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In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

5 Players With Explosive Upside Who Are Discounted by ADP

How do you build a juggernaut? How do you craft a team with more than just the occasional value player? Who should you draft to withstand the vagaries of the season and emerge better than ever? These are the questions we’re obsessed with at RotoViz, and we try to answer them from a variety of perspectives. One angle is to create upside from uncertainty. Zero…...

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These 3 Backup Running Backs Are an Injury Away From Massive Opportunity and Are Available at a Discount

Injuries suck. It’s one of the worst feelings to see a guy who’s carried you so far throughout the season, a player you might have become a genuine fan of outside of fantasy, go down in brutal fashion. Todd Gurley’s injury late in 2018 cost thousands of fantasy players (including myself) a likely championship. David Johnson’s wrist injury in week 1 of 2017 ended many…...

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Applying Lessons From Historical Best Ball Win Rates: 7 Running Backs with Intriguing Efficiency Profiles

Derrick Henry, Austin Ekeler, and Aaron Jones were historically efficient in 2019. They were just efficient in different ways. Ekeler had the most receiving Fantasy Points Over Expectation (reFPOE) among all RBs over the last two decades. Henry paced all RBs in rushing Fantasy Points Over Expectation (ruFPOE) last year – just edging out second-place Jones. They aren’t going to do that again. Fortunately, they…...

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Scott Fish Bowl Strategy: When To Draft Your #SFBX QB1 and When to Go Zero RB

A few days ago, I provided a quick overview on the impact that the #SFBX scoring system has for historical finishes. Additionally, I converted Dave Caban’s fantastic projections for anyone looking to gain an edge in their #SFBX leagues. If you’re looking to play around with the data, I urge you to check out the new Scott Fish Bowl Points Explorer tool. However, I have…...

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Tight End Is the New Running Back: How to Benefit from Injury Risk in the Scott Fish Bowl (and Elsewhere)

Last week I published an article recommending a TEx5 start to your Scott Fish Bowl drafts. This week we added SFBX scoring settings to the Win the Flex app, and it disagreed with my take in no uncertain terms. According to the Win the Flex numbers (using SFBX scoring and FFPC Superflex ADP), tight ends don’t become the best pick until about the eighth round…....

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RotoViz Tutorials: The 2020 Draft Dashboard

The 2020 version of the Draft Dashboard was released yesterday. If you haven’t used the tool before, it’s a drafting tool that helps to keep all of the pertinent information in a draft organized and summarized in a way that facilitates efficient and confident decision making. The tool centers on using RotoViz tiers to track the quality of available players while at the same timing…...

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Decoding The Browns Backfield: How Will The Coaching Change Impact Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt?

Welcome back to another installment of Decoding Backfields. If you’ve been tuning in for the last few pieces, you know this goes. If not, here’s the quick version. My goal is to decode a backfield with question marks surrounding a specific player value and anticipated production for this coming season. If you’d like to read my previous pieces, they are listed here: San Francisco 49ers…...

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I’m Fading Adam Thielen in 2020 and Here’s Why

There are several factors in play that could lead you towards the opinion that Adam Thielen is ready for a bounceback campaign in 2020. However, there are just as many that should lead you to think the exact opposite. It is these negative factors that you must keep in mind in drafts when you start thinking about adding the Minnesota Vikings man. Bouncebackability? Predicting bounceback…...

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The Next David Johnson Might Be Almost Free: 2 Swiss Army Knife RBs to Supercharge Your Fantasy Teams

Running backs win fantasy leagues. Well, at least they have the potential to impact leagues more than other positions. The new Best Ball Win Rate Explorer tool lets us see the top-10 highest best ball win rate seasons over the last five years. Eight of them — including the top-seven — are RBs.   Player Position Year ADP Win Rate Christian McCaffrey RB 2019 2.4…...

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The Ultimate 2020 Fantasy Football Sleepers List – Running Backs

In The Ultimate 2020 Fantasy Football Sleepers List – Running Backs, Curtis Patrick shares his top late-round targets who could pop this NFL Season if everything falls just right. These are players going so late they’re nearly free. It’s the final round of your 2020 fantasy draft and you’ve been crushing every round. Maybe you already successfully landed one of my must-draft running backs for 2020…...

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Zero Everything But Tight End: Using the Scott Fish Bowl Points Explorer to Find the Optimal Superflex Strategy

The Scott Fish Bowl is one of my favorite leagues every year. Not only does it help raise money for Fantasy Cares to support various charities, but it also always has among the most interesting scoring and roster settings. The league has typical 1-QB, 2-RB, 3-WR, 1-TE starting lineup requirements, but the addition of four flex spots, including one Superflex, adds several wrinkles. Tight-end-premium scoring…...

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Decoding The Packers Backfield: Is A.J. Dillon The Future In Green Bay?

Welcome back to the fifth (already?!) installment of my Decoding Backfields series. If you are joining for the first time, I recommend going back and reading through my previous pieces to get an idea of where I am going. San Francisco 49ers Baltimore Ravens Miami Dolphins Houston Texans All right, perfect. As we shift our attention to the Midwest, we are beginning to see a…...

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Scott Fish Bowl: #SFBX Projections and Historical Scoring

We are less than two weeks from the kickoff of the 2020 Scott Fish Bowl (#SFBX)! The scoring format is largely unchanged from #SFB8 and includes a points-per-first-down scoring component and a points-per-reception component.   The biggest scoring change for this season is at the quarterback spot. However, for those of you who are new to the Scott Fish Bowl/points per first down (PP1D) formats,…...

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Decoding The Texans Backfield: Will David Johnson Have A Career Resurgence?

Welcome to my fourth installment of the Decoding Backfields series. In my last three pieces, I broke down the backfields for the San Francisco 49ers, Baltimore Ravens, and Miami Dolphins. Next up, an aging star and an underused, unappreciated asset. How will the Houston Texans backfield look heading into this upcoming season? Let’s take a closer look. David Johnson Peak David Johnson was a sight…...

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Decoding The Dolphins Backfield: How Will Jordan Howard and Matt Breida Share The Load?

In my first two articles of this series, I did my best to decode the San Francisco 49ers backfield and the Baltimore Ravens backfield heading into this season. Those two offenses have significant fantasy value, especially on the ground. Identifying the best player for his specific value can make a big difference in the success of your fantasy team. As difficult as it is to…...

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If Wide Receiver Is Deep, Running Back Is Bottomless

Running back-heavy constructions are all the rage in 2020. This is despite research that repeatedly shows the flaws in this approach. One persistent narrative may be the culprit: wide receiver is deep. This is certainly not the case from an evidence-based perspective. The Win the Flex tool shows you how many points have been scored relative to ADP by the different positions. After the megastar…...

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Decoding The Ravens Backfield: How Soon Will J.K. Dobbins Take Over?

In my last piece, I took a closer look at the San Francisco 49ers backfield and how you should approach that fantasy goldmine this upcoming season. Talented players, unique opportunities, and changing ADP all factor into making the best decision for your roster. Decoding it correctly can lend you league-winning upside. If there is a team with as much wealth in the ground game as…...

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Buy, Hold, Or Sell: How to Profit from Recent ADP Risers and What to Do With Alexander Mattison

In an unusual offseason that’s lacked on-field workouts, we haven’t had the normal player buzz. We’re still seeing plenty of movement. The Risers/Fallers tab in the FFPC Dashboard helps locate the biggest ADP movers. With a little over a month until the proposed beginning of camp, you still have plenty of time to balance your portfolio at a profit . . . if you purchase…...

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The 10 Most Undervalued Redraft Players for 2020

Shawn Siegele breaks down the 10 most undervalued redraft options and provides the top breakouts, bouncebacks, and Zero RB candidates for 2020. Writing the 10 Most Undervalued Players in Dynasty Startups was a blast. When I’m reading my favorite writers, I want to know which guys they’re targeting. It’s why Curtis Patrick’s Must-Draft RBs was so much fun. It’s why Matt Wispe’s 8 Late-Round Picks…...

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Must-Draft Running Backs for 2020

Last year, Curtis Patrick gave you Austin Ekeler long before anyone else had solved the Chargers backfield riddle. Now, he shares his 2020 fantasy running backs who won’t cost you an early pick but could land you a championship.  This isn’t an article that focuses on the no-brainer, high-volume running backs being selected in the first handful of rounds of every fantasy draft. You can’t…...

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