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In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Robert Griffin Will Probably Fail, But if he Succeeds it Will be Spectacular

I was listening to the Around the NFL podcast last night and they were discussing the Browns QB n0n-battle, where it appears as if Hue Jackson is giving the job to Robert Griffin. That’s sort of a suspect thing to do if a QB is any good, so already alarms should probably be going off. But just because the Browns don’t seem to have a ton of confidence that RGIII could actually win the job, doesn’t mean that he couldn’t be productive if he does play. In fact I think we might be collectively underrating how explosive the Browns offense would…...

Fantasy playoff schedules

New Screener App Functionality – Similarity Search

One of the things that’s helpful to ask when doing football research is: Have we seen this before? For instance, when I look at Devin Funchess‘ production at the end of 2015 it seems like it’s pretty impressive considering how bad he was at the beginning of the season. But is it actually impressive, or is that something that happens all of the time – a rookie going from horrible to kind of good in one season. Answering that question of how often have we seen this before is fairly important. It’s the difference between a lot of what we…...

Strength of Schedule, the Skin in the Game Problem, and Your Fantasy Team

One of the things that’s become sort of common to hear leading up to draft season is that strength of schedule (SOS) doesn’t matter and you shouldn’t pay attention to it. It’s an idea that’s been tested a decent amount by various people, so rejecting the importance of SOS might even be prudent, since if you test for SOS effects they’re either very small or non-existent. There’s just one problem though: if you listen to people who play fantasy football at high levels, it’s not uncommon at all to hear about SOS. In fact, the reason I’m writing this post…...

Cam Newton

The Underrated Potential of Kelvin Benjamin

Source: Five Practice Observations: Day 1 “It could be a good harbinger for us seeing Kelvin maybe not at top form but pretty doggone good form,” head coach Ron Rivera said. “He’s still got a ways to go to get back in game shape, but it was really good to see him move around like that.”Benjamin practiced with confidence and made tough catches look easy – something he did throughout last year’s training camp prior to the injury.  His first catch came on a slant in traffic and drew a big cheer from the fans who packed Gibbs Stadium. Later,…...

Gary Kubiak is a Running Back God – Can He Heal CJ Anderson?

Nothing in life is guaranteed except death, taxes, Josh Gordon suspensions, and Gary Kubiak running backs winning fantasy titles. It’s true, take a look at this table which shows total PPR scoring at RB for Kubiak running backs. To give you a sense of how good these numbers are, 30 PPR points/game would have been in the mix to lead the league last year, and 25 per game would still be top 10 in the league. This spans a number of years, covers some Arian Foster years and non-Foster years, along with multiple teams. But you can see that Denver 2015…...

Underrated Suspension Loser: Corey Coleman

I’ve done a few drafts over the past month where I had my eye on Corey Coleman, hoping to take him with my next pick, and then had him sniped from me by another owner. It basically got to the point where I had to ask myself how much I actually like Coleman…....

One Indicator Suggests the Seahawks Could Pass a Lot More in 2016

If you haven’t had the chance yet to play around with our new Screener app, I highly recommend it. It’s an extremely powerful tool for looking at your assumptions and I now find myself keeping multiple tabs of it open throughout the day…....

Is Jarvis Landry Good? Does it Really Matter?

One of the ideas that’s most difficult to pin down when talking football is the idea of talent. Stephen Gostkowski is a very good kicker and I’ve seen arguments that say his impact on a game could be equal to a running back’s impact on a game. But how many conversations about the top players in the game would you have to have before Gostkowski’s name would be mentioned? I suspect the answer is “infinite.” But it’s not at all uncommon to hear someone say that Adrian Peterson is the best player in the NFL, despite the fact that even…...

Superforecasting, Fantasy Football, and the Aggregation of Ideas

One of the things that even I find myself struggling with these days is keeping up with all of the potential draft ideas that we’re pushing out. I read almost every article on the site before it gets published, so I’m probably up there in terms of total RotoViz articles read in a lifetime. Maybe super subscriber Patrick Keefe has read as many articles as I have. It’s probably close…....

Win the Flex Position – 2016 Edition

One of the ideas that we’ve written about on the site is what we call “Winning the Flex” and is related to Shawn Siegele’s guidance that the flex position wins fantasy championships. Winning the Flex is also an idea that is tangentially related to Zero RB, to the extent that Zero RB says that you should load up on WRs because they’re the highest scoring position in PPR leagues, and when the flex is accounted for you can start a lot of them…....

Robert Griffin Will Probably Fail, But if he Succeeds it Will be Spectacular

I was listening to the Around the NFL podcast last night and they were discussing the Browns QB n0n-battle, where it appears as if Hue Jackson is giving the job to Robert Griffin. That’s sort of a suspect thing to do if a QB is any good, so already alarms should probably be going off. But just because the Browns don’t seem to have a ton of confidence that RGIII could actually win the job, doesn’t mean that he couldn’t be productive if he does play. In fact I think we might be collectively underrating how explosive the Browns offense would…...

Fantasy playoff schedules

New Screener App Functionality – Similarity Search

One of the things that’s helpful to ask when doing football research is: Have we seen this before? For instance, when I look at Devin Funchess‘ production at the end of 2015 it seems like it’s pretty impressive considering how bad he was at the beginning of the season. But is it actually impressive, or is that something that happens all of the time – a rookie going from horrible to kind of good in one season. Answering that question of how often have we seen this before is fairly important. It’s the difference between a lot of what we…...

Strength of Schedule, the Skin in the Game Problem, and Your Fantasy Team

One of the things that’s become sort of common to hear leading up to draft season is that strength of schedule (SOS) doesn’t matter and you shouldn’t pay attention to it. It’s an idea that’s been tested a decent amount by various people, so rejecting the importance of SOS might even be prudent, since if you test for SOS effects they’re either very small or non-existent. There’s just one problem though: if you listen to people who play fantasy football at high levels, it’s not uncommon at all to hear about SOS. In fact, the reason I’m writing this post…...

Cam Newton

The Underrated Potential of Kelvin Benjamin

Source: Five Practice Observations: Day 1 “It could be a good harbinger for us seeing Kelvin maybe not at top form but pretty doggone good form,” head coach Ron Rivera said. “He’s still got a ways to go to get back in game shape, but it was really good to see him move around like that.”Benjamin practiced with confidence and made tough catches look easy – something he did throughout last year’s training camp prior to the injury.  His first catch came on a slant in traffic and drew a big cheer from the fans who packed Gibbs Stadium. Later,…...

Gary Kubiak is a Running Back God – Can He Heal CJ Anderson?

Nothing in life is guaranteed except death, taxes, Josh Gordon suspensions, and Gary Kubiak running backs winning fantasy titles. It’s true, take a look at this table which shows total PPR scoring at RB for Kubiak running backs. To give you a sense of how good these numbers are, 30 PPR points/game would have been in the mix to lead the league last year, and 25 per game would still be top 10 in the league. This spans a number of years, covers some Arian Foster years and non-Foster years, along with multiple teams. But you can see that Denver 2015…...

Underrated Suspension Loser: Corey Coleman

I’ve done a few drafts over the past month where I had my eye on Corey Coleman, hoping to take him with my next pick, and then had him sniped from me by another owner. It basically got to the point where I had to ask myself how much I actually like Coleman…....

One Indicator Suggests the Seahawks Could Pass a Lot More in 2016

If you haven’t had the chance yet to play around with our new Screener app, I highly recommend it. It’s an extremely powerful tool for looking at your assumptions and I now find myself keeping multiple tabs of it open throughout the day…....

Is Jarvis Landry Good? Does it Really Matter?

One of the ideas that’s most difficult to pin down when talking football is the idea of talent. Stephen Gostkowski is a very good kicker and I’ve seen arguments that say his impact on a game could be equal to a running back’s impact on a game. But how many conversations about the top players in the game would you have to have before Gostkowski’s name would be mentioned? I suspect the answer is “infinite.” But it’s not at all uncommon to hear someone say that Adrian Peterson is the best player in the NFL, despite the fact that even…...

Superforecasting, Fantasy Football, and the Aggregation of Ideas

One of the things that even I find myself struggling with these days is keeping up with all of the potential draft ideas that we’re pushing out. I read almost every article on the site before it gets published, so I’m probably up there in terms of total RotoViz articles read in a lifetime. Maybe super subscriber Patrick Keefe has read as many articles as I have. It’s probably close…....

Win the Flex Position – 2016 Edition

One of the ideas that we’ve written about on the site is what we call “Winning the Flex” and is related to Shawn Siegele’s guidance that the flex position wins fantasy championships. Winning the Flex is also an idea that is tangentially related to Zero RB, to the extent that Zero RB says that you should load up on WRs because they’re the highest scoring position in PPR leagues, and when the flex is accounted for you can start a lot of them…....

Fantasy playoff schedules

New Screener App Functionality – Similarity Search

One of the things that’s helpful to ask when doing football research is: Have we seen this before? For instance, when I look at Devin Funchess‘ production at the end of 2015 it seems like it’s pretty impressive considering how bad he was at the beginning of the season. But…...

Strength of Schedule, the Skin in the Game Problem, and Your Fantasy Team

One of the things that’s become sort of common to hear leading up to draft season is that strength of schedule (SOS) doesn’t matter and you shouldn’t pay attention to it. It’s an idea that’s been tested a decent amount by various people, so rejecting the importance of SOS might…...

Cam Newton

The Underrated Potential of Kelvin Benjamin

Source: Five Practice Observations: Day 1 “It could be a good harbinger for us seeing Kelvin maybe not at top form but pretty doggone good form,” head coach Ron Rivera said. “He’s still got a ways to go to get back in game shape, but it was really good to…...

Gary Kubiak is a Running Back God – Can He Heal CJ Anderson?

Nothing in life is guaranteed except death, taxes, Josh Gordon suspensions, and Gary Kubiak running backs winning fantasy titles. It’s true, take a look at this table which shows total PPR scoring at RB for Kubiak running backs. To give you a sense of how good these numbers are, 30 PPR…...

Underrated Suspension Loser: Corey Coleman

I’ve done a few drafts over the past month where I had my eye on Corey Coleman, hoping to take him with my next pick, and then had him sniped from me by another owner. It basically got to the point where I had to ask myself how much I…...

One Indicator Suggests the Seahawks Could Pass a Lot More in 2016

If you haven’t had the chance yet to play around with our new Screener app, I highly recommend it. It’s an extremely powerful tool for looking at your assumptions and I now find myself keeping multiple tabs of it open throughout the day…....

Is Jarvis Landry Good? Does it Really Matter?

One of the ideas that’s most difficult to pin down when talking football is the idea of talent. Stephen Gostkowski is a very good kicker and I’ve seen arguments that say his impact on a game could be equal to a running back’s impact on a game. But how many…...

Superforecasting, Fantasy Football, and the Aggregation of Ideas

One of the things that even I find myself struggling with these days is keeping up with all of the potential draft ideas that we’re pushing out. I read almost every article on the site before it gets published, so I’m probably up there in terms of total RotoViz articles…...

Win the Flex Position – 2016 Edition

One of the ideas that we’ve written about on the site is what we call “Winning the Flex” and is related to Shawn Siegele’s guidance that the flex position wins fantasy championships. Winning the Flex is also an idea that is tangentially related to Zero RB, to the extent that…...

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