Neil Dutton

Lead Writer, soft spot for the tight end position. Will never stop loving Duke Johnson.

Author Archive

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Wide Receiver Target Report: Week 9

The wide receivers who saw the most targets this past week of NFL action contain some very familiar names. Julian Edelman has had double-digit targets in each of his last four games. The same is true of DeAndre Hopkins. Mike Evans has three games this season in which he has commanded 10 or more targets. Here’s the full list of WRs who commanded at least…...

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Crazy Efficiency (or the Lack Thereof) and Historic Performances: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 9

If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform raw opportunity, such as carries and targets, directly into fantasy points. From there we can…...

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Dumpster Dives: Deep Waiver Pickups for Week 10

Waiver Wire Dumpster Dives takes you beyond the obvious plays and helps you find undervalued gems for deep leagues. It is upon us. The dreaded Bye-pocalypse has arrived. And like a Kraken from the deep, it has swallowed whole six of our beloved guardians of the gridiron. The services of Broncos, Texans, Jaguars, Patriots, Eagles and the Washington Football Club are suspended. With that, the…...

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Tyreek Hill Joins Seahawks and Lions Atop the WR Fantasy Points Over Expectation Leaderboard

Tyler Lockett joined the 40-point club, while Mike Evans and Kenny Golladay produced back-to-back monster performances. Shawn Siegele breaks down all of the top WR performances from Week 9, including Tyreek Hill’s success with Matt Moore and how Russell Wilson and Matthew Stafford are fueling big seasons in Seattle and Detroit.  Fantasy Points Over Expectation Leaderboard – Week 9 Only three receivers reached double-digit fantasy…...

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Week 10 Waiver Wire Advice: Top Targets At Each Position

Looking for Week 10 waiver wire advice for fantasy football? You’ve come to the right place. We’ll give you some of the top targets at each position so that when you submit a waiver claim, you do it with confidence. This article will run through the top players available in most leagues.((If a player is already owned in over 50% of leagues, he won’t be…...

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High Staked: That Sinking Thielen

Veteran high stakes fantasy football player Monty Phan chronicles his season. Observations from Week 9 in FFPC high-stakes leagues: Kirk Cousins continues to be one of the hottest quarterbacks since Week 5, having thrown for at least three touchdowns in four of his past five games, including on Sunday. So it’s absolutely maddening to see lines like these from his top wide receivers:   The Adam…...

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Week 9 Primetime Slate DFS Breakdown

Who are the best plays for the Week 9 DFS primetime slate on DraftKings and FanDuel? Tyler Loechner runs through notes on the primetime short slate featuring SNF/MNF games.((An important note: I’m writing this column with tournaments and GPPs top of mind. Cash game plays on short slates are usually easier to figure out because the options are so thin; tournaments require quite a bit…...

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Talkin’ Trades Week 9: Second Half RBs to Target and a Dark Horse Tight End

Robby Anderson is probably a small winner of the trade deadline by staying put. Kenyan Drake most likely puts the kibosh on Chase Edmonds’ momentary stardom. And Josh Gordon to the Seahawks tosses a little cold water on my Jacob Hollister recommendation. But all in all a pretty quiet trade deadline as usual. Let’s take a look at some players that should be trending up…...

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Week 9 Yahoo! DFS Picks

Identifying my Week 9 NFL DFS picks was easier than it’s ever been thanks to the continued work of our apps development team. The NFL Stat Explorer, the DFS Lineup Optimizer, and our world-famous Game Splits App are three windows I never close on my screen. Let’s build a plan of attack for Yahoo! DFS using my favorite research tools. Yahoo! NFL DFS is a…...

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Dollars Per Opportunity: In Jameis We Trust?

Opportunity, opportunity, opportunity — that’s what fantasy football is all about. Each week I utilize our Game Level Similarity Projections to find the hidden DFS values from a dollar-per-opportunity perspective with a focus on Week 9 Yahoo! DFS. I’m feeling very good about this week’s picks so I’m skipping my already brief intro and getting straight to the meat of the article. As a reminder,…...

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College Football DFS Main Slate: Week 10

Welcome to college football DFS for Week 10 and another mega main slate take down. This is your one stop shop for Cash and GPP plays for the main slate of this crazy college football weekend! If you’ve been following along this season, we’ve had some crazy high hit rates on our player pools, but if you have any questions on Player X versus Player…...

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BestBall Win Rates – Running Back Dead Zone Versus the Running Back Sweet Spot

Shawn Siegele examines the BestBall win rates for running backs in the Dead Zone and compares them to runners in the Sweet Spot, especially members of the 2019 Zero RB Candidates list. Each week in my adventures down the rabbit hole of the Best Ball Win Rates tool, I like to choose a specific position or question for closer examination. This week’s prompt comes from…...

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FanDuel NFL Cash Plays – Week 9

With Halloween now behind us, The Fantasy Football Ghost has a few more treats to share with us in Week 9! Week 8 worked out well for us despite one of the players I suggested, Jared Cook, sitting out with an injury. Excluding Cook, the collection of players I suggested last week surpassed the successful mark of 2.5 times value I set forth for myself…...

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When The Devy Breaks: Stevie Scott Is Quietly Positioned As A Top-Tier RB In The 2021 Class

Welcome back to When The Devy Breaks, your weekly rundown of the college football landscape and how it affects your devy league rosters. Here are a few quick storylines from last weekend’s slate of action: Oklahoma saw their playoff hopes likely dashed after a 48-41 loss to Kansas State which saw the Sooners trailing by 25 points early in the fourth quarter. Oregon narrowly avoided…...

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DK Buffet Week 9: Key Stats for the Main Slate on DraftKings

When I’m looking into the DFS slate each week, I like to go game by game and identify players or situations that intrigue me. In every game, on every team, there’s a situation that’s relevant for DFS purposes, for either a positive or negative reason. These situations inform us of how we should be attacking each slate. Buffalo Bills Spread: -9.5 vs Washington | Total: 37…...

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14 Stats to Know for DFS in Week 9

Utilizing RotoViz’s suite of creative tools, metrics, and filterable stats (all of which just keep getting better!), I unearthed 14 key stats to help you crush your Week 9 NFL DFS lineups. Vegas lines for Week 9 Reported lines are current as of October 30, 2019.[1]Provided by footballlocks.com. SF @ ARZ: Cardinals are the 2nd-fastest team; 49ers the slowest IMPLIED: SF 26.5, ARZ 16.5 —…...

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High Staked: Bad Beats

Veteran high stakes fantasy football player Monty Phan chronicles his season. I haven’t used this space that often this season to give detailed updates on the FFPC high-stakes teams I help run, but I’m doing so this week because I believe there’s a common unifier among those who play fantasy football: the bad beat. As opposed to the dominant teams we’ve had the past few…...

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Week 9 DraftKings Targets: Right Back To Stafford

Thanks for stopping back for Week 9. Cash was a smash again in week 8 and the pieces were in place for fun tournament finishes, but I didn’t personally have any of the correct combos. Hoping some subscribers put a proper combo together. I have to start this week off with apologies for the article being early and not having the desired amount of news before…...

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Group of Five Devy Rundown: Week 9

Another college football weekend, another major upset. Once again, this week’s slate of games proved that it’s very difficult to go undefeated for an entire season. In the Group of Five, an underwhelming slate of games delivered a few exciting matchups. Quarterback Mason Fine, QB North Texas In the preview of North Texas’s game against Charlotte, I stated that Charlotte WR Victor Tucker was the…...

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NFL FanDuel GPPs: What The Lineup Optimizer Is Telling Us To Do in Week 9

Michael Dubner uses the DFS Lineup Optimizer and other RotoViz tools to prepare for Week 9 GPPs on FanDuel. Large-field GPPs are primarily won in three key areas: 1) player projections, 2) roster construction, and 3) ownership. Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a…...

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Wide Receiver Target Report: Week 9

The wide receivers who saw the most targets this past week of NFL action contain some very familiar names. Julian Edelman has had double-digit targets in each of his last four games. The same is true of DeAndre Hopkins. Mike Evans has three games this season in which he has commanded 10 or more targets. Here’s the full list of WRs who commanded at least…...

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Crazy Efficiency (or the Lack Thereof) and Historic Performances: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 9

If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform raw opportunity, such as carries and targets, directly into fantasy points. From there we can…...

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Dumpster Dives: Deep Waiver Pickups for Week 10

Waiver Wire Dumpster Dives takes you beyond the obvious plays and helps you find undervalued gems for deep leagues. It is upon us. The dreaded Bye-pocalypse has arrived. And like a Kraken from the deep, it has swallowed whole six of our beloved guardians of the gridiron. The services of Broncos, Texans, Jaguars, Patriots, Eagles and the Washington Football Club are suspended. With that, the…...

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Tyreek Hill Joins Seahawks and Lions Atop the WR Fantasy Points Over Expectation Leaderboard

Tyler Lockett joined the 40-point club, while Mike Evans and Kenny Golladay produced back-to-back monster performances. Shawn Siegele breaks down all of the top WR performances from Week 9, including Tyreek Hill’s success with Matt Moore and how Russell Wilson and Matthew Stafford are fueling big seasons in Seattle and Detroit.  Fantasy Points Over Expectation Leaderboard – Week 9 Only three receivers reached double-digit fantasy…...

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Week 10 Waiver Wire Advice: Top Targets At Each Position

Looking for Week 10 waiver wire advice for fantasy football? You’ve come to the right place. We’ll give you some of the top targets at each position so that when you submit a waiver claim, you do it with confidence. This article will run through the top players available in most leagues.((If a player is already owned in over 50% of leagues, he won’t be…...

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High Staked: That Sinking Thielen

Veteran high stakes fantasy football player Monty Phan chronicles his season. Observations from Week 9 in FFPC high-stakes leagues: Kirk Cousins continues to be one of the hottest quarterbacks since Week 5, having thrown for at least three touchdowns in four of his past five games, including on Sunday. So it’s absolutely maddening to see lines like these from his top wide receivers:   The Adam…...

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Week 9 Primetime Slate DFS Breakdown

Who are the best plays for the Week 9 DFS primetime slate on DraftKings and FanDuel? Tyler Loechner runs through notes on the primetime short slate featuring SNF/MNF games.((An important note: I’m writing this column with tournaments and GPPs top of mind. Cash game plays on short slates are usually easier to figure out because the options are so thin; tournaments require quite a bit…...

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Talkin’ Trades Week 9: Second Half RBs to Target and a Dark Horse Tight End

Robby Anderson is probably a small winner of the trade deadline by staying put. Kenyan Drake most likely puts the kibosh on Chase Edmonds’ momentary stardom. And Josh Gordon to the Seahawks tosses a little cold water on my Jacob Hollister recommendation. But all in all a pretty quiet trade deadline as usual. Let’s take a look at some players that should be trending up…...

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Week 9 Yahoo! DFS Picks

Identifying my Week 9 NFL DFS picks was easier than it’s ever been thanks to the continued work of our apps development team. The NFL Stat Explorer, the DFS Lineup Optimizer, and our world-famous Game Splits App are three windows I never close on my screen. Let’s build a plan of attack for Yahoo! DFS using my favorite research tools. Yahoo! NFL DFS is a…...

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Dollars Per Opportunity: In Jameis We Trust?

Opportunity, opportunity, opportunity — that’s what fantasy football is all about. Each week I utilize our Game Level Similarity Projections to find the hidden DFS values from a dollar-per-opportunity perspective with a focus on Week 9 Yahoo! DFS. I’m feeling very good about this week’s picks so I’m skipping my already brief intro and getting straight to the meat of the article. As a reminder,…...

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College Football DFS Main Slate: Week 10

Welcome to college football DFS for Week 10 and another mega main slate take down. This is your one stop shop for Cash and GPP plays for the main slate of this crazy college football weekend! If you’ve been following along this season, we’ve had some crazy high hit rates on our player pools, but if you have any questions on Player X versus Player…...

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BestBall Win Rates – Running Back Dead Zone Versus the Running Back Sweet Spot

Shawn Siegele examines the BestBall win rates for running backs in the Dead Zone and compares them to runners in the Sweet Spot, especially members of the 2019 Zero RB Candidates list. Each week in my adventures down the rabbit hole of the Best Ball Win Rates tool, I like to choose a specific position or question for closer examination. This week’s prompt comes from…...

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FanDuel NFL Cash Plays – Week 9

With Halloween now behind us, The Fantasy Football Ghost has a few more treats to share with us in Week 9! Week 8 worked out well for us despite one of the players I suggested, Jared Cook, sitting out with an injury. Excluding Cook, the collection of players I suggested last week surpassed the successful mark of 2.5 times value I set forth for myself…...

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When The Devy Breaks: Stevie Scott Is Quietly Positioned As A Top-Tier RB In The 2021 Class

Welcome back to When The Devy Breaks, your weekly rundown of the college football landscape and how it affects your devy league rosters. Here are a few quick storylines from last weekend’s slate of action: Oklahoma saw their playoff hopes likely dashed after a 48-41 loss to Kansas State which saw the Sooners trailing by 25 points early in the fourth quarter. Oregon narrowly avoided…...

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DK Buffet Week 9: Key Stats for the Main Slate on DraftKings

When I’m looking into the DFS slate each week, I like to go game by game and identify players or situations that intrigue me. In every game, on every team, there’s a situation that’s relevant for DFS purposes, for either a positive or negative reason. These situations inform us of how we should be attacking each slate. Buffalo Bills Spread: -9.5 vs Washington | Total: 37…...

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14 Stats to Know for DFS in Week 9

Utilizing RotoViz’s suite of creative tools, metrics, and filterable stats (all of which just keep getting better!), I unearthed 14 key stats to help you crush your Week 9 NFL DFS lineups. Vegas lines for Week 9 Reported lines are current as of October 30, 2019.[1]Provided by footballlocks.com. SF @ ARZ: Cardinals are the 2nd-fastest team; 49ers the slowest IMPLIED: SF 26.5, ARZ 16.5 —…...

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High Staked: Bad Beats

Veteran high stakes fantasy football player Monty Phan chronicles his season. I haven’t used this space that often this season to give detailed updates on the FFPC high-stakes teams I help run, but I’m doing so this week because I believe there’s a common unifier among those who play fantasy football: the bad beat. As opposed to the dominant teams we’ve had the past few…...

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Week 9 DraftKings Targets: Right Back To Stafford

Thanks for stopping back for Week 9. Cash was a smash again in week 8 and the pieces were in place for fun tournament finishes, but I didn’t personally have any of the correct combos. Hoping some subscribers put a proper combo together. I have to start this week off with apologies for the article being early and not having the desired amount of news before…...

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Group of Five Devy Rundown: Week 9

Another college football weekend, another major upset. Once again, this week’s slate of games proved that it’s very difficult to go undefeated for an entire season. In the Group of Five, an underwhelming slate of games delivered a few exciting matchups. Quarterback Mason Fine, QB North Texas In the preview of North Texas’s game against Charlotte, I stated that Charlotte WR Victor Tucker was the…...

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NFL FanDuel GPPs: What The Lineup Optimizer Is Telling Us To Do in Week 9

Michael Dubner uses the DFS Lineup Optimizer and other RotoViz tools to prepare for Week 9 GPPs on FanDuel. Large-field GPPs are primarily won in three key areas: 1) player projections, 2) roster construction, and 3) ownership. Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a…...

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Wide Receiver Target Report: Week 9

The wide receivers who saw the most targets this past week of NFL action contain some very familiar names. Julian Edelman has had double-digit targets in each of his last four games. The same is true of DeAndre Hopkins. Mike Evans has three games this season in which he has commanded 10 or more targets. Here’s the full list of WRs who commanded at least…...

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Crazy Efficiency (or the Lack Thereof) and Historic Performances: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 9

If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform raw opportunity, such as carries and targets, directly into fantasy points. From there we can…...

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Dumpster Dives: Deep Waiver Pickups for Week 10

Waiver Wire Dumpster Dives takes you beyond the obvious plays and helps you find undervalued gems for deep leagues. It is upon us. The dreaded Bye-pocalypse has arrived. And like a Kraken from the deep, it has swallowed whole six of our beloved guardians of the gridiron. The services of Broncos, Texans, Jaguars, Patriots, Eagles and the Washington Football Club are suspended. With that, the…...

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Tyreek Hill Joins Seahawks and Lions Atop the WR Fantasy Points Over Expectation Leaderboard

Tyler Lockett joined the 40-point club, while Mike Evans and Kenny Golladay produced back-to-back monster performances. Shawn Siegele breaks down all of the top WR performances from Week 9, including Tyreek Hill’s success with Matt Moore and how Russell Wilson and Matthew Stafford are fueling big seasons in Seattle and Detroit.  Fantasy Points Over Expectation Leaderboard – Week 9 Only three receivers reached double-digit fantasy…...

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Week 10 Waiver Wire Advice: Top Targets At Each Position

Looking for Week 10 waiver wire advice for fantasy football? You’ve come to the right place. We’ll give you some of the top targets at each position so that when you submit a waiver claim, you do it with confidence. This article will run through the top players available in most leagues.((If a player is already owned in over 50% of leagues, he won’t be…...

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High Staked: That Sinking Thielen

Veteran high stakes fantasy football player Monty Phan chronicles his season. Observations from Week 9 in FFPC high-stakes leagues: Kirk Cousins continues to be one of the hottest quarterbacks since Week 5, having thrown for at least three touchdowns in four of his past five games, including on Sunday. So it’s absolutely maddening to see lines like these from his top wide receivers:   The Adam…...

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Week 9 Primetime Slate DFS Breakdown

Who are the best plays for the Week 9 DFS primetime slate on DraftKings and FanDuel? Tyler Loechner runs through notes on the primetime short slate featuring SNF/MNF games.((An important note: I’m writing this column with tournaments and GPPs top of mind. Cash game plays on short slates are usually easier to figure out because the options are so thin; tournaments require quite a bit…...

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Talkin’ Trades Week 9: Second Half RBs to Target and a Dark Horse Tight End

Robby Anderson is probably a small winner of the trade deadline by staying put. Kenyan Drake most likely puts the kibosh on Chase Edmonds’ momentary stardom. And Josh Gordon to the Seahawks tosses a little cold water on my Jacob Hollister recommendation. But all in all a pretty quiet trade deadline as usual. Let’s take a look at some players that should be trending up…...

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Week 9 Yahoo! DFS Picks

Identifying my Week 9 NFL DFS picks was easier than it’s ever been thanks to the continued work of our apps development team. The NFL Stat Explorer, the DFS Lineup Optimizer, and our world-famous Game Splits App are three windows I never close on my screen. Let’s build a plan of attack for Yahoo! DFS using my favorite research tools. Yahoo! NFL DFS is a…...

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Dollars Per Opportunity: In Jameis We Trust?

Opportunity, opportunity, opportunity — that’s what fantasy football is all about. Each week I utilize our Game Level Similarity Projections to find the hidden DFS values from a dollar-per-opportunity perspective with a focus on Week 9 Yahoo! DFS. I’m feeling very good about this week’s picks so I’m skipping my already brief intro and getting straight to the meat of the article. As a reminder,…...

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College Football DFS Main Slate: Week 10

Welcome to college football DFS for Week 10 and another mega main slate take down. This is your one stop shop for Cash and GPP plays for the main slate of this crazy college football weekend! If you’ve been following along this season, we’ve had some crazy high hit rates on our player pools, but if you have any questions on Player X versus Player…...

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BestBall Win Rates – Running Back Dead Zone Versus the Running Back Sweet Spot

Shawn Siegele examines the BestBall win rates for running backs in the Dead Zone and compares them to runners in the Sweet Spot, especially members of the 2019 Zero RB Candidates list. Each week in my adventures down the rabbit hole of the Best Ball Win Rates tool, I like to choose a specific position or question for closer examination. This week’s prompt comes from…...

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FanDuel NFL Cash Plays – Week 9

With Halloween now behind us, The Fantasy Football Ghost has a few more treats to share with us in Week 9! Week 8 worked out well for us despite one of the players I suggested, Jared Cook, sitting out with an injury. Excluding Cook, the collection of players I suggested last week surpassed the successful mark of 2.5 times value I set forth for myself…...

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When The Devy Breaks: Stevie Scott Is Quietly Positioned As A Top-Tier RB In The 2021 Class

Welcome back to When The Devy Breaks, your weekly rundown of the college football landscape and how it affects your devy league rosters. Here are a few quick storylines from last weekend’s slate of action: Oklahoma saw their playoff hopes likely dashed after a 48-41 loss to Kansas State which saw the Sooners trailing by 25 points early in the fourth quarter. Oregon narrowly avoided…...

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DK Buffet Week 9: Key Stats for the Main Slate on DraftKings

When I’m looking into the DFS slate each week, I like to go game by game and identify players or situations that intrigue me. In every game, on every team, there’s a situation that’s relevant for DFS purposes, for either a positive or negative reason. These situations inform us of how we should be attacking each slate. Buffalo Bills Spread: -9.5 vs Washington | Total: 37…...

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14 Stats to Know for DFS in Week 9

Utilizing RotoViz’s suite of creative tools, metrics, and filterable stats (all of which just keep getting better!), I unearthed 14 key stats to help you crush your Week 9 NFL DFS lineups. Vegas lines for Week 9 Reported lines are current as of October 30, 2019.[1]Provided by footballlocks.com. SF @ ARZ: Cardinals are the 2nd-fastest team; 49ers the slowest IMPLIED: SF 26.5, ARZ 16.5 —…...

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High Staked: Bad Beats

Veteran high stakes fantasy football player Monty Phan chronicles his season. I haven’t used this space that often this season to give detailed updates on the FFPC high-stakes teams I help run, but I’m doing so this week because I believe there’s a common unifier among those who play fantasy football: the bad beat. As opposed to the dominant teams we’ve had the past few…...

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Week 9 DraftKings Targets: Right Back To Stafford

Thanks for stopping back for Week 9. Cash was a smash again in week 8 and the pieces were in place for fun tournament finishes, but I didn’t personally have any of the correct combos. Hoping some subscribers put a proper combo together. I have to start this week off with apologies for the article being early and not having the desired amount of news before…...

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Group of Five Devy Rundown: Week 9

Another college football weekend, another major upset. Once again, this week’s slate of games proved that it’s very difficult to go undefeated for an entire season. In the Group of Five, an underwhelming slate of games delivered a few exciting matchups. Quarterback Mason Fine, QB North Texas In the preview of North Texas’s game against Charlotte, I stated that Charlotte WR Victor Tucker was the…...

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NFL FanDuel GPPs: What The Lineup Optimizer Is Telling Us To Do in Week 9

Michael Dubner uses the DFS Lineup Optimizer and other RotoViz tools to prepare for Week 9 GPPs on FanDuel. Large-field GPPs are primarily won in three key areas: 1) player projections, 2) roster construction, and 3) ownership. Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a…...

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