the air have a huge advantage. This is why receiving yardage market share is one of our favorite RB metrics. We’ve previously found that a 10% threshold usually signals a strong chance of success at…...

Matt Ryan Looks to Re-Establish Competence and Professionalism in Indianapolis

The Indianapolis Colts traded Carson Wentz to the Washington Commanders and just acquired Matt Ryan from the Falcons. Although there’s a conditional pick involved, the cumulative impact appears to be moving up in both the second and third rounds of the 2022 draft and gaining an additional 2023 second-rounder. Of course, the biggest win is simply not having Wentz as your QB. Can the move…...

D.J. Chark Escapes Jacksonville, But Are Things Any Better in Detroit?

D.J. Chark has reportedly agreed to a one-year, $10 million contract with the Detroit Lions. At least he’s not staying in Jacksonville. After a mixed collegiate resume turned into an unproductive rookie year, Chark blew up in 2019, posting 226 points in 15 games. His 4.34 forty and 40-inch vertical were both on full display with a line that included 1,008 receiving yards and eight…...

Christian Kirk Is Better Than You Think, But Is Jacksonville the Right Place for a Breakout?

The Jacksonville Jaguars are reportedly signing Christian Kirk to a four-year deal worth up to $84 million. That sounds like a lot for a player who has yet to have a 1,000-yard season, but there are a lot of reasons for fantasy gamers to be excited about this signing. Kirk broke out in his fourth season, scoring 209.5 PPR points in 2021. Fourth-year breakouts tend…...

Courtland Sutton Is a Premier Deep Threat and Javonte Williams Is Still Too Cheap: Reactions to the Russell Wilson Trade

Blair Andrews and Shawn Siegele offer a first reaction to the Russell Wilson trade. What does it mean for Denver and Seattle skill players and their fantasy outlooks? Blair examines the new running back and wide receiver situations while Shawn covers some surprising tight end upgrades. The Denver Broncos made the biggest splash so far in this young offseason by finally addressing their need at…...

Game Theory and Leverage Opportunities for the FFPC Playoff Challenge

Blair Andrews looks ahead to the FFPC Playoff Challenge and offers some thoughts on general lineup construction strategy and potential leverage opportunities. The FFPC Playoff Challenge is one of my favorite contests of the fantasy football season. Its unique scoring settings and roster requirements always make for an interesting puzzle, and the game theory aspects add to the intrigue. You can pick any players you…...

Zero RB Watch: NFC Week 18 – A.J. Dillon Makes an Impact in Title Games

Blair Andrews looks back at Week 17 and the fantasy playoffs to see what RB performances were true difference makers, and looks ahead to Week 18 with some notes for DFS players. Our goal with the Zero RB Watch List is to help you locate RB breakouts and waiver adds before they happen, but this column isn’t just for Zero RB owners. We’re just as…...

A.J. Brown Is Back and Jaylen Waddle Is Chasing Records: How to Use Expected Points and GLSP in DFS for Week 17

Blair Andrews presents expected points market shares and the Weekly GLSP team totals to help you find the best plays on DraftKings in Week 17. Using Expected Points in DFS One of the best indicators of future fantasy scoring is past expected points. Expected points are the best way translate opportunity into potential fantasy output. Opportunity is sticky from one week to the next. Efficiency…...

Zero RB Watch: AFC Week 17 – Devin Singletary Hits His Stride Just in Time to Win Fantasy Titles

Blair Andrews looks forward to Jonathan Taylor’s bounceback game, wonders whether Damien Harris actually needs any targets, and finds the silver lining in the Denver Broncos’ backfield split. Our goal with the Zero RB Watch List is to help you locate RB breakouts and waiver adds before they happen, but this column isn’t just for Zero RB owners. We’re just as focused on the high-profile…...

D.K. Metcalf Is a Ticking Time Bomb: How to Use Expected Points and GLSP for Week 16 DFS

Blair Andrews presents expected points market shares and the Weekly GLSP team totals to help you find the best tournament plays on DraftKings for Week 16. Using Expected Points in DFS One of the best indicators of future fantasy scoring is past expected points. Expected points are the best way to translate opportunity into potential fantasy output. Opportunity is sticky from one week to the…...

Zero RB Watch: NFC Week 16 – Ronald Jones and Jeff Wilson Look Like Fantasy Semifinal Gems

Blair Andrews tries to console fantasy managers who must rely on Saquon Barkley for the fantasy semifinals and offers condolences to those who must rely on Ezekiel Elliott, if there are any of you left. Our goal with the Zero RB Watch List is to help you locate RB breakouts and waiver adds before they happen, but this column isn’t just for Zero RB owners…....

Zero RB Watch List: AFC Week 15 – Surprise Efficiency Stars and the Curious Case of Nick Chubb

Blair Andrews wonders why the Denver Broncos coaches didn’t get the memo about Javonte Williams’ breakout and asks whether Najee Harris truly has the profile of an elite running back. Our goal with the Zero RB Watch List is to help you locate RB breakouts and waiver adds before they happen, but this column isn’t just for Zero RB owners. We’re just as focused on…...

The Dynasty WR1 Battle Heats Up, Plus a Week 15 Expected Points Preview

Blair Andrews speculates on who might be the dynasty WR1 in 2022 after two young stars padded their resumes in Week 14. Notes on Week 14 WRs and a Look Ahead to 2022 ADP Justin Jefferson had taken a brief lead in the battle for overall dynasty WR1 after Ja’Marr Chase’s multi-week dip in efficiency. But Chase reminded us why he was worth the early…...

Zero RB Watch: NFC Week 14 – Quarterback Changes Propel Stars to New Heights and Seattle’s RB Experiments Continue

Blair Andrews wonders whether Kenneth Gainwell has earned more work, ponders the implications of Seattle’s RB moves, and falls (almost) silent in the face of Mike Davis’ explosion. Our goal with the Zero RB Watch List is to help you locate RB breakouts and waiver adds before they happen, but this column isn’t just for Zero RB owners. We’re just as focused on the high-profile…...

Jaylen Waddle Emerges (Again): Week 13 Expected Points and Team GLSP

Blair Andrews takes a closer look at Jaylen Waddle and Tee Higgins and provides a snapshot of expected points (EP) market share. Expected Points and Team GLSP Expected point share is among the most predictive metrics on a week-to-week basis, so knowing who the leaders are — and who the leaders were in the previous week — gives us a huge edge in predicting the…...

Zero RB Watch List: AFC Week 13 – Javonte Williams’ Breakout Is Better Late Than Never

Blair Andrews congratulates the Dolphins on putting together the most RotoViz backfield in the league, marvels at Jonathan Taylor’s string of RB1 finishes, and explains why Austin Walter’s name is worth remembering. Our goal with the Zero RB Watch List is to help you locate RB breakouts and waiver adds before they happen, but this column isn’t just for Zero RB owners. We’re just as…...

Zero RB Watch: NFC Week 12 – A.J. Dillon Continues to Emerge

Blair Andrews reminisces about the days when Kenneth Gainwell was the next rookie sensation, looks forward to A.J. Dillon’s reign as Derrick Henry with receiving skills, and questions the 49ers draft strategy. Our goal with the Zero RB Watch List is to help you locate RB breakouts and waiver adds before they happen, but this column isn’t just for Zero RB owners. We’re just as…...

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