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In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Delanie Walker’s Dynasty Value Remains High

Source: Delanie Walker: Age factored into two-year deal – Titan Insider Tennessee Titans tight end Delanie Walker said his age probably cost him some money on the contract extension he agreed to on Friday. But he also admitted that because he has been a late bloomer as a pass receiver, there isn’t as much tread off his tires as there might be for a typical…...

How Worried Are We About Melvin Gordon’s Knee?

Source: Melvin Gordon recovers from microfracture surgery | SanDiegoUnionTribune.com The Chargers running back participated in on-field drills Monday. Afterward, he acknowledged he is not yet 100 percent, still working back from a January knee procedure. Sources said that Gordon underwent microfracture surgery and was given a recovery timetable of four to six months.That phrase, microfracture surgery, carries an ominous connotation.While some past cases warrant the…...

Will Fuller and the Texans Offense

Source: 2016 NFL Draft grades: Texans, Jaguars, Redskins head ‘A’ teams – NFL.com Hats off to Rick Smith and Bill O’Brien for supplying their new franchise quarterback (free-agent addition Brock Osweiler) with enough weapons for him to succeed as a playmaker. The Texans upgraded their speed and big-play potential on the perimeter with the additions of Will Fuller and Braxton Miller. Each pass catcher displays…...

C.J. Prosise

Seahawks Fell in Love With Prosise’s Receiving Ability

Source: Seattle Seahawks banking on C.J. Prosise to make offense more dynamic – Seattle Seahawks Blog- ESPN “He is a guy that I fell in love with because when I went back and watched him play at receiver, he ran all of the routes,” Carroll said. “He was a regular receiver. He had 50 targets or something two years ago. He’s a natural football player…...

Paxton Lynch Could Start Sooner Rather Than Later

Source: John Elway hints that Paxton Lynch could start sooner than expected | FOX Sports Denver traded up to draft Lynch with the 26th pick in the first round last week, but the former Memphis Tigers QB was viewed by most to be at least a year away. On Friday, however, Elway gave strong indications that timeline could be much shorter while speaking with Denver…...

Unsurprisingly, NFL GMs Engage in Revisionist History

From the San Francisco Chronicle, where Trent Baalke discusses the idea of drafting for need, versus sticking to the board: “Well, you can’t force it,” Baalke said on KNBR. “You really can’t. We tried that once and that didn’t work as well as we had hoped. The board is the board.” The 49ers selected [A.J.] Jenkins with the No. 30 pick because they desperately needed…...

Cowboys Sign Explosive Freak Free Agent Wide Receiver

From Twitter: At Florida’s pro day, Jacksonville Univ WR Andy Jones (1 of Cowboys UDFA signees) had 41.5-inch vertical jump, 11.1 in broad and ran 4.5 40. — Brandon George (@DMN_George) May 5, 2016 Jones also weighed in at 217 pounds per NFL Draft Scout. Just to give you some sense of how explosive those numbers make Jones, he would be pretty close to Allen…...

Nelson Agholor’s Ankle May Have Hindered Him in 2015

From Philly.com regarding Nelson Agholor: The Eagles certainly expected more when they plucked him out of Southern Cal with the 20th overall pick. The 2014 class was historically productive in year one, but Agholor’s core numbers still paled in comparison with the average (45 catches for 607 yards and four touchdowns) of first-round receivers from the last decade. Even if the comparison is per game, Agholor…...

Duke Johnson, Isaiah Crowell, and the Browns Backfield

From Cleveland.com: “Obviously Isaiah is very explosive,” [Hue Jackson] said. “He’s got quick feet, he’s fast in the hole, he runs with good pad level.” In Johnson, Jackson sees an elusive runner and dynamic receiver in the mold of Cincinnati’s Gio Bernard, who rushed for 730 yards (4.7-yard average) and two TDs, and caught 49 passes for 472 yards and no TDs. Johnson (5-9, 210)…...

Paul Perkins and the Giants Backfield

From the New York Daily News: – Good luck figuring out what the Giants’ plans are at running back after they drafted UCLA’s Paul Perkins in the fifth round on Saturday. The Giants now have six RBs they like, including the four they had last year – Rashad Jennings, Shane Vereen, Andre Williams, Orleans Darkwa – and veteran Bobby Rainey, who was signed this offseason. Who’s…...

The Back of the Napkin Math on How Ezekiel Elliott Can be a Top 5 Running Back in 2016

I wouldn’t be surprised if by the end of fantasy draft season in 2016 the most polarizing question is whether Ezekiel Elliott is worth a first round fantasy pick. Just based on first impressions I could see the point of both sides. Detractors will call it rookie fever and point out other times that similarly hyped rookies, like Ryan Mathews and Mark Ingram, let fantasy…...

On a Long Enough Timeline – The Effects of Age in Dynasty Trade Values

As I mentioned yesterday, I’m working on a machine learning model that can hopefully predict dynasty trade values one year into the future. The utility of this model is pretty obvious – it could allow you to sell players whose value is likely to decline, while also buying players whose value is likely to increase. As I’m working on the model I’m also inspecting the…...

The Rueben Randle Article the Experts Don’t Want You to See

As a bit of fair warning this post will mostly be the result of some musings I had as I was evaluating a dynasty roster where I own Rueben Randle. So that’s fair warning that I own Rueben Randle and thus might not be worth listening to. It’s also fair warning that when someone is trying to dig up positive evidence on the guys at…...

rb watch list

The Dynasty Zero RB Strategy in One Graph

Over the weekend I was working on creating a machine learning model to predict future trade values for dynasty players. I’m starting with the trade values in our Dynasty ADP app and then using some variables like age and production to estimate a player’s dynasty value 12 months in the future…....

The Sports Analytics Twitter Accounts You Should be Following

Readers familiar with the site know that we often publish lists of people to follow on Twitter, created using a combination of the Twitter API and some simple data processing in R. The goal is always to get the most meaningful Twitter list with the least amount of effort. To create the list of people to follow below I went through the following steps: Create…...

How Will Doug Pederson Impact Jordan Matthews?

There’s a slice of the fantasy football world that does not like Jordan Matthews and keeps doubling down on that dislike each year. Meanwhile Matthews has had an incredibly productive first two years in the league considering the fact that his quarterbacks include mostly players that would be sources of excuse-making for other wide receivers. I’m not one of the Jordan Matthews haters. I have…...

Deep Deep Sleeper 3: Devin Lucien, WR, ASU

Wide receiver Devin Lucien started his career at UCLA where compiled not very many yards in a three season career before transferring to Arizona State. As a college graduate he was immediately available for the 2015 season and finished his career on a high note as a Sun Devil. Lucien had fewer than 800 yards during his first three years in college and then this…...

Delanie Walker’s Dynasty Value Remains High

Source: Delanie Walker: Age factored into two-year deal – Titan Insider Tennessee Titans tight end Delanie Walker said his age probably cost him some money on the contract extension he agreed to on Friday. But he also admitted that because he has been a late bloomer as a pass receiver, there isn’t as much tread off his tires as there might be for a typical…...

How Worried Are We About Melvin Gordon’s Knee?

Source: Melvin Gordon recovers from microfracture surgery | SanDiegoUnionTribune.com The Chargers running back participated in on-field drills Monday. Afterward, he acknowledged he is not yet 100 percent, still working back from a January knee procedure. Sources said that Gordon underwent microfracture surgery and was given a recovery timetable of four to six months.That phrase, microfracture surgery, carries an ominous connotation.While some past cases warrant the…...

Will Fuller and the Texans Offense

Source: 2016 NFL Draft grades: Texans, Jaguars, Redskins head ‘A’ teams – NFL.com Hats off to Rick Smith and Bill O’Brien for supplying their new franchise quarterback (free-agent addition Brock Osweiler) with enough weapons for him to succeed as a playmaker. The Texans upgraded their speed and big-play potential on the perimeter with the additions of Will Fuller and Braxton Miller. Each pass catcher displays…...

C.J. Prosise

Seahawks Fell in Love With Prosise’s Receiving Ability

Source: Seattle Seahawks banking on C.J. Prosise to make offense more dynamic – Seattle Seahawks Blog- ESPN “He is a guy that I fell in love with because when I went back and watched him play at receiver, he ran all of the routes,” Carroll said. “He was a regular receiver. He had 50 targets or something two years ago. He’s a natural football player…...

Paxton Lynch Could Start Sooner Rather Than Later

Source: John Elway hints that Paxton Lynch could start sooner than expected | FOX Sports Denver traded up to draft Lynch with the 26th pick in the first round last week, but the former Memphis Tigers QB was viewed by most to be at least a year away. On Friday, however, Elway gave strong indications that timeline could be much shorter while speaking with Denver…...

Unsurprisingly, NFL GMs Engage in Revisionist History

From the San Francisco Chronicle, where Trent Baalke discusses the idea of drafting for need, versus sticking to the board: “Well, you can’t force it,” Baalke said on KNBR. “You really can’t. We tried that once and that didn’t work as well as we had hoped. The board is the board.” The 49ers selected [A.J.] Jenkins with the No. 30 pick because they desperately needed…...

Cowboys Sign Explosive Freak Free Agent Wide Receiver

From Twitter: At Florida’s pro day, Jacksonville Univ WR Andy Jones (1 of Cowboys UDFA signees) had 41.5-inch vertical jump, 11.1 in broad and ran 4.5 40. — Brandon George (@DMN_George) May 5, 2016 Jones also weighed in at 217 pounds per NFL Draft Scout. Just to give you some sense of how explosive those numbers make Jones, he would be pretty close to Allen…...

Nelson Agholor’s Ankle May Have Hindered Him in 2015

From Philly.com regarding Nelson Agholor: The Eagles certainly expected more when they plucked him out of Southern Cal with the 20th overall pick. The 2014 class was historically productive in year one, but Agholor’s core numbers still paled in comparison with the average (45 catches for 607 yards and four touchdowns) of first-round receivers from the last decade. Even if the comparison is per game, Agholor…...

Duke Johnson, Isaiah Crowell, and the Browns Backfield

From Cleveland.com: “Obviously Isaiah is very explosive,” [Hue Jackson] said. “He’s got quick feet, he’s fast in the hole, he runs with good pad level.” In Johnson, Jackson sees an elusive runner and dynamic receiver in the mold of Cincinnati’s Gio Bernard, who rushed for 730 yards (4.7-yard average) and two TDs, and caught 49 passes for 472 yards and no TDs. Johnson (5-9, 210)…...

Paul Perkins and the Giants Backfield

From the New York Daily News: – Good luck figuring out what the Giants’ plans are at running back after they drafted UCLA’s Paul Perkins in the fifth round on Saturday. The Giants now have six RBs they like, including the four they had last year – Rashad Jennings, Shane Vereen, Andre Williams, Orleans Darkwa – and veteran Bobby Rainey, who was signed this offseason. Who’s…...

The Back of the Napkin Math on How Ezekiel Elliott Can be a Top 5 Running Back in 2016

I wouldn’t be surprised if by the end of fantasy draft season in 2016 the most polarizing question is whether Ezekiel Elliott is worth a first round fantasy pick. Just based on first impressions I could see the point of both sides. Detractors will call it rookie fever and point out other times that similarly hyped rookies, like Ryan Mathews and Mark Ingram, let fantasy…...

On a Long Enough Timeline – The Effects of Age in Dynasty Trade Values

As I mentioned yesterday, I’m working on a machine learning model that can hopefully predict dynasty trade values one year into the future. The utility of this model is pretty obvious – it could allow you to sell players whose value is likely to decline, while also buying players whose value is likely to increase. As I’m working on the model I’m also inspecting the…...

The Rueben Randle Article the Experts Don’t Want You to See

As a bit of fair warning this post will mostly be the result of some musings I had as I was evaluating a dynasty roster where I own Rueben Randle. So that’s fair warning that I own Rueben Randle and thus might not be worth listening to. It’s also fair warning that when someone is trying to dig up positive evidence on the guys at…...

rb watch list

The Dynasty Zero RB Strategy in One Graph

Over the weekend I was working on creating a machine learning model to predict future trade values for dynasty players. I’m starting with the trade values in our Dynasty ADP app and then using some variables like age and production to estimate a player’s dynasty value 12 months in the future…....

The Sports Analytics Twitter Accounts You Should be Following

Readers familiar with the site know that we often publish lists of people to follow on Twitter, created using a combination of the Twitter API and some simple data processing in R. The goal is always to get the most meaningful Twitter list with the least amount of effort. To create the list of people to follow below I went through the following steps: Create…...

How Will Doug Pederson Impact Jordan Matthews?

There’s a slice of the fantasy football world that does not like Jordan Matthews and keeps doubling down on that dislike each year. Meanwhile Matthews has had an incredibly productive first two years in the league considering the fact that his quarterbacks include mostly players that would be sources of excuse-making for other wide receivers. I’m not one of the Jordan Matthews haters. I have…...

Deep Deep Sleeper 3: Devin Lucien, WR, ASU

Wide receiver Devin Lucien started his career at UCLA where compiled not very many yards in a three season career before transferring to Arizona State. As a college graduate he was immediately available for the 2015 season and finished his career on a high note as a Sun Devil. Lucien had fewer than 800 yards during his first three years in college and then this…...

Delanie Walker’s Dynasty Value Remains High

Source: Delanie Walker: Age factored into two-year deal – Titan Insider Tennessee Titans tight end Delanie Walker said his age probably cost him some money on the contract extension he agreed to on Friday. But he also admitted that because he has been a late bloomer as a pass receiver, there isn’t as much tread off his tires as there might be for a typical…...

How Worried Are We About Melvin Gordon’s Knee?

Source: Melvin Gordon recovers from microfracture surgery | SanDiegoUnionTribune.com The Chargers running back participated in on-field drills Monday. Afterward, he acknowledged he is not yet 100 percent, still working back from a January knee procedure. Sources said that Gordon underwent microfracture surgery and was given a recovery timetable of four to six months.That phrase, microfracture surgery, carries an ominous connotation.While some past cases warrant the…...

Will Fuller and the Texans Offense

Source: 2016 NFL Draft grades: Texans, Jaguars, Redskins head ‘A’ teams – NFL.com Hats off to Rick Smith and Bill O’Brien for supplying their new franchise quarterback (free-agent addition Brock Osweiler) with enough weapons for him to succeed as a playmaker. The Texans upgraded their speed and big-play potential on the perimeter with the additions of Will Fuller and Braxton Miller. Each pass catcher displays…...

C.J. Prosise

Seahawks Fell in Love With Prosise’s Receiving Ability

Source: Seattle Seahawks banking on C.J. Prosise to make offense more dynamic – Seattle Seahawks Blog- ESPN “He is a guy that I fell in love with because when I went back and watched him play at receiver, he ran all of the routes,” Carroll said. “He was a regular receiver. He had 50 targets or something two years ago. He’s a natural football player…...

Paxton Lynch Could Start Sooner Rather Than Later

Source: John Elway hints that Paxton Lynch could start sooner than expected | FOX Sports Denver traded up to draft Lynch with the 26th pick in the first round last week, but the former Memphis Tigers QB was viewed by most to be at least a year away. On Friday, however, Elway gave strong indications that timeline could be much shorter while speaking with Denver…...

Unsurprisingly, NFL GMs Engage in Revisionist History

From the San Francisco Chronicle, where Trent Baalke discusses the idea of drafting for need, versus sticking to the board: “Well, you can’t force it,” Baalke said on KNBR. “You really can’t. We tried that once and that didn’t work as well as we had hoped. The board is the board.” The 49ers selected [A.J.] Jenkins with the No. 30 pick because they desperately needed…...

Cowboys Sign Explosive Freak Free Agent Wide Receiver

From Twitter: At Florida’s pro day, Jacksonville Univ WR Andy Jones (1 of Cowboys UDFA signees) had 41.5-inch vertical jump, 11.1 in broad and ran 4.5 40. — Brandon George (@DMN_George) May 5, 2016 Jones also weighed in at 217 pounds per NFL Draft Scout. Just to give you some sense of how explosive those numbers make Jones, he would be pretty close to Allen…...

Nelson Agholor’s Ankle May Have Hindered Him in 2015

From Philly.com regarding Nelson Agholor: The Eagles certainly expected more when they plucked him out of Southern Cal with the 20th overall pick. The 2014 class was historically productive in year one, but Agholor’s core numbers still paled in comparison with the average (45 catches for 607 yards and four touchdowns) of first-round receivers from the last decade. Even if the comparison is per game, Agholor…...

Duke Johnson, Isaiah Crowell, and the Browns Backfield

From Cleveland.com: “Obviously Isaiah is very explosive,” [Hue Jackson] said. “He’s got quick feet, he’s fast in the hole, he runs with good pad level.” In Johnson, Jackson sees an elusive runner and dynamic receiver in the mold of Cincinnati’s Gio Bernard, who rushed for 730 yards (4.7-yard average) and two TDs, and caught 49 passes for 472 yards and no TDs. Johnson (5-9, 210)…...

Paul Perkins and the Giants Backfield

From the New York Daily News: – Good luck figuring out what the Giants’ plans are at running back after they drafted UCLA’s Paul Perkins in the fifth round on Saturday. The Giants now have six RBs they like, including the four they had last year – Rashad Jennings, Shane Vereen, Andre Williams, Orleans Darkwa – and veteran Bobby Rainey, who was signed this offseason. Who’s…...

The Back of the Napkin Math on How Ezekiel Elliott Can be a Top 5 Running Back in 2016

I wouldn’t be surprised if by the end of fantasy draft season in 2016 the most polarizing question is whether Ezekiel Elliott is worth a first round fantasy pick. Just based on first impressions I could see the point of both sides. Detractors will call it rookie fever and point out other times that similarly hyped rookies, like Ryan Mathews and Mark Ingram, let fantasy…...

On a Long Enough Timeline – The Effects of Age in Dynasty Trade Values

As I mentioned yesterday, I’m working on a machine learning model that can hopefully predict dynasty trade values one year into the future. The utility of this model is pretty obvious – it could allow you to sell players whose value is likely to decline, while also buying players whose value is likely to increase. As I’m working on the model I’m also inspecting the…...

The Rueben Randle Article the Experts Don’t Want You to See

As a bit of fair warning this post will mostly be the result of some musings I had as I was evaluating a dynasty roster where I own Rueben Randle. So that’s fair warning that I own Rueben Randle and thus might not be worth listening to. It’s also fair warning that when someone is trying to dig up positive evidence on the guys at…...

rb watch list

The Dynasty Zero RB Strategy in One Graph

Over the weekend I was working on creating a machine learning model to predict future trade values for dynasty players. I’m starting with the trade values in our Dynasty ADP app and then using some variables like age and production to estimate a player’s dynasty value 12 months in the future…....

The Sports Analytics Twitter Accounts You Should be Following

Readers familiar with the site know that we often publish lists of people to follow on Twitter, created using a combination of the Twitter API and some simple data processing in R. The goal is always to get the most meaningful Twitter list with the least amount of effort. To create the list of people to follow below I went through the following steps: Create…...

How Will Doug Pederson Impact Jordan Matthews?

There’s a slice of the fantasy football world that does not like Jordan Matthews and keeps doubling down on that dislike each year. Meanwhile Matthews has had an incredibly productive first two years in the league considering the fact that his quarterbacks include mostly players that would be sources of excuse-making for other wide receivers. I’m not one of the Jordan Matthews haters. I have…...

Deep Deep Sleeper 3: Devin Lucien, WR, ASU

Wide receiver Devin Lucien started his career at UCLA where compiled not very many yards in a three season career before transferring to Arizona State. As a college graduate he was immediately available for the 2015 season and finished his career on a high note as a Sun Devil. Lucien had fewer than 800 yards during his first three years in college and then this…...

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