Fire Walk With Me: Deconstructing The Early Rounds of the RotoViz Staff Best Ball League
Image Credit: John Byrum/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Christian McCaffrey.

“Through the darkness of future past, the magician longs to see. One chants out between two worlds … fire walk with me!” – Mike

It may not be as exciting or interesting as Twin Peaks, but the first RotoViz Staff best ball league of the off-season is underway! I’ll do my best to look at this draft from every direction imaginable, including an explanation of player selection from the drafters, draft strategy, pick value, and more.

The draft follows traditional MFL10 scoring rules and features some of the sharpest RotoViz staffers.[1]

Round 1

1.01 John LapinskiChristian McCaffrey

1.02 Monty PhanSaquon Barkley

1.03 Mike BeersEzekiel Elliott

1.04 Jack MillerDalvin Cook

1.05 Matt JonesAlvin Kamara

1.06 Cort SmithMichael Thomas

1.07 Shawn SiegeleTyreek Hill

1.08 Dave CabanDavante Adams

1.09 Neil DuttonJoe Mixon

1.10 Blair AndrewsChris Godwin

1.11 Hasan RahimMiles Sanders

1.12 Michael DubnerJulio Jones

The first six picks lined up perfectly with the current Fanball ADP. All five running backs boast the highest floor/ceiling scoring combination this season.[2] Additionally, Thomas’ median range of outcomes is a hefty two points per game higher than the next comparable wide receivers, making his selection at 1.06 an easy one.

The first real deviation from ADP comes at 1.07, when Shawn Siegele selects Hill as his WR2. Over at the MFL10 of Death, Siegele selected Adams as his first WR, so the switch is quite interesting. Adams’ range of outcomes are all superior to Hill’s, and his scoring distribution suggests that he might be a safer pick than Hill.

However, the Packers’ draft suggests that Adams’ floor might be a bit lower than the projections suggest.

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Footnotes

Footnotes
1 and me!
2 Note this draft started well before Cook opted to hold out.

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