Over the last few weeks, Zachary Krueger has been breaking down players to target per the Positional Heat Map in the Best Ball Win Rate Explorer. The articles on quarterbacks, running backs, and wide receivers can be found below. This article, the fourth and final of the series, focuses on tight ends. Never a proponent of the early round tight end, there’s nothing better than…...

Over the last few weeks, Zachary Krueger has been breaking down players we should target per the Positional Heat Map in the Best Ball Win Rate Explorer. The articles on quarterbacks and running backs can be found below. This article, the third of the series, focuses on wide receivers.  With limited time left before the first game of the NFL season gets underway, it’s time…...

As NFL training camps continue and injuries abound, Zachary Krueger takes a look at three running backs we may want to acquire in our BestBall10 drafts before draft season officially ends. As I sit here writing this article, I am a mere handful of hours removed from adding Ryan Nall and Cordarrelle Patterson after Twitter was set aflame by a David Montgomery camp injury rumor. Bears’ starting running back David Montgomery was…...

Earlier this week I took a look at the Best Ball Win Rate Explorer tool and utilized the positional heat map to determine where we should be drafting our quarterbacks in order to boost win rates. You can check out that article, and the others to follow it here. Going Green With the Best Ball Win Rate Explorer: 3 Quarterbacks to Target in the QB…...

We are less than one month from the start of the NFL season, which means best ball draft season is coming to a close. Now is the time to finish strong, and what better way to do that than with the Best Ball Win Rate Explorer? The best ball win rate explorer is one of the newest tools by Mike Beers here at RotoViz and allows…...

In my previous piece, I used the RotoViz Projection Machine and Range of Outcomes tools to see if Courtland Sutton is poised to vault into the elite tier of wide receivers. To follow that up, I wanted to go back to those same tools and project a range of scenarios for the most fantasy-relevant players on the Denver Broncos. If Drew Lock takes a big…...

One of my favorite offseason exercises is to identify offenses that could take a step forward and provide significant fantasy opportunities for its players. It’s easy to target the high-powered, high-scoring offenses, and draft elite options. However, teams with young rosters and a stable of offensive skill position players are potential goldmines for fantasy. The Denver Broncos are one of the most intriguing offenses for…...

Michael Dubner applies concepts learned from his Functional Fantasy Points and NFL Best Ball Win Rates study to expose three WRs being over-drafted, and finds three WRs you can draft instead.  Volatility and consistency are concepts fantasy football drafters think they understand, but are actually quite difficult to measure in a meaningful way in reality. The other week I proposed the concept of Functional Fantasy…...

With the arrival of NFL training camp come the final chances to acquire players at some of their best possible prices. Not long into training camp, rumors about players will begin circulating and ADPs will rise. As these ADPs rise, we’ll begin to get the sense that we may have been criminally low on some guys — players we viewed as being nothing more than…...

I’ve focused on two macro strategies so far in the Underdog Best Ball Tournament. Modified Zero RB grants us more reliable access to a massive ceiling more than any other strategy. Hyperfragile RB also grants us access to a massive ceiling but comes with greater injury risk. I’ve then supplemented those strategies with two other key tactics. First, I have a few roster construction requirements,…...

It’s no secret that getting exposure to high scoring offenses is a great way to land elite fantasy options. Think of someone like Julio Jones for the Atlanta Falcons. They have been one of the most pass-heavy teams over the past few years, so it makes sense that they would field an elite pass-catching option for fantasy purposes. Using that same train of thought, let’s…...

One of the unique positions in a fantasy football lineup is the tight end slot. The elite options are apparent each season and require significant draft capital. The second tier of possibilities is often a mixed bag of older veterans who have lost a step combined with young upstarts looking to take the next level. The rest of the tight end options are either weekly…...

Michael Dubner proposes the use of Functional Fantasy Points as a measure for volatility, and finds a counterintuitive result in the way you can use volatility to your advantage in best ball tactics. Will Fuller is a boom-or-bust option. Larry Fitzgerald is Mr. Reliable. You’ve probably heard something to that effect before, but have you ever wondered whether consistency actually matters in fantasy football? It…...

All good things must come to an end, and as this is the final installment of the NFC portion of this series, 3 Players RotoViz Rankers Are Higher on Than FFPC Drafters is no exception. Over the last several weeks, Neil Dutton and I have taken a look at players from every division who RotoViz rankers like more than those in FFPC drafts. Check out all…...